iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Pinar Yildirim

The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

The #QJE received 2,212 new submissions during 2024:Q4 – 2025:Q3. 1,524 (69%) submissions were desk rejected and 688 were sent to referees. If sent to referees, median days to first decision = 34.5, mean days = 39, max days = 98. Thank you for your submissions, and to our referees!

0102

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

Very sorry to see this, what a tremendous loss.

020

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

Those of you who told us along the way that you liked the paper, your encouragement went a long way, thank you!

000

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

This paper remains one of my favorite papers. We fought to keep the model in the paper, and I believe it serves a unique purpose helping to measure heterogenous persuasive and dissuasive effects. Hope you read and enjoy it, as we enjoyed working on it.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

Moreover, even though news outlets prefer partisan content (and may be biased in how they report news) they do not look biased when it comes to the coverage of an Rep vs a Dem candidate (which is, to my knowledge, a novel finding in the literature).

110

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

These offsetting forces moderate Democratic rhetoric, making Dems look relatively less extreme than the Republicans.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

The estimates show that when Democrats take an extreme position, it is ~4X more effective at mobilizing their base to turnout, compared to when Republicans take an extreme position. At the same time, it provokes 2X the level of backlash from swing voters for Dems compared to Reps.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

We measure the positions (set by the politician and reported by the news media) using texts from thousands of newspaper stories and focus on the U.S. Senate races from 1980-2012. We rely on our model and use instruments that exploit sports-driven crowding-out of political coverage in news media.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

So how do the Republicans and the Democrats set their positions and experience gains/losses at each margin? Depends on these elasticities at the turnout and swing voter margin.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

If the politicians could choose, they would choose to take a partisan position with their core and a centrist position with the swing voters in private. But as media collects and distributes information across the electorate, targeted and varied positioning becomes hard to achieve.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

But it can turn also off centrist voters, resulting in a loss at the swing voter margin benefiting the opponent [“Dissuasive Effects”]. Choosing a centrist position instead can garner the support of the swing voters (stealing those votes away from the opponent).

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

Choosing an extreme position (in line with the position of the partisan core) and making statements as such can earn a politician the support of the core, resulting in a gain at the turnout margin [“Persuasive Effects”].

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

The idea in this paper required some explaining in the day, but not anymore: News media disciplines the speech of politicians. Politicians choose positions/statements to get media attention towards (or away from) themselves and simultaneously try to get support from a heterogenous constituency.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

Published, after years of writing/review: “Persuasion and dissuasion in political campaigns: Communication and media coverage in senate races” with Camilo Garcia Jimeno, one of my favorite people to work with. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

172

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 01/10/2025

UTD-FORMS Conference is a great conference for academics in marketing, economics, and related fields to share recent research and get useful feedback. Happy to be in the scientific committee this year. Send us your best papers! jindal.utdallas.edu/20th-annual-...

jindal.utdallas.edu

20th Annual Bass FORMS Conference

Call for Papers: 20th Annual Frank M. Bass UTD-FORMS Conference February 26-February 28, 2026 We invite you to take part in the 20th Annual Frank M. Bass Frontiers of Research in Marketing Science Con...

010

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 23/09/2025

Thanks, @nber.org, for the post on our recent working paper. Yes, we find AI can lower wage inequality within teams. Details in the paper.

010

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 29/07/2025

I need you to slow down another 30 seconds so we can run :)

020

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 27/07/2025

@aviceisza.bsky.social is a friend I gained over years of NBER meetings, with conversations on organizational economics and running. One NBER morning we tried to run together and he quickly dusted me off in 6min miles. If Angelino runs for this role as he runs in real life, no one stands a chance!

021

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

This will be interesting to watch

010

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

It will take a while to make Philly’s incoming WNBA team profitable. And, not surprisingly, what will take it to sustainability will be good marketing and financial planning rather than great athletic capacity in the long term. (Of course, we want that too!) Good luck to Philly’s new WNBA team!

030

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

Despite the growth projections, most WNBA teams currently generate annual losses. Tennis and golf remain the two most profitable women’s sports, mostly thanks to the media deals, corporate sponsorships, and ticket sales.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

As one dives into the operational reality of bringing a team to a city, it becomes clear that involvement of an NBA team is beneficial because a venue is required, and this is a big investment for any new team. So 5 WNBA teams are owned by NBA owners, and others have various collaborations.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

— avg team valuation $3.5b vs 55m — avg viewership per game 1.6m vs 456K (across various media) — avg ticket cost $94 vs 47

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

Some interesting numbers from this undertaking were as follows (pls take them with a grain of salt, as most numbers came from personal interviews): NBA vs WNBA: — Avg salary of a player: $9.6m vs $120K/yr — highest paid player: $54m vs $235K

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

But the moment you walk into women’s sports, you realize how challenging it is for these teams to make it. They need to be financially sustainable and compete with men’s sports for media/advertising dollars, sponsorships, fandom, and venues. Otherwise investments become donations for a cause.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

Over the past few years, I advised a group of @wharton executive MBA women who were devoted to bringing WNBA to Philadelphia. I hoped to contribute to the transformation of the city’s economy. And I played basketball in various teams growing up, so this was a personally rewarding activity.

110

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 30/06/2025

It is great to be part of SICSS (Summer Institute in Computational Social Science) Penn 2025, which brings together researchers from various fields. If you are a PhD student or a young faculty attending, please reach out before or after the events. sicss.io/2025/penn/pe...

sicss.io

Summer Institute in Computational Social Science

021

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 28/06/2025

The FCC has to consider viewpoint diversity for news media outlet mergers (for good reasons). But did we see other advertising holding companies subjected to viewpoint diversity? Should we treat media-buying ad companies as a force shaping the media industry? This is a new territory.

000

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 28/06/2025

FTC's Daniel Guarnera says “Coordination among advertising agencies to suppress advertising spending on publications with disfavored political or ideological viewpoints threatens to distort not only competition between ad agencies, but also public discussion and debate.”

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 28/06/2025

What is interesting about the FTC proposed order is its restrictions that prevent the parties from "engaging in collusion or coordination to direct advertising away from media publishers based on the publishers’ political or ideological viewpoints."

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 28/06/2025

The FTC gave the green light for a merger between Omnicom Media Group and IPG Mediabrands, currently the third and the fourth largest advertising agencies, to form the largest global ad agency. How this merger will impact the advertising markets and media-buying behavior are to be seen.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

(4) With optimal AI adoption, some wages within a homogenous team may increase, and intra-team wage inequality may decline. If you read the paper, please share your feedback with us.

010

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

(3) The principal may choose not to fully exhaust the AI capacity at her discretion, that is, the rate of AI adoption is not necessarily defined by the technological resource constraints.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

(2) Workers at the upper-most and the lower-most ends of the line network have higher risk of being replaced. The middle worker, being essential for the information flow, keeps his full employment.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

We offer four key insights. (1) The optimal AI strategy involves the stochastic use of AI to replace workers — varying use of AI and workers across projects or shifts, for example. So, AI may not reduce employment at the extensive margin, even if it may do so at the intensive margin.

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

We develop a model where a principal introduces an AI in a sequential team work setting. An AI has lower moral hazard risk, but depending on which worker the AI replaces, its introduction can interrupt the information flow between workers and have negative externalities.

110

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

We study these questions in a new working paper titled “Artificial Intelligence in Team Dynamics: Who Gets Replaced and Why?,” co-authored with Xienan Cheng and Mustafa Dogan. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

papers.ssrn.com

Artificial Intelligence in Team Dynamics: Who Gets Replaced and Why?

<span>This study investigates the effects of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption in organizations. We ask: (1) How should a principal optimally deploy limited

110

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

What is the optimal strategy of AI deployment? What is the effect of AI on the wages of the workers by their position? What is the effect of AI on intra-team wage inequality?

100

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

There is no shortage of papers studying the effects of AI on worker productivity, but majority of them focus on individual workers assuming away interactions between team members. What if AI is deployed in a team with sequential work? Which team members would face the highest displacement risk?

132

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

@tayfunsonmez.bsky.social’s tremendous collaboration in Turkey to help kidney patients is such an impactful example of market design

000

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 20/05/2025

The 10th Marketplace Innovation Workshop is taking place with a fantastic program and participation of leading scholars. Very happy to open the program yesterday with a keynote, speaking broadly about the effects of technology in marketplaces and its impact on our lives. marketplaceinnovation.net

marketplaceinnovation.net

Workshop on Marketplace Innovation

The home page for the annual Marketplace Innovation Workshop.

020

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Looking to hire a Stanford @stanfordpress.bsky.social PhD student as a research assistant for a brief period of time in the next couple weeks. Ideally someone interested in digital economy. If you know anyone who may be a good fit, please get in touch with me. Thank you!

000

Pinar Yildirim @profyildirim.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Hello world! Moved over to this space and back to updates.

020