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Patrickthebiosteamist

@patbiosteamist.bsky.social
2.6K followers 818 following 1.5K posts

Engineer & Scientist. Breaks down Covid papers & data. Masked fitness series. All views expressed are my own, I speak from a US perspective. Not a Covid researcher nor a Covid scientist. youtube.com/@patrickthebiosteamist?si=FoWeCh6fdBWY5jEt

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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Will be interesting to see if the up-coming ACIP meeting will be cancelled again. I haven’t heard anything new. So I assume it will be. www.cdc.gov/acip/meeting...
cdc.gov
ACIP Meeting Information
ACIP holds three regular meetings each year. Learn about upcoming meetings and view materials.
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Raj Rajnarayanan @rajlabn.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally | 10/02/2026 Top lineages -#30DayTrends #G30 ST.1 (11.1%) SW.2.1 (9.8%) TA.1 (5.2%) PJ.2.1 (4.8%) TK.1 (4.5%) RW.1.1.2 (3.9%) RK.1.5 (3.4%) RV.1.3 (3.3%) RF.5.4.1 (2.5%) SV.1.2 (2.4%) Tracker: public.tableau.com/app/profile/... 1/n
public.tableau.com
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
@michael-hoerger.bsky.social you see the new update? ~200 sites are transferring over to Verily as of 28 Sept - so we’re most likely going to have a large data pause of sites for a minimum of 8 weeks - which pushes us through to/past the peak of the winter wave period.
NWSS announcement “CDC competitively awarded a new wastewater testing contract to Verily on September 28, 2026. There will be a brief gap in wastewater data affecting ~200 sites as sampling, testing, and reporting are restarted.”
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Dimitri Drekonja, MD, MS @dimitridrekonja.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Lost in the chaos of everything; last week CDC (yes, this current CDC!) issued guidance for COVID vaccination. Last year they recommended vaccination based on "shared decision making." This year it's a stronger recommendation: "COVID-19 vaccine is recommended for all adults ages 18 years and older"

At a glance

    Two types of COVID-19 vaccines are recommended for use in the United States: mRNA vaccines (Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech) and a protein subunit vaccine (Novavax; now manufactured by Sanofi US Inc).
    A 2026-2027 COVID-19 vaccine is recommended for all adults ages 18 years and older.
    A 2026-2027 COVID-19 vaccine is also recommended for all children ages 6 months–17 years with moderate to severe immunocompromise; for all other children in this age group, a COVID-19 vaccine is recommended through shared clinical decision-making.
    Where a recommendation on this page describes use that is not within the FDA-approved indication, the page identifies it as off-label.
    Schedules for the updated COVID-19 vaccines are based on age and immune status
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babs ✨ @itsbabs.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
infuriating to see so many posts dismissing those calling for masks becuase the mask is not a systemic solution, when the only other people who showed up to beg for systemic solutions the public meetings i attended were also chronically ill & disabled people (+ woefully few allies) in masks 🤔
babs in 2023 giving public comment at the los angeles county board of supervisors meeting. they are white femme person with brown and blonde hair wearing a black Cambridge mask to match their black sleeveless turtleneck and gold jewelry.
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babs ✨ @itsbabs.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
reporting in with wedding event look #1 [ alt caption: please invite me to your mask required lesbian bar ]
babs (a white femme person with shoulder length blonde and brown hair) takes a selfie in a bathroom. they are wearing a brown floral high neck dress, and gold tarot card jewelry to match their gold and orange eye makeup. their lips are a bright matte red. babs (a white femme person with shoulder length blonde and brown hair) takes a selfie in a bathroom. they are wearing a brown floral high neck dress, and gold tarot card jewelry to match their gold and orange eye makeup. they’re wearing a breatheteq kn95 with a black and gold cover made special by a friend ♥️babs (a white femme person with shoulder length blonde and brown hair) takes a selfie in a bathroom. they are wearing a brown floral high neck dress, and gold tarot card jewelry to match their gold and orange eye makeup. they’re wearing a breatheteq kn95 with a black and gold cover made special by a friend ♥️
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
NBC has picked up the #bluewashing story. On August 14, the CDC downshifted how they categorize wastewater levels to make all current and historical COVlD levels lower.
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Just went for my longest continuous run since pandemic onset. Must have been the vax. 🤣 🏃‍♂️🏃‍♂️🏃‍♂️
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
TikTok censors everything I post within 2 minutes. They take days to adjudicate posts & always allow them. Not any more. This is the only post they have outright refused to approve and levels are now MUCH higher on the Big Island.
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Vaccination reminder. Updated Covid-19 and flu vaccines are available. I was able to get the new updated Moderna Covid-19 vaccine (first time diverging from Pfizer for that). Got it in opposite arms, keeping my covid and flu arms the same. Some research shows this can help enhance responsiveness
Covid-19 new Moderna vaccine for 2026 arm shown here, flu vaccine in other arm not shown.
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
-HI: Big Island is a raging inferno of COVlD w/levels seemingly unimaginable. -TX: On par w/the all-time largest national wave, BA.1 Omicron -CA: Many places at 1/2 an Omicron -NY: Suffolk is Very High (2/2)
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Weird combination of errors today - computer went into an auto do not disturb mode (which I never set, so must have been an update thing) , which blocked signal to the 3d printer. So wasted about 45 minutes troubleshooting something that I only saw inadvertently from my computer’s daily log.
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
It’s important to note that the absence of counting the Pennsylvania 2 measles deaths is coming from the same playbook they used for Covid to downplay it. The died “as a result of measles” or “died but happened to die with a measles infection”.
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Adding in another thing you can do - I was on the CDC NWSS page today (the color map shown), and they are doing a survey currently on that page. I wrote a paragraph explaining these types of things with reccs of what to do better in the very last part of the survey. Something to try at least 🤷🏻‍♂️
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
The CDC recently downshifted current and historical COVlD levels into lower categories. For example, 6 of the 8 states normally classified as High or Very High have been downshifted to "Moderate." This is Part 2 in our series on the CDC "Bluewashing" ethics crisis.
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
PMC COVlD Update, Week of Aug 29, 2026 ▪️Outbreaks in 29 states/territories (see Alt) ▪️A projected 13th wave is under way ▪️1 in 95 Americans estimated actively infectious ▪️Peak anticipated around Labor Day THREAD 🧵(1/4)
The US has at least 29 states/territories with COVlD outbreaks. These include much of Hawai’i, Alaska, Washington, California, Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Maine.  
There are likely outbreaks in additional states. The summary statistic of 29 only includes counties with observed data, rather than estimated data. All of the data in Oregon are at least a week old, and while we do not count the state among the 29, we estimate there are likely outbreaks there as well, given proximity to WA, CA, and NV. Levels in some Texas counties are so high – on par with the national peak of BA.1 Omicron – that it drives up estimates for counties in neighboring states that lack CDC wastewater monitoring systems. Looking closely at the map, notice other instances of Very High counties in one state driving up estimates of an adjacent county in a neighboring state that lacks data. This shows a clear value of the county-level map over the CDC state map. The CDC applies the median level to the entire state. The PMC map recognizes that state boundaries are somewhat artificial with regard to the spread of infectious disease and instead offers localized estimates for counties that lack data based on what is happening in their region.
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Friday, the CDC started #bluewashing the COVlD maps. Today, the COVlD nursing home dashboard did not update, as they are modifying the site to comply with Presidential orders.
Screenshot, CDC nursing home COVlD data did not update today as the website is "being modified to comply with President Trump's Executive Orders."
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Another CDC Viral Activity Update to Artificially Lower COVID Wastewater Levels youtu.be/yPGms-SfBzQ
youtu.be
Another CDC Viral Activity Update to Artificially Lower COVID Wastewater Levels
YouTube video by PatricktheBioSTEAMist
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
Here’s a take from another person (with more credentials), further explaining what I had been documenting for the past few years, ever since the CDC shifted to viral activity levels. I’ll tag the posts I’ve made or link the YouTube videos under this.
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
After months of presumably low Covid-19 levels - barring some sort of signal attenuation from new variants (confounding variable) - we are starting to see some early activity from the Kinston, North Carolina facility. Also, 99% chance growing Covid activity from ED visits.
WastewaterSCAN Covid-19 signal chart of the 147 active sites still remaining. Highest activity currently in Kinston, North Carolina as of 14 August 2026Purple everywhere on the ED visit map, showing growing/increasing trends of COVID-19 ED visits, as of 14 August 2026
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Dr. bird 🌻 | Inspiring Change @bbiiirdbphd.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Murv is another excellent reporter who I was grateful to have been interviewed by over the last few weeks at the Corey Ruiz encampment in Madison, WI. pbswisconsin.org/news-item/wh...
pbswisconsin.org
What's next for Madison after the Ruiz shooting encampment?
The city of Madison cleared a protest encampment 13 days after Corey Ruiz was killed.
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
The new names of what is currently circulating in the past 5 weeks: PQ.16.1.1 at 30% RF.5 at 11% RK.1 at 11% RW.1.1 at 7% SW.2.1 at 6% BA.3.2.2 (mostly RE.1*) at 6% RV.1 at 5% XFG.14.1.1 at 2% under 2% and over 1% PJ.2.1, XFZ.4.1, SZ.3.1, TB.1,XFG.6.13 As predicted a dozen of branches survived.
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Jesus Christ. Doing a new housing application and to verify I am me (who is filling out the form post-scanning my government ID), I had to do a prisoners photo set of front, left, and right side photos in the application portal. What the literal fuck…
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Solid Evidence @solidevidence.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Fourteen more PJ.2.1 wastewater detections. It is dominant in many sites. NYC (8), Maui (2). Maine, Virginia, Florida and DC. No obvious uptick in cases in any of these places that I could find though.
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Ryan Hisner @ryanhisner.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Another finding: The number of S1 mutations in lineages predicts fitness at least as accurately as machine learning and fancy protein-language models. Here's a link to the interactive version "the intended reading experience of this paper." blab.github.io/fitness-flux/ 2/2
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
I ve said it would have been fast, BB+4 variants rapidly taking over worldwide: PQ.16.1.1 and SZ.3.1 both NB.1.8.1+420N dominating in HK, SW.2.1 outcompeting everything else in Mexico and leading by far in California over all the other new variants (RW.1.1,SV*,RV* ,RF.5)
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Masked Fitness - hit a new PR today at 425lb on the deadlift #maskedfitness #wearamask #maskatthegym
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
425lb Deadlift - Masked Fitness youtu.be/7T33Tz-z790
youtu.be
425lb Deadlift - Masked Fitness
YouTube video by PatricktheBioSTEAMist
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Ryan Hisner @ryanhisner.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
This chronic-infection variant now has a name: PJ.2.1. You can see how divergent it is from other current lineages in the @neher.io/Roemer BA.2.86 tree below. It originated in Ontario but has been detected in wastewater by @solidevidence.bsky.social in New York, Florida, Alabama, & Utah I think. 1/3
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
I hate interviewing. It is so mentally draining.
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Forcing a long halftime show during the final match of the World Cup is the most American thing ever. I’d hate to be a player during this, as I’d start getting stiff, and it would disrupt the normal flow of the match.
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Ryan Hisner @ryanhisner.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
ORF6 is a SARS-2 protein that shuts down traffic between the nucleus & cytoplasm in host cells, inhibiting host mRNA export & immune responses. But in all variants since early 2023, ORF6's abilities are hampered by the ORF6:D61L mutation. Two newish ORF6 observations.... 1/15
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Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA @michael-hoerger.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Friday's CDC data show a COVlD outbreak in the Bay Area. Median levels are "High" in Alameda County. The 6 wastewater monitoring sites read Very High, Very High, High, High, Low, and Very Low. #MaskUp PMC: pmc19.com CDC data (click CA from the dropdown menu): www.cdc.gov/wastewater/r...
PMC heat map, focused on CA
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
This is a great concept for people to understand - it’s not always about the # of mutations of a variant, but how the mutation impacts the protein structure itself. Sometimes a single point mutation/deletion can change the shape of a protein. Like a load bearing wall, it shifts the foundation
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
So much news this morning - Graham dead, McConnell likely dead, Bondi Thyroid cancer. What coven is casting at the moment? 🧙🏻‍♀️ Practicing for the big one?
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
RW.1.1 the XFJ descendant which became dominant (13/30) in Dominican Republic becomes nearly dominant in NY ( which is home of the biggest Dominican Community outside Dominican Republic)
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
Saturday surprises in the last NY batch: RW.1.1 nearly dominant 2 more samples of the MC.10.1.7 saltation, found&well described by @ryanhisner.bsky.social ,which was previously present only in Ontario and found first outside Ontario in NY WW by @solidevidence.bsky.social github.com/cov-lineages...
github.com
MC.10.1.7 Saltation (10 seqs, ≥7 patients, Ontario, Canada—also NYC and Utah wastewater) · Issue #3237 · cov-lineages/pango-designation
Description (more detailed information available here.) Sub-lineage of: MC.10.1.7 (KP.3.1.1 + S:A435S, ORF9b:R47H, ORF1a:D1228G, ORF1b:T1230I) Earliest sequence: 2025-8-1 Most recent sequence: 2026...
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
For the 35 states where we are still getting ED visit data for COVID-19, we are seeing growing levels in Texas, Nevada, Kansas, Louisiana, Georgia, and Tennessee. Growing is pink/purple on the map.
Epidemic trend summary map updated 10 July 2026. Seeing increasing levels of ED visits due to COVID-19 in Texas, Nevada, Kansas, Louisiana, Georgia, and Tennessee. These are the places where purple/pink is showing.
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
I see usually in media social and public health reports to variants which doesn't exist anymore. I understand that could be hard to cope with sub branches but it is very delusional to see using still XFG /NB.1.8.1 categories.
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
New reports from HK & China. PQ.16.1.1 seems able to start a wave in both countries Local authorities mention for the first time PQ.16.1.1 as accountable for 2/3 of severe cases there (with a prevalence likely superior than that) In China PQ.16.1.1 seems able to catch up with FLU
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babs ✨ @itsbabs.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
great piece highlighting some of the realest of all time. happy disability pride month ❤️💛🤍💙💚🖤
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
My favorite everyday engineering marvel is the sweet spot designed into urinals that are there to make minimal/no sound and make it near impossible to have any splash back. It’s typically a tiny dot placed about 4 inches up from the basin. Something I learned in graduate-level fluid dynamics
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Found and designated by @corneliusroemer.bsky.social today XHB. It is the side branch on usher of XHA but unrelated with it: it is a RF.5/RV.1.1.1 recombinant originally found in France but now also overseas in French Guyana. Spike is RV.1
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Box jumping 50 inches. Took a small tumble at the beginning lol.
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
Hit 415lb deadlift and hip thrust today. #maskedfitness #maskatthegym #wearamask
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Ryan Hisner @ryanhisner.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
A mysterious, unusually diverse saltation lineage descended from KP.3.1.1 (last seen early 2025) has circulated at a low level for ~8 months in Ontario (see 🧵 on next post). Seemed a local anomaly, but @solidevidence.bsky.social just spied a weird spike in NYC wastewater—& it's the same one! 1/14
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Patrickthebiosteamist @patbiosteamist.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
We are supposed to be still getting Covid-19 Empiric Proportions updates monthly. However, we are now almost 1 month behind on the slowed cadence (no updates for 2 months as of next week). Last update was 9 May 2026. There was no June update. Uncertain if we will get a July update.
Last update of the Covid-19 empiric proportions data (Covid variant data), last updated 9 May 2026. Today is 3 July. There was no June update. Uncertain if we will get an update by next week. Crazy times.
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Federico Gueli @siamosolocani.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Now the third NB.1.8.1 + S:D420N lineage after RK.1 and PQ.16.1.1 has been designated by @corneliusroemer.bsky.social SZ.3.1 (PQ.2.1.11 descendant). Interestingly it has 445P+478T combo as RK.1 but also 680P+954Y.
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J. Offir, PhD @joffirphd.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
We knew this was coming: RFK wasn't in compliance with the CDC ACIP charter, so he just rewrote it. Now the committee members deemed unqualified by a judge can again serve, because vax expertise is no longer required. So anti-vax activists are all good; ... 1/6 www.cidrap.umn.edu/childhood-va...
cidrap.umn.edu
New ACIP charter could allow RFK Jr. to further restrict vaccine access, critics say
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Mike Honey @mikehoney.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to early June. XFG.* "Stratus" remained dominant but fell sharply to 39%. XFJ.* (led by RW.1.1.*) finished at 18%. JN.1.* + FLiRT (led by RF.5.*, mostly from International Travellers) finished at 18%. #COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #USA 🧵
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