iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 8h

Like fellow OF Chandler Simpson, Mesa's key has been the glove, which has been one of the best in the league from the corner OF. Mesa is the high-floor player we thought he'd be, but if he can emulate his decent slugging, moderate swing-and-miss approach, he has massive upside!

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 8h

Back when he was still a Marlin, Mesa was our Miami player to watch headed into 2026. We loved his combo of contact and power, even if it came with a ton of chase. One 2.6 WAR season and a clutch HR later, he's overachieved our hyper-bullish preseason projection!

Victor Mesa Jr., Miami Marlins prospect, is ranked No. 70 overall and No. 2 in the Marlins system. Career outcome probabilities are 85% Contributor, 37% Regular, and 15% Star. Relative stats vs. league average: 0.93 development speed, -0.62 discipline, 0.71 strikeout avoidance, 0.65 contact, 0.00 gap power, 0.30 home-run power, and -0.08 lift. The career outcome chart shows a strong concentration of projected WAR in the first two seasons, with the distribution tapering steadily afterward and a smaller portion reaching the 3+ WAR/season Star range. Comp: Alek Thomas, 2024.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Nimmala is back at it, with an AFL HR! Our #4 overall prospect has been dominant since joining the Angels, and he's continuing his run in the AFL. He made strides in his hit tool and glove this season, while maintaining the lift and pop that make him special. The Angels got a good one!

Arjun Nimmala, SS for Low-A, is ranked No. 4 overall and the No. 1 LAA prospect. Career outcome probabilities: 99% Contributor, 99% Regular, 93% Star. Relative stats vs. league average: Development Speed +1.82 SD, Gap Power +1.18, HR Power +0.75, Lift +0.54, Discipline +0.44, Avoid K +0.26, Contact +0.14. His listed comp is Yu Chang, 2016. The career-outcome chart shows a very high probability of positive WAR seasons through roughly three seasons, with probabilities declining gradually thereafter; the highlighted thresholds are Contributor, Regular, and Star. Confidence meter is very high.

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

With the playoffs in full swing, we dive into the similarities and differences between the regular season and playoff play. From pitcher usage, to velocity and stuff shifts, and experience vs. youth, we investigate playoff facts and fictions!

api.omarshehata.me

How Playoff Baseball is Different, Part 1

We investigate how October baseball is truly different from its regular season counterpart, and how it’s deceptively similar

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

A big HR for Meidroth! He was once an Oyster dandy (this was April 2025), and with his improved pull and elevation, his power rose from poor to below average, letting his other exceptional attributes shine. He was perhaps a bit lucky on his batted-ball outcomes, but a 4.5 WAR season is legit!

Chase Meidroth's future projection shows a 91% chance of being a Contributor, an 80% chance of being a Regular, and an 18% chance of becoming a Star.

Relative Statistics, measured by standard deviations from the mean, include the following metrics:

Discipline: +2.30

Development Speed: +1.58

Avoid K: +1.44

Contact: +0.32

Gap Power: -0.37

Home Run Power: -0.55

His most comparable player is Che Hsuan Lin (2010).

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

We mentioned Virahonda in our recording of tomorrow's podcast, and we think he's worthy of legit prospect status. He makes a boatload of contact, added power, and a raised walk rate in A+ is a sign of improved discipline. He's lurking outside of our top 100.

Carlos Virahonda, an Arizona Diamondbacks catcher, is ranked #134 overall and #4 among Arizona prospects. His career outcome probabilities are 40% Contributor, 32% Regular, and 6% Star. Relative stats show development speed +0.99 SD, discipline -0.88, strikeout avoidance +0.98, contact +0.62, gap power +0.15, home-run power +1.08, and lift +0.69 versus league average. The career-outcome chart shows the probability distribution for his peak WAR per season, with most of the probability concentrated below 2 WAR, a smaller tail extending toward 3+ WAR, and the Star threshold highlighted around 3 WAR. His listed comparison is Omar Narvaez (2013).

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Owen: Will anyone care if I write this? Max: Well, Bluesky will care; they love the Boss. Owen: Bluesky loves the Boss? Max: Bluesky loves the Boss. Owen's Springsteen and baseball obsessions combine in this week's article, a fun take on playoff baseball.

downonthefarm.substack.com

Which Springsteen Album Is Each MLB Playoff Team?

Some teams are born into a good life, some get it anyway, anyhow; with our trademark analytical rigor, we match every postseason participant with their “Boss comp”

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Ben Malgeri was liked by our modeling heading into the season, but has faded a bit since. Regardless, with a strong glove and good contact, he's an ideal bench bat, and he's been a fantastic rotation player for Detroit this season. We think he's a model beater!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

We've got a special podcast this week, as we interviewed former Angels P Ryan Smith! We talked about his late-blooming baseball journey, data use in the minors, and the tension between pitch development and maximizing current performance.

downonthefarm.substack.com

Down on the Farm Podcast 9/22/26: Former Angels P Ryan Smith Hops On the Pod

We get a pitcher’s perspective on data in the minor leagues, his late-blooming path to pro ball, and the tension between experimentation and performance

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Check out this month's hottest hitters! We've got smaller-statured players finding enough power to produce, old-for-the-level prospects stepping up and dominating, and well-rounded prospects who, despite lacking standout tools, got it all to click:

api.omarshehata.me

The September Hot Streaks That Matter, ft. Welbyn Francisca, Caden Bodine, and More

Oyster projections + streaks model + video analysis = an obsessively rigorous guide to September’s MiLB hot streaks

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Our model took a long time to come around on De Paula, but it's now sold on his bat. He may have the best bat in the minors, but his corner OF status dents his ceiling a bit. Almost no hitters have his power, average, and discipline, and he'll be a day-one problem for MLB arms!

Josue De Paula, LAD OF prospect, is ranked #25 overall and #2 Dodgers prospect. The model gives him a 96% chance to become a Contributor, 93% Regular, and 39% Star. Relative stats vs. league average: Development Speed +1.40 SD, Discipline +0.86, Avoid K +1.20, Contact +0.99, Gap Power +0.93, HR Power +0.90, Lift +0.74. His player comp is Ryan Waldschmidt, 2025. The career-outcome chart shows a strong probability of sustained above-average production: nearly all simulated outcomes reach the Contributor and Regular thresholds, while about 39% reach the Star threshold. The distribution is concentrated around roughly 0.5–3 WAR per season, with a smaller tail extending beyond 4 WAR. Confidence meter is very high.

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

We've got another weekly pearls article and podcast for you all! The pearls are an interesting batch of power-happy players with either contact or discipline flaws (and a pair of Sebastians), while our Labor Day special podcast dives into the MLB CBA negotiations.

downonthefarm.substack.com

Pearls “Under the Sea”: A Pair of Sebastians Go Off, HR Hitters Shine

The lowdown on the week's top MiLB performances, powered by Oyster projections and streaks modeling, and with a title that Max has assured Owen some people will understand

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Walcott is RED hot, and the biggest reason why is his elevated lift rates. He has always been a big EV guy, but until this season, he had GB% in the 40% range. Now, he's at 31.2% in AA, and he's smashing line drives. With skills like this, perhaps he hits #1 overall?

Sebastian Walcott, Texas shortstop, prospect graphic. Walcott is ranked No. 5 overall and No. 1 Texas prospect. He has a 99% probability of becoming a Contributor, 99% probability of becoming a Regular, and 97% probability of becoming a Star. His relative stats are 2.1 standard deviations above league average in development speed, 0.54 in discipline, 0.48 in avoiding strikeouts, 0.78 in contact, 0.82 in gap power, 0.61 in home-run power, and -0.39 in lift. The career outcome chart shows a very high probability of reaching the Contributor and Regular thresholds, with the distribution remaining above the Star threshold of roughly 3 WAR per season in 97% of outcomes. The probability declines steadily for outcomes above 3 WAR, with relatively few projections reaching 4 WAR or higher, indicating the model views star-level production as highly likely while elite 4-to-5 WAR seasons represent the upper end of the distribution. Player comp: Tim Beckham, 2011. Confidence meter is nearly full.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

Our model is sold on Montes! Despite the clear contact concerns, Montes is an elite power bat who is also a prolific lifter, giving him tons of chances to do damage. His splits aren't great vs LHP, but at 21, he has a year of improvement ahead of him.

Lazaro Montes — SEA, RF

#8 Overall | #1 SEA Prospect

Career Outcome Probabilities

Contributor: 96%
Regular: 96%
Star: 93%

Relative Stats (SD from League Avg.)

Dev Spd: +1.57
Disc: +1.12
Avoid K: -0.92
Contact: +0.06
Gap Pwr: -0.04
HR Pwr: +2.83
Lift: +1.00

Career Outcome chart: Prime WAR per Season ranges from >0 to 5.0, with the 1-WAR “Contributor,” 2-WAR “Regular,” and 3-WAR “Star” benchmarks highlighted.

Comp: Andy Pages, 2021.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

We've been excited for the call-up of Jenkins for a while! We affectionately call him the most "boring" of our top prospects, as he lacks any super-plus tools. However, almost nobody has the plus contact, lift, discipline, and now power that Jenkins possesses. He'll be huge for the playoff push!

Prospect card for Walker Jenkins, listed as #20 overall and #1 Twins prospect. Shows MIN, CF; 97% probability of becoming a Contributor, 92% Regular, and 78% Star. Relative stats: Development Speed 1.75, Discipline 0.58, Avoid K 0.59, Contact 1.32, Gap Power 0.39, HR Power 0.78, Lift 1.12. Comparison player: Carson Benge (2025).

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Our model likes him a ton. He clearly has a lot of chase with his low walk rates, but even with the chase, he still creates big, pulled, elevated (in 2026) pop. I think he will have to swing a bit less to make the profile effective later, but we prefer him to the Cards' other Báez.

Prospect card for Jesus Baez, listed as #43 overall and #2 Cardinals prospect. Shows STL, SS; 54% probabilities for Contributor, Regular, and Star outcomes. Relative stats: Development Speed 1.16, Discipline -1.13, Avoid K 1.21, Contact 0.78, Gap Power -0.36, HR Power 2.71, Lift -0.21. Comparison player: Isaac Paredes (2018).

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Héctor has been looming around our 100th-ranked bat for a while, and his combo of contact and power is fantastic. He's also a big chaser who rarely walks, so his contact truly needs to shine. If he can make strides defensively or slightly cut his chase, he'll hit his ceiling.

Prospect card for Héctor Rodríguez, a Cincinnati Reds catcher/left fielder. Rodríguez is ranked No. 102 overall and No. 3 among Cincinnati prospects. His projected career outcomes are 57% Contributor, 34% Regular, and 9% Star. Relative stats show above-average development speed (1.46), contact (0.73), avoid-K (0.58), and home-run power (1.32), with below-average discipline (-0.67), gap power (-0.19), and lift (-0.30). The career outcome chart shows probabilities of achieving different levels of WAR per season, with Contributor, Regular, and Star outcomes highlighted. Comparable player: Alec Burleson, 2022.

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Many of this week’s stars are knocking on the door of the big leagues. From a power-hitting first baseman to a pair of outfielders, several standouts close in on an MLB shot, while this week's top man may be the best prospect in all of baseball. Check out this week's pearls:

api.omarshehata.me

Are Walker Jenkins’ and Ralphy Velasquez’s MLB Debuts Imminent? This Week in MiLB

The lowdown on the week's top MiLB performances, powered by Oyster projections and streaks modeling

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

Check out today's article on August's standout MiLB performances that we think have a shot at sticking! From Caleb Bonemer's contact upgrades to Mitch Voit's all-around run, our models are believers in these breakouts.

api.omarshehata.me

The August Hot Streaks That Matter, ft. Caleb Bonemer, Mitch Voit, and More

Oyster projections + streaks model + video analysis = an obsessively rigorous guide to August’s MiLB hot streaks

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

Baez finally gets the call. His swing-and-miss and high chase rates could prove problematic early on, but his raw power and pull-and-lift ability make him a truly premier power bat. Our model isn't entirely sold, believing he needs either contact or BB improvements to be elite!

Twitter alt text: Joshua Baez, STL RF, prospect card. Ranked #231 overall and #13 Cardinals prospect. Relative stats vs. league average: Dev Spd 1.00, Disc -0.47, Avoid K -0.71, Contact 0.27, Gap Pwr 0.34, HR Pwr 2.04, Lift 1.00 SD. Career outcome probabilities show 18% Contributor, 17% Regular, and 5% Star. Composite: Jeremy Hazelbaker, 2012.

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Orioles On the Verge @oriolesontheverge.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Jaiden Lo Re love from @oysteranalytics.bsky.social 🧡 Check out their awesome newsletter for more!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Today's article covers our in-person scouting of the second part of our MiLB tour. From Oyster sleeper Jaiden Lo Re to Franklin Arias and Kristian Campbell, check out our analyses of some of the game's best!

api.omarshehata.me

Lo Re Launches, Arias Amazes: Scouting Notes from Durham to Reading

We take deep dives into the swings of the most interesting prospects we saw in person in the second half of our Down on the Farm, Down on the Farm tour

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

This week's weekly pearls are devoted to the free swingers who found success this week. From Zac Veen to Jhonny Level, these contact and power threats had it all working!

api.omarshehata.me

Free Swingers Find What They've (V)een Chasing: This Week in MiLB

The lowdown on the week's top MiLB performances, powered by Oyster projections and streaks modeling

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 09/08/2026

Veen has been one of the hottest players in MiLB over the last month, and last night's performance was one for the ages! At 24, he doesn't have too much else to prove in AAA, and he's a well-rounded bat. One flaw is a 35.4% chase rate, which could prove trouble in the show.

Zac Veen prospect card. Veen is a 24-year-old Colorado Rockies AAA outfielder who plays LF/RF. Oyster Projections: 53% Contributor, 42% Regular, 8% Star. Yesterday: 5-for-5 with 3 HR, 1 double, 1 triple. Last 7 days: 12-for-24 with 5 HR, 4 doubles, 1 triple, 2 walks, 1 HBP, 6 strikeouts and 2 stolen bases. Last 25 games: 115 PA, .346/.409/.798 with a 20% strikeout rate, 7.8% walk rate and 8.7% HR rate. Streak: Hot — Not Conclusive. Rank trend: up 3 spots this month.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

We also saw the @milwaukeebrewers.bsky.social Brailyn Antunez in Wilson, and his swing looked smooth, long but direct, and powerful! Most importantly, his contact metrics have improved a ton in his time in Single-A, and these gains haven't resulted in a loss of pop. Could be a fast riser!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Check out our full takes on the hitting prospects on the move during the deadline! From Nimmala to Frias and Hope, we break down the biggest deals and give out our trade grades. Who made out like bandits, and who overpaid?

downonthefarm.substack.com

All You Need to Know About the Top Hitting Prospects Traded at the Deadline

We break out all the models we've got and use in-person and video scouting to give you the down low on what to expect from the big minor league bats on the move

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

We saw new Cardinal Alexander Frias in action last week, and we were impressed! He consistently hits the ball hard (as he did below) and has fantastic power and discipline. Our one quibble comes from his busy hands in the load phase, but 18-year-olds aren't ever complete!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

It was a hectic trade deadline for hitting prospects, and we've broken down the biggest moves! First, we briefly evaluated the prospect-involved trades in this week's Weekly Pearls, and then went more in-depth in today's podcast. Check both out in the replies:

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

Enddy is our 67th-overall hitter, and he's a rare triple threat in contact, power, and K avoidance. His contact rates aren't amazing, though, and are the biggest threat to his road to the show. Also a + OF, a solid acquisition for the @orioles.com! @oriolesontheverge.bsky.social

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

Bryan Rincon has always been a bag swiper for the @phillies.com, but his pro prospects are on the rise due to a rare combo of improved power and lowered Ks after moving up a level to the @fightinphils.bsky.social! He’s deep in our rankings, but if the trend continues, he’s a hidden 💎

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

O’s prospect Jaiden Lo Re hits an absolute tank to LF! Smashes like this prove the power is at least present, and he has some of the best bat to ball in the lower minors @oriolesontheverge.bsky.social is a believer, and so are we!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

In this week's podcast, we talk about our early takeaways from our Minor League baseball tour of the East and Midwest and highlight a pair of non-top 50 prospects who are putting together dominant seasons. Listen here:

api.omarshehata.me

Down on the Farm Podcast 7/28/26: MiLB Tour Thoughts, What Only Eyes Can See, Slugging Sleepers

We talk our early takeaways from our Minor League baseball tour of the East and Midwest and highlight a pair of non-top 50 prospects who are putting together dominant seasons.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 26/07/2026

Excited to take in the Dayton Dragons game! High-potential SS Tyson Lewis has had a decent stretch recently! He still has contact struggles, but he’s a player with real upside!

Dayton park, with Tyson Lewis at the dish

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Newly promoted Triantos is a high-floor utility-type player with elite bat-to-ball skills but somewhat poor discipline, with high chase and walk rates. His future success depends on building strength, as he'll likely need more XBH and HR to be successful with his free-swinging ways.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Who's your team's favorite sleeper prospect? As a Pirates fan, Lonnie White Jr. is an intriguing hitter with a big K rate, but also a strong glove with some power. If he can reel it in, he may go from nowhere land to a solid rotational player. Who's your favorite?

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 20/07/2026

Spain may have won the World Cup final, but even with Dodgers standout Emil Morales, they'd need some shocking upsets to win our Prospect World Cup! Check out our recent article where we go through a fictional tourney, share our rosters, and pick a champ!

api.omarshehata.me

The Prospect World Cup: Who Comes Out Top Nation in a Battle of Future MLB Stars?

Or: a modest proposal for a way to keep us entertained if there is a work stoppage next Spring

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

At the halfway point, the Rays are the org kings, followed closely by the loaded Brewers organization. The Mets and Red Sox are at the bottom, despite the latter having a crop of strong-hitting prospects. Highly ranked prospects don't always translate to good records!

Bar chart titled "2026 MLB Organizational Records" with the subtitle "Combined MLB + MiLB | as of July 17, 2026." Organizations are ranked from lowest to highest combined winning percentage.

From left to right: New York Mets (249–318), Boston Red Sox (251–303), Oakland Athletics (244–286), Baltimore Orioles (263–300), Minnesota Twins (247–280), Chicago White Sox (252–284), San Diego Padres (272–297), Detroit Tigers (271–295), Philadelphia Phillies (260–279), Kansas City Royals (272–290), Arizona Diamondbacks (277–294), Toronto Blue Jays (279–289), Atlanta Braves (258–267), Miami Marlins (276–284), Cincinnati Reds (280–284), Pittsburgh Pirates (281–285), Houston Astros (278–281), Chicago Cubs (280–278), St. Louis Cardinals (265–260), Los Angeles Angels (271–265), Seattle Mariners (274–266), Cleveland Guardians (288–279), Texas Rangers (290–278), Colorado Rockies (297–273), Washington Nationals (276–253), New York Yankees (299–265), Los Angeles Dodgers (315–251), San Francisco Giants (318–247), Milwaukee Brewers (315–243), and Tampa Bay Rays (319–243), who lead all organizations.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

Hassell should be a decent rehab project for the Pirates, who could see some added value as a decent fielding OF given their poor defensive outfield. He flashed good AAA upside last season before struggling in the show (on both O and D), but worth a flyer!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

This week's pearls are headlined by a crop of players who hopped off the struggle bus, hopefully setting them up for big second halves, while several other players receive yet another write-up to add to their hot 2026s. Check out this week's stars:

api.omarshehata.me

Struggle Bus No More and Familiar Faces

The lowdown on the week's top MiLB performances, powered by Oyster projections and streaks modeling

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

Gonzalez is now our 68th ranked guy after finally finding the power necessary to utilize his fantastic lift. Playing time is a challenge with the Sox, and the Bucs infield injuries should give him real run. For a comp pick? We love the deal, even if the star odds aren’t massive!

Jacob Gonzalez’s player card: 63% contributor, 48% regular, 22% star.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

Oyster dandy Christian Cerda has struggled this season, failing to generate the pop that made him a menace at the lower levels. His contact still looks solid, but as a non EV demon, he needs to get back to pulling the ball to find success, unlike he did here.

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

Not all prospects are trending in the right direction this season! Today's article is devoted to those who are struggling in 2026. We break down their issues, how they can improve, and whether we think they're primed to get there. Check it out below!

api.omarshehata.me

Predicting the Fates of Five Prospects on the Struggle Bus

We take a look at five hitters who have struggled to put it all together this year and opine on how (and if) they can turn things around

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

We were high on Lara heading into 2026 (#31 overall), but even we did not anticipate his gains! His power went from poor to respectable, his walk skills still look good in AAA, and his defense remains strong. We have him as a high-floor, decent-ceiling regular and a CF anchor!

Prospect card for Luis Lara, a center fielder in the Milwaukee Brewers organization. Lara is ranked No. 23 overall and No. 3 in the Brewers system. His projected outcomes show a 92% chance to become an MLB contributor, a 92% chance to become a regular, and a 41% chance to reach star status. Relative tools are strongest in development speed (+1.86 SD), strike-zone discipline (+1.16), strikeout avoidance (+1.30), and contact (+0.98), with roughly average gap power (-0.04) and below-average home run power (-0.49) and lift (-0.89). A comparison at the bottom lists Rafael Ortega (2013), and the confidence meter is nearly full.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

Both of us (Max and Owen) have spoken together about the Walcott sleep effect. Age for level is so important, and even some seemingly tempered performances are signs of elite-ness when you're playing against players 5 years older than you (on average). We'd rank him 5th too, but the upside is real!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

This week's article is centered on lift rates, a forgotten tool in a prospect's repertoire. Does lift matter? Can prospects reliably improve lift? Can big power, high ground ball players (like thumbnail model Hendry Mendez) find the lift to reach their HR ceilings? Read on to find out!

downonthefarm.substack.com

Can You Take Me Higher: Lift Rates, Why They Matter, and How They Change

Are worm-burner mashing prospects doomed to a life of grounders, or can they find the lift to raise their game?

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

Anything can change, but right now the contact skills, which tend to be the stickiest at these levels, aren't great. The power needs to improve for him to be a viable hitter. He's also super passive, and it's hard to tell if players like him have the contact chops to feast vs. better arms.

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

JKG hits the bigs! His newfound power has brought him up our rankings, giving us more reason to believe in his high-chase, high-contact profile. If he can keep powering the ball, his good, versatile infield play gives him a utility floor with a shot at more. Congrats!

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Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

All XBH aren’t created equal! James Tibbs has had it all go right this season in Triple-A, and this double is no exception. The power is pretty easy though!

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Down on the Farm @downonthefarm.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

In this month's Hot Streaks that Matter article, we highlight Eli Willits' power surge, a pair of Complex mashers, and a few prospects who've found their stride after slow 2025s. Check out our write-ups and why we think these surges are legit!

downonthefarm.substack.com

The Hot Streaks That Matter: June Edition

Oyster projections + streaks model + video analysis = an obsessively rigorous guide to May MiLB hot streaks

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