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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Using a model of college admissions and college choice, Oksana Leukhina, Lutz Hendricks & Tatyana Koreshkova estimate what happens when selective colleges open their doors wider. Our article explores the economic upside to expanding admissions: bit.ly/4xKTJet

A group of students with backpacks are walking up the steps toward a building entrance. They are holding notebooks and appear to be engaged in conversation.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

The unemployment rate is one way to assess maximum employment, but by the time we see it start to go up, it may be too late to do much. @amandamichaud.bsky.social describes the data she looks at to predict where the labor market is headed. bit.ly/46Cmlvg

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Only two weeks until our research conference! Are you registered? Join us for presentations on the U.S. job ladder, automation & learning, education loans, mental health dynamics, and housing supply & demand. bit.ly/3SRGASn

The image is a promotional poster for the "Institute Research Conference" hosted by the Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. It displays various speech bubbles with charts and graphs, indicating discussion. The date is October 8, 2026, and the time is 9:30 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Central Time.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

What happens when selective public colleges expand enrollment by 20 percent? Analysis by Oksana Leukhina + coauthors suggests total earnings in the economy could increase by 0.8 percent, more than eight times the cost of the expansion. bit.ly/4xKTJet

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Labor market indicators in 2026 remain steady despite recent shocks, @amandamichaud.bsky.social explains. Her research identifies new metrics that can capture key dynamics in employment and labor market trends. bit.ly/46Cmlvg

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Demand for higher education has grown. Acceptance rates at selective colleges have fallen. This means many qualified students are shut out of opportunities that could raise lifetime earnings. What would happen if selective colleges expanded enrollment? bit.ly/4xKTJet

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Join us on 10/8 for our annual research conference! Diego Daruich will present a macroeconomic model of intergenerational mental health dynamics and outcomes like productivity, earnings, and consumption. Register here: bit.ly/3SRGASn

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

In the newest installment of the Inquiring Minds series, @barbarabiasi.com advises researchers to study what they are passionate about. Read more about her favorite research topics – education and its impact on intergenerational mobility – here: bit.ly/4havpMU

The image shows Barbara Biasi smiling with a large question mark on the left and a speech bubble with lines on the right, set against a yellow and blue background.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Maximum employment is complex and changes over time. Even the concept of "employment" can be tricky to pin down, @amandamichaud.bsky.social explains in new Q&A. She discusses what various labor market indicators suggest about the state of the labor market bit.ly/46Cmlvg

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

At our research conference on 10/8, Niklas Engbom will present research on how noncompete agreements and employer concentration have curtailed job-to-job transitions by employed workers since the 1980s. Register here: bit.ly/3SRGASn

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Economist @barbarabiasi.com 's favorite classes in college applied math and statistical tools to social science problems. To find out how she uses these tools in her research today, read the latest installment in the Inquiring Minds series: bit.ly/4havpMU

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Interested in AI’s implications for the workforce? Join us on 10/8 for our annual research conference, where Andres Drenik will share research about AI’s effect on human capital growth and equilibrium automation prices. More info here: bit.ly/3SRGASn

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Meet Institute visiting scholar Laura Castillo-Martínez, who studies why timing matters for inflation. Her research shows economic shocks hit harder depending on the state of the economy. Also: revealed preferences, resilience, and firm dynamics. bit.ly/4ghpp5I

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

At our research conference on 10/8, Sandra E. Black @econsandy.bsky.social will present research on how student loans affect parents’ financial health, savings decisions, and consumption choices. More info here: bit.ly/3SRGASn

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Differences in credit scores across race groups emerge early & stick for life. Childhood neighborhood matters even controlling for financial factors. Get briefed on new analysis by Institute advisor Nathaniel Hendren and @oppinsights.bsky.social: bit.ly/3Zexej8

An illustration showing stylized figures carrying large money bags with dollar signs. A red truck is seen on the right carrying a similar money bag. One figure is placing bananas at the bottom right, while others walk or gesture beneath the oversized money bags.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Join us on 10/8 for our annual research conference! System affiliate John Mondragon from the San Francisco Fed will share a model of house price and quantity growth across U.S. cities. More info here: bit.ly/3SRGASn

Silhouettes of people face each other, surrounded by colorful speech bubbles containing charts and graphs, including pie charts, bar graphs, and line graphs.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

How did America become a land of opportunity? New research suggests public education was key. As mass schooling expanded ~1900, intergenerational mobility increased across the country. Read more: bit.ly/3PIe18a

Illustration of people walking towards a two-story building, resembling a school, with a clock on it. A river is winding through the scene, and there are trees and a smaller house nearby. Silhouetted figures are seen on a path.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Join us for the 2026 Institute Research Conference on Oct. 8! Register now for the livestream link. Keynote conversation between Congressional Budget Office Director Phillip Swagel and Neel Kashkari. bit.ly/3SRGASn

Silhouettes of people facing each other, surrounded by colorful speech bubbles containing various graphs and charts, including bar graphs, pie charts, and line graphs. Puzzle pieces are also visible in some bubbles.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

Why are U.S. workers less likely to climb the job ladder & see real wage growth over their careers? New research points to employer concentration and non-competes as two reasons it's harder for workers to move. Read our new article: bit.ly/4wHih8j

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Did you know housing costs are a major driver of inflation? But there's a delay in how it shows up in our measures. Visiting scholar Laura Castillo-Martínez explains why understanding how statistics are built matters when interpreting economic changes. bit.ly/4ghpp5I

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Parents who welcome a child may use federal unpaid leave, disability insurance, state paid leave, or employer-sponsored benefits for leave. But how much leave do parents actually take? Moms take an average of 7.2 weeks; dads take 3 days. Our article: bit.ly/49B9lrA

A colorful illustration depicts various people in an office setting. On the left, individuals work at a desk and stand near a presentation board with graphs. In the center, two individuals hold a baby. On the right, a person holds a laptop, and others are seated with laptops and bookshelves in the background.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Do actions speak louder than words? In our new Q&A, visiting scholar Laura Castillo-Martínez shares her favorite economic idea: revealed preferences. To know what people value, watch what people do, not what they say. Read more: bit.ly/4ghpp5I

minneapolisfed.org

Inquiring minds: Q&A with Laura Castillo-Martínez | Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Our annual research conference is Oct. 8! Register now for the livestream to engage with a broad scholarly exchange of ideas around presented papers. Agenda, paper summaries, and registration here: bit.ly/3SRGASn

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

Risks to workers' jobs & earnings have often been chalked up to "productivity shocks" like technology. Research by visiting scholar Orazio Attanasio & consultant @mdenardi.bsky.social tries a fresh approach to data and finds a good job match is more important. Read more: bit.ly/3RV9lxa

Four hands hold illustrated puzzle pieces with anonymous profiles. Each piece connects around a central question mark and speech bubble.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

Can survey data give a better view of earnings & employment risk? Institute consultant @mdenardi.bsky.social of @hellerhurwicz.bsky.social & Orazio Attansio turn to @newyorkfed.org Survey of Consumer Expectations for a fresh approach to labor market modeling. New article: bit.ly/3RV9lxa

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

An illustration shows people interacting with ladders on a blue background. Some are climbing, while others stand nearby. One person holds a cup. The scene suggests themes of progress and barriers.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

The composition of job separations changes the answers to central macroeconomic questions about the business cycle. New working paper explores what labor supply does over the cycle, what business cycles cost, and more. bit.ly/3TWKUzQ

The image is a cover of a working paper by the Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, titled "What Quits and Layoffs Reveal About the Business Cycle" by Kathrin Ellieroth and Amanda Michaud.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

How should retirees manage finances to balance consumption and health care cost shocks? New paper from Visiting Scholar Mitchell with Horneff, Maurer, and Odenbreit considers welfare effects of different approaches under existing regulatory structures. bit.ly/45KxXvD

Optimizing Retirement Financial Strategies working paper by Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, Olivia S. Mitchell, and Julius Odenbreit. Published by the Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

Former visiting scholar Niklas Engbom & coauthors estimate employed workers today are about half as likely to receive a better-paying outside offer as in the 1980s. Our new article looks at their research identifying why job-to-job mobility has stalled bit.ly/4wHih8j

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Stay connected with Institute news, research, and insights with our quarterly Institute update. Sign up today: bit.ly/34cbIyV

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Different types of neighborhood-specific policies have different effects on the sorting of families across neighborhoods. This paper uses a general equilibrium model to compare the macroeconomic impact of such policies at scale and over time. bit.ly/3RK33jH

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

The trajectory of productivity growth tells us the economy is producing more. Flat real wage growth tells us many workers are not benefiting from that progress. New article explores why workers are moving jobs less often, once a source of wage growth. bit.ly/4wHih8j

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

With nursing home costs above $100k/year, how can households turn retirement savings into retirement income they won’t outlive? New Institute paper analyzes financial options for our golden years: bit.ly/45KxXvD

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

New Institute working paper looks at the chain from credit to firms to workers. From @economoser.bsky.social, @farzado.bsky.social, Benjamin Wirth, and Stefanie Wolter: bit.ly/4u2yCT0

The image shows a working paper cover from the Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. The paper is titled "Credit Supply, Firms, and Earnings Inequality" by Christian Moser, Farzad Saidi, Benjamin Wirth, and Stefanie Wolter. The design includes a split background with white and dark blue sections, and a gold accent.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

In their new working paper, @amandamichaud.bsky.social and Kathrin Ellieroth use evidence from new data series to add two important facts to macroeconomic models of worker flows: Layoffs must be partly selective & quits must be partly random. bit.ly/3TWKUzQ

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 30/07/2026

Neighborhoods across the U.S. differ from each other in many ways. In this paper, Alessandra Fogli, Veronica Guerrieri, Mark Ponder, and Marta Prato use a model to evaluate potential effects of housing vouchers, place-based transfers, and place-based investments. bit.ly/3RK33jH

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

To operate, firms often rely on external financing, so firms’ access to credit may affect workers’ wages + employment. In new paper, @economoser.bsky.social, @farzado.bsky.social, Wirth, & Wolter examine heterogeneous effects of credit supply on workers w/ in & between firms bit.ly/4u2yCT0

The image is a split design with a white and blue background. On the left side, text reads: "Credit Supply, Firms, and Earnings Inequality" followed by the names "Christian Moser, Farzad Saidi, Benjamin Wirth, and Stefanie Wolter." The right side displays the text "Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute" and "Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis," with "Working Paper" at the bottom.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

Using their new data series on quits and layoffs @amandamichaud.bsky.social & @Kathrin Ellieroth establish 3 impt patterns over biz cycle: recessions make jobless more attached, exits from unemployment to nonparticipation fall, and flows from nonparticipation into LF rise. bit.ly/3TWKUzQ

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

If you participate in the U.S. economy, you deserve access to insights that researchers at the Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute provide. Learn more in our recently redesigned For All magazine. Read the latest issue here: bit.ly/32ycmGd

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 18/06/2026

Our goal with For All is to shorten the distance from scholars who produce rigorous, cutting-edge research to those relying on research to make decisions. We've redesigned the magazine to improve this flow of ideas. Read the latest issue: bit.ly/32ycmGd

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

We are pleased to announce our 10th cohort of visiting scholars! These scholars will conduct and share research while in residence at the @minneapolisfed.bsky.social during the 2026–2027 academic year. Congratulations and welcome! bit.ly/4xibvqf

Headshots of 16 Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Visiting Scholars

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

To operate, firms often rely on external financing, so firms’ access to credit may affect workers’ wages + employment. In a new paper, @economoser, Saidi, Wirth, & Wolter examine the heterogeneous effects of credit supply on workers within & between firms bit.ly/4u2yCT0

A line graph titled "Impact of Negative Policy Rates on Firms' Leverage" displays data from 2010 to 2017. The x-axis represents years, and the y-axis represents the treatment effect, ranging from -0.06 to 0.02.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

New Institute working paper looks at the chain from credit to firms to workers. From Christian Moser (@economoser.bsky.social), Farzad Saidi (@farzado.bsky.social), Benjamin Wirth, and Stefanie Wolter: bit.ly/4u2yCT0

This image shows a cover page for a working paper by the Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. The paper is titled "Credit Supply, Firms, and Earnings Inequality," authored by Christian Moser, Farzad Saidi, Benjamin Wirth, and Stefanie Wolter. The page features blue, white, and yellow colors.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

States with larger increases in employer concentration & higher prevalence of noncompete agreements show larger declines in efficiency of on-the-job-search. Niklas Engbom @anikbak.bsky.social @danicaratelli.bsky.social show how this has affected real wage growth in the U.S.: bit.ly/4cGPfNB

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

Why do 40% of high-aptitude students—especially low-income students—skip high-quality universities? Oksana Leukhina @stlouisfed.bsky.social research examines this "quality undermatch" gap and explores solutions to improve equality of opportunity. bit.ly/48ichsK  

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Differences in nonwage income later in life may reflect opportunities earlier in life. Even with similar wages, Black and Hispanic households tend to receive less nonwage income in retirement. Our new article explores these patterns. bit.ly/4vy6KYY  

minneapolisfed.org

Beyond the paycheck | Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Who has nonwage income, where does it come from, and what is its role in the economic well-being of Americans?

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Median household income reflects not only how much each person earns but also how many earners each household has. Changes in households have had large effects on U.S. trends in real median HH income, as senior economist Andrew Goodman Bacon & Richard Liu explain bit.ly/3Q5Q231  

An illustration shows a person standing in front of a large, open blue door that is part of a bar graph. The bars are in green, red, blue, and pink, with the blue bar being the tallest and shaped like a door. The background is yellow, and there is an arrow at the bottom right indicating growth or progress.

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Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute @oiginstitute.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

From Uber driver pay schedules to ACT scores to microequity financing, visiting scholar @kareemhaggag.bsky.social @uclaanderson.bsky.social uses economics to explore questions of poverty and inequality across diverse contexts. bit.ly/4mwnprA  

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