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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

@stlouisfed.bsky.social
1.1K followers 11 following 393 posts

We are committed to a strong and resilient economy for all. Open access to the U.S. economy through economic analysis, scholarly research, educational explainers, and data storytelling with FRED®. www.stlouisfed.org

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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 23h
Get the rundown on U.S. banks' latest profitability, credit quality, liquidity and capital metrics bit.ly/4hlB97S #EconSky
A line graph titled "Profitability of U.S. Banks" depicts the return on average assets (annualized quarterly rate) from June 30, 2016, to June 30, 2026. The vertical axis ranges from 0.0% to 1.5%, showing fluctuations over time. Notable peaks and troughs occur periodically, with a general upward trend towards the end of the period.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The #JobsReport, just out today, shows unemployment increased from 4.1% in August to 4.2% in September. Our Flash Report looks at how people moving into and out of unemployment and the labor force combined to affect the U.S. jobless rate bit.ly/4hJp1wn
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In the week ending Sept. 26, seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits — those filed for the first time after a job loss — ticked down by 1,000, to 197,000. The four-week moving average fell by 2,500 to 200,000 bit.ly/4B1eWDZ #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Average fixed mortgage rates rose in the week ending Oct. 1, to 7.3% for the 30-year and 6.6% for the 15-year, the highest levels since November 2023 bit.ly/4hmsLF7 #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Trimmed mean PCE inflation rate — an alternative measure of core inflation from @DallasFed — was 2.2% for the 12 months ending in August, down from July's reading of 2.3% bit.ly/3VqzIfK #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
In August, the U.S. personal saving rate fell for the first time since April, to 4.1% of disposable income, down from 4.6% in July bit.ly/4xRBaFq #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
In August, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased at an annual rate of 3.4%, little changed from July's rate. Excluding food and energy costs, the “core” PCE price index held at 3.0% on a 12-month basis bit.ly/4rC2ndK #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Curious about the job market, housing trends, or banking stats? Our newsletter brings you research-backed stories on AI in the workplace, the rent vs. buy debate, and lending by major banks. Don't miss out — sign up today! bit.ly/4hzbXtw #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
In the week ending Sept. 28, average U.S. diesel prices per gallon fell by 15 cents, to $6.38. Average gas prices per gallon ticked down by 1 cent, to $4.47 bit.ly/4xLwqB7 #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Total nonfarm job openings fell in August, to 7.1 million, down 256,000 from July's upwardly revised number. Hires ticked up by 46,000, to 5.2 million bit.ly/4z5c0nQ #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Commercial and industrial loans at all U.S. commercial banks dipped by $2.4 billion in the week ending Sept. 16, to $2.97 trillion, for the first decline in eight weeks bit.ly/4jmoIde #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Today, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem spoke at an event hosted by @cfmuk.bsky.social at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He shared his view that a central bank should communicate how it turns incoming information into monetary policy: bit.ly/4hDjl6Z
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
In our latest newsletter, see how AI is being used on the job, when renting is cheaper than buying, and how lending by the biggest U.S. banks has changed bit.ly/4yZnl8Y #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
New research shows unusually strong growth in labor productivity tends to slow producer price inflation — at the industry level. How might AI-driven efficiency gains fit into this picture? bit.ly/4AsLJS1 #EconSky
A line graph depicts industry-level inflation following productivity booms and busts. The x-axis shows quarters from the start of episodes, ranging from -4 to 12. The y-axis shows percentage points, ranging from -6 to 9. Two lines represent productivity booms and busts. The chart indicates that average demeaned year-on-year producer price inflation tends to increase following busts and decrease following booms.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem will speak at 12:30 p.m. CT/1:30 p.m. ET Tuesday at an event hosted by @cfmuk.bsky.social at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He will give remarks on central bank communications and participate in a Q&A. Register: bit.ly/4hAPrjL
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
In August 2026, the Risk of Recession Was 0.08% A couple of economists have developed a dataset that shows, each month, the probability the U.S. economy is in recession. Check the FRED Blog for the data and discussion bit.ly/4dvqipq #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Because of their simplicity, economic models can be a powerful tool for testing economic hypotheses and theories. But building a model that looks at the entire economy is far from simple: bit.ly/4mzGskM #EconSky
Flow chart showing producers hiring household workers and paying wages and paying returns to household capital owners. Households supply labor and capital and use income for consumption and saving. Government taxes and spends across sectors. The central bank sets interest rates and money supply, influencing investment and economic activity.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Can a productivity boom push down inflation? A new analysis examines this question using historical industry-level data bit.ly/4hceGKh #EconSky
A line graph depicts industry-level inflation following productivity booms and busts. The x-axis shows quarters from the start of episodes, ranging from -4 to 12. The y-axis shows percentage points, ranging from -6 to 9. Two lines represent productivity booms and busts. The chart indicates that average demeaned year-on-year producer price inflation tends to increase following busts and decrease following booms.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Median sales price of new U.S. houses sold in August was $393,700 — an increase of $1,500 (or 0.4%) from July, but a decrease of $24,200 (or 5.8%) from August 2025 bit.ly/46Dj3YO #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
In the week ending Sept. 24, the average fixed 30-year mortgage rate rose to 7.03%, the highest since January 2025. The average fixed 15-year mortgage rate increased to 6.42% bit.ly/4xM7v0r #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
In the week ending Sept. 19, seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits — those filed for the first time after a job loss — ticked down by 1,000, to 197,000. The four-week moving average fell by 1,750 to 202,250 bit.ly/46IfhgJ #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Daily spot prices for crude oil as of Sept. 22: Brent was at $114.89 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude oil was at $96.41 a barrel. For more, see FRED: bit.ly/4rwuA5N #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The FOMC has released the summary of participants' latest economic projections for the unemployment rate, inflation, real GDP growth and the federal funds rate. Check the FRED Blog for the recent history and the latest data bit.ly/4xGqIjT #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Export controls are broad in scope but concentrated where they matter economically. New research finds that high-tech products and large trade flows are especially likely to be targeted, and that geopolitical rivalry matters most for technologically sensitive products bit.ly/3STsf8h #EconSky
Bar chart titled "High-tech: targeting rate by sector (extensive)": The vertical axis lists 11 various sectors, and the horizontal axis shows the mean targeting rate. Information & Communications has the highest rate, and Nuclear Technology has the lowest. Only sectors with 30 or more product lines are included.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Export controls are broad in scope but concentrated where they matter economically. New research finds that high-tech products and large trade flows are especially likely to be targeted, and that geopolitical rivalry matters most for technologically sensitive products bit.ly/3STsf8h #EconSky
Bar chart titled "High-tech: targeting rate by sector (extensive)": The vertical axis lists 11 various sectors, and the horizontal axis shows the mean targeting rate. Information & Communications has the highest rate, and Nuclear Technology has the lowest. Only sectors with 30 or more product lines are included.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
In the week ending Sept. 21, average U.S. diesel prices per gallon rose by 24 cents, to $6.53. Average gas prices per gallon increased 16 cents, to $4.48 bit.ly/4hFhNuh #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The FOMC has released the summary of participants' latest economic projections for the unemployment rate, inflation, real GDP growth and the federal funds rate. Check the FRED Blog for the recent history and the latest data bit.ly/4xGqIjT #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
St. Louis Fed technical research: Learn why central banks could choose to monitor the full distribution of inflation expectations—not just averages—because disagreement, skewness and tail behavior contain policy-relevant information bit.ly/4qJibv1 #EconSky
Three stacked line graphs showing estimated inflation expectations for 1978 through 2019. The top graph shows the location parameter, and the middle graph shows the dispersion parameter, both of which declined sharply through the early 1980s. The bottom graph shows the asymmetry parameter, which varied meaningfully over time. Vertical bands indicate recessions.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Read the latest academic research from the St. Louis Fed: Why tracking only average inflation expectations isn't complete bit.ly/4y7dpKb #EconSky
Three stacked line graphs showing estimated inflation expectations for 1978 through 2019. The top graph shows the location parameter, and the middle graph shows the dispersion parameter, both of which declined sharply through the early 1980s. The bottom graph shows the asymmetry parameter, which varied meaningfully over time. Vertical bands indicate recessions.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
In a @reuters.com interview today, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said he sees the likely need for tighter monetary policy to put a meaningful restraint on inflation. President Musalem also shared his views on the risks and sources of inflation in the discussion reut.rs/4xGQWmG
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
How progressive is the federal income tax system? Find out in this analysis by Yu-Ting Chiang and Collin Eldridge bit.ly/4diNaIx #EconSky
A chart shows the estimated tax rates for different sources of income (wages, long-term capital gains, etc.) among taxpayers in the highest decile of income, using data from the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
📈 Be sure to watch the livestreamed FRED Con on Oct. 1 and hear about the now and next of economic data. Learn more and tune in bit.ly/473KfQv #EconSky
Session 1 of FRED Con is named Gen AI. The session is scheduled from 9:30 a.m. to 10:30 a.m. Central October 1. Moderator is Brian Quistorff of the BEA. Panel includes Jacob LaRiviere of AWS, Arvind Rajagopalan of FedEx and Ara Kharazian of Ramp.Session 2 of FRED Con is named Trust in Data. The session is scheduled from 11:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. Central October 1. Moderator is Erica Groshen, former commissioner of BLS. Panelists include Chris Glynn of Indeed.com, Aidan Smith of the Census Bureau, Dulguun Batbold of Visa, and Kathrin Ellieroth of Colby College.Session 3 of FRED Con is named Storytelling. The session is scheduled from 1:15 - 2:15 p.m. Central on October 1. Moderator is Dan Rosenheck of The Economist. Panelists include Peter Santilli of The Wall Street Journal, Kyla Scanlon, Economic Commentator, Diego Mendez-Carbajo of the FRED team, and Kaitlyn Hoevelmann, Bloomberg TV producer. Session 3 of FRED Con is named Accessible for All. The session is scheduled from 2:45 to 3:45 p.m. Central on October 1. Moderator is Nick Hart of The Data Foundation. Panelists include Nicole Kagan of Kalshi, Keith Taylor of the FRED team, and Craig Hammer of the World Bank.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
In the week ending Sept. 12, seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits — those filed for the first time after a job loss — ticked down by 10,000, to 196,000. The four-week moving average fell by 2,750 to 203,250 bit.ly/4AifLb1 #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
In the week ending Sept. 17, the average fixed 30-year mortgage rate rose to 6.95%. The average fixed 15-year mortgage rate increased to 6.26% bit.ly/3T62K3C #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Permits to build privately owned U.S. housing were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.394 million units in August, a pace 2.7% below the July rate of 1.433 million and 3.5% above the August 2025 rate of 1.347 million bit.ly/3Ta0QPe #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
In a new episode of our Teach Economics podcast, Toronto Metropolitan University professor Eric Kam describes how “edutainment” helps him teach economics to hundreds of students at a time bit.ly/4xqZMEQ #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
U.S. retail and food service sales per @uscensusbureau were $773.9 billion in August, up 1.2% from the previous month. July's spending was revised, with a 0.5% decrease bit.ly/4yF1dR1 #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
U.S. import prices rose 7.0% year over year in August, up from a 6.1% increase the previous month. Excluding fuel prices, import prices increased by 5.5% year over year bit.ly/4rcLZ34 #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
The total fertility rate (TFR) is one factor affecting population growth. How has TFR evolved across the world in recent decades? bit.ly/4vJ706H #EconSky
A line chart shows the progression of the total fertility rate for two groups—high-income countries and low-income countries—from 1960 to 2023.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
In the week ending Sept. 14, average U.S. diesel prices per gallon rose by 32 cents, to $6.29. Average gas prices per gallon increased 16 cents, to $4.32 bit.ly/4xVXbUi #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
You have many ways to store your dollars — some liquid and some less liquid. Check the FRED Blog for a short lesson on these measures of money bit.ly/4yDAFQd #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
What share of U.S. workers across occupations use AI? And among all workers who perform a specific job task, what share use AI for that task? bit.ly/4yfEVoR #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Read why the U.S. dollar is the world's dominant reserve currency, which brings both benefits and trade-offs for the U.S. bit.ly/4x4QY7q #EconSky
Chart titled "The U.S. Dollar Is the Dominant Reserve Currency" shows the share of foreign exchange reserves from 2000 to 2024. The U.S. dollar leads, followed by the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, and Canadian dollar, with the Chinese renminbi at the lowest. Each currency is represented by a distinct colored line. Data source: IMF Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves dataset.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
“M2” measures how much money is readily available in the economy. That is, cash plus funds easily converted to cash. The FRED Blog shows this value, as of June 2026, was $23 trillion. Visit the FRED Blog for more detail bit.ly/3UGHBNX #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The St. Louis Fed Review offers a short history on Milton Friedman: his work, vision and legacy as one of the pioneers of monetarism bit.ly/3Tw2Kd1 #EconSky
Average nominal GDP growth, 2023Q1-2026Q1, shows 4% pace consistent with 2% long-run inflation and 2% potential real GDP growth
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Did you know you can find average price data in FRED—from the cost of ground beef and eggs, to electricity and gasoline? Check those prices and more bit.ly/4rqrccN #EconSky
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Join the thousands of small businesses that take the annual Small Business Credit Survey. Set aside a few minutes to make your voice heard now through Nov. 13: bit.ly/4gBhUH3 #EconSky
Text reads Respond Now! Small Business Credit Survey above a map design with location pins.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
What are the trade-offs of a strong U.S. dollar? For U.S. businesses, it can mean they're less competitive in global markets. But there are benefits as well. Read more here: bit.ly/4x4QY7q #EconSky
Chart titled "The U.S. Dollar Is the Dominant Reserve Currency" shows the share of foreign exchange reserves from 2000 to 2024. The U.S. dollar leads, followed by the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, and Canadian dollar, with the Chinese renminbi at the lowest. Each currency is represented by a distinct colored line. Data source: IMF Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves dataset.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
When executives discuss productivity on earnings calls, AI is increasingly top of mind. How bullish are U.S. firms on AI's expected impact? bit.ly/4h3dqti #EconSky
A bar chart comparing sentiment of non-AI and AI productivity discussions from 2000 to 2025 shows three periods: 2000-25, 2023 and 2025. Each period has three categories: decrease, no change and increase. AI-related discussions show a significant trend in the increase category.
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis @stlouisfed.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
There's a lot of confusion about what matters in credit scoring, from soft inquiries to credit utilization. Here's the reality behind some common myths: bit.ly/4zZjR7O #EconSky
Pie chart illustrating credit score factors. Segments: Payment History 35%, Amounts Owed Relative to Limits, 30%, Length of Credit History, 15%, Frequency of New Credit, 10%, Types of Credit Used, 10%.
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