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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 7h

Louisville rises to #60 following the win over a once-again-flailing Florida State

Louisville's post game objectively ranking update. The Cardinals are now 60th in Performance Against Strength of Schedule, 61st in PASS+ with a +1 uniform floor adjustment (helps better analyze winless teams), and are 32nd in scoring tempo margin. That last one is a good sign going forward, but this team still has only about a 0.1% chance of winning the ACC.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 7h

Quote post to remind myself: check that this kickoff updates properly on the website

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 7h

Iowa at Washington was my pick of the night after seeing that Vegas favored the Huskies for some reason. The box score odds had Iowa -4.5; they won sims 24-20 on average The Hawkeyes are already at 27 at the half.

The college football live odds for Iowa at Washington as seen on objectivelyfootball.com

Iowa leads Washington 27-3 at halftime and is now 82.7% likely to win the game.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 15h

Current objective view of this top tier and their title odds: #9 Miami - 19.9% #3 Texas - 2.3% #2 Indiana - 12.3% #8 Notre Dame - 7.0% #11 Georgia - 11.1% #12 Ohio State - 4.8% #1 Alabama - 10.6% Utah has a 7.6% chance as a 4th tier contender with better odds than three of these leaders

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Wednesday college football double-header: #90 Jacksonville St @ #121 Kennesaw St Jax State wins 60.2% of sim. #103 New Mexico St @ #105 Florida International FIU wins 54% of sim. - incredibly close with a 22-21 projection but still not the #gameoftheweek That honor goes to...

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Happy to report that Tuesday night college football did not break my live scoreboard (Forgot this was on, sigh of relief)

A live score with live odds for Southern Miss @ Troy in the 4th quarter on objectivelyfootball.com

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

The first insurance company to destroy their own extended universe forever will be the one that wins my business

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Happy Sunday, it's Week 6 and the college football Objective Top 25 went live around an hour after the game in Hawai'i ended. Check out your team's updated playoff odds at objectivelyfootball.com

The Objective Top 25 as seen at objectively football dot com. The ranking ignores polls, predictive algorithms, hand-picked ratios, and subjective data of any kind. It's a snapshot of which teams have done the best against their strength of schedule, judged on an average baseline of per play box score stats.

1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. Indiana
4. USC
5. Texas Tech
6. BYU
7. Pitt
8. Notre Dame
9. Miami FL
10. Nebraska
11. Ohio State
12. Georgia
13. Utah
14. Kentucky
15. Houston
16. Missouri
17. Mississippi State
18. Wisconsin
19. Florida
20. UCLA
21. Tennessee
22. Baylor
23. Cincinnati
24. Arizona
25. Iowa

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Ranking strength of schedule by win totals isn't very revealing of a team's real value. Is a 10-2 UAB the same as a 10-2 Alabama? Basic SoS thinks so. oSoS projects much more accurately, using scoring on a per play basis against an average baseline.

FBS College football's Objective Strength of Schedule rankings, or oSoS. Rank 1 to 32.

FBS College football's Objective Strength of Schedule rankings, or oSoS. Rank 33 to 64.

FBS College football's Objective Strength of Schedule rankings, or oSoS. Rank 65 to 96.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

The objective simulator had Pitt win this 28-26. But yardage was about as far off as you can get. Virginia Tech with 499 yards of offense and losing, phew #cfb

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Last night objectivelyfootball.com predicted both outcomes in games with narrow odds. Tonight the objective metrics favor the road teams—all 3 winning seems unlikely, but stranger things have happened #cfb

The final college football scoreboard from Oct 1, 2026 as seen on objectively football dot com. The site accurately projected the winner for both games, as New Mexico State defeated Western Kentucky 34 to 13 and North Texas beat Tulsa by one point, 45 to 44.

The upcoming college football scoreboard for Oct 2, 2026.

Liberty is favored over Delaware at 69.2%
Pitt is favored over Virginia Tech at 55.3%
Penn State is favored over Northwestern at 64.9%.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Week 5 is around the time that PASS and sTem start really carrying serious value. This game is a good test of a close matchup, where UNT was favored by betting lines but ranked lower than Tulsa in both core metrics.

The scoreboard for North Texas at Tulsa on objectivelyfootball.com at the half, with Tulsa leading 17-10. The Golden Hurricane came into the game ranked #70 in performance against schedule and #55 in scoring tempo margin. The Mean Green were #94 and #79, respectively.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

NGL this is maybe my favorite ever crossover of the two interests #sportsky #gamersky

Mike Tomlin and a chart of how much better he was at coaching in the NFL before he discovered Minecraft

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Week 5 standings for the four power conferences. Miami FL, Indiana, Utah, and Georgia are the current favorites to win their conference, based on per play box score data. #cfb

The ACC standings for football. Pitt is currently ranked the highest in performance against strength of schedule, and #2 Miami is running away with the odds to win the conference at 50.6%.

The Big Ten standings for football. USC is currently ranked the highest in performance against strength of schedule, and #2 Indiana has the best odds to win the conference at 28.3%

The Big XII standings for football. Texas Tech is currently ranked the highest in performance against strength of schedule, and #3 Utah has the best odds to win the conference at 37.1%

The SEC standings for football. Alabama is currently ranked the highest in performance against strength of schedule, and #5 Georgia has the best odds to win the conference at 39.8%

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Oregon stormed back into the Objective Top 25 (Performance Against Schedule) with their defeat of USC. Trojans remain highly ranked because of a top-ranked schedule.

The Top 25 college football teams ranked by per play box score data versus a strength of schedule created by average baseline of the same data - A pure representation of where the teams stand based on current performance.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Looking ahead to #cfb Week 5 Objective Game of the Week: Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina The two teams are separated by just 0.016 in performance against schedule values.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

A sexier top 12? Literally no one has ever dreamed it

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Somehow turned sub 70 par odds into a win, again. Let's go Bearcats!

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Anyone who had UMass at 4-0 You are who I want to be friends with. You have the quality. You rule.

UMass leads Sacramento State 7-0 with a 75.7% chance to win tonight.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Easily the best call of the day. Objective box score per play had Florida as the favorite the whole time.

A live odds look at Mississippi @ Florida on Objectively Football dot com. Back at the end of the first quarter, Florida had brought their initial 58% odds to win up to 72.6% when the score was 10-0.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

The early scoreboard is popping on Week 4 Saturday. Hard to believe we're already a month into the season.

The live scoreboard at objectively football dot com. The games have live odds based on objective box score data and do not reflect odds seen anywhere else on betting platforms, or generated by other predictive algorithms.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Northwestern @ Indiana turned out closer than many may have imagined, but the expected score wasn't too far off. Actual: Indiana 29 NW 23 PASS expected: Indiana 32 NW 21

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

The win rate is right on pace for the PASS metric. Even accounting for chaotic opening weeks, the higher ranked team wins 72% of all eligible games (FBS teams that have at least 1 game already played)

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Reposted by ObjectivelyDrew

Sarah Langs @slangsonsports.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

The Cubs and White Sox have made the postseason the same year just four times: 1906, 2008, 2020 and now 2026

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Catching up post-vacation: The Bears offense dropped from 59 points in Week 1 to just 3 points in Week 2; the biggest point decrease by any team since 1973. Paired with 2 injured quarterbacks, it's truly feeling Autumnal in Chicago.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

My brain is cooked as I board another flight, but Wyoming was completely rad. I'm going to miss these mountains so much while back in the flatlands.

A sunset from the Snow King Observatory in Wyoming.

The view of Jackson Hole, Wyoming from the Snow King gondola.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

@kentuckyfootball.bsky.social having a nice time against the always cursed #1 at this stage in the season (Oklahoma found out last week, looks like it's A&M's turn.

The current score of Kentucky and Texas A&M is 28-7 as even at objectivelyfootball.com - A&M was the number 1 ranked team this week based on per play box score data.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Here's the collegefootball #objectiveTop25 headed into the Saturday games. Good luck to your teams! #cfb

The top 25 college football teams as seen on Objectively Football dot com. The teams are ranked by Performance Against Strength of Schedule. This measures per play box score data, and is never weighted for preseason, polls, or any hand-picked stat ratios.

1. USC
2. Texas A&M
3. Auburn
4. Pitt
5. Alabama
6. Mississippi
7. Texas
8. Michigan
9. Mississippi St.
10. North Carolina
11. Notre Dame
12. South Carolina
13. Virginia
14. LSU
15. Texas Tech
16. BYU
17. Missouri
18. Vanderbilt
19. Maryland
20. West Virginia
21. Florida
22. Michigan St.
23. Nebraska
24. Indiana
25. UCLA

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

I'm not going to pretend like a hell day of delays and airports was fine but also the destination can still be worth the journey even with a tot in tow

The Virginian Lodge motel sign.

It reads "The Big Lebowski Friday doors 6pm fundraiser save the grizzlies dude"

A jagged range of mountain peaks behind the distinct wing of a plane that resembles the Spine of the World from Faerun.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

The best travel advice I can give you today is to not fly United

At United, they're pleased to offer you the ability to use your own electronic devices that you already own. They also will not provide outlets for them.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

The realignment wars were especially hard on New York and Massachusetts, but the Free State of Long Island still faces deep turmoil between Brooklyn, Queens, and the rest

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

#cfbgameoftheweek Week 3! The sample size of data is still small but these teams are as evenly matched as it gets. One for the @sickoscommittee.org out there.

The objectively football dot com Game of the Week is Nevada at Middle Tennessee State. Nevada has a 49.9% chance to win, and 359 projected yards. MTSU has a 50.1% chance to win and a 361.25 projected yards.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

I think what's even more interesting is seeing the cost of these rosters versus fully objective stat-driven rankings - instead of the opinion polls depicted. Early returns for some $-throwers; Oregon by contrast is disastrous.

The Week 3 college football rankings for performance against strength of schedule, an objective measure derived completely from per-play box score data.

These ranks are unaffected by polls, preseason ranks, AI/predictive algorithm, historic data, hand-picked ratios, or any other subjective means.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Houston 71.5% likely to beat Texas Tech; based purely on box score data. But at Week 3 the data pool is shallow and more likely to throw errors. Still, thinking of a shattered Cody Campbell this early in the season is bait for the rest of the Big XII. #cfb

Houston at Texas Tech projections based purely on per play box score data, and strength of schedule. Coogs are projected at 71.5% and 447.5 yards. Red Raiders are projected at 28.5% and 336.5 yards.

This is largely due to TTU struggling to win over teams like #129 Oregon State, while putting up just the 61st ranked scoring tempo margin.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Week 2-3 is *Fireworks Week* in college football. The season progression charts all go scatter-shot when teams add a real FBS opponent to (likely) an FCS blowout, or vice versa. Here are the P4:

A season progression chart for the ACC, currently with a narrow lead by North Carolina with the highest in-conference Performance Against Strength of Schedule.

A season progression chart for the B1G TEN, currently led comfortably by USC with the highest in-conference Performance Against Strength of Schedule.

A season progression chart for the BIG XII. BYU has a narrow lead for the highest in-conference Performance Against Strength of Schedule.

A season progression chart for the SEC, currently led by Texas A&M with a marginal lead for in-conference Performance Against Strength of Schedule.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Please don't jinx the class I never want to see USC Caleb again (Indiana Penix Jr. has been here for quite some time)

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

It's been a journey, and objectivelyfootball.com was not necessarily the intended destination. I'm still very proud of it. If you're a college football fan, I'd love it if you loved it, too.

objectivelydrew.substack.com

Building a College Football Website

The path of your work often leads to unexpected places.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

Big XII chaos is in full swing. Last week's #1, UCF, is now in 10th. West Virginia was in 13th, and is now in 2nd. It's always fun to see how teams' values move when they're purely box-score derived / unaffected by preseason polls, previous seasons, or opinions. #cfb

Modules for the Big XII on objectivelyfootball.com - season progression is shown with BYU in first and Arizona St. in last. A play-balance-o-meter is also shown. The Big XII is 3rd in running plays at 57.8% and 9th in passing plays at 42.2%.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

It's so obvious That the promise Keeps me here Painting pictures where All the colors Disappear

The cover for Lit's album "A Place in the Sun"

Lyrics from the Lit song "The best is yet to come undone", they read:

And they try to find a way to make me something that I'm not
I touched the world
Felt the sun
I know the best is yet to come undone
I looked around
At everyone
I know the best is yet to come undone
The best is yet to come undone

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

#82 Texas Tech really struggled to put away #128 Oregon St. Up 40 and still throwing eh?

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

When NAU scores I can't hear anything but Awnaw by Nappy Roots.

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Reposted by ObjectivelyDrew

Jerad Walker @jeradwalker.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

is that bad

Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer being interviewed at halftime while losing to Kentucky.

The graphic on the screen says:

KALEN DeBOER
O-7 record when trailing at halftime as Alabama Head Coach

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Ducks/OSU coverage: "You just pulled off one of the biggest upsets in the history of college football" is one hell of a statement considering Oregon wasn't even in the top 50 for performance against schedule.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Oregon entered the day ranked #66 in the objective performance rankings (Currently #75, as it re-racks every time a game ends). Ducks' performance has felt a lot more in line with that than the opinion polls. And ...fumble!

The rankings at objectivelyfootball.com - Oregon is currently #75 and entered the day at #66. They are in danger of falling much further.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Oklahoma became the first SEC team of the season to take a loss. They slide to #12 in the current SEC rankings.

An early snapshot of the Week 2 season progression chart for performance against strength of schedule, on objectivelyfootball.com - Oklahoma's loss to Michigan sends them out of first place in the conference down to 12th.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

James Madison scores and goes to 80 points, the first team to hit the mark in 2026 and the first since South Alabama did it in 2024 (also on September 12th!)

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

You have to feel good for UMass, a team who can now look at a scoreboard like this and know they're not at the bottom of the FBS any more.

A scoreboard showing that Wofford is currently beating Kent St. 15 - 14, and Gardner-Webb is beating Liberty college 20 - 17.

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ObjectivelyDrew @objectivelydrew.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Virginia vaulted back to #1 in the nation last night with a high-scoring win, while bolstered by previously-vanquished NC State having a huge win of their own tonight (Mizzou also leapt up to #2). Don't expect it to hold, the games re-rank instantly whenever any game goes final. #cfb

The ACC conference page on objectivelyfootball.com

After several big performances already in Week 2, the ACC is now ranked #3 in performance against strength of schedule, #4 in PASS+, or the same performance with a uniform +1 shift, and #5 in scoring tempo margin.

There is a visual chart of the ACC rankings, with Virginia making a sharp climb into first place with a PASS value over 11 - more than double that of #2 Miami FL. Early week chaos always happens in this system because every team starts level at 0, so it better reflects what's actually happening than opinion polling. Teams blow out FCS schools and when that per play data is combined with quality wins over an FBS school, it has the effect seen here with Virginia.

The ACC is right near the middle of the pack for play balance, with 54.8% of plays being run plays and 45.2% pass plays (Ranked 6th for both).

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