Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 13/10/2026Fondly remembering the days where I was consuming handcrafted artisanal human tokens which didn't get to the point quickly because there were no better alternatives. 010
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 18/08/2026Running a second cyberattack wargame if people want to join. Hope is to unearth nonobvious actions you could take in advance of a cyberattack. luma.com/psvimlhcluma.com[Slightly less experimental] Cyberattack wargame · LumaParticipate in a wargame thinking through how more widespread cyberattacks might end up affecting you and your organizations. The hope is that by actually… 010
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 25/07/2026Salaries for Lightcone people for 2025, from their recently released public form 990. In particular notice Habryka at $150K (increases my respect for him, because he is paying a personal cost to produce a public good: compare with other salaries in his org.) 020
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 19/07/2026Actually I find it pretty heartwarming that the next generation of EA-adjacent entrepreneurs are not repeating my mistakes, and nd are doing for profits rather than non profits 210
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 20/04/2026Looking at the historical frequency of cyberattacks /thread 250
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 09/04/2026Doing a review of a friend's muted accounts to get his reverse worldview and wow is there a lot of crap on this website 170
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 06/04/2026power generates demand for your pettiest impulses to be appealed to, funny to observe that playing out in real time. 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 27/03/2026A review of Israeli assasination campaigns: www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v48/n06/and…lrb.co.ukAndrew Cockburn · Beware the mattress: Mossad’s Kill ListMossad relied heavily on assorted European security agencies for intelligence on Palestinian activities. Not only did... 030
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 27/03/2026I wonder if Raytheon could offer Musk 50B to be CEO for a year? the prime contractors seem like they aren't doing too well producing weapons for the Iran war. 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 23/03/2026Sometimes I think I'm reasonably well off financially and then I talk to a Mnenonite who is employing 250 people and has 18 gas stations and I realize how true family wealth looks like. 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 19/03/2026Something I have trouble with is people giving me a genuine no accompanied by a bullshit reason. 100
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 14/03/2026I've been experimenting with making some stock bets based on stuff I read on twitter; mostly it's been a wash, but good for updating that a) people don't know what they're talking about, b) shooting stuff out and selective reporting of wins is rampant 0110
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 07/03/2026Kinda cute that you have a nominally democratic regime but then the mechanism you use to actually coordinate people about what to do is finance. 030
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 21/02/2026If I was dictator of America, why *couldn't* I increase GDP 2x by 2029? 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 21/02/2026Previously you could trust and install a random github repository, but this changes as people can create malicious repositories at scale <https://www.reddit.com/r/netsec/comments/1r66u2r/analysis_massive_active_github_malware_campaign/> :(reddit.comReddit - The heart of the internethttps://www.reddit.com/r/netsec/comments/1r66u2r/analysis_massive_active_github_malware_campaign/ 020
Reposted by Nuño SempereNuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 15/02/2026Make list of fundamental human needs and invest in things which are complements to intelligence. 011
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 14/02/2026AI foids and moids may just charismamaxx and outmog normies in the SMP 020
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 11/02/2026The thing about shying away from harsh truths is that eventually you might get outlapped by those who don't, and the equilibrium where this doesn't happen seems fragile. This worries me. 180
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 05/02/2026Re: the Washington post Subscriptions of about 150 usd, 2.5M subscribers = 375M in revenues If the paper is losing 100M expenses are 475M. Cutting 1/3rd of the cost brings cost to 316M, in line with revenues 010
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 03/02/2026Talked with a friend who had had worked on a really cool project last year and is now feeling less excited by his more normal one now. Interesting shade of grief. 030
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 03/02/2026Vibecoded some simulation software this morning, thought it was neat. You can see the repo here: <https://github.com/NunoSempere/who-does-what> 1121
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 02/02/2026Smart people are better at convincing and principled rationalizations. Sad to see in others because I recognize the impulse in myself. 010
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 22/01/2026So do you all use your kin groups and extended families skillfully? I feel like I should be giving my father stock tips but actually he is much better at investing than I. 020
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 18/01/2026Reading Maslow's Motivation and Personality. Just the preface already has a whole lot of worthy stances about human nature that are not shared these days. Would recommend 020
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 06/01/2026Said by a friend: \\\"Sure, we have a Jewish state, so maybe you can have an Islamic State, but man do we like the Jewish state much more than the Islamic State.\" 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 06/01/2026Said by a friend: \\"Sure, we have a Jewish state, so maybe you can have an Islamic State, but man do we like the Jewish state much more than the Islamic State." 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 31/12/2025Paraguay is such a fun playground, because things cost 10x less than in the US. So I can e.g., build a restaurant for 10k, hire a developer for 3k/month, rent an apartment for 500/month, buy an apartment for 60k. It feels like I am getting training data faster. 010
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 29/12/2025my legitimate defense firms, your suspicious weapons manufacturers, their sanctioned arms dealers 010
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 22/12/2025Uniquely rich people and institutions delegate decisions to underlyings who have uniquely high transaction costs, in a way that leads to them asking for me to work for free. Funny the first few times but annoying once I spot the pattern. 030
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 14/12/2025hehehe, if you implicitly trust Claude you are sampling from the implicitly trustworthy region of responses 020
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 12/12/2025Whoahoho! Trying this from the command line. If I combine being able to just speak out tweets with being able to do so from the command line, so that I don't get distracted by the Twitter frontend, I will be unstoppable. x.com/NunoSempere/status/1999283419…x.comhttps://x.com/NunoSempere/status/1999283419545764111https://x.com/NunoSempere/status/1999283419545764111 030
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 24/11/2025As the UK stopped being a global superpower James Bond just became a quaint relic and got replaced with Mission Impossible. Curious to see what comes next. 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 17/11/2025Some people really really want particular threat models in AI to be right, so they kind of bend evidence to fit their notions. Seems dangerous, unwise. 000
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 10/11/2025Oral arguments on Trump tariffs at SCOTUS are actually pretty engaging to read: <https://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/argument_transcripts/2025/24-1287_097c.pdf>supremecourt.govhttps://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/argument_transcripts/2025/24-1287_097c.pdfhttps://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/argument_transcripts/2025/24-1287_097c.pdf 030
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 27/10/2025Forecaster estimates of a 3rd Trump term—Trump is a funny guy 130
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 22/10/2025If Sentinel wasn't called Sentinel, it might have been called Speculative Catastrophes Horizon Watch and Emergency Reserve Team (SCHWERT). But they wouldn't let me. 040
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 13/10/2025I am extremely grateful to my American overlords for financing my intense interest in anticipating large-scale risks. 020
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 07/10/2025So MacKenzie Scott (exwife of Bezos) spent 20B on climate & racial justice. At 100K USD per person per year, over 5 years, that's an army of 40K people working day in, day out 050
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 23/09/2025Tried roastmypost.org yesterday for the weekly Sentinel brief. It caught a few typos and small stuff, but I can see how the general idea is useful 020
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 23/09/2025Humans just recombine too slowly, i.e., given two humans that are interesting on a given metric, it just takes too long to produce a descendant human that shares traits of both. Given this, very unclear how humans don't become obsolete eventually over the epochs. 100
Nuño Sempere @nunosempere.com · 19/09/2025Mhh, the algorithm seems to like strong emotions, gratitude, fear, frustration 000