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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Something something isentropic ascent over the Midwest and Great Plains this evening, with precipitation as a reflection of that.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

A quick, but fun and productive trip to the Missouri Basin River Forecast Center in Pleasant Hill/Kansas City. Complete with BBQ of course. Boooo Chiefs!

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Reposted by Noah Brauer

Kim Wood @drkimwood.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Remarkable evolution of Hurricane Polo over the past 48 hours as it fluctuated between category 4 and 5 intensity during an eyewall replacement cycle (ERC) and subsequently re-strengthened to 180 mph (155 kt) as of the latest NHC advisory.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Not scientific at all, but there is something with TC “Fay”s… Back in 2008, TS Fay made landfall in Florida 4 separate times, and also produced over 80 tornadoes. I remember it bouncing back between tropical depression and tropical storm strength/status multiple times…

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

More nocturnal showers and thunderstorms in *checks notes* late September…

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Every time I’m down, I just watch the latter half of Game 7 of Cubs vs. Indians (now Guardians) when the Cubs won the World Series back in 2016. Hard to believe that was almost 10 years ago.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

R.I.P to our famous Wyoming Wind Sock until we get it properly welded again… The funny thing is that it broke on a day with essentially no wind 😂

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Some pretty monsoonal convection looking NE from Cheyenne

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Bowing segment moving through Larimer County and about to move off the higher terrain. A 58 mph gust was measured at Harmony and I-25 at 1:19 PM, likely associated with the boundary to the SE? Will it survive once it moves off the mountains/foothills?

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

All for $20 at the Fort Collins farmers market! Locally grown and it’s awesome getting to meet the people who grew these.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

Don’t ask me why I am doordashing in Fort Collins on a Saturday night, but it has been quite entertaining so far 😂 featuring a guy in a pool hall/bar who ordered $20 worth of Sonic 😂

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Good example of failed convective initiation along the dryline, likely due to somewhat of a cap. Can also see the dryline retreat towards the west this evening as mixing gradually ceases and the boundary layer begins to decouple.

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Reposted by Noah Brauer

Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

If you thought this summer seemed hot, guess what, you were right! It was the hottest summer on record for the US - blowing past the Dust Bowl era. And it's not just here, western Europe also had their hottest summer on record. balancedweather.substack.com/p/2026-was-h...

balancedweather.substack.com

2026 was hottest summer on record for the US and western Europe

Global sea surface temperatures also at record warm levels

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Reposted by Noah Brauer

Jason J @kc5knd.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Kauai 88D is in a very exposed location for a tropical system coming in from the south to southwest. This is looking NE from offshore from 4 years ago. Not to mention any comms or power issues for the site as well. Such a beautiful island and one of our fav Hawaiian locations to visit 😢

Photo of the Kauai 88D and its exposure to the south & southwest

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

The 00Z Lihue (Kauai) sounding featuring 2.6" of PWAT and tall, skinny CAPE. Not to mention a deep, moist adiabatic troposphere...

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Leeward side of Kauai is starting to get raked with outer rainbands as Lowell continues to move north and east. Looks like the inner core is just now becoming visible on radar to the south and west. Also note the beam blockage from the higher peaks to the north like Kawaikini and Waialeale.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Anvil + overshooting top that is backlit = 👌

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

New favorite hike in Northern Colorado: Greyrock Mountain

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Loonie-sized hail, eh? 🇨🇦🦢

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Eduoard has a pretty impressive TC structure at least for a depression! An evident “inner core”, principal rainband, and some outer rainbands that are producing lightning. Although a lot weaker in terms of maximum winds, this still resembles the structure of stronger TCs.

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Reposted by Noah Brauer

Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Great post from Matt about the increasingly concerning flash flood potential for east Texas into the overnight hours. Latest HRRR showing some foot plus rainfall totals between Beaumont and Lufkin as Edouard moves inland and does what inland TC cores do at night - breathe in and dump rain.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

Nice illustration of a microburst looking south from Fort Collins. Can see low-level divergence with the rain shaft spreading outwards near the surface. Gusts of 40-50 mph were recorded in the vicinity of this storm.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Looking north from FoCo about 20 mins ago!

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

In Sioux County, Nebraska, this phenomenon is called the Siouxjiwhara Effect.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Explosive storm over the Nebraska Panhandle yesterday evening with an evident overshooting top. Storm was producing baseball-sized hail near Bridgeport, NE at the time of this picture.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

Pretty view of a severe thunderstorm with an overshooting top looking south from Denver/DTC earlier. Plus a few prairie dog friends.

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Reposted by Noah Brauer

Chris Bianchi @bianchiweather.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

❄️Today marks exactly two months until Denver's average first measurable snowfall date (Oct. 18)! ❄️ #COwx

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Was hoping to see the storm but had a far more impressive view of the rainbow instead!

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

Some pretty structure looking NE from Cheyenne this evening

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 16/08/2026

Reflectivity Pac-Man eating the east side of Denver:

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 16/08/2026

Things become a bit trickier and more questionable in regions of complex terrain (i.e. Windward side of Hawaii), but MRMS guessing 12 hour totals over 16" over the last 12 hours. Also QPE/FFG > 3.5 in spots, along with 200 year 12-hour recurrence intervals. Numerous rain gauge estimates > 15"!

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 16/08/2026

Cyclonic upslope flow on the windward side of the Big Island of Hawaii, plus 2.45” of PWAT per 00Z Hilo sounding, combined with efficient, tropical warm rain processes = potential for widespread flash flooding.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 15/08/2026

It was an eventful day being on the hydro desk…lots of flooding on the north side of Cheyenne, mainly north of our office. Also lots of impacts further east where they experienced excessive rainfall yesterday.

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Reposted by Noah Brauer

Russ Schumacher @rschumacher.cloud · 01/07/2026

happy to have this paper published with @draaronhill.bsky.social We looked at extreme rainfall (up to 1000-yr storms) in gridded datasets and the CONUS404 simulation. Continuing the theme from other work, there are many nice things about CONUS404, but it is not a reanalysis of extreme precip. 🧵

journals.ametsoc.org

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

Flash flooding is the main concern today. ~15 knot cloud-layer mean wind out of the SW is oriented nearly parallel to a boundary that is sagging southward, favoring backbuilding convection. Also PWAT around 1.2-1.4” over the region is above the 95th percentile.

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Noah Brauer @noaabrauer.bsky.social · 14/08/2026