iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 26/09/2026

Like this might seem obvious, but I feel like I see a lot of ideological driven arguments online, and it can sometimes be hard to pin point why it feels like ideology. I think talking in terms of policy and outcomes can help cut right through this.

static.klipy.com

Zizek: It's Pure Ideology

ALT: Zizek: It's Pure Ideology

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 26/09/2026

When evaluating policy you should always ask: "What will create the largest public good?"

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 25/09/2026

It would be really funny if we get a culture swap, where the left likes AI art because of accessibility and the right dislikes AI art because of western culture or something.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 24/09/2026

courtesy of claude

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 24/09/2026

I suggest using anthropodenial to describe people avoiding anthropomorphizing AIs to the extent that it is actively harming their understanding.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 20/09/2026

As someone who has been to EA global and lurked on various ea forums for a while, this is just not really true. It exists as a meme, but no one who i actually met / interacted with was actually afraid of this

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 20/09/2026

Also worth noting that the post argues against the trade with ants analogy.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 20/09/2026

Sure, but I can also think for myself. It is often faster for me to get to certain thoughts by reading other people, even if I don't necessarily agree with them. Also, as with any journal, you need to know who you are reading. LW is not a singular blob.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 20/09/2026

i get it, but as it turns out people on LW have actually thought about a lot of stuff, and usually quite a lot earlier than others

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 18/09/2026

I will also say that global health charities are also climate charities in the sense that they help the people who will be most adversely affected by climate change. See for instance: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wmk...

youtube.com

I was wrong about this climate charity

YouTube video by Simon Clark

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 18/09/2026

A lot of it is x-risk stuff, so nuclear, bio and ai safety. EA works with the Important, Tractable and Neglectedness framework. Consensus is broadly that climate change is both important and tractable, but not neglected (i.e. many people are working on it). How long term depends who you ask.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 17/09/2026

It still does!! It is just a big group, and the malaria people dont get the most attention. Also USAID cuts hurt the global health cause area

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 17/09/2026

Nothing is a better ad for EA than all the insane anti-EA takes. Anyways consider giving 10% to charity.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 15/09/2026

I think its interesting that the entropy curve looks not symmetrical. By time symmetry it is symmetric on average, but i wonder if there is something else interesting here.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 05/09/2026

@bsky.app i wish i could swipe sideways on a tweet in a thread to see the next tweet in that thread.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 30/08/2026

Every number is O(1)

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 19/08/2026

Actually better at tweets than me

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Reposted by nic 🔹

nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 19/08/2026

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 16/08/2026

This is also known as collider bias. When A -> C <- B (i.e. A and B "collide" at C) then conditioning on C creates a correlation.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 16/08/2026

By Berkson's paradox you actually expect two independent skills (eg being nice and being skilled) to become negatively correlated when you require some combination of both to successfully run a store for instance.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 14/08/2026

George Washington was paid $25,000 annually for the presidency. That is between $1 million (inflation adjusted) and $40 million (relative to mean wage) in today's money.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 09/08/2026

Which is more walkable: London or Manhattan.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 06/08/2026

How do you determine the three update rules? Do you do it by percentage of neighbors, or just number, or percentage of perimeter?

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 29/07/2026

Good reminder to be grateful to live not just in the 21st century, but more generally any time after the industrial revolution!

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 26/07/2026

One of societies greatest invention is making failing less expensive. Democracy instead of coups, and bankruptcy law instead of private bankruptcy. This is required to more confidently search the space of possibilities

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Reposted by nic 🔹

Ryan Moulton @moultano.bsky.social · 26/07/2026

One way of demonstrating the benefit of credit to the economy is that every economy building game would be totally broken by adding access to credit in the early game.

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Reposted by nic 🔹

Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

The impacts of shutting down USAID has impacts we can see from SPACE. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 21/07/2026

How GPT found the polynomial

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 20/07/2026

It should be spelled trippple

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 13/07/2026

This seems interesting. Splitting the "prediction" part of the transformer from the "maintaining state" part seems useful. There have been a couple of results in this direction recently: arxiv.org/abs/2607.01218

arxiv.org

The State-Prediction Separation Hypothesis

Transformers use the same forward computation stream to both predict the next token and store useful state for future token predictions. We formulate the \emph{state-prediction separation hypothesis}:...

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 04/07/2026

Fun! You should add a copiable end text to share!

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 03/07/2026

To play GTO you (usually) need to randomize. To play optimally *against* GTO, you don't. If the opponent's strategy is fixed then you can view the game as a POMDP. POMDPs always have deterministic optimal policies.

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 02/07/2026

what else is like this?

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 02/07/2026

Dieter Rams pointing at things he doesn't like www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypyA...

youtube.com

Dieter Rams pointing at things he doesn't like

YouTube video by Sebastian

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 29/06/2026

These are pretty fun

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