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nic 🔹

@nmk.wtf
480 followers 471 following 1.3K posts

mathematician, quant intern, reader of things nmk.wtf I give 10% of my income to GiveWell and so should you

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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 26/09/2026
When evaluating policy you should always ask: "What will create the largest public good?"
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 25/09/2026
It would be really funny if we get a culture swap, where the left likes AI art because of accessibility and the right dislikes AI art because of western culture or something.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 24/09/2026
I suggest using anthropodenial to describe people avoiding anthropomorphizing AIs to the extent that it is actively harming their understanding.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 23/09/2026
I am so fascinated by the Mamdani-Trump dynamic www.youtube.com/watch?v=iDrM...
youtube.com
'I Told President...': Zohran Mamdani Welcomes All Press Right In Front Of Trump Amid Media Ban Row
YouTube video by Hook Global
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 17/09/2026
Nothing is a better ad for EA than all the insane anti-EA takes. Anyways consider giving 10% to charity.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 05/09/2026
@bsky.app i wish i could swipe sideways on a tweet in a thread to see the next tweet in that thread.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 04/09/2026
proofsandprompts.com/2026/08/30/c...
proofsandprompts.com
Care for a little more AI?
Hugo Duminil-Copin, Professor at Université de Genève and IHES Disclaimer. The effects of AI are vast, and there is much to be said about its broader impact on society. One should also remind that …
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 30/08/2026
Every number is O(1)
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 29/08/2026
nice
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 19/08/2026
Actually better at tweets than me
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Reposted by nic 🔹
nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 19/08/2026
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 14/08/2026
George Washington was paid $25,000 annually for the presidency. That is between $1 million (inflation adjusted) and $40 million (relative to mean wage) in today's money.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 09/08/2026
Which is more walkable: London or Manhattan.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 05/08/2026
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 26/07/2026
One of societies greatest invention is making failing less expensive. Democracy instead of coups, and bankruptcy law instead of private bankruptcy. This is required to more confidently search the space of possibilities
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Reposted by nic 🔹
Ryan Moulton @moultano.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
One way of demonstrating the benefit of credit to the economy is that every economy building game would be totally broken by adding access to credit in the early game.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 25/07/2026
Martin Hairer makes audio editing software? www.hairersoft.com/index.html
hairersoft.com
Amadeus - Audio waveform editors / sound and voice recorders for macOS X
#
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Reposted by nic 🔹
Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
The impacts of shutting down USAID has impacts we can see from SPACE. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 21/07/2026
How GPT found the polynomial
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 20/07/2026
It should be spelled trippple
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 19/07/2026
Thanks claude
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 13/07/2026
This seems interesting. Splitting the "prediction" part of the transformer from the "maintaining state" part seems useful. There have been a couple of results in this direction recently: arxiv.org/abs/2607.01218
arxiv.org
The State-Prediction Separation Hypothesis
Transformers use the same forward computation stream to both predict the next token and store useful state for future token predictions. We formulate the \emph{state-prediction separation hypothesis}:...
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 04/07/2026
pub.sakana.ai/sheaf-admm/ This is incredibly neat.
pub.sakana.ai
Learning Multi-Agent Coordination via Sheaf-ADMM
Sheaf-ADMM: a different way to build a neural network based on multi-agent consensus, at the intersection of sheaf theory and ADMM for distributed consensus.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 03/07/2026
To play GTO you (usually) need to randomize. To play optimally *against* GTO, you don't. If the opponent's strategy is fixed then you can view the game as a POMDP. POMDPs always have deterministic optimal policies.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 02/07/2026
what else is like this?
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 02/07/2026
Dieter Rams pointing at things he doesn't like www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypyA...
youtube.com
Dieter Rams pointing at things he doesn't like
YouTube video by Sebastian
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 30/06/2026
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZITP...
youtube.com
Gary Johnson booed at the Libertarian Debate for Supporting Driver's Licenses
YouTube video by ElmerMG727
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 29/06/2026
These are pretty fun
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 29/06/2026
My podcast listening in 2026 so far. I apologize in advance
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 29/06/2026
Not sure if I'm fully convinced yet of moving from "abundance" to "sufficiency" is the right move. But either way a great brief history of liberalism. www.liberalcurrents.com/for-a-libera...
liberalcurrents.com
For a Liberal Pessimism
Real pessimism is in order if optimism requires achieving utopia.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 29/06/2026
Claude has had enough of my shit
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 28/06/2026
Looking through old skeets. Still don't know why this is.
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Reposted by nic 🔹
Arpit Gupta @arpitrage.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
The RGB recently voted for a two year rent freeze on NYC rent stabilized housing I was the lone dissenting vote I've written two pieces here; which highlight the challenges of a rent freeze and where to go next www.vitalcitynyc.org/mamdani-rent... cityjournal.substack.com/p/the-high-c...
vitalcitynyc.org
After the Mamdani Rent Freeze
An agenda to fix New York City’s stabilized housing
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 26/06/2026
Top Goose
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 24/06/2026
I now also added drag to play cards and pre-moving. I also made the bots smarter and more human like!
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 22/06/2026
I made liskat.com better. Now you can play against bots and i added a interactive how to play page
liskat.com
liskat | Free Online Skat
Play Skat online for free. No ads, no bots.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 21/06/2026
I think an important aspect of the glonzo meme as I understand it is that there is some *real* thing that is actually wrong.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 20/06/2026
A problem I am realizing is that almost no one knows how to play this 150 year old german card game. But its great! Trust me
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 19/06/2026
What we need is a kind of recurrent model that can also estimate the loss of the current answer that we can refine until the estimated loss is sufficiently low.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 19/06/2026
If you enjoy Skat, I just created liskat.com
liskat.com
Liskat — play Skat online, free
Play Skat online for free. No ads, no bots.
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 18/06/2026
You can also track rivalries in my new game. Right now I am my greatest enemy
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 17/06/2026
I added a history of blue v red for my new game: at-trenchline.fly.dev
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 17/06/2026
smh
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 17/06/2026
In my game you can expect - Mildly fun top-down shooter with tactical element - Lifetime stats tied to your at proto account - A wide variety of 2 weapons - Lifetime team influenced by who you follow!
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 17/06/2026
I made an at proto game at-trenchline.fly.dev
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 16/06/2026
arxiv.org/pdf/2511.05963 This seems neat and correct
arxiv.org
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 16/06/2026
lmao
From Money Stuff:
We talk from time to time around here about my favorite postmodern comedians, the people who design user interfaces for Citigroup Inc.’s internal software. If you work at Citi, you come in every day and open up some proprietary software to do trades and send money and stuff, and that software has a bunch of fields you can fill in and buttons you can press to do things, and some of them are pranks. Like there was allegedly a field in some payments screen that “came pre-populated with 15 zeros, which the person inputting a transaction needed to delete”; if you forgot, apparently typing “$1” in that field would send the customer $1,000,000,000,000,000? Just hilarious Dada-esque comedy.

Citi appears to do this stuff out of genuine commitment to the bit, but pitfalls like this exist at every bank. Every bank has software with fields that you can fill in and buttons you can press, and you are tired and distracted and you might, say, put the dollar amount of your trade in the “shares” field and sell 7,548 times as much stock as you intended to sell. That really could happen anywhere, though in fact it happened at Citi.The next paragraph:
More generally, it is the nature of software that any piece of software will contain a button you should not push, just to make life exciting. (For me it is the “Publish” button in this column’s content management system. Have I ever published a half-written draft by accident? No. Do I think about it every day? Yes. Have I jinxed myself by writing this? Of course.) Probably most banks do not give their employees software with a big red button labeled “LIQUIDATE BANK,” which when pressed initiates a liquidation of the bank, though Citi might. (No, I’m kidding, at Citi the liquidation is probably triggered by a small green button labeled “Help.”)
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 16/06/2026
This is pretty neat: patrickcollison.com/questions
patrickcollison.com
Questions · Patrick Collison
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 14/06/2026
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nic 🔹 @nmk.wtf · 13/06/2026
While its a good meme, I do think its important to point out that anthropic has a more precise policy position that this.
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