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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 10h

>single-handedly destroys the tories not so funny when it happens to you, is it

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 10h

ok but how much did the bottom quintile gain after you adjust for inflation smart guy

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The Mall Krampus @themallkrampus.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

between defector and pcgamer I have all the high quality political and macroeconomic news I could ever want. Now time to take a big sip of water…

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 11h

why can't a goose be more like a swan?

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 11h

"the cranes in spain nest plainly in the drain" "in hartford, hereford, and hampshire, hens hardly ever hatch"

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The Lincolnshire Poster @desiderratum.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

"It's HONK & SCRAW that keep her from her peak, not her ruffled coat & dirty beak!"

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

but although she may have studied with an expert in the arts of posts and banter i can tell that she was born A GANDER

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

damn! damn! damn! damn! i've grown accustomed to her tweets

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

some of you may not be familiar with the technical jargon matt is using in this post, what he's saying is that inflation-adjusted wages have already been compared to price increases, it makes no sense to do it a second time bsky.app/profile/best...

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

the actual release date is not always a leading indicator as seen in 2008, but since the next even-numbered animal crossing has not yet been announced, we can likely feel confident that no recession is imminent in the US

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

odd-numbered animal crossing games: - Animal Crossing (Apr 2001) -- recession - Animal Crossing: Wild World (Nov 2005) - Animal Crossing: City Folk (Nov 2008) -- recession - Animal Crossing: New Leaf (Nov 2012) - Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Mar 2020) -- recession

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

all the things they just said are indicators of rising aggregate demand, which is the opposite of a recession (disclaimer im not a macroeconomist and theres probably five different schools of thought on precisely how wrong i am)

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

esteemed reader, if you're around my age and not especially interested in macroeconomics, you may believe that "recession" just means "something bad going on with the economy"; in fact it doesn't mean that. it means something specific! worry about it, kittens!

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

as we all know, recessions are most famously characterized by - increasing real wages - increasing nominal prices - increasing nominal prices - decreasing savings - decreasing savings

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

how does the author attempt to prove his theory? that's right, VIBECESSION

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

so at this point the authors promise that he had "the charts to prove it" has turned out to be a wretched lie. he didn't have the charts to prove it. he didn't even have the charts to "prove" it. lincoln carpenter has been exposed as a charlatan, a knave. AND YET THERE IS MORE

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

if anything, this indicates a negative correlation; vampire games started to make up an ever increasing share of video games as the world recovered from the covid recession id also recommend smoothing that time series or at least aggregating annually, but whatever

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

but, the article continues, it's not just the raw number of games, it's the percentage. however, we can't see how much of a correlation this has with recessions, because the time series cuts off in Q1 2020!

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

ok so youre thinking, we've had three recessions in the past few decades, a little one in 2001 and a big one in 2008 and a really weird one in 2020. so probably there's some sort of change in the number of vampire games around those dates, or maybe just the first two because 2020 was weird? nope!

if youre blind and reading this, you can literally see as much of a correlation between vampire games and recessions as i can.

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

the problem is not that the article takes a cute spurious correlation and tells a fun story. i would be 100% behind that sort of whimsy. who can forget such excellent takes as "Nick Cage drowns his fans to make his movies" and "margarine arguments as a leading cause of divorce"

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

i regret to inform you all that the quality of macroeconomic analysis at pcgamer dot com has gone sharply downhill www.pcgamer.com/games/vampir...

pcgamer.com

Vampire games on Steam are a recession indicator and I have the charts to prove it

Nothing is scarier during Halloween season than amateur statistics.

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

a long standing theory of mine is that many of trump's more bizarre or outrageous statements are garbled versions of something he heard once. (for another example, see here substack.com/@nlrg/p-1626...) in this case, i think somebody obviously tried to introduce the concept of ASI to him

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

even then, that was only renaming the menu item at the congressional cafeteria

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

there's nothing more left wing than spending all your energy attacking people who are left wing

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

you mean, it is capable of generalizing from examples it has seen by discovering the principle that unifies them?

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

just goes to show how transphobic rowling is that she insisted on using he/him pronouns for draco through all seven books

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

i think the "reverse dobbs" reference must be to her allegedly wishing a botched abortion on someone

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

i think youve fallen for the goomba fallacy

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

i dont think this is accurate. going to the politics section i see two shots at democrats (autopsy, el-sayed) and two at trump. scrolling down, it's all about trump. unfortunately only one of these is actually funny.

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Two CIA officers from the Special Activities Division at the Battle of Tora Bora (Dec. 2001)

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

the man absolutely despises lidar and that extends to all other forms of dar

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

im not sure this is accurate. ostensibly the promise is that all americans will get the money. in reality none of them will. so i dont think it's about the people they like in this instance.

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Cat Manning @catacalypto.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

this is my favorite genre of social media post and I am soliciting links or screenshots to your favorites

Jesse Raub @jesseraub.online
King Darius looking down at Daniel in the pit:
Norm Charlatan @normcharlatan....
Man, what are the Lions doing?

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

the vast majority of trips people take are within urban areas.

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

the rule is to protect prospective cosmetology students from scams

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

people really hate it when you won't extend credit to people who aren't creditworthy, almost as much as they hate it when you extend credit to people who aren't creditworthy

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

>says it's not a big deal >says it's not a big deal ????

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Neil Stenhouse @nstenhouse.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

"No fat plumbers, no shy guys, no birdos, no goombas, no turtles, no cloud boys throwing eggs. Just Warios."

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

oh so you're counting non-market income too, right?

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

i dont know why you would lie about what was said in a video in the same thread where you link the video. if i were to lie about what someone said i would try to avoid presenting the evidence that i was lying!

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

hey, thanks for this, but i'm not sure i understand. is the issue that you're looking at all households while i'm only looking at individual in the labor force?

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

surveyusa is one of the only ones without flanagan ahead...

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never linger; rightly grow @nlrg.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

say what you will about the fourth crusade, at least when they devastated their regional allies and made only token efforts at achieving their ostensible objectives, they made a little money off it

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