Sign in

Nine Dragons

@ninedragons.bsky.social
352 followers 212 following 2.9K posts

Exclusively posting here now about HK/China and global events/issues. Occasional nonsense.

PostsRepliesMedia
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 24m
That's like, 0.3 Scaramuccis or sth www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
theguardian.com
Katie Zacharia fired after five days as White House press secretary
Zacharia hosted widely panned first briefing on Tuesday and faced scrutiny after admitting she didn’t pass bar exam
020
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 15/10/2026
It didn't exactly put off Russia, so don't get your hopes up
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 15/10/2026
110
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 15/10/2026
000
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
"This is nothing. I don't need money. I don't need fucking canteen. I don't need you."
000
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
Kimberly Guilfoyle right now:
000
Reposted by Nine Dragons
The China-Global South Project @chinagsproject.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
China’s defense industry is becoming harder to separate from the wars in the Horn of Africa as Chinese-made weapons from drones and artillery to armored vehicles, are increasingly visible across the battlefields of Sudan and Ethiopia. chinaglobalsouth.com/2026/10/06/c...
chinaglobalsouth.com
More Chinese Weapons Appearing on Battlefields in Sudan and Ethiopia
Although China is not a belligerent in the wars in Sudan or Ethiopia, Chinese-made weapons are appearing prominently in recent battlefield footage. Videos posted on social media on Monday appeared to…
0104
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Bars in Hong Kong worth the price? Unlikely. There may be a few, in total, city-wide.
010
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
See also: any Hong Kong Jockey Club location
130
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
I'm generally in favour of covered walkways in HK for weather related reasons, but that cost is just insane.
010
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
"Shall we put a footbridge here?" "Yeah, could be useful. That'll be $50million, thanks."
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
It's painful when Rees-Mogg is the sensible, smart person in the room.
0140
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
So only any personal sanction against him personally may be affected, but it won't stop any sanctions against the club.
010
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
No. Under UK company law, City Football Group & Manchester City itself operate under the principle of corporate personality, meaning each company has its own distinct legal identity, assets, liabilities, and rights, separate from its shareholders/owners.
100
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
It was never going to be 2027. 2028 however... bsky.app/profile/nine...
000
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Some are speculating that they were diesel thieves. Pure speculation at this point, but it would fit with them acting suspiciously, operating at night, the fake signage, and generally being up to no good... without being terrorists (apparently no explosives or explosive residue found).
011
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Anti-imperialism in action means handing over 10% of your land to foreign mining firms.
010
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
The cultists will be all in, encouraging him to go further. Then there will be the "think pieces" who will call it unprecedented & tut a little bit, before saying how the Dems are at fault too & highlight all of Trump's supposed justifications. Republicans will say "this is bad" then support it.
010
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
I wonder why Pep left when he did? 🤔🤔🤔
000
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A product that can't do anything useful, that no one wants or needs, and will be very expensive. This is one of the few areas where we shouldn't worry about China streaking ahead. Have a look at who is ACTUALLY BUYING all the Chinese robots being produced. Not a viable market.
010
Reposted by Nine Dragons
Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Trump banned Politico from the White House because it ran “negative” stories from a leaker. And that leaker was JD Vance.
status.news
The Source Behind The Ban
The anonymous source behind one of the stories the White House cited to justify banning POLITICO was none other than Vice President JD Vance, Status has learned.
46936301
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Trump will probably agree. bsky.app/profile/nine...
000
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
… my current money would be on a blockade in the likely correct belief that Trump would be unwilling to use force to break it (and Xi is genuinely averse to bloodshed, probably his only redeeming feature).
010
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
April-June 2028 or August-September 2028 (the times of year that the Taiwan Strait is the calmest) look like the most likely times for it. As for the METHOD (blockade vs direct attack), that is still unclear, but...
100
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
“Ukraine is run by Nazis”, “Iran was about to get a nuke even tho we just destroyed its nuke programme,” “Saddam has WMD”, “Grenada is very threatening” etc. China will justify it on the flimsiest of pretexts. Probably something Taiwan has done for a long time that now becomes a “red line”.
110
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
“But what about the justification? If Taiwan doesn’t formally declare independence and shows a willingness to talk, then surely…” Let me stop you there as you seem to have been born yesterday. Great powers make up justifications. They have done so forever & recent conflicts make this even clearer:
110
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
“Look, this IS happening. You either fight it & have the biggest war ever, or go along with it & we can be friends. We also PROMISE to buy more soybeans etc.” Trump will switch to victim-blaming as with Ukraine & say that he’s “against war” & it’s “very far away”. China attacks, US stays out.
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
4: They are going to want to get it done while Trump is around. Trump doesn’t care about allies or democracy. He backs down in the face of power. He clearly doesn’t like Taiwan much cos they are better at making chips than the US & he’s jealous. He is willing to sell out anyone. China will say:
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
…Oh dear, protests breaking out? That looks chaotic, we can come and help you. I say “can”, I mean we WILL. No, no, no, we won’t be leaving. Want to stay in power? Do what we say. Gonna need to revamp every aspect of your society & laws now – just look at how great Hong Kong is! Etc.”
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The approach will shift to co-opting the KMT & essentially winning without fighting. This will be along the lines of “How about we agree the real enemy is the DPP & that you should remain in power forever? Good. Let’s lock them up. Now do this. Now do that...
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
2: Taiwan’s election is the biggest unknown & potential “spanner in the works”. If the DPP win again, I think 2028 is nailed on. If a more pro-China govt enters power (current KMT is the most pro-China ever) then this will likely change the approach and/or delay an invasion.
110
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
…and using up most of its defensive & many of its attacking munitions while not having the infrastructure to replace them has only cemented the idea at the top in China that the time is right and the risks are far, far lower than they once thought.
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Russia/US smashing norms has only helped China. They were going to do it anyway, but now it will be far less shocking than if other major powers hadn’t been setting precedents. Further, the US showing its unexpectedly clear weaknesses in the face of a vastly weaker enemy...
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
This isn’t “reading the tea leaves” here – they literally & very publicly keep telling us it’s going to happen & are very, very clearly making the necessary preparations for it. Xi will NOT launch an attack right at the end of his 3rd term though. He’s too cautious. This is why 2027 is out.
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Why these dates matter: 1 & 3: It's long been clear to me that Xi’s 3rd term is all about preparing China in every sphere for its unification war. Economic, political, military, psychological, diplomatic etc. Nothing has changed my mind - it’s only become clearer through China’s actions & words.
110
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
A lot of talk out there is about 2027, but it WON’T happen then. 2028 however, is looking more & more likely… Why? A few dates for you: 1. Oct 2027: Xi Jinping’s 4th term confirmed 2. Jan 2028: Taiwan general election 3. Mar 2028: Xi Jinping’s 4th term begins 4. Nov 2028: US presidential election
120
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Get ready for 2028. I have long said that the late 2020s/early 2030s are the most likely time for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. This was the case before Russian/US attacks on Ukraine/Iran, but those attacks & the general international situation have only made it more certain.
130
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
No way, not TESLA!
000
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
This and similar proposals all sound like "if we build a fence around the airport, that will stop the planes from taking off" to me.
000
Reposted by Nine Dragons
Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Ukraine is setting conditions for future ballistic missile attacks The Big Story: Ukrainian drones are hunting down Russia’s Nebu-M radars, designed to detect ballistic missiles and stealth aircraft malcontentnews.substack.com/p/ukraine-is...
malcontentnews.substack.com
Ukraine is setting conditions for future ballistic missile attacks
A summary of the events that happened on day 1,670 of the Russia-Ukraine War.
15014
Reposted by Nine Dragons
Vibecession Forever @ghazelleberner.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
I literally saw the author of 2016’s “A Liberal Case for Donald Trump” telling people, today, not to vote for Democrats for this reason. It’s the same fucking people every time (I then blocked him.)
415418
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Yet another case of TACO it seems.
010
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Guess the Lancer was a regular training flight, but still seems like something's brewing.
110
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
This makes me feel like the US is more likely to be about to come and help Saudi. This is the exact kind of thing the Trump admin would demand of the Saudis before helping. www.thestandard.com.hk/finance/arti...
thestandard.com.hk
Saudi Arabia withdraws from China-led mBridge digital currency project, FT reports
Saudi Arabia has withdrawn from the China-led mBridge digital currency initiative aimed at developing alternative payment systems to the US dollar, the Financial Times reported on Sunday.
011
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
True, the indirect costs affect everything. Like food, which it's particularly hard to go without.
010
Reposted by Nine Dragons
Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Trump appears set to pull the trigger on further major military operations in the Persian Gulf.
31276133
Reposted by Nine Dragons
Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
NEW: The Russian MoD continues to greatly exaggerate the extent of advances across the frontline to construct a false narrative of battlefield progress. The unusual MoD statement comes amid State Duma elections and shortly before the convening of UNGA. 🧵(1/8) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar091926
725763
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Pure guesswork: 5 hours?
110
Reposted by Nine Dragons
Evergreen Intel @vcdgf555.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Thread. Middle East signs. 1/
1135987
Nine Dragons @ninedragons.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Glad to say I don't have a vehicle of any sort.
210