iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

Remarkable FOI. The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU. So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t. You can’t make this up.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 04/10/2025

At request from the other place. Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me. You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 03/10/2025

It’s all going to end in tears….

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

My friend Phil has asked me to post this so he can show it to you. I've told you in the past that I don't need the stress of this crap given my condition. Please don't tell terminally ill people to get well soon, it's disrespectful. I'm not @Nat_Rattler and you know I'm not, just cut the crap.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 29/09/2025

They’re giving us hope again. I want to believe, I do, I do. But I’m just been hurt so many times in the past. #Jambos #HMFC #Hope

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/08/2025

Week 31 of the SubPoll series. SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot. The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 23/07/2025

Week 30 of the #SubPollSeries for Scotland. SNP and Labour stall whilst Reform pops up again to take second place. Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well. Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 16/07/2025

You wait for one #SubPollSeries and two come along within a couple of days. #Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before. Indyvoting is going nowhere fast. The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 15/07/2025

Well hello there. Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28. The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 08/07/2025

Bonkers! We are not having enough kids!!! Stop putting up social barriers!

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

bsky.app/profile/neil... Just bonkers timing from Flynn.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women. Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Blackford and Flynn should be ashamed. rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-...

rwbblog.blogspot.com

The Great WASPI Cover-Up - Part 4: A Decade On, No More Excuses

I know, it’s been a while. But I’m nothing but patient! Almost a decade since I first exposed the SNP’s dodgy dance around the WASPI issue...

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

www.blogger.com/blog/post/ed... It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women. Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Iain Blackford and Stephen Flynn should be ashamed.

blogger.com

Blogger

Weblog publishing tool from Google, for sharing text, photos and video.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

Literal ‘Midnight sun’ in Fort William on the 3rd of July. A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 04/07/2025

Week 27 of the #SubPollSeries Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump. Labour are number two, just, in Scotland. Tories look finished.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

With the IPSOS poll out today I've updated the long poll database. We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting. In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 25/06/2025

Week26 on the #SubPollSeries and I think we can confirm that we are looking at the Reform vote in Scotland on the way back down. Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform. The media are missing this change.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 24/06/2025

The Scottish Government binned a significant pledge to get a grip on the size of the public sector workforce, said it was because of inflation (which makes absolutely no sense at all), and then just let headcount continue to balloon.🧵on this extraordinary incompetence…

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 24/06/2025

Slashing immigration whilst watching your population decline due to a collapsed fertility rate. This is madness.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 20/06/2025

The first post Hamilton by-election #SubPollSeries and there are two simultaneous but separate sub-polls showing Reform collapsing in Scotland. This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant. Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 15/06/2025

Hi @devolvedelections.bsky.social, can I ask about your tactical voting modifier. It says that the voter may switch to a larger party where the result is close, but what does that mean? Is it the larger party in anti/pro union voting, anti Tory voting or something else?

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 13/06/2025

Well, it's taken a while to get the data for the #SubPollSeries for Week 24 but it's worth it, the first numbers since the Hamilton by-election and Reform are charging ahead. Now well ahead of Labour, the underlying data is showing an even stronger showing for them.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

When you try to argue that the UK imposes spending or tax figures on the Scottish Government in GERS. It ends thus...

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Jimmy Reid Foundation @reidfoundation.bsky.social · 05/06/2025

UK Pension Schemes Bill will consolidate Local Government Pension Scheme (England) assets in six pools that can invest in local areas infrastructure, housing and clean energy. In Scotland, assets are spread in too many funds, as we highlighted here. reidfoundation.scot/2025/01/pens...

reidfoundation.scot

Pension Fund Investment and the Economy – The Jimmy Reid Foundation

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 08/06/2025

1/ This is not just a theoretical point. In 2013, leaked cabinet papers revealed John Swinney was contemplating massive cuts to the state pension, benefits, and public sector employment in the event of Scotland voting for independence. He went ahead and campaigned for it anyway…

It cannot be said too frequently that John Swinney is a very nice man but also a fanatic. The first minister says there are no circumstances in which he would not favour independence for Scotland. A poor but independent Scotland is preferable to a rich one within the Union. That is a respectable point of view but it also bears a striking similarity to the way in which Farage thinks about Brexit. Sovereignty is a fetish for every type of nationalist.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 07/06/2025

To understand why there is a 10%ish gap between an indyref voting and 'how would you vote. Then the answer is probably here. Half of voters effectively don't want one at all. Only 20% actually want one, the remainder want it in the long grass.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

Using the great @devolvedelections.bsky.social model the #SubPollSeries for Week 23 has a bit more colour and info. I've translated the WM voting intention to a Scottish voting intention for constituency and list and come on with view of the Scottish Parliament. Still a work in progress!

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

I’ve been playing with the Devolved Elections tool and taking the implied Scottish Parliament election results from the #SubPollSeries. Fascinating results. SNP minority and pro-indy majority despite a collapse in the vote. Reform official opposition! devolvedelections.co.uk/about/

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

A 17% drop in SNP support would put the SNP on around 31% today across Scotland…. Oh hello! #SubPollSeries Does anyone else need proof that this works?

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

This is in line with the polls… but who the hell saw this coming!

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

OK you lucky people #SubPollSeries Week 23 is in now. With More In Common turning up a bit earlier than usual. This tempers off some of the earlier polling. SNP are down and Reform are the main beneficiaries and have taken over Labour as the second party. Pro-Indy voting hasn't really moved.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

OK, just an early update. THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL post for #SubPollSeries Week 23, but thus far it looks like Reform are spiking. The averaging of the series understates this a little but the underlying recent data shows them and the SNP peeling away. Are both sides coalescing?????

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

I can't get my hands on the Norstat tables, but here's something odd from the last tables they published. Unweighted tables show the normal PanelBase enthusiasm bias that they usually get. But they weight it reasonably well on the 2014 vote. But the (last col) "Change" is the issue...

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 02/06/2025

ScotGov evolving position on the child cap: 1. We can't get rid of the child cap, it's reserved. 2. We can't because we need data from WM which we havent asked for. 3. We can't get rid of it... 'at source' 4. We are going to scrap the cap. You bet I've got FOIs on it and a case at the ICO!

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 02/06/2025

Wee update to #SubPollSeries for Week 22. including Opinium. This gives the nudge to Reform and puts them just ahead of Labour again. Good news is that this is very much in line with the latest Scotland only polling from Norstat over the weekend. So it's looking robust.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

“It is incumbent on SNP politicians to explain what changes they would implement [under full fiscal autonomy] to put things on a stable footing. Arm-waving talk about “levers” is not good enough. Which levers? And in which direction?”

This is not the place to debunk Scottish nationalist complaints about GERS. That debunking has been done many times before, and suffice to say: the complaints are bogus. Of course GERS figures are calculated under the current constitutional arrangements. That's the point: a fiscally autonomous (or independent) Scottish Government could not sustainably function with the revenues and expenditures reported in GERS. It is incumbent on SNP politicians to explain what changes they would implement to put things on a stable footing. Arm-waving talk about "levers" is not good enough. Which levers? And in which direction?

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

When asked which questions I hadn’t answered… Answer there came back none.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

This extraordinary performance by Shona Robison (watch all 7 excruciating minutes) should really be leading to calls for her to be sacked. But of course it isn’t. Her job is 100% secure because this kind of incompetence is just expected and tolerated in the Scottish Government.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

"Neil, you don't debate. You lie, conflate, ignore, get obtuse, change the subject, get angry, then you get vitriolic. You're a very toxic person." Well now. And apparently I'm the angry one in this relationship!

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

There's a lot of people getting excited about Prof Black's lecture at the Salvo conference. 1. The 'absorption' case is anything but new and the foundation of the UK case in 2014 to say that rUK would be the continuing state. 2. The 'case' is a vague final drop in on 'resources' with no backing.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 28/05/2025

What do we want! - The #SubPollSeries for Week 21!!! When do we want it? - NOW!!!! No need to shout because here it is. At first glance this looks like its not that newsworthy and then you see that the Tories and Liberal Democrats are now neck and neck in Scotland. Is this the end for them?

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 25/05/2025

Oh well. This gets you blocked. How I dare I ask.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 24/05/2025

Definitely worth noting that the Greens look like there are on a sustained rise in Scotland. They are still sitting on an average of 7% but that's after sitting at 5% for sone time.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

James, I hear that you are back on the BnB ‘revelation’. But it’s no secret. I live in a house where my wife runs a BnB. I’m not involved with the business but I do meet and speak to the guests as well as offering them local advice. This isn’t work or me “running” anything. I’m just being nice.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

Been behind on this due to my work on the #SubPollSeries but here is this #IndyLongPoll - this shows the average decline in the Yes vote through the second quarter of the year. That's in line with what we've been seeing for the pro-indy parties.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

Apparently this needs clarity for "Iain". I don't run a BnB nor am I employed by it, I'm completely useless at any or all aspects of it. I do live here though, but I'm not sure that it should come as a surprise to anyone.

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Neil Lovatt @neillovatt.bsky.social · 21/05/2025

And here we go with Week 21 of the #SubPollSeries. SNP and Greens trading votes (with the Greens picking up the advanatge) but the real story is the continued collapse of the Tories which seems to be benefitting Reform but only a little. Even so Reform are now just in second place in Scotland.

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