Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Can't tell if you liked it! Rotten Tomatoes says fresh 🤷 000
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 21/01/2026A) @sardell.bsky.social gets extremely close every year - he’s the gold standard and B) @notmrtibbs.com and team find a super high percentage of public votes. There are diminishing returns from other forecasting methods at this point. I’ll probably bang my head against the wall again in 2027 though! 040
Reposted by Matt DeanChristopher Crawford @myohwhy.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Let us all make sure we give thanks for the amazing work from @notmrtibbs.com and his team during HOF SZN. 1304
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Very excited for the HOF to gain two new members tonight! Congrats to @sardell.bsky.social whose model crushed mine this year - I'll be making some tweaks for 2027! 080
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Final projection for tonight. Excited to see who joins the HOF! @notmrtibbs.com @shutthedore.bsky.social @tonycal.bsky.social @baseballot.bsky.social 1355
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 16/01/2026Played for every team in the NL West. Immaculate Grid players IYKYK 010
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 14/01/2026Of course, right when I was "feeling better" about the model I found 2 material busts this morning 🤦. Pettitte jumps up to 50.9%, Buerhle up to 20.2%. 030
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 14/01/2026Feeling better about my model as more votes roll in. Small but meaningful upward adjustment for Andruw Jones from my last projection. Just one week before the announcement! Thanks as always to @notmrtibbs.com, @shutthedore.bsky.social, and @tonycal.bsky.social. 2354
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 05/01/2026Weird year for Abreu. He's doing fantastic with the new voters but not flipping no voters at a high enough rate to stay above 35% overall when it is all said and done IMO. Time will tell! 010
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 05/01/2026Pettitte will be a fascinating case for a Veteran’s Committee 020
Reposted by Matt DeanRyan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 05/01/2026Matt has been coming for @sardell.bsky.social's HOF Projections crown for a couple of years now and has done nice work. In fact, last year Matt narrowly beat Jason's predictions going by RMSE, though Jason still had the lowest average and median error. Here are Matt's latest projections for 2026: 0231
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 05/01/2026I'm definitely struggling projecting this year more than ever due to the influx of new voters. Taking a stab here after 123 votes recorded in the tracker. Thanks again to @notmrtibbs.com and the Tracker Team! Will likely wait until ~175-200 votes before next update as I'll be out of town for a bit. 3203
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 28/12/2025@notmrtibbs.com @shutthedore.bsky.social @tonycal.bsky.social @baseballot.bsky.social I am NOT confident in the model. 1) It is super early with just 71 votes so far 2) LOTS of new voters this year. Thanks to Ryan Thibodaux, Anthony Calamis and Adam Dore. Next update around ~125 votes. Flame away! 250
Reposted by Matt DeanNathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 22/01/2025By a hair, @mwwdean.bsky.social had the best #HOF predictions this year (going by RMSE)! However, career GOAT @sardell.bsky.social had the lowest average & median error. 0231
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 21/01/2025Thank you! I started doing this 3-4 years ago because of your model. It's the gold standard for sure. 110
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 21/01/2025My image attaching skills need some work! For those of you confused as to where Ichiro and CC Sabathia are you have to click on the image to see all the names. I promise to get better next year 020
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 21/01/2025I give Beltran a "controversy" flag which perhaps penalizes him amongst private voters more than your model. Will be interesting to see how it all shakes out! 110
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 21/01/2025I use comps and weight it fairly heavily for new guys. It's clunky and subjective but I find it helps when there is a solid comp. Sabathia and Halladay are almost perfect comps (IMO) and Halladay had a decent size drop after public ballots in 2019 110
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 21/01/2025@notmrtibbs.com @shutthedore.bsky.social @tonycal.bsky.social @baseballot.bsky.social There may be a few straggler ballots coming but this is as good a time as any to post final predictions for the MLB Hall of Fame. Thanks to Ryan Thibodaux and his team for all the hard work. Makes it so much fun! 4296
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 21/01/2025Exciting day as we all wait for the MLB Hall of Fame announcement! I'll post final projection at 5:30 EST. 000
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 14/01/2025@notmrtibbs.com Here are my MLB Hall of Fame Projections through 152 public ballots 010
Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 02/01/2025@notmrtibbs.com @baseballot.bsky.social Thanks as always to Ryan Thibodaux and his team as they do 99% of the work that goes into my model. Here are my projections of the final MLB Hall of Fame vote after 92 votes have been posted. 030
