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Andrew Fox

@mrandrewfox.bsky.social
2K followers 108 following 85 posts

Andrew Fox. Former British paratrooper and Sandhurst lecturer. Front-line conflict analyst. Follow me on Substack: mrandrewfox.substack.com

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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 8h
Hormuz was open before Trump went to war. Seven months and billions of dollars later, America is fighting to recover what it already had, with Tehran’s rulers still in power and missile stocks that will take years to replace. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/restoring-...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Was Caen in 1944 a genocide? 5% of the civilian population killed in two months (3% in 3 years Gaza). 75-80% of the city destroyed (50.44% destroyed in Gaza, per UNOSAT). Rubble is not a metric of genocide.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
What did Israel know before 7 October, and why did its warnings fail to produce protection? The evidence demands answers from Israel’s leaders and commanders. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/israel-had...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
What if Palestine needs multiple states before it can have one? My latest on Substack explores how Palestinian self-government could grow without asking Israelis to gamble on another Gaza. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/palestine-...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Oof. Green Party activists have voted their “Zionism Is Racism” motion onto the agenda for conference. It’ll pass. Zack is going to have to face an ousting, or support a one-state solution, just Palestine, with Israel having no right to exist. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Greens urge Zack Polanski to take stance on proposed policy declaring ‘Zionism is racism’
The Green leader has not spoken publicly about the motion, which is likely to be debated at the party’s conference in October
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
America’s Gulf allies are questioning its protection, giving China an opening as the old security arrangements unravel. My new piece explains why we are entering uncharted waters, and why the consequences extend far beyond the Middle East. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/the-iran-w...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Fadel Ashour is a Gazan psychiatrist who decries the "culture of death," long inculcated by Hamas, which has taken root among all sectors of Palestinian society. In this clip he asks, how did Gazans, much like Germany in 1933, choose a leadership that went on to destroy their lives?
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
The book is finished and I’m back. I see nobody’s sorted out the Middle East in my absence. A long catch-up on Israel’s sanctions trap and Trump’s Houthi shambles. I’ve also got a few things to say about the new film NAZA. Put the kettle on.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Exciting news! Tonight at 8pm UK time, I’m launching Command and Control, my new programme for Newsforce. Each episode will examine conflicts around the world. Watch the first episode on X: @newsforce or on YouTube: www.youtube.com/@Newsforce_L...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
You might think this is yet another interview with podcast enthusiast @simonmontefiore, but Jake and I took him down a slightly different road to the others: faith, society, & the Middle East. His new book, The Cauldron, is genuinely superb. Listen here: linktr.ee/thebrink_pod...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Trump’s war on Iran failed to make a deal. Now he is gambling Iranian lives, Hormuz and the world economy on a blockade intended to retrieve what military coercion and diplomacy could not. The Iranians he told to take to the streets will pay the price. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/trump-is-m...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
American global hegemony depends on strong alliances. Trump is single-handedly wrecking them. It will take decades to recover, if ever, leaving America poorer, weaker, and more globally isolated. America First means America alone. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/the-suicid...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
The most commonly cited “genocide scholars” are nothing of the sort, declaring blood libel academic verdicts far beyond their expertise to do so. Blood on their hands. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/shame-on-t...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
NEW: Trump may end the Iran war without a nuclear deal if Tehran reopens Hormuz. That would reward Iran for closing a global sea lane, leave its nuclear threat alive and bury 80 years of American maritime dominance. What a catastrophe. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/the-iran-w...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
If you want to understand how academia is so comprised, you need this interview with Oxford Professor Lawrence Goldman, on The Brink. linktr.ee/thebrink_pod...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Back in October 2025, I wrote an extensive three-part analysis of the issues with Trump's Gaza ceasefire deal. Pretty much all my predictions are coming true. If you want an extensive explanation of why it is so difficult and so complex, check it out. mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/strategic-...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
While the whole world watches Iran, another Iranian proxy is flexing its muscles over another of the world’s key arteries. open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew... mrandrewfox.substack.com/p/the-houthi...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
My new article for Spiked, on the dangers of this week’s announced Hamas “disarmament”. www.spiked-online.com/2026/08/03/h...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
The populist right has exactly the same tactics with migration/immigration that the populist right use with Gaza. Neither has any solutions, and both have a vested electoral interest in making the problem seem worse than it is. New article: open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Reform weaponises migration. The Greens weaponise Gaza. Different tribes, same psychological playbook: shock, grievance and a permanent enemy. Neither party is fit for government. My latest: The Green-Reform Grievance Machine. open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
The Ceuta “invasion” is over already. How did a spat between Spain and Morocco over Spanish-Algerian relations turn into internet hysteria? Populist politicians have a lot to answer for. Find out the truth behind Ceuta, here: open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Hysterical online reactions help nobody. The Ceuta crisis was a storm in a teacup, and almost all those who crossed the border last night are back home again. That did not stop populist politicians from inventing phantom consequences. Find out the truth for yourself open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
New episode of The Brink is out! Former US Army green Beret, Mike Nelson, talks Trump, Iran and US-European relations. Wherever you take your podcasts… linktr.ee/thebrink_pod...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Readmitting to the Labour Party someone who said “Jews don't experience racism”, at the time of the highest ever level of antisemitism reports. The Corbyn days of antisemitic Labour are back. open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
There is a reason other Arab states will not accept refugees from the Palestinian territories. They remember what happened in Jordan and Lebanon: civil war. The UK importing Gazans is a suicidal step. Don't forget the images of Gazans cheering and spitting on the corpses of murdered Jews.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
My latest appearance on @i24news.bsky.social discussing developments in the Middle East and Trump's strategic mess. www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWvL...
youtube.com
i24 News, 29th July 2026
YouTube video by Fox on War by Andrew Fox
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
To clarify: Israel has been trying to wipe out every Gazan, whilst flooding the place with aid, vaccinating children, and killing almost no-one who wasn’t a combatant, in terms of a significant percentage of the whole? In nearly 3 years? So they’re both genocidal AND completely shit at it?
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
It is incredible. There is no aspect of the genocide allegation against Israel that has not collapsed. The media, NGOs, UN hangers on, fraudulent academics, and influencers should be apologising for 3 years of lies and false assumptions. This is a global scandal. open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
open.substack.com
Collapse of the Blood Libels
Every pillar of the genocide accusation against Israel has crumbled. The institutions that built it have suddenly lost their voices.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
The genocide case against Israel is collapsing under the weight of evidence its loudest advocates ignored. From famine claims built on untested assumptions to casualty narratives now contradicted by the data, the story sold to the world is coming apart. My latest article examines the wreckage.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
It is clear that Khan abused legal process as well as his employees. And so the ICC dies. The court is now exposed as corrupt and thus unsalvageable. It’ll be the same with the Genocide Convention in the ICJ. Destroyed by pandering to false allegations. Well done, everybody. What a shame.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
My new Telegraph article: Streeting’s cynical smears against Israel prove he’s not fit for office www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/64f6ee2...
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Read my new Jewish Chronicle article rebutting Wes Streeting's nonsense about the IDF. The Israelis aren't perfect, but no army is. Every military makes mistakes, but no military in recent times had to fight in an environment as challenging as Gaza. www.thejc.com/opinion/i-se...
thejc.com
I served in Afghanistan: Wes Streeting’s claim that the IDF fell short of British Army standards is slander - The Jewish Chronicle
Israeli soldiers had to fight house by house through a defensive system running through walls, floors and deep underground while protecting civilians at home from rocket fire. We faced nothing…
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
I’ve been to Gaza 3 times during the war, I’m writing my PhD on it, and I have a book coming out early next year. I did 16 years in the British Army, three tours of Afghanistan. The IDF operates to the same standards we do. Wes Streeting doesn’t know what he’s talking about.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
The US is making the same mistake in Iran as Israel made in Gaza: no day after plan, no strategy. open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
open.substack.com
America is winning every battle against Iran. It is still losing the war.
Gaza exposed the fatal gap between tactical supremacy and strategic victory. Trump is now repeating the same mistake on a far larger battlefield.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
I called it on Day 3 of the Iran War: missile stocks would dictate the outcome of the war, and it was always a race against time. Now the numbers prove it. Latest article on my best-selling Substack. substack.com/@mrandrewfox...
substack.com
Andrew Fox (@mrandrewfox)
I called it on Day 3 of the Iran War: missile stocks would dictate the outcome of the war, and it was always a race against time. Now the numbers prove it.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Thrilled to see my words in a book for the very first time. It’s only a chapter, but it’s (quite literally!) a start! You can order it here: amzn.eu/d/e58qBlB
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
'This leak is symptomatic of the fact that the system that was put in place after Afghanistan wasn't really fit for purpose.' @mrandrewfox.bsky.social on the Afghan data leak exposing the identities of over 100 Britons—including MI6 officers and special forces. @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
‘The last details we’ve had of any peace deal were hugely loaded in favour of Russia.’ @mrandrewfox.bsky.social on the US-Ukraine critical minerals deal and the latest Vatican peace talks between Trump and Zelensky.
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
‘Handing Putin a victory guarantees future conflict in Europe.’ @mrandrewfox.bsky.social speaks to LBC News on America’s role in ongoing peace negotiations and outlines how to put pressure on Putin to end the war, following Russia’s overnight strikes on Kyiv.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
Here’s a picture of me, a European, security freeloading in Afghanistan as part of a US Army special forces task force. Look! They even gave me a special “freeloader” badge to wear above my medals. 12 close friends and colleagues killed when they were there freeloading too.
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
‘So much damage has now been done not only to Ukraine, not only to America’s reputation as a fair and supportive ally, but also to relations with European countries.’ @mrandrewfox.bsky.social discusses Ukraine’s agreement to a 30 day ceasefire with Russia on GB News.
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
‘When every smartphone is a battlefield, controlling the story is as crucial as controlling the ground.’ @mrandrewfox.bsky.social writes for @telegraphnews.bsky.social on how the British army can adapt the IDF’s strategies for the war in Ukraine. www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/03...
telegraph.co.uk
Lessons from the IDF for the British Army
When every smartphone is a battlefield, controlling the story is as crucial as controlling the ground
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
‘We are seeing a huge threat to global security. It sends a terrible message to China over Taiwan that we are not prepared to back up our allies as the West and as America, specifically.’ @mrandrewfox.bsky.social reacts to Zelensky’s statement today that Ukraine is ready to work with the US.
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Zelenskyy is a ten times a man compared to the other two, put together. Two moral weakling, tyrant-fellating, cheap showmen for simpletons, barking at one of modern history’s great men. What an age we live in. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
‘Trump has decided to cozy up to one of the world’s worst dictators. In doing so, it utterly demeans Zelensky, who is an absolute hero.’ @mrandrewfox.bsky.social on TalkTV discusses the White House “nakedly parroting" Kremlin disinformation lines amid peace talks.
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Lewis Goodall @lewisgoodall.com · 20/02/2025
Trump could have pushed for an end to the war in Ukraine without becoming actively hostile to Ukraine. Instead, he has imbibed Putin’s lies. Have written about the emergence of a new US/Russia axis, where it comes from and the staggering implications for Europe. open.substack.com/pub/goodalla...
open.substack.com
We're waking up to a new US/Russia axis
Why Trump clings to Putin.
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
‘History teaches us the consequences of appeasing dictators: more conflict further down the line.' @mrandrewfox.bsky.social writes for @lbc.co.uk on Trump's shift towards Ukraine, the risks of sidelining NATO, and standing firm against authoritarian aggression. www.lbc.co.uk/opinion/view...
lbc.co.uk
Trump’s shift on Ukraine: America's new approach to NATO and global diplomacy
.“Operation Minimise” were words feared by every British serviceman and woman in Afghanistan. This was the call to cut communication home until the families of wounded or killed soldiers were notified...
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Henry Jackson Society @hjs-org.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
On this Holocaust Memorial Day we remember all those murdered, including 6 million Jews, whose deaths are a stark reminder of the devastating consequences when prejudice and hatred go unchecked.
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Nicole Lampert @nicolelampert.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
A piece I wrote on how we need the @metropolitanpolice.bsky.social to show some backbone: www.thejc.com/lets-talk/he...
thejc.com
Well done to the Met for standing up to Gaza mob
For too long, institutions have caved into this bullying. Now we say: They shall not pass
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Andrew Fox @mrandrewfox.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
No punches pulled in my new Substack article: “The world in 2025”. open.substack.com/pub/mrandrew...
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