The Anthropic & OpenAI IPOs could mint thousands of new millionaires, & a lot of them plan to give. But how much will actually reach the philanthropic ecosystem?
We used Radiant to arrive at a forecast of: $100B+ in pledges, but only ~$26B of it to reach charities by 2031. More below.
metaculus.substack.com
Mapping the AI IPO Windfall
Forecasters expect the money to reach charities much slower than the headlines suggest. Here's the map behind the number, and how you can build your own on Radiant, Metaculus’ visual mapping tool.
