iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Mary Stegmaier

Verasight @verasight.io · 03/09/2026

We had the opportunity to attend @debraleiter.bsky.social's fascinating presentation on citizen forecasting this morning at #APSA2026 Thanks to Debra for presenting! 1/2

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Verasight @verasight.io · 03/09/2026

Visit us at Booth 417 at #APSA2026 to submit a FREE question on a nationally representative survey of 1,000 U.S. adults. All question submitters will receive the individual-level data for all questions, demographic and political variables, and survey weights. See you there!

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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 03/11/2025

Call for Papers for a Special Issue from @pspolisci.bsky.social - 'Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections' - cup.org/3Wq5B5y Submission Deadline: July 17, 2026 cc @apsa.bsky.social

Promotional banner for "PS Call For Papers" featuring a protesting crowd of people.

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POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP @pol4casting.bsky.social · 07/01/2026

🔵APSA members or ones who are renewing their membership : If you are interested in political forecasting worldwide ➡️You can join the PFG (for free) using this link members.apsanet.org/User-Home/ov... Or through your user home profile

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

We’ve had the privilege of hosting professors from Uzbekistan for the fall semester at Mizzou. They’ve worked with dedicated faculty mentors on research and teaching while also learning about higher education in the US. Today, President Choi awarded them certificates from Mizzou. 🇺🇿🇺🇸

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 05/12/2025

Does the economy impact satisfaction with democracy? Our new publication demonstrates that the relationship is moderated by the political institutions in a country.

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Verasight @verasight.io · 26/11/2025

The new @center4politics.bsky.social piece by @debraleiter.bsky.social‬, @marystegmaier.bsky.social & Mike Lewis-Beck references Verasight data from the MPSA and APSA omnibus surveys to track how voter expectations for the 2026 midterms have changed from April to September.

centerforpolitics.org

Rust on the Midterm Iron Law? Voter Expectations for 2026 - Sabato's Crystal Ball

In the early parts of the Trump administration, citizens were skeptical that Democrats could retake the House or Senate,

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Debra Leiter @debraleiter.bsky.social · 21/11/2025

At the start of the term, voters seemed skeptical of the “iron rule” of midterm loss. More recent data from @verasight.io paints a more complex picture. Check out our (@marystegmaier.bsky.social & Mike Lewis-Beck) new piece @center4politics.bsky.social centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...

centerforpolitics.org

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veronique-jerome.bsky.social @veronique-jerome.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

Don’t forget our @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting today at 12:00 PM PDT in Marriott Vancouver Pinnacle Downtown dundarave All @apsa.bsky.social members are welcome ! Feel free to attend and become a @pol4casting.bsky.social member!

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Eva Krejcova @evakrejcova.bsky.social · 12/09/2025

1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space. 👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

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veronique-jerome.bsky.social @veronique-jerome.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

It was a pleasure to chair and to be the discussant of the papers of such a wonderful @apsa.bsky.social panel! Thanks you all @hannahrajski.bsky.social @marystegmaier.bsky.social @bjerome-t.bsky.social

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mlewisbe.bsky.social @mlewisbe.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

If you want to forecast elections, read this.

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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 16/05/2025

The Midterm Loss Rule: What Do Voters Expect in 2026? (@debraleiter.bsky.social @marystegmaier.bsky.social and Michael S. Lewis-Beck, @center4politics.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250515-top...

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Debra Leiter @debraleiter.bsky.social · 14/05/2025

Will 2026 see the classic midterm loss? Voters aren't so sure. Using @verasight.bsky.social data, @marystegmaier.bsky.social, Michael Lewis-Beck and I see voters uncertain of the "iron law" of midterm loss. Today @center4politics.bsky.social's Crystal Ball. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...

centerforpolitics.org

The Midterm Loss Rule: What Do Voters Expect in 2026? - Sabato's Crystal Ball

The public's early assessment of which party will win control of Congress in 2026

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

Delighted to see the new issue! Thanks to my co-guest editor Philippe Mongrain & all the contributors.

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

Lots of eyes are on the German elections and how well the Christian Democrats will do. Check out our forecast online @pspolisci.bsky.social

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Excited to see our article predicting CDU/CSU support included in this German Election Forecasting symposium 🇩🇪

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PS: Political Science & Politics @pspolisci.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

** NEW ISSUE ALERT** PS: Political Science & Politics January 2025 issue is published! Check it out here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 01/02/2025

We welcomed 3 visiting scholars from Uzbekistan to the University of Missouri for the spring semester. Our Uzbek students joined us at the reception and many wore the traditional dress from their country. 🇺🇸🇺🇿

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

What a great way to cap off two days of enriching social science workshops at Nuffield College, Oxford University.

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Today Philippe Mongrain & I presented an analysis of the @pspolisci.bsky.social 2024 US election forecasts at Nuffield College, @uniofoxford.bsky.social Thanks to Ray Duch & Roberto Cerina for organizing such a fantastic workshop!

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Mary Stegmaier @marystegmaier.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

What a great roundtable! Thanks for including me to discuss the US election forecasts published in @pspolisci.bsky.social. The introduction to the special issue (coauthored with Philippe Mongrain) is available at doi.org/10.1017/S104...

doi.org

Introduction to Forecasting the 2024 US Elections | PS: Political Science & Politics | Cambridge Core

Introduction to Forecasting the 2024 US Elections

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