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Martin Sandbu

@martinsandbu.ft.com
15K followers 449 following 829 posts

www.ft.com/martin-sandbu

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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 01/10/2026
We have forgotten what budgets are for. as.ft.com/r/99bf6735-f...
as.ft.com
We have forgotten what budgets are for
The biggest problem with public finances is when they cease to be tools for governance
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Chris Cook @chriscook.news · 21/09/2026
A big new story from us: a big new leak means that we can put numbers on the scale of A7 -- the Kremlin's huge money-laundering machine. $6.9bn laundered through the international banking system via SWIFT, with $1.1bn sent to StanChart alone. www.ft.com/content/3848...
ft.com
Kremlin-backed forgery scheme moved $6.9bn through global banks
FT finds thousands of Russian payments handled by Standard Chartered, Citigroup and other international groups in vast leak from inside fintech A7
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/09/2026
Sorry Mark Carney, the world *does* need a rival great power with better manners as.ft.com/r/c591526a-3...
as.ft.com
Sorry Carney, the world does need a great power with better manners
Calling for closer EU-Canada ties without pooling sovereignty is an abdication of European responsibility
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Leyla Boulton @leylaboulton.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
What would you ask the editor of the Financial Times over lunch? Here's your chance to do just that: Bid for lunch with @roulak.bsky.social at The Ritz in London and all proceeds go to FT FLIC, the FT-backed financial literacy charity Read all about it and bid at ft.com/auction
ft.com
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 10/09/2026
The trade wars were just a warm-up. Brace for the coming capital wars. as.ft.com/r/d9f246c1-d...
as.ft.com
The capital wars are coming
Expect more intense competition for the world’s savings
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Katie Martin @katie0martin.ft.com · 10/09/2026
maybe they'll make all passengers check if they fit through a window-sized gap like the bag thing
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William Shakespeare @shakespeare.lol · 10/09/2026
Hark how I’ll bribe you.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 10/09/2026
The trade wars were just a warm-up. Brace for the coming capital wars. as.ft.com/r/d9f246c1-d...
as.ft.com
The capital wars are coming
Expect more intense competition for the world’s savings
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Captain Haddock @realcaptainhaddock.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
A must read from @martinsandbu.ft.com on the coming capital wars www.ft.com/content/735f...
ft.com
The capital wars are coming
Expect more intense competition for the world’s savings
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Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
90 years ago, Parliament responded to the rise of Oswald Mosley's Blackshirts by passing the Public Order Act, which banned political uniforms, private militias and the threat of force for political objects. The debates make very resonant reading today. Here's the Liberal Robert Bernays. (Short 🧵)
You cannot conduct a fair match when one side is playing with a ball and the other with bombs and, if democracy is to survive, it must be conducted according to definite and recognised rule. One of them is that no political party should resort to any weapon other than reason and argument. The introduction of private armies, as I see it, strikes at the root of democracy. I know it is contended that the Blackshirts are not armed and, therefore, are not an army, but I do not think that argument can be upheld. … Uniformed men in military formation suggest, and are meant to suggest, the idea of force. It is no argument to reply that at this or that demonstration no force is intended. It is an inescapable fact that a uniform in politics symbolises force, to be used either now or in the future.
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Francesc Trillas Jané @francesctrillas.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
@martinsandbu.ft.com: "to the extent that both public and private sectors adopt AI to guide decision-making — how much to invest; in what; how best to tax for desired policy outcomes? — our economies will look increasingly planned and decreasingly market-shaped" www.ft.com/content/cd3f...
ft.com
Could AI revive the socialist dream?
Artificial intelligence has the potential to both reignite and overturn the century-old debate over central economic planning
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Toby Nangle @tobyn.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Could AI replace the market economy? Really interesting thought experiment from @martinsandbu.ft.com www.ft.com/content/cd3f...
ft.com
Could AI revive the socialist dream?
Artificial intelligence has the potential to both reignite and overturn the century-old debate over central economic planning
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Todd Tucker @toddntucker.com · 29/08/2026
"The Hayekian conclusion always remained contingent — and only true so long as governments lacked the necessary informational and computational capacity for central planning to outdo free markets. The question is whether AI changes that," writes @martinsandbu.ft.com. www.ft.com/content/cd3f...
ft.com
Could AI revive the socialist dream?
Artificial intelligence has the potential to both reignite and overturn the century-old debate over central economic planning
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 26/08/2026
Feel good about yourself: Your summer holiday was a profoundly humanist act. as.ft.com/r/b9065953-4...
as.ft.com
Don’t take that summer trip for granted
One of the great, under-appreciated benefits of modernity is the ability to seek discovery for discovery’s sake
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 24/07/2026
These charts need to be drawn for imports/exports from/to all countries, not just JP/SK/CH.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 24/07/2026
Thanks Jonathan.
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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
This is a fantastic piece by @martinsandbu.ft.com which should be required reading for Burnham/Healey/their advisers. [Don't necessarily agree with all of it, but it makes you think about the UK's economic predicament in a different way.]
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
brnm-o-nomix
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
I went with Burnhamonomics in today's piece. Sounds a bit better if you swallow all the vowels. www.ft.com/content/94a7...
ft.com
Will Burnham go big or go home?
Reasons to be sceptical about the UK’s new prime minister
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
My latest piece, on why a conventional misunderstanding of the economy risks leaving the Burnham government in the same sorry place as Starmer's.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
More magical than the current thinking?
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
Also: Syrsky v Fedorov.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
My latest piece, on why a conventional misunderstanding of the economy risks leaving the Burnham government in the same sorry place as Starmer's.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
Long live Europe. Literally.
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Sent an email to 9 Europeans and immediately received 6 automated vacation replies. 🫠
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Martin Heneghan @martinheneghan.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Agree with this from @martinsandbu.ft.com & highly recommend his book, 'The Economics of Belonging', fleshing out the type of economic transition needed. However, it's possible Burnham's policies are merely symbolic at this stage to buy the political capital to 'go big'. www.ft.com/content/94a7...
ft.com
Will Burnham go big or go home?
Reasons to be sceptical about the UK’s new prime minister
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 23/07/2026
Many thanks. Here's to hoping.
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Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 23/07/2026
Will Burnham go big or go home? ft.trib.al/DZdeGG1 | opinion
ft.trib.al
Will Burnham go big or go home?
Reasons to be sceptical about the UK’s new prime minister
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Jim Pickard @pickardje.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
A betting account in the name of George Cottrell, the convicted fraudster who bankrolled Nigel Farage, received almost $9mn in cryptocurrency from unidentified sources while he was providing gifts to the Reform UK leader great work from @annasophiegross.bsky.social www.ft.com/content/b74c...
ft.com
Betting account in George Cottrell’s name received $9mn in crypto from unidentified sources
Deposits in Polymarket wallet came as convicted fraudster was providing gifts to Farage
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Christopher Miller @christopherjm.ft.com · 17/07/2026
The sacking of popular, modernising defence minister Mykahilo Fedorov exposed damaging divisions about Ukraine’s military strategy and armed forces’ willingness to address its shortcomings just as momentum in the war against Russia has swung in its favor. My report: www.ft.com/content/a200...
ft.com
Ukraine’s rift over battlefield strategy breaks into the open
Sacking of popular defence minister exposes divisions over how to fight Russia
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Nicolas Tenzer @nicolastenzer.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
There can be no forgiveness. 12 years ago, on July 17, 2014, the russians shot down Flight #MH17, killing 298 people, incl. 80 children. The perpetrators, sentenced to life in prison, remain under Moscow’s protection. Fact: russia has murdered hundreds of thousands of civilians. It must be smashed.
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 17/07/2026
Ukraine has used a naval drone to transport a ground drone to attack Russia. www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-laun...
businessinsider.com
Ukraine launched a first-of-its-kind robotic amphibious assault, deploying a gun-toting robot from a drone boat
Ukraine said the fully robotic amphibious assault was the first known mission of its kind, demonstrating how drone warfare continues to evolve.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 16/07/2026
It's coming! www.ft.com/content/0a08...
ft.com
The digital euro gets ready for beta testing
A brave new world for EU digital finance
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 15/07/2026
This is a good role for government - I made several such proposals in www.tinyurl.com/EcBelong
tinyurl.com
The Economics of Belonging
A radical new approach to economic policy that addresses the symptoms and causes of inequality in Western society today
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Ben Crum @bencrum.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Good ideas about complementing the EU’s finances by @martinsandbu.ft.com But depressing bottomline: member states cannot escape the traditional political economy of budget talks and have already dug themselves deep into the usual trenches for net payers and net recipients” www.ft.com/content/127f...
ft.com
The EU has ways out of its budget trap
Side agreements and special purpose funds could bypass the usual trench warfare
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 13/07/2026
It requires being a bit less obsessed with chasing unicorns and not asking quite so much "Why don't we have as many [extractive, anti-competitive] trillion-dollar companies?"
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David Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
The rather inconvenient facts around Europe's "China shock"... to be taken alongside the need to engage with the world's trade superpowers in the future. Though I'd suggest this is also why Member States push back against the worst rhetoric and protectionist ideas. www.ft.com/content/5817...
ft.com
Europe’s ‘China shock’ panic is ill-informed
EU industry is largely weathering the competition well
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Lluís Camprubí @lluiscamprubi.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
The EU has ways out of its budget trap www.ft.com/content/127f... By @martinsandbu.ft.com Side agreements and special purpose funds could bypass the usual trench warfare A.Úbide: "The budget is a clear political statement that Europe does not want to compete with China or the United States.”
ft.com
The EU has ways out of its budget trap
Side agreements and special purpose funds could bypass the usual trench warfare
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Francesc Trillas Jané @francesctrillas.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
@martinsandbu.ft.com: "If this budget proves irrelevant for Europe’s new challenges, alternative financial arrangements will be sought to do the job. We know this from experience" www.ft.com/content/127f...
ft.com
The EU has ways out of its budget trap
Side agreements and special purpose funds could bypass the usual trench warfare
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René Smits 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇱🇮🇸🇨🇦(🇻🇦) @rs-lawsociety.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
excellent analysis of Europe’s budget discussions - supporting joint borrowing and issuance of an EU safe asset, by @martinsandbu.ft.com take note: @volteuropa.org @ecb.europa.eu @ec.europa.eu @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... The EU has ways out of its budget trap
giftarticle.ft.com
The EU has ways out of its budget trap
Side agreements and special purpose funds could bypass the usual trench warfare
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
Extortion/blackmail/coercion is a real problem, as is spying. But it is not a problem of "competitiveness" or "industrial decline". A good start would be, against coercion, to use the anti-coercion instrument (the clue is in the name!); against spying, to require some components to be made in Europe
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
What's the issue with steel? Share of consumption covered by domestic production has been stable at 75-80% for a decade+. European PV declined when EU government decided they didn't want to subsidise solar installations. Reserving secure domestic demand would have worked then and will work now.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
And voila, today's provocation. First 300 clicks free. as.ft.com/r/57b1888b-d...
as.ft.com
Europe’s ‘China shock’ panic is ill-informed
EU industry is largely weathering the competition well
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
Good point.
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
As I wrote, *total* EU important penetration (hence the conclusion that China is displacing third country suppliers). And I ask again, why is it relevant whether it's a market economy or a non-market economy, rather than simply the severity of the threat?
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
/ I wrote about this argument here, saying it makes the wealth tax the handmaiden of capitalism (because it rewards successful capitalists and punishes poor ones). www.ft.com/content/8b1a... The original paper by Guvenen et al is here: www.nber.org/system/files...
ft.com
Why a wealth tax is capitalism’s handmaiden
Taxing capital holdings boosts rewards for investing well
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
This is a fair guide to most of the arguments around a wealth tax, from @soumayakeynes.ft.com. I would add what I think is one of the most powerful arguments in favour: that is encourages more productive investment than the more common alternative of taxing capital incomes. /
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
I don't get this argument. Why is it worse to be outcompeted by a non-market economy than it would be to be outcompeted by a market economy? Surely what matters it the overall threat. Either way, total EU import penetration is not changing much so China is mostly outcompeting third country economies
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Martin Sandbu @martinsandbu.ft.com · 09/07/2026
As some of us have been saying... www.ft.com/content/3407... - and stay tuned for today's Free Lunch newsletter, landing in an hour. www.ft.com/free-lunch
ft.com
Europe is running from a phantom China threat
EU leaders fear cheap Chinese exports when they should be worrying about embedded spyware and rare earths dependency
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Helene von Bismarck @helenebismarck.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
👏
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