Sign in

Marc Champion

@marcchampion1.bsky.social
994 followers 123 following 97 posts

Marc Champion is a columnist writing on international affairs at Bloomberg. All views are my own. Re-posts are not endorsements

PostsRepliesMedia
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
The US wants every nation to support its efforts to strangle Iran's economy. This week's China-led security summit in Bishkek showed why that's likely to fail. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
China’s Paper-Tiger Alliance Shows the US Can’t Isolate Iran
The conflict between the US and Iran is beginning to flare again and President Donald Trump says he couldn’t care less. He’s confident his new plan for an “Economic D-Day” that brings Iran to heel by ...
021
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
The UK has become a bogeyman to Putin's Russia and it needs to prepare, writes @MarcChampion1 www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Burnham Isn’t Ready For How Much Russia Hates the UK
In the current Russian leadership’s rather 19th — though increasingly 21st — century view of how the world works, lesser powers must defer to great ones or pay the price. The UK, a country in a catego...
000
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Ukraine's ex-defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov has called for wartime presidential elections. He's a huge talent — and he's wrong. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
The Call for a Ukrainian Election Is Compelling and Wrong
Mykhailo Fedorov is perhaps the standout political figure to have been forged in Ukraine by Russia’s invasion. He is smart, young, so far untouched by any corruption scandal and the force behind two t...
031
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Trump is looking to shift back from war to pressuring Iran economically. But Tehran has a veto and to the hardliners in charge, war looks safer than peace. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Peace Is More Dangerous Than War for Iran’s New Leaders
Earlier this year, as the Islamic Republic of Iran was busy crushing the largest protests since those in the aftermath of the 1979 revolution, President Donald Trump promised that help was on its way....
032
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
There are good reasons to be cynical about the new roadmap to Hamas's disarmament and peace in Gaza. There's a better reason to try making it work. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Trump’s Gaza Roadmap Needs Heroic Optimism to Succeed
If the world of international affairs had self-help books, this year’s bestseller might be titled How to Find Hope When It’s Hopeless. There are so many examples for it to include, from peace in Ukrai...
042
Reposted by Marc Champion
Savchenko Volodymyr @savchenkoua.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
🇺🇸🚀 According to CSIS analysts, before the start of hostilities in Iran on February 27, the US had 2,330 Patriot missiles and 452 THAAD missiles, but as of July 27, their stocks had fallen to 759-827 and 234-278 units, respectively.
711220
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
The US and Israel went into their war with Iran in lock step, but their interests were never the same that now shows, presenting Netanyahu with a tough dilemma of his own making. My column for Bloomberg Opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
The US and Israel Can't Hide Their Differences on Iran
No wonder Donald Trump swore at his supposed friend and ally Benjamin Netanyahu last week. Within days of that June 1 phone call, Israel and Iran were back on track for the kind of military escalation...
000
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Trump just said Iran's stock of near-weapons-grade enriched uranium is safe where it is, and he only needs it moved for PR reasons. That would be a terrible reason to end a ceasefire. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Did Trump Just Say He’s at War For PR Reasons?
While in China, Donald Trump said the pile of 440 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium that were at the heart of his justification for going to war with Iran is, in fact, safely under 24/7 surveillance b...
002
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
The US is set to blockade the Strait of Hormuz to force it open. That only makes sense if Iran buckles under the pain first - which is highly unlikely. My column (no paywall) for Bloomberg @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
The Hormuz Blockade Is a Throwdown the US Can't Win
For a man who understands the power of leverage, Donald Trump is being remarkably slow to recognize the influence Iran has gained in the Strait of Hormuz. The US president’s threat to complete its clo...
012
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Dwight Eisenhower warned against the search for absolute security through war. Trump and Netanyahu should heed the message in Iran and Lebanon. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
010
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
The Iran war has hurt Kyiv because it's helping Moscow. But it has also revealed emerging Ukrainian strengths and a shrinking dependence on an unreliable US ally. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Ukraine Is Having a Surprisingly Good Iran War
Donald Trump’s decision to go to war in the Middle East has dealt a huge blow to Ukraine. It rescued Russia from a budget crisis, strained Kyiv’s debt-laden benefactors in Europe, ripped through stock...
086
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
The best ally isn't one that leads you into a war that serves their interest but not yours. Sometimes is the one that says no. My column for Bloomberg Opinion on the Iran war. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
How Israel Went From ‘Model Ally’ to Cautionary Tale
Early in 2003, with the US still in shock over Al Qaeda’s 9/11 terrorist attacks, Washington called on allies to join it in going to war with Iraq. Some answered the call, but not France, which argued...
010
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Essential piece from my colleague @javierblas.bsky.social if you want to understand the oil price imperatives that face Trump around ending the #iranwar. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
The White House's Oil-Restraint Toolbox Is Empty
Despite President Donald Trump’s blustering that America benefits when oil prices surge, crunch time is fast approaching for both the war and the energy market. He either ends the conflict quickly, or...
011
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Much has been made of Trump's policy waffling, but the bigger problem is the consistency of core beliefs he formed in the 1980s and is acting on now he can, 40 years later. My column for Bloomberg @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
We’re All Trapped in Trump’s 1980s Worldview
Take a moment to digest the following, quite extraordinary sequence of events.
1133
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Trump knows the power of leverage, but not of asymmetry, which is the strength of weaker parties like Iran or Ukraine. He needs to learn fast. My column for Bloomberg Opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Trump Doesn’t Understand His Enemy. That Gives Iran an Edge.
Iran’s appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader has been likely since the day US-Israeli air strikes “martyred” his father. It became inevitable the moment Donald Trump said he’d be an “unacc...
001
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
Kurdish fighters could enter Iran as the US/Israeli air attack's missing ground force. Sounds logical but it's reckless. Think Libya, think previous US use and abandonment of the Kurds. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Iran Could Be a ‘Forever War’ If the Kurds Join the Fight
You can’t accuse the US of mission creep one week into a war, especially when the initial goals for Operation Epic Fury were so broadly defined as to be unknowable. But taking President Donald Trump’s...
121
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
The US goal for an Iran strike proved to be "Everything." But one aim will rule them all and that's regime change, making this an existential and unpredictable fight. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Trump’s Ambitions for Iran Are Now Clear: He Wants Everything
US President Donald Trump never did explain to Congress or anyone else what his justifications and goals would be for attacking Iran. Now, with “Operation Epic Fury” underway, we know. The answer was ...
22712
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Trump says he's stopped wars we never even knew were going to happen. I doubt that. But war is coming in Ethiopia again, so here's his chance. My column for Bloomberg Opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Here’s a War Trump Really Could — and Should — Prevent
Donald Trump is fond of saying wars don’t start on his watch and that he’s ended some we never knew possible. That’s at least up for debate, as the US president lays his finger on the trigger of anoth...
002
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Trump has let Putin weaponize the peace process for Ukraine. That can and must end. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Putin Has Weaponized the Peace Talks. The US Can Stop Him
During the Biden administration, the most effective tool Russia’s President Vladimir Putin had to sustain his invasion of Ukraine proved to be his warnings of nuclear escalation, a tactic that prompte...
021
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Trump's Gaza peace plan is weird, but a start. Phase 2 needs elections to sweep out the old on both sides, plus an experiment: Releasing Marwan Barghouti - the one politician who could unite Palestinians - so he can run. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
A Lasting Gaza Peace Needs Two Elections and One Prisoner Release
The remains of the final Israeli hostage Hamas abducted to Gaza during the group’s savage Oct. 7, 2023, attack on kibbutzim have now returned home. The event marks a turning point for the US-led peace...
011
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Europe is right to defend principles over Greenland, but this is about power and that's what Trump has and it lacks. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Europe Can’t Afford a Throwdown Over Greenland
As a US citizen living abroad, I sympathize with European outrage over Donald Trump’s naked attempt to bully Denmark, a particularly loyal NATO ally, into handing over Greenland. In fact, if he stays ...
220
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Trumps threats and pressure against Iran's regime at its moment of weakness are good policy. But don't imagine it's another Venezuela. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
America's Venezuela Playbook Won't Work in Iran
You know Iran’s leaders are worried about the implications of last weekend’s US raid in Venezuela when the editor of the hardline Javan newspaper feels he has to write a polemic — headlined Iran Is No...
030
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Venezuela marks the passing of the old US order, replaced by a free-for-all among the great powers. That's bad news for Greenland, Denmark and Europe as a whole. My column for Bloomberg Opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
The Greenland Alarm Is Sounding. Europe Needs to Hear It
Denmark was worried about US intentions toward Greenland even before Donald Trump sent his troops and bombers into Venezuela over the weekend, but now the Danes are truly alarmed — and so they should ...
35520
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
To understand why Ukraine finds it so hard to give up territory, remember it's about everything but land. My column this morning. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...?
bloomberg.com
Ukraine’s Peace Deal Is Stuck on Territory for Good Reason
Of the two main sticking points in getting a deal to end Russia’s invasion of Ukraine that Kyiv, if not Moscow, can accept, there seems to have been a breakthrough on security guarantees. Territorial ...
010
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
Ukraine hasn't lost the war, but it has lost the narrative and it's top commander knows that could lead to the same bad outcome. My column for Bloomberg @opinion. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Has Ukraine Lost the War? Its Top General Is Pushing Back
Over the past week, Ukraine’s top military commander has given his most detailed assessment yet of the fight to halt Russia’s invasion. This wasn’t prompted by any sudden battlefield reversal. It refl...
112
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
The Trump administration’s new National Security Strategy unites US with Russian policy against the EU; both see liberal Europe as an enemy that's better defeated when divided. My column for Bloomberg @opinion . www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Why Russia Loves the US National Security Strategy
Nothing about the Trump administration’s new National Security Strategy should shock European leaders, still less the enthusiastic welcome that this confirmation of a revolution in US foreign policy h...
061
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Israel's military has transformed the balance of power in the Middle East. But reliance on force is not improving security anymore. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/JPx4E
shorturl.at
Trump Doesn’t Have to Be Bad News for Ukraine
His “peace-in-a-day” is ludicrous, but if he does the groundwork he can avoid capitulation and engineer a win.
000
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
The EU is incapable by design of projecting the hard power required to compete in a geopolitical world, and yet Europe has to. The answer lies outside the bloc and in Ukraine's defense. My column for @opinion. shorturl.at/fKOz0
shorturl.at
The EU Is the Wrong Power Player for Ukraine
Late in the summer of 1939, the Soviet and German Foreign Ministers Vyacheslav Molotov and Joachim von Ribbentrop signed the infamous non-aggression pact that divided Eastern Europe between their nati...
010
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Turkey's Erdogan looks a lot like he's realigning with the West latey, but in reality it's the West that's turning toward Erdogan. My column for Bloomberg Opinion shorturl.at/c1hWH
shorturl.at
Erdogan and Putin Have Something to Teach the West
Turkey has recently taken a range of steps that together look a lot like a realignment with the West. It reduced imports of Russian oil and natural gas; is considering US and South Korean companies ov...
130
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
Whether or not the apparently imminent fall of Pokrovsk proves an important Russian victory and worth the enormous price paid for it will depend on how Ukraine's allies respond. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Ukraine’s Pokrovsk Is Falling. Don’t Make It a Defeat.
First Bakhmut, then Avdiivka, now Pokrovsk. In each of the last three years, Russia’s generals have identified a midsize Ukrainian town as their invasion’s next critical target, expending vast amounts...
030
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Putin has a plan for victory, and Kyiv has a plan to survive it. I returned to Ukraine to see what that is and how much it depends on inconstant allies. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/N9JPi
shorturl.at
Ukraine Has a Plan for Victory. Its Allies Don’t.
Ukraine is about to suffer its most brutal winter since Russia invaded in 2022. That isn’t a risk but a certainty as both sides sense they’re blocked on the ground and focus on the long-range air war....
083
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
Sanctions, seizing assets and the threat to arm Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles will only deter Putin if they're integrated into a coherent transatlantic strategy that shows genuine resolve. So far they don't. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Sanctions or Tomahawks? Only Credible Threats Will Convince Putin.
Could the US imposition of sanctions on Russia’s two biggest oil companies, backed by similar measures from Europe, mark the moment when the transatlantic alliance finally does what it takes to pressu...
042
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
One phone call and Trump is back to pressing Ukraine into a deal crafted by Putin to further his war aims, not peace. Ukraine and Europe face some disastrous choices as a result. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Trump’s Peacemaking Is as Lethal for Ukraine as Ever
There’s every reason to believe leaked accounts that a shouting match erupted between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskiy when they met in Washington last week. We’ve seen it before, after all, on ca...
021
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
The first rule of 'drone wall' is to change the name: It should be nothing like a wall and more like a Porcupine. The second is to build it with Ukraine. My column for Bloomberg @opinion. (Temporarily no pay wall) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Europe’s Most Important Startups Are in Ukraine
At the General Chereshnya drone factory, Maxym, a tattooed former aircraft engineer with ear tunnels the size of quarters in his lobes opens a door to the whirr and clatter of 74 busy 3D printers. The...
151
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
Trump's ceasefire has a long road to get to peace, but it has more promise than its predecessors and he'll deserve credit if it lasts. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Gaza Ceasefire Is No Peace, But Even So It’s ‘Huge’
Israel and Hamas have reached a ceasefire deal, the first stage in a 20-point plan to end the war. Does this, as Donald Trump says, mean we’re on the cusp of everlasting peace in the Middle East? Will...
030
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Trump's decision to make time for negotiations over his Gaza peace plan was a good one, but he'll need a patience and focus he isn't renowned for to produce a lasting peace. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
US Gaza Plan Is Working, But Will Take Sustained Pressure
When Donald Trump returned to office promising to end to the war in Gaza, he not unreasonably touted his first term success in negotiating the so-called Abraham accords between Israel and its Arab nei...
020
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Trump walked away from the Russia-Ukraine war and is clearly ambivalent about NATO. What next for Europeans? To recognize that Kyiv, its army and drones are now their strongest reliable defense against Russia. My column for Bloomberg Opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Ukraine Is Now The Strongest Ally Europe Can Rely On
Trump’s U-turn leaves the pair to fight Putin on their own.
072
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
We all need to watch and learn in Moldova on Sunday. Russia is exploiting the new reality of elections by TikTok to the full, and it won't be the only one. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/maucW
shorturl.at
Russia’s War on Elections in Moldova Is No Hoax
Sunday’s vote may decide if it’s too late for Europe there.
020
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
The drone is very much in NATO's court after Russia's shot at Poland. My column for Bloomberg @opinion rb.gy/kwgzc5
rb.gy
Five Lessons From Putin’s Reckless Polish Drone Strike
The US and Europe have a lot to learn from Russia’s warning shot at Poland
140
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
This is an (unsurprisingly) excellent post from Lawrence Freedman on Netanyahu's miss in Qatar. Well worth the read. open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/n...
open.substack.com
Netanyahu's bet fails
The consequences of Israel's attack in Qatar
020
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
China didn't have to build new institutions or lasting alliances for its summit to succeed. It just had to show coherent goals and the means to achieve them - the contrast with chaos and weakness in the West do the rest. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/giO0F
shorturl.at
Western Dysfunction Is Bolstering China
This week’s Tianjin military summit shone by its coherence alone.
020
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Trump says he ended six wars and they prove his belief that ceasefires -including for Ukraine - are just "nice to haves." That's wrong on so many counts. My column for Bloomberg Opinion shorturl.at/VsvD1
shorturl.at
Trump Says Ceasefires Don’t Matter. Oh Yes They Do.
Even the six peace deals he cited as evidence don’t support him.
094
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
The Alaska de-brief went better than expected, but don't lose track of the ball: no ceasefire and no US pressure on Putin means the war goes on. My column on @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Ukraine Got a Reprieve in Washington — Not an Escape
Trump thinking that Putin wants to make peace as a favor really is “crazy.”
020
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 16/08/2025
In Alaska, Putin looks to have gotten all he needed: Trump's permission to continue the war while pretending the negotiate a peace. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/cgGXh
shorturl.at
Trump and Putin’s Alaska Theatrics Imperil Ukraine — and Europe
Two versions of the US president could have attended the tete-a-tete. Unfortunately, the wrong one did.
131
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
Trump looks set to get outplayed by Putin for a second time when they meet in Alaska this week. He'd be better off delaying and doing more to pressure and prepare. My column for Bloomberg @opinion www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Putin Is About to Outplay Trump Again in Alaska
Talking to foes is a great idea, but successful summits demand a lot more preparation.
000
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Netanyahu has doubled down on war, again, in pursuit of security. It's a strategy that works for now but at enormous cost to Gaza's civilians and Israel's long term interests, if not survival. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/SGQre
shorturl.at
Israel Is Heading Toward an Isolation It Can’t Afford
Netanyahu has doubled down on war in Gaza — again. That can only threaten his country’s long-term survival.
000
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
The UK says it will recognize Palestine unless there's a ceasefire in Gaza. Great. Except that gives Hamas a reason to block one, shorturl.at/cbr1f
shorturl.at
Palestinian Recognition Is a Political Gesture, Not a Strategy
The UK’s diplomatic conditions give needless and risky leverage to Hamas.
000
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
It's great Zelenskiy has backtracked on seizing control of Ukraine's independent anti-corruption bodies. Now he needs to clean house to restore trust and his presidency. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/8puYH
shorturl.at
Volodymyr Zelenskiy Needs to Rescue His Own Presidency
A misstep on corruption has punctured his once heroic image.
230
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Instead of debating whether there is a famine yet in Gaza, stop the war and there won't be one. My column for @opinion.bloomberg.com shorturl.at/XMfzI
shorturl.at
Is There Famine in Gaza? Let’s Not Wait to Find Out.
Enough is clear to know that a ceasefire should be the only priority.
2195
Marc Champion @marcchampion1.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Ukraine is cracking down on ... anti-corruption agencies and NGOs. This is something Russia can get away with, but Kyiv cannot afford. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/R7ARp
shorturl.at
Ukraine Has a Self-Inflicted Handicap in Its War for Survival
Corruption threatens European aid for arms.
110