iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Lucy D’Agostino McGowan

Listening to this episode right now, very fun!

Reposted by Lucy D’Agostino McGowan

Mattan S. Ben-Shachar @mattansb.msbstats.info · 06/10/2026

This was so fun to to! And finally puts to rest the long lasting issue that has fractured society for so long - do different colored marshmallows actually taste different??

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

See more details here: regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/06-the... And listen here: open.spotify.com/episode/7mcX...

Results showing when pink marshmallows are different people can tell

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

🎙️ Today on Regression to the Mean Girls @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & I chat with @mattansb.msbstats.info about a marshmallow test (no, not that one!) This ep has everything! Bayesian models! Food science! A twist at the end! Listen wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Dr. Adam Stein @astein.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sophisticated statistics can produce extremely precise nonsense when the design fails to identify the causal mechanism.

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

What a bummer that our reality has shaped up to be even worse than Philip K Dick imagined 😬😬😬

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Not any more! Give me deterministic or give me deathhhhh - Patrick Henry, probably

static.klipy.com

Jonah Hill No

ALT: Jonah Hill No

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Reposted by Lucy D’Agostino McGowan

Thomas Lumley @tslumley.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The polite term "flawed" is part of the problem. Flawless trials are pretty rare (everything in clinical trials is simple but the simplest thing is difficult) This study wasn't just flawed, it was seriously misleading and implausible

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Emily Riederer @emilyriederer.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The eternal question in data is "what is the denominator" and man does Gemini make silly choices. Asked how common an injury is, one might assume I meant *in people* but am given two rates: - % of injury among all hamstring injuries - % of injury among those who have half of the injury 🤷‍♀️

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

My husband and I too! He also reminded me that we actually started it in 2015 to figure out what the hype was about and had to stop after an upsettingly nonchalant dialogue about assault ..ick.

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

some of my finest stat-comm work 🤣https://bsky.app/profile/lucystats.bsky.social/post/3lo2japgpxk2d

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Reposted by Lucy D’Agostino McGowan

Emily Riederer @emilyriederer.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Had so much fun chatting with @lucystats.bsky.social and @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social about gnarly real world data wrangling — from elections to EHRs and beyond! Show link below! Meanwhile, I’m live-posting of my latest civic data eng sidequests here bsky.app/profile/emil...

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Get the details here: regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/05-rie... And give it a listen here (or wherever you listen to podcasts!): open.spotify.com/episode/0QKf...

regressiontothemeangirls.com

Election Data Web Scraping – Regression to the Mean Girls

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

🎙️ Today on Regression to the Mean Girls @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & I chat with the amazing @emilyriederer.bsky.social about a deep dive into election data! We chat data quality! Headless browser automation! Connections to EHR data! It’s great.

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

like this, I think? But (if I understand the gist!) yes, I keep seeing this in my classes where when I try to break things under most reasonable conditions I have trouble 😆, most recently in linear regression, prior to that, complete case analyses when only missing covariates 🙈

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

ooh I'm excited to look more closely, from a quick skim, we did these sims in grad school and its for baseline probs much less than 0.2 (or > 0.8) where you see the big differences (that classic batman shape 😂) dug out this ancient artifact: lucy.shinyapps.io/BinomialCove...

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Monkey island ♥️ Did you see Ron Gilbert is doing another Thimbleweed park?

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

I usually can suspend disbelief enough for fun sci fi things but for some reason once infinity enters the chat I usually tap out 🤣 so I almost tapped out this season but glad I didn’t!

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

I do think the next two eps will be about that (from reading between the lines comments from one of the writers on Reddit 😂) which will hopefully be good!

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

expecting more like actually infinite possibilities and I feel like this season has been stuck in finite ones? I don’t fully understand the replicating rules but if there are so many Jasons why aren’t there just as many families for him to reunite with, why was there just the one?

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

This is so interesting! That isn’t how I saw it, to me it seemed more like an exploration of grief & acceptance that felt really grounding. But the many versions of one person is interesting I think I’ve had the opposite reaction this season where my (limited!!) multiverse understanding would be

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

I think I did too (although I am a slow processor 😅)

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Hadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 21/09/2026

Possibly the best gift I ever received (from @winstonchang.bsky.social)

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Also featuring tidy data brass knuckles…in case of emergency 🤣

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Check out how he did it here: regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/04-wes... And give it a listen here or wherever you listen to podcasts! open.spotify.com/episode/2qMP...

regressiontothemeangirls.com

The Art of Web Scraping Art – Regression to the Mean Girls

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

🎙️ Today on Regression to the Mean Girls @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & I chat with @hadley.nz about an over-engineered solution to purchase some beautiful art!

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Eileen Clancy 🧿 @clancyny.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Christine Zhang analyzed 415 episodes of Law & Order to answer the question: "How long does it actually take in Law & Order land for the criminal justice system to work, compared with how long it takes in reality?" @christinezhang.bsky.social regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/03-law...

Analysis
Here’s a histogram showing the distribution of the time elapsed in each episode. The average Law & Order episode takes place over the course of about 68 days. How does that compare with reality?

Days elapsed over the course of a Law & Order episode
Based on an analysis of 415 episodes

[histogram diagram]
Average: 68 days

Real-life NYPD cases
take 800+ days to process

A timeline of cases in Law & Order

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

🎙️ Regression to the Mean Girls Ep 2 is up! In which I share a deep dive on Severance data 😏 regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/02-mys... open.spotify.com/episode/79hj...

open.spotify.com

The Work Is Mysterious and Important: Severance Data

Regression to the Mean Girls · Episode

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

🎙️ New Podcast! @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & I are launching Regression to the Mean Girls where we go way too deep into silly data side quests! In our first episode Sarah deep dives on time to first kiss in romance novels! open.spotify.com/episode/73wC... regressiontothemeangirls.com

open.spotify.com

Romance by the Numbers: First Sparks Across Tropes

Regression to the Mean Girls · Episode

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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Thank you to everyone who came & for all the great discussion after! You can find: 🎞️ my slides here: www.lucymcgowan.com/talk/asa_joi... 📄 our article here: arxiv.org/abs/2512.07739

Lucy presenting a slide that says “My favorite things practical application and cute math”

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Reposted by Lucy D’Agostino McGowan

The Cochrane Collaboration @cochrane.org · 05/08/2026

In a time of conflicting messages, how can you find reliable health evidence? The Conversation (@theconversation.com) has published some good tips on doing your own research on your health 👇️ theconversation.com/how-to-do-yo...

theconversation.com

How to do your own online health research like a scientist – a biostatistician’s step-by-step guide

Here’s how to sift through complicated studies without getting overwhelmed.

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