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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 7h

Getting really difficult for me to picture Sand losing

Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 9h

Three's company in the #RhodeIsland race for governor. Incumbent Dan McKee (D) was bounced in the primary by Helena Foulkes. She will face Aaron Guckian (R) and Ken Block (I) in this election, and there's a non-zero chance the GOP could finish in third. #Election2026 #Midterms2026

Election 2026 Rhode Island Governor mini-preview - Lost primary Dem Dan McKee - Candidates Dem Helena Foulkes, Rep Aaron Guckian, Ind Ken Block - 2022 results map by town - Prior Result (2022): Dem 57.92%, Rep 38.86% - Current Prediction: Safe Democratic

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Reposted by Logomachist Elections

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

#earlyvote evening update 10/2: at least 1,090,946 people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2...

election.lab.ufl.edu

UF Election Lab: 2026 General Election Early Vote Statistics

Live national and state-by-state early voting statistics for the 2026 general election.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 02/10/2026

The GOP's money is telling us what we have known for a while - NC is not competitive and they will lose

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 02/10/2026

The 1st District of #Ohio was gerrymandered again to make it less blue. In spite of that, we still think incumbent Greg Landsman is the favorite in his re-election run over Eric Conroy (R). Maybe a different story in another electoral environment, but not this one. #Election2026 #Midterms2026

Election 2026 Ohio US House 1st District mini-preview - Incumbent Dem Greg Landsman - Challenger Rep Eric Conroy - map of OH-01 in blue in southwestern Ohio - Prior Result (2024 - Pre-Redistricting): Dem 54.58%, Rep 45.42% - Current Prediction: Lean Democratic

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 01/10/2026

However, even though this might be a difficult year for him, he's somewhat of a political survivor in a tight district. #Election2026 #Midterms2026 #CA22 youtu.be/zu2j4M7Efs4

youtu.be

California 22nd District Preview: Central Valley Toss-Up [Election 2026]

YouTube video by Logomachist Elections

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 01/10/2026

RACE PREVIEW: Today, we preview the House race in #California's 22nd District. Republican David Valadao is running for re-election, and he could have a tough time holding onto this seat for a few different reasons.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 01/10/2026

#NorthCarolina is looking more and more like a flip in 2026. Sen. Thom Tillis (R) is not running, and while Michael Whatley will take up the GOP mantle, Democrats landed a big recruit in ex-Gov. Roy Cooper. This race has been Cooper's to lose since he got into it. #Election2026 #Midterms2026

Election 2026 North Carolina US Senate mini-preview - Retiring Rep Thom Tillis - Candidates Rep Michael Whatley, Dem Roy Cooper - map of 2020 Senate results by county - Prior Result (2020): Republican 48.69%, Dem 46.94% - Current Prediction (Flip): Lean Democratic

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 01/10/2026

It's October. This is absolutely not going to turn around before the midterms, if ever.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 01/10/2026

#Virginia hit 282K early votes yesterday, which is more than double this point in the 2022 midterms. VA-01 and VA-05 seem to be leading the way. www.vpap.org/elections/ea...

vpap.org

Your Window into Virginia Politics

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 30/09/2026

David Valadao (R) has survived close calls as the #California 22nd rep. CA-22 got a bit more Democratic during redistricting, meaning Valadao will have to battle for his re-election against Democrat Randy Villegas. Dems accounted for 59% of the primary vote here. #Election2026 #Midterms2026

Election 2026 California US House 22nd District mini-preview - Incumbent Rep David Valadao - Challenger Dem Randy Villegas - map of California 22nd District in red - Prior Result (2024): Rep 53.42%, Dem 46.58% - Current Prediction: Toss-Up

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 30/09/2026

I mean, what did they think was going to happen

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 29/09/2026

If Republicans could lose in Ohio, a state that has become much more reliable for them, then they're probably worrying about other states as well. #OhioPolitics #Election2026 #Midterms2026 youtu.be/ILDyjzIFGQs

youtu.be

Ohio Governor Race Preview: A Swing State Again? Maybe? [Election 2026]

YouTube video by Logomachist Elections

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 29/09/2026

RACE PREVIEW: The race for #Ohio governor could be their closest and most competitive in a long time. It could result in Democrats winning the office for the first time in 20 years. The race between Amy Acton (D) and Vivek Ramaswamy (R) bears watching.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 29/09/2026

#Ohio will elect a new governor this year as Mike DeWine (R) is termed out. However, this is not the slam dunk past races have been for the GOP. Maybe far from it. Amy Acton (D) is hanging with Vivek Ramaswamy (R) in the polls, which should make for a very interesting election night.

Election 2026 Ohio Governor mini-preview - Term-Limited Rep Mike DeWine - Candidates Rep Vivek Ramaswamy, Dem Amy Acton - 2022 governor results map by county - Prior Result (2022): Rep 62.41%, Dem 37.38% - Current Prediction: Toss-Up

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Reposted by Logomachist Elections

Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Via David Paleogos at Suffolk: the latest Suffolk poll numbers in Ohio #OHGov Acton 50 Ramaswamy 41 Kissick 3 Undecided 5 Who is running the more negative campaign Ramaswamy 48 Acton 23

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 28/09/2026

In fact, public opinion has turned so harshly against them that some Democrats and Republicans have called for anything from guardrails and slowdowns to moratoriums. #DataCenters #2026Midterms #Election2026 youtu.be/lHTt4iHEQBE

youtu.be

Data Centers as a 2026 Midterms Issue

YouTube video by Logomachist Elections

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 28/09/2026

While many Americans are still focused on issues like the economy and the ongoing war in Iran, data centers have come up more recently in the 2026 campaign. There has been a data center boom in the United States, but many local communities have fought back against them.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 28/09/2026

The 1st District of #Iowa was one of the closest races anywhere in 2024. Incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) beat Christina Bohannan (D) by less than 800 votes. The two are having their second rematch in 2026. #Election2026 #Midterms2026

Election 2026 Iowa US House 1st District mini-preview - Incumbent Rep Mariannette Miller-Meeks, Challenger Dem Christina Bohannan - Iowa 1st District map in red - Prior Result (2024): Rep 49.98%, Dem 49.79% - Current Prediction: Toss-Up

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 27/09/2026

We take you through some of the particulars of the Minnesota Senate race between Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya. #Election2026 #MNpol #Midterms2026 #MNSen www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lw0X...

youtube.com

Minnesota Senate Race Preview: Staying Blue? [Election 2026]

YouTube video by Logomachist Elections

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 27/09/2026

RACE PREVIEW: The #Minnesota Senate race in 2026 is an open seat, so already, you know both parties will be fighting hard for it. Republicans think they have a shot at this race, but how good of a chance is it? After all, this is shaping up to be a blue electoral environment.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 27/09/2026

The Senate race in #NewJersey, once again, won't be anything special. Democrat Cory Booker is running for re-election, which few expect him to be denied. His Republican opponent is Justin Murphy. The GOP has not won a Senate race here since 1972. #Election2026 #Midterms2026

Election 2026 New Jersey US Senate race mini-preview - Incumbent Dem Cory Booker - Challenger Rep Justin Murphy - map of 2020 US Senate results by county - Prior Result (2020): Dem 57.23%, Rep 40.92% - Current Prediction: Safe Democratic

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 27/09/2026

Looking forward to putting out our first "no toss-ups" guess soon. Becoming less of a question of if it will be a wave election: the question now is how big of a wave. #election2026

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026

Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) says he has no plans to help Ken Paxton with fundraising, warning Republicans risk losing when they nominate “flawed candidates.” Asked by CNN whether Paxton deserves to be a senator, Cornyn said he would “let the voters decide.”

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 26/09/2026

The 3rd District of #Washington has a habit of being close. Moderate Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez has had close calls, but so far has yet to lose. Her GOP opponent this time is John Braun, a state senator. We recently moved this race to Tilt Dem from Toss-Up. #Election2026 #Midterms2026

Election 2026 Washington US House 3rd District mini-preview - Incumbent Dem Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, Challenger Rep John Braun - map of Washington's 3rd District in blue - Prior Result (2024): Dem 51.74%, Rep 47.86% - Current Prediction: Tilt Democratic

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Reposted by Logomachist Elections

Josh Gerstein @joshgerstein.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

BREAKING: #SCOTUS again rejects GOP bid to tweak Missouri district lines to pick up another U.S. House seat, chides lower federal courts for ignoring Purcell principle and interfering in state decisions just prior to election. Remarkably, no noted dissent. www.politico.com/news/2026/09...

politico.com

Supreme Court again snubs GOP gerrymander in Missouri

Justices also warned federal courts not to interfere with state decisions.

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Reposted by Logomachist Elections

States Newsroom @statesnewsroom.com · 25/09/2026

Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell has resigned, less than 24 hours after the Sherrill administration released a report alleging multiple ethical lapses on Caldwell’s behalf.Gov. Mikie Sherrill said Caldwell submitted his resignation Friday afternoon and she accepted. Both are Democrats.

bit.ly

Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell resigns after report cites ethics violations

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 25/09/2026

Here's your early voting tracker for #Virginia - likely to cruise over 150K votes in the till today: www.vpap.org/elections/ea...

vpap.org

Your Window into Virginia Politics

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 25/09/2026

#Wisconsin has an open race for governor in 2026 with Democrat Tony Evers retiring. David Crowley (D) faces Tom Tiffany (R) in one of the nation's most crucial swing states. This toss-up race will be allocated soon. #election2026 #midterms2026

Election 2026 Wisconsin governor mini-preview - Retiring Dem Tony Evers - Candidates Dem David Crowley, Rep Tom Tiffany - map of 2022 governor results - Prior Result (2022): Dem 51.15%, Rep 47.75% - Current Prediction: Toss-Up

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 25/09/2026

With October coming, we're going no toss-ups soon. Starting on 10/1, the few dozen races we have as toss-ups will start to be allocated. This should be fun. #Election2026

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 24/09/2026

Well, look at you, UNH. Giving me some content this afternoon. (Even if they're a Hockey East rival school of mine.)

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 24/09/2026

Not saying I fully believe it, but Phil Scott losing would be one of the biggest upsets of the cycle and I'm not kidding.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 24/09/2026

The 4th District of #Michigan was considered safe as recently as, well, the last election. It doesn't seem to be anymore. Incumbent Bill Huizenga (R) faces a well-funded challenger in Sean McCann (D), a state senator. Donald Trump carried MI-04 by six in 2024. #Election2026 #Midterms2026 #MI04

Election 2026 Michigan US House 4th District mini-preview - Incumbent Rep Bill Huizenga - Challenger Dem Sean McCann - map of Michigan's 4th District in red - Prior Result (2024): Rep 55.07%, Dem 43.36% - Current Prediction: Tilt Republican

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 23/09/2026

For some perspective, 2006 was D+8 and 2018 was D+9. 2008 (presidential year) was about D+11 and a Dem landslide. D+13 wouldn't be a blue wave or a blue tsunami, it would be more like a blue orbital nuke.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 23/09/2026

Logomachist Elections goes into detail in this 2026 Iowa governor race. Yes, we will also let you know who we think is going to win. #IowaGovernor #Election2026 #Midterms2026#IowaPolitics youtu.be/Eby_z66bWiw

youtu.be

Iowa Governor Race Preview: Blue Iowa Coming Back? [Election 2026]

YouTube video by Logomachist Elections

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 23/09/2026

RACE PREVIEW: We ask this - Are the Democrats about to win the #Iowa governor's race for the first time in 20 years? Donald Trump won Iowa by 13 points just two years ago, so how could we possibly be talking about this as a potential Democratic flip?

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 23/09/2026

Democrats thought they had Susan Collins (R) in politically-independent #Maine back in 2020, but it did not happen. It's probably now or never in 2026, as the incumbent faces Democrat Troy Jackson. Will Collins be denied a sixth term? #Election2026 #Midterms2026 #MESen

Election 2026 Maine US Senate mini-preview - Incumbent Rep Susan Collins - Challenger Dem Troy Jackson - map of 2020 Maine election results - Prior Result (2020): Rep 50.98%, Dem 42.39% - Current Prediction: Toss-Up

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 23/09/2026

Another good poll for Talarico. I understand the hesitation to believe it, and some might point to 2018, but I went back and checked - Beto O'Rourke only led in a few polls the entire campaign. Talarico leads in most of them today. This race doesn't feel like that one.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 23/09/2026

You can tell based upon how the messaging has started to change from some GOP candidates and how (for example) GOP ad spending in Texas has suddenly spiked. Polls are one thing but always watch what the candidates and campaigns actually do.

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 22/09/2026

The 1st District of #Arizona, in Maricopa County, is an open seat. It's also a toss-up. Democrats renominated Amish Shah, while the GOP chose former NFL kicker Jay Feely. Shah lost by four points last year in a district that Trump carried by 3. #election2026 #midterms2026

Election 2026 Arizona US House 1st District mini-preview - Retiring Rep David Schweikert - Candidates Rep Jay Feely, Dem Amish Shah - map of Arizona's 1st District in red - Prior Result (2024): Rep 51.91%, Dem 48.09% - Current Prediction: Toss-Up

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 22/09/2026

Oh BTW our Iowa governor preview is scheduled to drop tomorrow

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