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Liam Kerr

@liamkerr.bsky.social

36K followers 93 following 226 posts

Co-founder of WelcomePAC, strengthening the center-left by putting Democrats on offense in winnable center-right districts Former: beat the IOC as co-founder of No Boston Olympics, served through AmeriCorps

Posts Replies Media

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Emily Norton @emnorton.bsky.social · 18/01/2026

“…the share of Democrats identifying as liberal climbed from 33% in 2005 to 59% in 2025. The challenge: Among voters overall, the share identifying as liberal is just 28%.” That’s why beating GOP requires #BigTent @liamkerr.bsky.social www.bostonglobe.com/2026/01/16/o...

bostonglobe.com

Elizabeth Warren wants a ‘big tent’ party — but only on her terms - The Boston Globe

Democrats will have to be flexible on social issues to win new voters.

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 16/01/2026

The "Politics of Evasion" is back Progressives are trying to co-opt the Big Tent narrative while dodging unpopular issues they use to exclude NEW in The Boston Globe on Elizabeth Warren www.bostonglobe.com/2026/01/16/o...

bostonglobe.com

Elizabeth Warren wants a ‘big tent’ party — but only on her terms - The Boston Globe

Democrats will have to be flexible on social issues to win new voters.

Reposted by Liam Kerr

David M. Drucker @davidmdrucker.bsky.social · 27/10/2025

NEW: My #SkiffCast Interview w/ @liamkerr.bsky.social on the trials & tribulations of pushing the Democratic Party to the competitive center. thedispatch.com/podcast/the-... @thedispatchmedia.bsky.social

thedispatch.com

The Democrats’ Next Step | Interview: Liam Kerr

A thought-provoking look at the internal debates shaping the future of the Democratic Party.

Reposted by Liam Kerr

David Slifka @davidslifka.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

My favorite part of the Deciding to Win report by @simonbazelon.bsky.social @liamkerr.bsky.social and Lauren Pope: A working definition of moderation! "Being moderate means taking popular, heterodox positions—not defending the establishment."

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 27/10/2025

🚨 Donald Trump and the Republican Party are damaging our economy and threatening our democracy. Democrats need to learn how to win again, but they can't do it with the same old tactics and candidates. Here's exactly how Democrats can start winning: www.welcomestack.org/p/introducin...

welcomestack.org

Introducing DECIDING TO WIN

Postmortem with a plan

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 06/09/2025

ICYMI: Tom Suozzi was one of the only members in 2024 to go on offense and take the issue of immigration head-on instead of pivoting or ignoring it. Let’s make sure he wins again in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-tom-su...

welcomestack.org

The Tom Suozzi Endorsement

Why Suozzi Keeps Getting It Done

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 31/08/2025

Up North, we celebrate the Revolution, but whisper about the Civil War. As West Point re-hangs a portrait of Robert E. Lee, it’s time for Democrats to rediscover the other Union pride. And give credit to the Southern Unionists who made the difference. www.welcomestack.org/p/890-the-ot...

welcomestack.org

890: (the other) Union Pride

Southern Unionists & modern debates

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 31/08/2025

Up North, we celebrate the Revolution, but whisper about the Civil War. As West Point re-hangs a portrait of Robert E. Lee, it’s time for Democrats to rediscover the other Union pride. And give credit to the Southern Unionists who made the difference. www.welcomestack.org/p/890-the-ot...

welcomestack.org

890: (the other) Union Pride

Southern Unionists & modern debates

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 29/08/2025

Why is Mamdani pivoting to the center? Look to AOC campaign doc for the “Signal” vs. the Substance www.welcomestack.org/p/892-dsas-s...

welcomestack.org

892: DSA's Signal vs Substance

Another thing to learn from Mamdani: everyone pivots away from the left

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 28/08/2025

Democrats, choose your fighter: Newsom or Whitmer? www.welcomestack.org/p/893-newsom...

welcomestack.org

893: Newsom vs. Whitmer

Democrats are giving the kids unlimited screen time

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 27/08/2025

And the first state to vote in the 2028 presidential primary will be ... www.welcomestack.org/p/894-living...

welcomestack.org

894: Living Free in 2027

New Hampshire will be the first primary state

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 26/08/2025

Starting in 2032, the White House will look like the Senate. That should make Democrats nervous, and force changes fast. www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...

welcomestack.org

896: White House is the New Senate

Realignment required by 2032

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 25/08/2025

With 896 until the first 2028 presidential primary votes are counted, the read of the day says ... Starting in 2032, the White House is just like the Senate The current Democratic coalition is shut out without a ton of luck www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...

welcomestack.org

896: White House is the New Senate

Realignment required by 2032

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 25/08/2025

With 896 until the first 2028 presidential primary votes are counted, the read of the day says ... Starting in 2032, the White House is just like the Senate The current Democratic coalition is shut out without a ton of luck www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...

welcomestack.org

896: White House is the New Senate

Realignment required by 2032

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 23/08/2025

There is a big debate on moderation wining elections Today's read of the day is from Noah Smith: does moderation lead to better policy? www.welcomestack.org/p/898-modera...

welcomestack.org

898: Moderation on the Merits

Noah Smith connecting effective politics with policy

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Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 23/08/2025

"Literally everyone is triggered"

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Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 23/08/2025

Did moderates just dominate social media for a day by putting out a verbal blacklist? Sure seems like it Via @thirdway.bsky.social www.welcomestack.org/p/899-verbal...

welcomestack.org

899: Verbal Edge

Third Way's words to avoid

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 16/08/2025

WAR isn’t just about identifying Democratic overperformers It helps identify weak Republicans who can be beaten www.welcomestack.org/p/905-offens...

welcomestack.org

905: Offensive Measures

WAR helps identify underperforming GOP targets, not just case studies

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 14/08/2025

Tom Suozzi was one of the only members in 2024 to go on offense and take the issue of immigration head-on instead of pivoting or ignoring it. He over performed then. He's going to win again in 2026. We are proud to endorse him today. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-tom-su...

welcomestack.org

The Tom Suozzi Endorsement

Why Suozzi Keeps Getting It Done

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 06/08/2025

"Strategist versus organizer" "Their consultants are garbage" How AOC knew she'd win, from the 2018 documentary www.welcomestack.org/p/916-differ...

welcomestack.org

916: Difference Between Organizer & Strategist

Documentary inspiration

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

Trump’s second term is six months old today His numbers? 🔻 Approval down 🔻 Even base is softening 🔻 Every issue down, even immigration But somehow… still more popular than Trump I. www.welcomestack.org/p/932-six-mo...

welcomestack.org

932: Six Months In and Underwater

Polling drops from inauguration to today

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

Trump’s second term is six months old today His numbers? 🔻 Approval down 🔻 Even base is softening 🔻 Every issue down, even immigration But somehow… still more popular than Trump I. www.welcomestack.org/p/932-six-mo...

welcomestack.org

932: Six Months In and Underwater

Polling drops from inauguration to today

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 15/07/2025

ICYMI: Janelle Stelson is back and ready to finish the job. She is running against one of the most extreme Republicans in Congress, and ran in one of the closest races in 2024. She can win in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/janelle-st...

welcomestack.org

Janelle Stelson is back to finish the job

Stelson came within a point of being the 219th House Democrat in 2024. Now she's back to finish the job

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 18/07/2025

Of the top 16 House fundraisers, 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races—while 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats. Democrats are funding viral videos and list buys. Republicans are funding battlegrounds. This is a problematic trend.

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 18/07/2025

Centrist Democrats in purple states and districts face a conundrum: They know Republicans will tie them to Zohran Mamdani and paint them as radicals. But "It’s hard to distance yourself from cool." as @liamkerr.bsky.social told me. www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

independent.co.uk

Moderate Democrats’ Mamdani conundrum: ‘It’s hard to distance yourself from cool’

Socialist who has support of far-left Democrats like AOC and Bernie Sanders will meet with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries on Friday

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 17/07/2025

🚨 An analysis of the top 16 fundraisers in the House shows 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races But 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats We need smarter donors! www.welcomestack.org/p/935-a-heal...

welcomestack.org

935: A Healthy Bubble

Step out of it for a 2028 preview

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Michael Kruse @michaelkruse.bsky.social · 16/07/2025

“Progressives are like ‘Succession,’ centrists are like the NFL,” says @liamkerr.bsky.social. “One gets high ratings across every demographic every single fall, while the other occasionally dominates elite conversation. Mamdani-mania is like the season finale.”

Playbook: Can the White House turn the page on Epstein?

And the House readies for a big crypto vote, while the Senate takes a big step on rescissions.

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 17/07/2025

🚨 An analysis of the top 16 fundraisers in the House shows 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races But 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats We need smarter donors! www.welcomestack.org/p/935-a-heal...

welcomestack.org

935: A Healthy Bubble

Step out of it for a 2028 preview

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 14/07/2025

Republicans gerrymanders are driving down the odds of Democrats flipping the House But there’s a solution: make them Dummymanders www.welcomestack.org/p/939-odds-o...

welcomestack.org

939: Odds of a Dummymander

Breaking the gerrymander driving up the GOP's chances of keeping the House

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Part of our Centrist School series opened with “In 2018, to ply the trade of a Center Left political operative in a blue state was to lead a lonely existence.” Those days are gone! Check out this New York Times homepage:

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 08/07/2025

Dan Osborn announced for Senate today, and just made Nebraska competitive. What’s that worth to the anti-MAGA world? Put a number on it, a specific number, and fund the future. www.welcomestack.org/p/944-talk-m...

welcomestack.org

944: Talk money to me (about Nebraska)

What's the value of adding a US Senate seat to the competitive map?

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 08/07/2025

Who wants to tell him

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 07/07/2025

2020: 9 Dems raise hands for idea voters hate 2025: Dems still haunted by the photo Democrats can win on immigration. Listen to Frank! www.welcomestack.org/p/945-frank-...

welcomestack.org

945: Frank Talk on Immigration

Hands down on extreme policies

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

Why Elon Will Fail The only academic paper I've ever written! www.welcomestack.org/p/946-why-el...

welcomestack.org

946: Why Elon Will Fail

Politics is hard tbh

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 04/07/2025

It's Only Treason If You Lose Democrats need patriotism to win, the idea of America requires winning www.welcomestack.org/p/948-what-a...

welcomestack.org

948: What an idea

America is an idea Democrats must be proud of

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 04/07/2025

It's Only Treason If You Lose Democrats need patriotism to win, the idea of America requires winning www.welcomestack.org/p/948-what-a...

welcomestack.org

948: What an idea

America is an idea Democrats must be proud of

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 03/07/2025

We used to have a Big Beautiful Bill who reduced the debt And we can do it again! Lock In Two more Manchins and three more Goldens www.welcomestack.org/p/949-four-t...

welcomestack.org

949: Four thoughts on the bill

OBBB passed and will be with us for a while

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

Have 107 unread texts from vacation. Tons were political fundraising spam. Reminder: – Fake donation “matches” are a scam – Some PACs spend more on consultants than candidates – The best way to beat MTG is to flip the House, not fund another doomed challenger www.welcomestack.org/p/953-no-fak...

welcomestack.org

952: No Fake Matches

Invest in the right Democrats at end-of-quarter

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

Have 107 unread texts from vacation. Tons were political fundraising spam. Reminder: – Fake donation “matches” are a scam – Some PACs spend more on consultants than candidates – The best way to beat MTG is to flip the House, not fund another doomed challenger www.welcomestack.org/p/953-no-fak...

welcomestack.org

952: No Fake Matches

Invest in the right Democrats at end-of-quarter

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 30/06/2025

A guy with a good chart can't beat a bad bill in a GOP trifecta But great chart can be worth trillions! This one from @johnarnoldfndtn.bsky.social Groups Chats #953 feat Yglesias, Blue Dogs, and polling www.welcomestack.org/p/953-good-c...

welcomestack.org

953: Good Chart on a Bad Bill

This GOP budget bill, woof.

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 27/06/2025

Pew Research’s report on 2024 is out today One of the biggest findings: it confirms the electorate remains volatile with fully 1 in 4 eligible voters behaving differently than in 2020 www.welcomestack.org/p/956-pew-re...

welcomestack.org

956: Pew Research Validates Volatility

New report confirms massive swings in electorate

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 24/06/2025

Ideological storylines are all scrambled 1. Cuomo's establishment backing? Unions 2. Cuomo is anti-Abundance 3. Mamdani talks Abundance a lot 4. Mamdani needs oppressive heat to reduce Black vote 5. Bernie Blue Dog! www.welcomestack.org/p/958-scramb...

welcomestack.org

958: Scrambled Storylines

NYC lacks a centrist narrative

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Reposted by Liam Kerr

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 22/06/2025

Saw a no-hitter today! On baseball, democracy, and hope Read of the day: Nick Kristof www.welcomestack.org/p/960-hope-s...

welcomestack.org

960: Hope Springs Eternal

Kristof, Baseball, Democracy

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 22/06/2025

Saw a no-hitter today! On baseball, democracy, and hope Read of the day: Nick Kristof www.welcomestack.org/p/960-hope-s...

welcomestack.org

960: Hope Springs Eternal

Kristof, Baseball, Democracy

Reposted by Liam Kerr

Democratic Wins Media @democraticwins.bsky.social · 21/06/2025

BREAKING: NYC’s Mayoral election is on Tuesday. We encourage voters not to rank Zohran Mamdani. He didn’t endorse Kamala Harris, doesn’t support our platform, and if he wins, his policies will hurt our chance to win the midterms. We can’t afford that. For more: open.substack.com/pub/demwinsm...

open.substack.com

A Tale of Two Cities

As New York grapples with a chaotic mayoral primary – they could learn a lesson or two from San Francisco.

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 22/06/2025

RCV in NYC has revolutionized negative campaigning “Don’t Rank” campaign dynamic requires new tactics Featuring new report from Third Way on DSA platform www.welcomestack.org/p/961-scorch...

welcomestack.org

961: Scorched Earth in NYC

In a race between "Don't Rank" campaigns, centrists shouldn't sit out

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 16/06/2025

Ranked Choice Voting has the potential to deliver centrist outcomes But if progressives keep out-organizing centrists, Democrats may have to answer for more Mamdanis On electoral reform, defunding the police for trans women, and the situation in NYC www.welcomestack.org/p/966-mamdan...

welcomestack.org

966: Mamdani and Faction

Democratic centrists must organize to reap full benefits of RCV

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 14/06/2025

🙏 www.welcomestack.org/p/968-childr...

Liam Kerr @liamkerr.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

People call Bluesky a liberal bubble But what if it’s a containment zone to keep the rest of social media free from everyone here? www.joshbarro.com/p/bluesky-is...

Bluesky Isn't a Bubble. It's a Containment Dome.

Pray that Bluesky doesn't die entirely — we need it so the worst liberal posts are kept in a place where the broader public won't ever see them.