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@welcometeam.bsky.social
50K followers 2 following 307 posts

We’re a community of Democrats focused on winning. We elect, convene, and amplify bold, pragmatic leaders who represent the middle.

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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
Upset about the DNC hiding the 2024 autopsy? Don’t be – a 2028 pre-mortem is actually what’s needed. Democrats misread the last three elections, and need to get ahead of a 2026 mirage. www.welcomestack.org/p/pre-mortem...
welcomestack.org
Democrats need a pre-mortem, not an autopsy
Democrats keep celebrating at the 20-yard line
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
A new critique of our Deciding To Win report shows just how much Democrats across the political spectrum agree with its core arguments. www.welcomestack.org/p/in-violent...
welcomestack.org
In Violent Agreement with Stan Greenberg
Pollster’s critique of Deciding to Win proves the thesis. Sometimes word for word.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Welcome is thrilled to endorse four candidates who prove they can Win the Middle on Trump turf in 2026. Read our case for Jamie Ager, Shannon Bird, Christina Bohannan, and Sarah Trone Garriott. open.substack.com/pub/thewelco...
open.substack.com
The Jamie Ager, Shannon Bird, Christina Bohannan, and Sarah Trone Garriott Endorsements
Welcome is thrilled to back four candidates who prove they can Win the Middle on Trump turf in 2026.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
Want to flip the House next year? Support these amazing candidates: secure.actblue.com/donate/winth...
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
🚨Welcome’s Win the Middle slate is filling out for the 2026 cycle with the addition of these great candidates!
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
The left has proven unable to win elections like the special election in Tennessee. But we know that, so can't blame them - gotta just step up and admit Centrist Need To Try Harder To Win Tough Races. www.welcomestack.org/p/centrists-...
welcomestack.org
Centrists should try harder to win tough races
Don’t blame the left for Tennessee
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Focusing on affordability alone won’t win races for Democrats. In moderate and conservative districts, we need candidates who don’t have to outrun a left wing record.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
GOP was vulnerable in Tennessee Aftyn Behn ran hard and Dems spent millions. But ... Affordability message can't outrun a leftwing record. open.substack.com/pub/thewelco...
open.substack.com
No Left On Red
Lessons from the loss in Tennessee
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Jared Golden's retirement should be a wake-up call for the country. We are losing good political leaders because of extreme polarization. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-golden...
welcomestack.org
The Golden Zone
Model & motivator
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
As we head into the new year, all eyes will be on the House of Representatives. Republicans are trying to gerrymander states to shrink the battlefield. We don't think it will hold up. www.welcomestack.org/p/congressio...
welcomestack.org
Congressional Competition Index Q3: The Ever-Changing House Battlefield
Republicans tried to shrink the battlefield with aggressive gerrymandering, but the 2025 elections suggest these gerrymanders might not hold up
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
Black and Hispanic voters once made up the base for the Democratic Party. Now, they’re turning away. Why? We explain: www.welcomestack.org/p/how-democr...
welcomestack.org
How Democrats Lost Black and Hispanic Voters
Dems’ problem isn’t in turning out the base — it’s keeping voters of color in the base.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Republicans thought they could gerrymander states like Texas and keep the House in 2026. Turns out, their plan might backfire. Here's why: www.welcomestack.org/p/congressio...
welcomestack.org
Congressional Competition Index Q3: The Ever-Changing House Battlefield
Republicans tried to shrink the battlefield with aggressive gerrymandering, but the 2025 elections suggest these gerrymanders might not hold up
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Republicans redrew the Texas map assuming their 2024 strength with Latinos would hold. But the 2025 elections suggest a moderate like Bobby Pulido could ruin their plans. www.welcomestack.org/p/congressio...
welcomestack.org
Congressional Competition Index Q3: The Ever-Changing House Battlefield
Republicans tried to shrink the battlefield with aggressive gerrymandering, but the 2025 elections suggest these gerrymanders might not hold up
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Cool kid Hot take: moderation doesn’t matter, it’s all about vibes. Reality: voters actually care about where politicians stand on issues, as Milan Singh shows: www.welcomestack.org/p/voters-are...
welcomestack.org
Voters are not fools
Issue positioning isn’t everything, but it’s not nothing either
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Democrats are increasingly the party of college-educated white people. Black and Hispanic voters who once made up the "base" have slowly been turning away from the party. Lauren Harper Pope explains why. www.welcomestack.org/p/how-democr...
welcomestack.org
How Democrats Lost Black and Hispanic Voters
Dems’ problem isn’t in turning out the base — it’s keeping voters of color in the base.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Ben McAdams is running again, and we're glad to see it. As we said last week: he's a proven winner, and is ready to take back a Congressional seat in Utah. www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...
welcomestack.org
Deciding to Back Winners
Ben McAdams: Recruiting the Calm to Beat the Storm
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
"If Democrats hope to lead a restless nation, we must lay out a clear platform rooted in a commitment to the middle class and those aspiring to it, based on the ideals of our party’s past, yet envisioned for a new age." This is Tom Suozzi's vision for a new kind of old-fashioned democrat.
welcomestack.org
New Kind of Old-Fashioned Democrat
Learning from a winner
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Donald Trump’s approval rating continues to fall. Following Tuesday’s results, it’s clear—Democrats can win in 2026. The key? Move to the middle.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 08/11/2025
This week, moderate candidates in Virginia and New Jersey, smashed expectations by running on pragmatic solutions. Want to win in 2026? Move to the center. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-real-l...
welcomestack.org
The Real Lessons From Last Night
Look to Virginia and New Jersey for lessons about the midterms.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
The lessons from last night should come from Virginia and New Jersey, where moderate Democrats smashed expectations by running on pragmatic solutions, not left-wing ideology. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-real-l...
welcomestack.org
The Real Lessons From Last Night
Look to Virginia and New Jersey for lessons about the midterms.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
Zohran Mamdani is the left's new hero and right's new villain. But what lessons can Democrats looking to win learn from his meteoric rise? And what myths about his campaign have to be busted along the way? We break it down: www.youtube.com/watch?v=w9Ci...
youtube.com
The REAL lessons from Zohran Mamdani | Deciding to Win Part 2
YouTube video by Welcome
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. But it’s usually the best clue we’ve got. Ben McAdams is a superstar, and he needs to run again. www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...
welcomestack.org
Deciding to Back Winners
Ben McAdams: Recruiting the Calm to Beat the Storm
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Democrats need to get back to winning again. We used to win in states like Florida and Ohio. We used to have Senators in West Virginia and Montana. Here's how we got here: www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...
welcomestack.org
DECIDING TO WIN: How We Got Here
An analysis of the Democratic Party platforms from 2012 to 2024 gives us clues to the current Democratic Party struggles
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
How did Democrats go from winning in states like Florida, Ohio, and Iowa and having U.S. senators in North Dakota, Montana, Missouri, and West Virginia to pundits now warning of a permanent Republican majority in the Senate? Here's how: www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...
welcomestack.org
DECIDING TO WIN: How We Got Here
An analysis of the Democratic Party platforms from 2012 to 2024 gives us clues to the current Democratic Party struggles
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
🚨 Donald Trump and the Republican Party are damaging our economy and threatening our democracy. Democrats need to learn how to win again, but they can't do it with the same old tactics and candidates. Here's exactly how Democrats can start winning: www.welcomestack.org/p/introducin...
welcomestack.org
Introducing DECIDING TO WIN
Postmortem with a plan
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Moving to the center is the way to win: The New York Times editorial board released essential reading today on why candidates backed by Welcome, Blue Dogs, and New Dems over-perform. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-new-yo...
welcomestack.org
Essential Reading in The New York Times
To beat authoritarianism, you need to win elections. Centrists do it best.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
Cory Mills has scandals piling up against him quickly, with the latest being a restraining order from his ex. This cycle, we can defeat him. www.welcomestack.org/p/dark-maga-...
welcomestack.org
Dark MAGA Police Reporting Part 4
The Cory Mills scandals are piling up, now is the chance to oust him from Congress
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
The Cory Mills scandals are piling up. A restraining order from his ex, lying about military accomplishments and financial improprieties. This cycle, Democrats could actually unseat him. But they need to focus on ensuring races on the edge of the battlefield get resources.
welcomestack.org
Dark MAGA Police Reporting Part 4
The Cory Mills scandals are piling up, now is the chance to oust him from Congress
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Democrats have lost ground with those who “somewhat” approve or disapprove of Trump. There’s time to reverse this trend if Democrats want to win in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/checking-i...
welcomestack.org
Checking In On The "Somewhats"
Democrats have lost ground with those who "somewhat" disapprove of Trump. That could cost them in the midterms.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
🚨 This should be sending off alarm bells for Democrats. Even though Donald Trump’s approval rating continues to fall, so too does the Democratic Party’s. This should be a warning heading into 2026.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Democrats are performing worse with those who "somewhat" disapprove or approve of Trump, a concern with midterms just a year away. www.welcomestack.org/p/checking-i...
welcomestack.org
Checking In On The "Somewhats"
Democrats have lost ground with those who "somewhat" disapprove of Trump. That could cost them in the midterms.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
The overwhelming majority of Americans, including Trump’s own voters, support extending ACA subsidies. Yet, House Republicans do not. Democrats have a prime opportunity to expand their big tent right now.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
If Republicans had a popular agenda, they wouldn’t have to conduct mid-decade redistricting efforts. It’s pretty simple.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
The left has graded all Democrats on their purity test. The Democrats who scored the best on "left score" underperform by 1.9 points, the Democrats with the worst "left score" over-performed by 2.3 points. You can have purity or you can have swing seats, but you can't have both.
welcomestack.org
Grades on the Literal Purity Test
Democrats are getting lost in the progressive purity test sauce, trading electoral over-performance for progressive accolades.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
The left's response to WelcomeFest is based on faulty assumptions, like the idea that Harris did better with Latinos in Florida than Biden. The result is a muddled messaging mess. www.welcomestack.org/p/persuasion...
welcomestack.org
Persuasion 2025: Unpersuasive
Shoddy analysis and utterly unpersuasive message guidance
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
The “progressive answer to WelcomeFest” featured 3 safe-seat underperformers, an influencer who just moved to the state, and a candidate 12 pts behind the top of the ticket. www.welcomestack.org/p/leftist-an...
welcomestack.org
Leftist Answer to WelcomeFest
Underperformers, transplants, and safe-seat Dems host private confab. Help proven winners intead!
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
Republicans are gerrymandering states because they know their agenda is very unpopular heading into 2026. It’s pretty simple—if Democrats expand their base, they will win.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 28/09/2025
ICYMI: Latino independents are driving Donald Trump’s plunging economic favorability. Democrats have a prime opportunity in this moment to bring in more voters into the base.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
We hear a lot about Trump’s cratering approval rating, and yes, that’s good news for Democrats heading into 2026. But, while Trump is not popular, neither is the Democratic Party, and so candidates will have to toe that line carefully if they want to win.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Centrist Democrats are breaking from their party in rhetoric, but voters need to see differentiated votes. It's time to walk the walk of moderation. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-sanity...
welcomestack.org
The Sanity of Definition
Democrats need to get specific.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
This is a graph showing Donald Trump’s plunging favorability on the economy. The driving factor in the fall? Latino independents.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
Trump's approval on the economy among Latino Independents has cratered, putting Republican plans to gerrymander border districts in Texas at risk. www.welcomestack.org/p/brawl-at-t...
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Republicans need to gerrymander states to win. Democrats need to expand their big tent to win. 2026 is right around the corner, now’s the time for Democrats to bring MORE voters into their coalition.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
🚨 Donald Trump’s approval rating is tanking in a key bellwether county, but the moderate Republican’s reputation still makes it a hard race for Democrats in 2026. Learn more, and read why Democrats need to expand their tent.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
In a crucial bellwether county, Trump's approval is plummeting. But the Republican incumbent's moderate reputation still makes this race an uphill battle. Democrats need to improve their standing among Independents to win the midterms. open.substack.com/pub/thewelco...
open.substack.com
The Bucks County Blues
Trump's approval in crucial Bucks county is tanking, but can Democrats turn that into victory in the House?
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
Democrats are trying to expand the Congressional map. Republicans are trying to gerrymander it. It’s that simple. www.welcomestack.org/p/congressio...
welcomestack.org
Congressional Competition Index Q2: 2026 House Battleground Takes Shape
Democrats are Trying to Expand the Map. Republicans are Gerrymandering it.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
ICYMI: We endorsed Jared Golden for re-election. Congressman Golden knows how to win tough races, because he’s done it multiple times before. Let’s get him a fifth term.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
Donald Trump’s approval rating on the economy is underwater. Now is the time for Democrats to expand their base, and bring more voters in. www.newsweek.com/donald-trump...
newsweek.com
Voters say Trump has hurt the economy more than helped
Overall, perceptions of the economy remain deeply negative, with 71 percent rating it poorly versus 29 percent positively.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
Jared Golden is the only Democrat to win four times in a district Trump won. Let's send him back to Congress for a fifth term. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-jared-...
welcomestack.org
The Jared Golden Endorsement
Jared's independent brand of politics has allowed him to win a Trump district four cycles in a row. Let's make it five.
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Welcome @welcometeam.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
The path to the House majority runs through the middle. Democrats need to expand our tent, especially as Trump becomes even more unpopular. That’s what we’re fighting for.
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