labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Ratio of SPX to SPXEW, which is the equal weight S&P. Cap weighted, the one everyone tracks, is up there to where it was just before the GFC, yet another echo of that time. As of this morning, SPX is up, SPXEW is down for the day. Happens a lot. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 30/09/2026New low. That's one ugly chart. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 29/09/2026This is the correlation between the YOY change in the CPI ex food/energy, and the price of WTI, going back to 1986, which is when FRED's WTI series begins. There's a one year lag in the effect a change in oil prices has on inflation. This is why Trump's goose is cooked. 110
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Breaking bad, from Almost Daily Grant's: 100
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 13/09/2026We got a lot, 2nd highest after Paterson over here. I'm more or less under that 4.56 number. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Inflation update, via Kroger results, from Almost Daily Grant's. Money quote (literally): "General Mills disclosed that its spending on logistics has ballooned by 40% year-over-year, thanks in part to skyrocketing diesel prices (hat tip: Adam Josephson at Sakonnet Research)." 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Best Star Trek crew, wrong answers only. 110
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 11/09/2026From Almost Daily Grant's: "Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s Tuesday proclamation that “I am the house now. . .” was followed one day later with an underwhelming announcement of $6 billion in long-term debt buybacks – equivalent to only a few minutes of average daily trading volume." 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 10/09/2026With Yemen in the news this morning, my fave historical incident that should be a movie. Someone needs to do a Hollywood epic on this. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Words cannot describe how much I despise this book, and the stupid ideology behind it. It skims the Dark Ages (yes, the Dark Ages. Fuck you.) in Europe attempting to prove that it wasn't a filthy, disease-ridden, underpopulated backwater. I mean, white people could never have, right? 100
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Just saw it & read up about it. This to me was the punchline though. I mean, the only thing keeping his lungs together must have been the tar from the cigars: 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Finance ended the week with quite a bang when it comes to "innovation", it seems. From Almost Daily Grant's: 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 20/08/2026Bessent does bonds, DOE does gasoline. Full court press on manipulating the markets to keep rates & inflation down. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 19/08/2026We know MRNA isn't in SPXEW, but it sure looks that way. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Someone ran an arbitrage on this at the end, it looks like. Quite a chart for SPXEW. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 18/08/2026CL action since Trump's post at 8:30 AM. Total indecision. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 17/08/2026SP500 corp bond index has recovered all its losses from 2022. It's been dancing on either side of its 100 day ma. One of the things I'm watching. Two problems here: 1 - if rates need to rise, we know Warsh is useless. 2 - if rates do rise, all that AI debt is going to look a LOT less attractive. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 09/08/2026So I have one of these (somewhat smaller natch) in my front yard, it makes a good privacy screen. I was pruning and mulching under it today and noticed some bird or other had made a nest in it in the center where the most massive branches come out. Impressive nest, no idea what bird though. 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 07/08/2026It's really funny how the Raritan River, which empties right around Staten Island, defines north vs south Jersey. Weather in the north very frequently radically diverges from weather in the south. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 04/08/2026The end of the Civil War, or the nation that once was, and could be again, if we rid ourselves of our ridiculously bloated military, not to mention ICE, DHS, and a host of other useless parasites who do nothing but endanger us with their faux martial bullshit. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 27/07/2026Meadow rue. The classic habitat, which I got to see once, before the deer started to eat it, is in a dark forest by a babbling brook. The bright white flowers are like nothing on Earth. It’s like stumbling into a fairy land. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 23/07/2026The chance June 2 was the peak for the year is getting stronger. It's that red six in the below. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 19/07/2026Shoulda been a lot more lopsided. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 17/07/2026Market reaction to Trump: not even a bump. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 13/07/2026Absolute masterpiece from WSB, on SPCX: 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Fireflies!!! Last year they were out in June, which was earlier than normal. But this year they waited until July, as God intended. Below, a weed I can’t recommend enough, American Germander. Deer won’t touch it, and hummingbirds love it. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 09/07/2026The bond market is gradually pricing AI hyperscalers at a discount to the rest of the corporate bond market. Via Almost Daily Grant's: 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 03/07/2026It was a desperate gamble to prevent Vicksburg from making the defeat of the South inevitable. By losing both on July 4, 1863, the South lost the war. That should have ended it, but Davis and Lee were dead enders, and sacrificed tens of thousands more men on a hopeless war. Sherman's verdict: 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 02/07/2026That’s something. No, I don’t keep the a/c at 71. This is right by the register. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 27/06/2026Ike was pretty blunt about it. See image. 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 25/06/2026No trend lines, nothing. Just the raw data. Today is the kind of day when I quote Mark Twain's intro to Huckleberry Finn: 100
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 23/06/20268.55. Only 13 days at or below this level. #COR3M_Watch 100
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 15/06/2026There should never have been a way for these two to be related. 021
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 08/06/2026For those not familiar, the Empire State Building is in there, at 34th just a little ways in from Fifth Ave. It's not just a tourist attraction, there are a fuckton of businesses in there. The GDP of that building alone probably is higher than most cities in the US. 000
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 07/06/2026Also, as I noted before, what is oddball behavior in normal times becomes normal when you're in bubble territory. Thus COR3M, which measures the correlation of stock prices to each other, tends towards zero in good and 100 in bad times. It's still way below normal. Long way to go get back there. 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 07/06/2026From Almost Daily Grant's. It does appear the SpaceX IPO is draining money out of crypto. I guess there really is only so much sucker, I mean speculative, money out there. 220
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 06/06/2026*****Chef's kiss***** (as seen on Reddit) Margin Call started with them firing the risk manager. This is the functional market equivalent. 010
labsoftwaredev.bsky.social @labsoftwaredev.bsky.social · 31/05/2026Market's been up 8 days in a row. Last time that happened? Just last month, as a matter of fact. Last time before that? Well, I went as far as 2022 before stopping, so sometime way back in the misty mists of time. 000