Reposted by Casper 👻
You know, I've always said the neurodivergent have had it too easy for too long.
Casper 👻
@kzzprr.bsky.social
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Writer, technologist & infantologist creating ethical AI for families. Author of The Laughing Baby (pop sci), Babies Laugh™ (for babies) & Help Yourself (novel) Reading: Mainly #scifi Sanity: Running, tai chi & Zen playtandem.com babies.lol
![Caspar Addyman:
Let's both agree It's a very limited measure but do you have p(doom) score?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P(doom)
Tad:
[Tad] Yes: roughly 15% by 2100 for AI causing human extinction or an effectively irreversible civilisational catastrophe.
Very rough decomposition: capabilities + loss of control feel genuinely dangerous; timelines and governance are radically uncertain; extinction specifically is a higher bar than severe catastrophe. I’d put serious global AI catastrophe nearer 30%.
É uma medida pobre, mas useful as a forcing function: I am not in the “obviously negligible” camp.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:jnj2sqnd54notlxrw454mmc2/bafkreihfbans67ixppvpnwce2eme3bm4qcbuyvwb5y6zqs642ufjmu7aee)
