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John MD

@jwbelmon.bsky.social
2.5K followers 2.7K following 1.2K posts

#MD, #PhD | #Pediatrics | #Medical #Genetics | #Human #Genetics | #Cardiovascular | #Congenital | #Genome #Sequencing | #HealthEcon | #Causal #Inference belmontgenetics.org

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Reposted by John MD
LA Public Press @lapublicpress.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Newsom just put new limits on ICE. Here’s what’s changing in LA: Gov. Gavin Newsom signed 21 immigration bills into law, including new rules targeting ICE detention centers, unmarked rental vehicles, and courthouse arrests. lapublicpress.org/2026/10/la-n...
lapublicpress.org
Newsom just put new limits on ICE. Here’s what’s changing in LA
Gov. Gavin Newsom signed 21 immigration bills into law, including new rules targeting ICE detention centers, unmarked rental vehicles, and courthouse arrests.
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Dr. D Boulware, MD MPH @drboulware.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
NIH Funding rate of Early Stage Investigators (ESI). 2025 was a major drop. 2026 will be worse.
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Bucks County Beacon @buckscountybeacon.com · 01/10/2026
Human Rights Groups Ask UN Panel to Help End ICE’s ‘Enforced Disappearances’ of Noncitizens | “Disappearing people into a network of remote detention sites, hiding their whereabouts, and cutting off their access to outside help is the definition of an enforced disappearance.”
buckscountybeacon.com
Human Rights Groups Ask UN Panel to Help End ICE's 'Enforced Disappearances' of Noncitizens - Bucks County Beacon
The practice involves withholding the whereabouts of thousands of detainees facing deportation from families and lawyers.
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John MD @jwbelmon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Heard an attack on Ms. Rachel on am radio this afternoon and thought it was one weirdo’s hobbyhorse. Didn’t realize they had an organized campaign
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Reposted by John MD
Christine Beeton @christinebeeton.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Ribbon snakes as so long and so cute! 📷 #Texas, September 2026 #Snakes #Reptiles #Photography #NaturePhotography #Nature #Wildlife #WildlifePhotography #Portraits #TexasStateParks
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Christine Beeton @christinebeeton.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
A broad-banded watersnake. 📷 #Texas, September 2026 #Snakes #Reptiles #Photography #NaturePhotography #Nature #Wildlife #WildlifePhotography #Portraits #TexasStateParks
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John MD @jwbelmon.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I actually saw one of these snakebites in the DC Children's ER in 1983 www.nytimes.com/1983/04/06/u... the image of the snake being held up by an EMT at the ambulance entrance is burned in my memory
nytimes.com
ZOOS COME TO AID OF TEEN-AGER BITTEN BY VIPER STOLEN FROM CAGE IN WASHINGTON (Published 1983)
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Reposted by John MD
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Judge Luttig said in his lecture tonight that Trump & his Republican allies in Congress are seeking to end our democracy. He recently wrote about this in this article.
newrepublic.com
The Final Battle for America’s Democracy
Forget November 3. It’s January 3 when Donald Trump and his MAGA Republicans might bury our democracy once and for all. Here’s how.
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Sanho Tree @sanho.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Google and Apple immediately update their maps.
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Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
By my math, the order was filed 11 minutes after the Trump administration's reply brief came in.
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Healthcare-Global @healthcare-global.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.houstonchronicle.com/news/houston...
houstonchronicle.com
Raw milk cheese recall follows E. coli outbreak with 8 hospitalized
The recalled cheeses were sold nationwide. Consumers should discard them or return them to the store where they were purchased.
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Reposted by John MD
Martin Huber @causalhuber.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
📦 Very happy to announce a new release of our causalweight R package for causal inference combined with machine learning! New: continuous treatments, mediation with DiD, direct/indirect quantile effects, learning instruments & controls, effect homogeneity tests. cran.r-project.org/package=caus...
cran.r-project.org
causalweight: Estimation Methods for Causal Inference Based on Inverse Probability Weighting and Doubly Robust Estimation
Various estimators of causal effects based on inverse probability weighting, doubly robust estimation, and double machine learning. Specifically, the package includes methods for estimating average tr...
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Reposted by John MD
David Corn @davidcorn.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Nothing but super intelligence all around at the White House.
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John MD @jwbelmon.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Jack Smith at the Iowa v Maryland basketball game www.facebook.com/story.php?st...
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Ed @notdred.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I think one thing that the MAHA-friendly people of the world do not appreciate is how terrible it is for you to have viruses invade and then live in your body
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Gillian Brockell @gillianbrockell.com · 29/09/2026
Salgado Araujo’s son’s said the family has “been in public begging for justice, putting our lives at risk while ICE has hidden the killer and tried to drag our father’s good name through the mud.” www.texastribune.org/2026/09/28/h...
texastribune.org
ICE agent who shot Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Houston identified
The federal government has withheld his identification, even as major state and local law enforcement agencies across the country typically identify officers involved in shootings on the job soon afte...
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NEJM.org @nejm.org · 29/09/2026
The authors of a new article review the ways in which polygenic risk scores, along with the related field of pharmacogenomics, may be useful in clinical practice for the prevention and treatment of common diseases. Read the full article: nej.md/4Amwv0F
A bullet list of key points from the Review Article "Clinical Uses of Common Genetic Variants Associated with Common Diseases" on a yellow background. The New England Journal of Medicine identity sits at the bottom.
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Texas Tribune @texastribune.org · 28/09/2026
Breaking: The Texas Tribune has identified the ICE agent who witnesses say fired through an open van window and killed 52-year-old Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Houston nearly three months ago.
texastribune.org
ICE agent who shot Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Houston identified
The federal government has withheld his identification, even as major state and local law enforcement agencies across the country typically identify officers involved in shootings on the job soon afte...
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Jonathan Howard @joho.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Here’s how he felt about you.
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Abdul El-Sayed @abdulelsayed.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Here's how we get Medicare for All done: Make Medicare whole (no one can keep all the parts straight!) Include vision, dental, and hearing. Begin extending to more people, starting with children. We arrive at Medicare for All, which means great Medicare for everyone.
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ebisback.bsky.social @ebisback.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Hurry up and do it 💥
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UCSF @ucsanfrancisco.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
UCSF’s Kevan Shokat, PhD, just won the $1M Stephenson Global Prize for research in pancreatic cancer. He cracked KRAS, a cancer driver long considered “undruggable.” Drugs built on his work now treat lung and pancreatic cancer. ow.ly/UYuY50ZRSXg
Middle-aged man in a blue lab coat smiling while seated in a scientific laboratory setting.Hand wearing black glove holding five small glass vials with various colored liquids, including pink and orange hues.
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KXAN News @kxan.com · 26/09/2026
An Austin city council candidate was arrested Saturday morning and faces a riot participation charge. www.kxan.com/news/local/austin/cand… 
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Wilma Marlene Fine ✈️ @wmf5.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
This is a cranberry walnut cake. I brought it home and now a slice is missing. I dunno.🤷‍♀️ @bsaks.bsky.social
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John MD @jwbelmon.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
ICE Raids in Beef Country Raise Fears of Higher Prices www.nytimes.com/2026/09/25/u... is that a fact!
nytimes.com
ICE Raids in Beef Country Raise Fears of Higher Prices
Cattle industry groups in Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas and two Republican senators said the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement actions were hurting operations.
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Aman Batheja @amanbatheja.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Politico: Trump is airing a pro-Trump midterms ad on TV that -includes “paid for by the U.S. government” disclaimer text -features a song by an artist who says they didn’t approve it’s use and are now looking for a lawyer
politico.com
Trump administration launches pro-Trump TV ad ahead of midterms
The 30-second ad, apparently paid for by U.S. tax dollars, features photos and videos of Trump, the American flag and military aircraft.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
In competitive authoritarian regimes, the ruling party uses its control of the government to stack the deck against their opponents. We're not there (yet at least), but this is exactly the kind of thing you would see in such a regime.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 22/09/2026
this is a genuinely crazy story
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Radley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
They also made him sleep on the floor of a holding cell. With the bullet in his back. And no pain medication. They also failed to provide medical care after they shot him. People need to go to prison for this.
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John MD @jwbelmon.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I Gave My Life Over to Meta’s A.I. Agent and Was Blown Away www.nytimes.com/2026/09/22/t... hard pass
nytimes.com
I Gave My Life Over to Meta’s A.I. Agent and Was Blown Away
Muse, Meta’s A.I. agent, helped handle my dental insurance, booked dinner reservations and created a podcast for me. It also required my most personal data, and trust.
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Reposted by John MD
Mark Histed @markhisted.org · 22/09/2026
The idea of AI curing all diseases is, IMO, silly. Biomedical research is mostly limited by data, not ideas. Imagine saying AI will build a world-champion basketball team by replacing basketball coaches with hyperintelligent AI. You see the problem. Someone still needs to dribble and make shots.
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Jacob Soboroff @jacobsoboroff.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Republican Governor Jim Pillen has been a champion of Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown. But at least 20 of his family farms employed undocumented immigrants, according to a new investigation by the Flatwater Free Press and The New York Times. youtu.be/5RZgrR1_7Dc?...
youtu.be
This GOP governor said ‘illegal aliens’ have ‘invaded.’ His family farms EMPLOYED them, report finds
YouTube video by MS NOW
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John MD @jwbelmon.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
White House Moves to Take Control of N.I.H. Grants www.nytimes.com/2026/09/20/s... far larger threat to academic research than AI
nytimes.com
White House Moves to Take Control of N.I.H. Grants
Federal officials are drafting an executive order that would place grants under review by an outside panel, the latest effort to redirect billions of dollars in research spending.
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Reposted by John MD
Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
In simpler terms, Trump and Vought are trying to abuse their office and undermine science in obvious ways that Congress does not want and no previous President attempted *because they think there is a good chance SCOTUS will help them.* donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-creep-...
donmoynihan.substack.com
The Creep of Politicization
A new assault on science highlights a broader pattern
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unraveled @unraveledpress.com · 20/09/2026
Today at the Broadview ICE facility outside Chicago: Dozens of ICE agents violently confronted protesters, deploying chemical irritants on the crowd. Multiple people were injured. No arrests were observed.
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Nature Portfolio @natureportfolio.nature.com · 19/09/2026
A feature in Nature explores how rapid technological advances are allowing researchers to identify thousands of proteins in individual cells, revealing the hidden mechanisms underlying development and disease. #proteomics 🧪
go.nature.com
Probing the proteome at cellular scale
Rapid technological advances are allowing researchers to identify thousands of proteins in individual cells, revealing the hidden mechanisms underlying development and disease.
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
make the John Brown season of Reacher you cowards
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Wilma Marlene Fine ✈️ @wmf5.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Diseases that were once eradicated are back. Donald Trump and RFK Jr. are causing the deaths of countless people. The Republican controlled Congress could've and can put a stop to this unqualified, deadly, criminal enterprise.
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Christine Beeton @christinebeeton.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Without snack and with snack. 📷 #Texas, September 2026 #Birds #Herons #Portraits #NaturePhotography #Nature #Wildlife #BirdPhotography #WildlifePhotography #NationalWildlifeRefuges
Portrait of a great blue heron, beak slightly open, looking to the leftPortrait of a great blue heron, beak holding a small fish, looking to the right
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kottke.org @kottke.org · 18/09/2026
New novel from Emily St. John Mandel (Station Eleven): Exit Party. “Los Angeles, 2031: The first spring after the collapse of the United States, peacekeeping troops withdraw from the city, the Jacaranda trees blossom, and the curfew is finally lifted.” [bookshop.org]
bookshop.org
Exit Party
The award-winning, bestselling author of Station Eleven and Sea of Tranquility returns with a breathtaking novel of doubles, shadow worlds, and fractured timelines as a man disappears from a glittering Los Angeles party, and a woman—a gunrunner, an art collector, an operative of the State—searches f
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Congresswoman Delia C. Ramirez @ramirez.house.gov · 17/09/2026
I stood alongside activists and organizers to demand we Melt ICE and end detention! We are clear: No more mandatory detention, no more private detention facilities, no more family detention. We must reclaim our dignity, restore due process, and end detention in all its forms.
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Jonathan Howard @joho.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Vinay Prasad was pro-infection and pro-Kennedy and pro-Trump. Horgan is willing to overlook it all. None of this bothered him that much. He still “admires” Prasad. This is what I mean by toxic apathy. More soon @sciencebasedmedicine.org.web.brid.gy
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
My grandfather, who is 102 and a medical doctor, has told me about the times before polio was cured. Most years, upon returning to school after summer’s break, there would be some children would didn’t make it back to school because of polio.
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nancabell.bsky.social @nancabell.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
As someone who went through it, I promise you, it was an occupation. Looked and felt like we were being overtaken. I’m still triggered as are SO many of us. I am changed from it, it was absolute terror.
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Kat4Obama @kat4obama.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
He has so much blood on his hands.
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The Real News Network @therealnews.com · 16/09/2026
“Palantir has no place in our hospitals, no place in our community… Nurses are advocates first. We’re trained to advocate and to speak up when something is wrong, and that’s what we’re doing.” @nationalnurses.bsky.social
therealnews.com
'Purge Palantir!': Union nurses warn Big Tech and Big Brother are invading our healthcare system
“Palantir has no place in our hospitals, no place in our community... Nurses are advocates first. We're trained to advocate and to speak up when something is wrong, and that's what we're doing.”
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Maximillian Alvarez @maximillianalvarez.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
New from me. Union nurses warn 🚨 Big Tech and Big Brother are invading our healthcare system, which was already in crisis. I speak with a panel of @nationalnurses.bsky.social from Maine, Missouri, and Illinois. This is a must-listen! @therealnews.com therealnews.com/palantir-nur...
therealnews.com
'Purge Palantir!': Union nurses warn Big Tech and Big Brother are invading our healthcare system
“Palantir has no place in our hospitals, no place in our community... Nurses are advocates first. We're trained to advocate and to speak up when something is wrong, and that's what we're doing.”
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The Mouthy Renegade Writer @mouthyrenegade.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Our health care system in America is disgusting. A clear indication that our government doesn't give a fuck if we live or die.
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Margot Finn @eicathomefinn.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
'Research by historians compiling the Register of British Slave Traders has found that the scale of the financial system’s involvement in enslavement is greater than previously known or acknowledged.'
theguardian.com
Slave-trade wealth was embedded in Britain’s financial system, research finds
Dozens of Bank of England directors and founding subscribers invested in trafficking of enslaved Africans
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Adam L @adam-lg.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Bayes and partial identification for continuous outcomes? Very cool. Arxiv: arxiv.org/abs/2609.14950 #statssky #causalsky 📈📉

Credible Bounds for Causal Quantities with Continuous Outcomes
Jason Saporta

    The problem of partial identification concerns bounding causal quantities that remain unidentifiable given the observed distribution and the causal diagram of the underlying structural causal model (SCM). While bounds have been developed for certain causal quantities with continuous outcomes, they are necessarily univariate and are unable to reflect differing levels of confidence. Building on previous work in partial identification, we propose a simple Bayesian method for deriving probabilistic bounds on a large class of causal quantities with potentially multivariate and/or continuous outcome variables. 

a likelihood and a gibbs sampler
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