Sign in

Joachim Voth

@jvoth.bsky.social
2.8K followers 22 following 38 posts

economic historian; sometimes dabbling in AI+SocSci; mostly on X; www.jvoth.com

PostsRepliesMedia
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
New suite of tools to deal with those spatial errors, once and for all... with @essor.bsky.social and David Boll. Codex+Claude Code integration, ports for R and Python that really speed things up - no more excuses!
120
Reposted by Joachim Voth
Econometrica @ecmaeditors.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Econometrica is pleased to announce the 2026 Haavelmo Prize for the best econometrics paper, awarded to Ulrich K. Müller and Mark W. Watson for “Spatial Unit Roots and Spurious Regression.” www.econometricsociety.org/society/news...
econometricsociety.org
Announcing the Winners of the 2026 Econometrica Prizes - The Econometric Society
I am pleased to announce the winners of the 2026 Econometrica prizes. The 2026 Arrow Prize for the best theory paper published in Econometrica in the preceding...
0168
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Congrats to Müller+Watson. Paper coming soon
010
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
during the Great Terror, some 150-200k may have owed their fate to the power of radio.
020
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
The paper is here: tinyurl.com/mpde8h76 Lots of fun working with these guys. We exploit long-wave radio transmissions, a funky think compared to short-wave and medium wave as its transmitted via the ground - which we use for identification. Effects are big: Of the 750k people executed
130
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
New wp alert! Sultan Mehmood, Yaroslav Prokhorskoy and I have a new paper. Mass communication is normally used for indoctrination and persuasion. Using evidence from Stalin's USSR, we conclude that it can also be used as a tool for repression.
172
Reposted by Joachim Voth
UCL Social Research Institute @sriucl.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Want to learn about time use research? Want to learn how to manage and analyse time diary data? Register for the online short course today delivered by the Centre for Time Use Research, UCL. timeuse.org/introduction...
065
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
When your paper gets a top 5 conditional accept... despite R3...
040
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
death was everywhere for these guys... 80% plus died. BUT during the medal window and during the intro of new medals, death rates did not go up.
010
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
didn't have much of an effect. In other environments, we find that trying harder raised death rates... but the medal hunt comes with no obvious death penalty.
020
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
small morsel that shows that status concerns were a key driver: not everyone played the game. Pilots who already possessed alternative sources of high status—aristocrats, senior officers, or those with pre-war distinctions—were significantly less responsive to medal incentives...
060
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
pilots. Over time, as the war dragged on, the awards diffused to lower-ranked (though still elite) pilots. This created a need for new 'carrots'. Incentives mattered because the business was inherently risky; more than 80% of pilots in our sample died.
230
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
We argue this follows the logic of fashion cycles (Pesendorfer 1995). Status goods are signals. Their value depends on the exclusivity of the group that possesses them. Our data show a clear "cheapening" effect: the earliest recipients of the Knight’s Cross were the most skilled
110
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
engineered a "rat race" that extracted significant additional effort from its best pilots. When pilots got close to the informal quota, their effort spiked; once they had the award, it slumped. New medals spelled more renewed efforts.
110
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
the High Command introduced successively more exclusive variants: first adding "Oak Leaves," then "Swords," then "Diamonds," and finally "Golden Oak Leaves." The data demonstrate that the Luftwaffe successfully
100
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
The Luftwaffe ran a sophisticated system of awards. To qualify for higher ones, u had to have the first medal. As the war progressed and the initial medal became too common" among elites,
100
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Of course, they served an evil regime. Can we learn from what motivated them regardless? In "Never Enough: Dynamic Status Incentives in Organizations" we examine data from more than 5,000 fighter pilots. t.co/pA5ll2BOMG
t.co
https://tinyurl.com/47npwc8d
100
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
How do you motivate workers? Leo Bursztyn, Ewan Racliffe and I have a new paper. We look at highly skilled 'workers' whose effort was near-impossible to monitor -- German fighter pilots in WW2.
2151
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
With David Boll and Sascha Becker -- coming soon to a theatre near you -- a new and exciting no-motion-picture "should you distrust cross-sectional spatial data?" [spoiler alert - you can relax, it's not so bad]
0132
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
But can go the other way as with higher albedo from vapor trails.
000
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Sure but that is rounding error stuff
000
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Well. If electric its covered. If diesel its not. We can sign the likeky effect.
000
Reposted by Joachim Voth
Mauricio Drelichman @mdrelichman.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
I use this exact example in my very first ECON 101 lecture. I now have AV content.
0121
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
Fresco fresco no es…
010
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
reminds me of the immortal essay by Stanley Fish "The Unbearable Ugliness of Volvos"...
141
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
they say "we win"
000
Reposted by Joachim Voth
Philipp Golka @pgolka.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Having found in my masters thesis that high testosterone individuals prefer being seen as winners even if it means losing money, I had no idea we're talking *that* much money. If you're a hedge fund manager and want to set up an aggressive tesosterone-based trading strategy, hmu!
2213
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
declares that their 800+km train ride did something good for the environment? Is is ignorance, or a latent desire to suffer for the sins of having what you want? Color me confused....
110
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
diesel trains are exempt from ETS 1 like all other transport like cars + trucks). Economists! I understand that some people don't get it. Cap+trade is not complicated, but maybe a bit more abstract... but why do I now regularly get to conferences where some slightly wrinkled colleague proudly
100
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
Conference. Distinguished colleagues; smart, top-of-the-game. Someone drops a "good for the climate" when I say I took the train... I look puzzled. What? There is emissions trading in Europe. Total CO2 is *capped*; net footprint of flights in Europe is ZERO. Same, btw, not true of trains (bec
260
Reposted by Joachim Voth
Diane Coyle @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
This paper by the late, great Nick Crafts, on competition and productivity in the UK, well worth a read: cepr.org/voxeu/column...
cepr.org
Competition cured the “British Disease”
Britain’s relative economic decline throughout the 20th century – the so-called “British disease” – was a national embarrassment that only went away in the 1980s. This column presents new research showing that competition provided the cure. Only when Britain returned to a regime of competition and openness similar to that which had prevailed before World War I did productivity growth resume.
39927
Reposted by Joachim Voth
Sascha O. Becker @essobecker.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
🚨 New Working Paper 🚨 w/ @pdavidboll.bsky.social and @jvoth.bsky.social Do you run regressions on spatial data? Then keep reading! We present a guide and Stata package for methods by Müller and Watson (2024 ECTA) to deal with Spatial Unit Roots in Regressions. Link in 🧵 (1/n)
17026
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
Do u seriously think that a social awkward, Auschwitz visiting, hostage-supporting, borderline Asperger's billionaire is doing a Nazi salute?
000
Reposted by Joachim Voth
Dani Rodrik @drodrik.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
Great work by Lagakos, Michalopoulos, and Voth on personal narratives from 1930s to ask what gives people meaning. Work and community top the list. Neither enters economists' understanding of well-being directly. A big blind spot in how we evaluate policy impacts. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/2ej7c...
06912
Reposted by Joachim Voth
Josh Rhodes @joshrhodes.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
So pleased my article on geo-coding addresses of 121 million + people in British censuses 1851-1911 is now out with Historical Methods! #openaccess - map any census info (ages, occupations, birthplaces etc) by address - link census to other spatial datasets Get the code and data 👇
Map of London in 1901 showing percentage of people born overseas by street.
1220475
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
The paper (ungated) is here: github.com/huggingbeard...
github.com
030
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
The Harvard longitudinal study, tracking undergrads and Boston city residents since the 1940s, concluded that only close personal relationships matter for life satisfaction; this is not what we find.
121
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
councillor who says "The biggest thing in my life?Making it possible [to build] the great St. John River bridge for the people of Duval County.” Family and close relationships are obviously important, but we not find that it dominates all other aspects, as some have argued.
110
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
nature. Others found meaning in religion. Three themes loom large: Work, community, and family. The sense of satisfaction in doing a job well, in the cameraderie and pride it brings, is palpable in many narratives; so is the joy of doing things for others, such as the Florida
110
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
by the Library of Congress. We train and use a large language model (GPT-4) to analyse these narratives at scale, using extensive human audits to avoid hallucinations. What do we find? Stories vary; some people met Billy the Kid when young, and could never get enough of exploring
110
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
directly; instead, we examine interviews conducted by the Federal Writers Project. This was part of the New Deal work creation programs, and the aim was to get many ordinary Americans to tell their life stories in their own words. The interviews are loving preserved
130
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
What is the meaning of life? What is the meaning of life? What would you remember as bringing satisfaction, meaning, and purpose to your life? These are the modest questions that David Lagakos, Stelios Michalopoulos and I try to answer by "interviewing" over 1,400 Americans.
1246
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
so much fun working @essobecker.bsky.social and David Boll
181
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 23/10/2023
No it shows why this is so silly. Spatial FE and u r done - which is what everyone was doing anyways…
040
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 23/10/2023
New joint work with the great @essobecker.bsky.social … is religion the opium of the masses? Or more like a vaccine against totalitarian tendencies?
0170
Joachim Voth @jvoth.bsky.social · 20/09/2023
Made it to the other side! Excited to see if this can be like the #econtwitter of old…
0131