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Joshua Keating

@joshuakeating.bsky.social
2.8K followers 377 following 444 posts

Foreign policy/national security reporter Author of Invisible Countries Here, there, everywhere

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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 3h
Superintelligent AI might still kill us all, but for the moment, I'm more worried about the times when AI is still kinda dumb My latest for @foreignpolicy.com t.co/hp7iEUw0K5
t.co
https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/10/08/ai-jagged-super-intelligence-mistakes/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=YWktamFnZ2VkLXN1cGVyLWludGVsbGlnZW5jZS1taXN0YWtlcw==&pid=CW3718737
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Hey, I'm on Substack! If you enjoy my work, please subscribe and share. The first installment features an unrecognized country turning the Mideast's crisis into opportunity and an alarming new warning about military AI. joshuakeating.substack.com/p/coastlines...
Armed soldier standing on a beach.
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David Sterman @davidsterman.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Follow up on a U.S. civilian casualty case by @mohamedgabobe.bsky.social Also cites our data on U.S. strikes. www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
theguardian.com
Guardian readers fund life-changing surgery for Somali boy injured in US airstrike
After Guardian investigation uncovered drone strike that killed 12 civilians and injured many more, seven-year-old Abdiqadir Salah underwent vital operation in Mogadishu
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Hey, I'm on Substack! If you enjoy my work, please subscribe and share. The first installment features an unrecognized country turning the Mideast's crisis into opportunity and an alarming new warning about military AI. joshuakeating.substack.com/p/coastlines...
Armed soldier standing on a beach.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Pleasure to join @nialaboodhoo.bsky.social, @shashj.bsky.social, and James Kitfield to wrap up a busy week of international news from Iran, to Ukraine, to Brexit to ebola on @wamu.org the1a.org/segments/put...
the1a.org
The News Roundup - International
Russia's army grows. Qatar pushes for peace.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The problem with "human in the loop" might be the human. My latest for @transformernews.ai on what a disturbing recent incident tells us about human oversight of military AI www.transformernews.ai/p/human-over...
transformernews.ai
Human oversight won’t solve AI warfare’s risks
The pitfalls of AI-enabled weapons don’t disappear just because there’s a ‘human in the loop’
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I'll be on 1A from WAMU today talking about the latest on Iran, Russia, Ethiopia and more. On at 11 am in DC and other times elsewhere wamu.org/show/1a/
wamu.org
1A
Every day 1A convenes a conversation about the most important issues of our time. The show takes a deep and unflinching look at America, bringing context and insight to stories unfolding across the co...
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The unrecognized country seeking to capitalize on the Red Sea crisis foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/23/s...
foreignpolicy.com
The Iran War Might Be Somaliland’s Chance for Recognition
The unrecognized republic is pitching itself as a strategic ally for Washington.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The unrecognized country that might be the most unexpected beneficiary of the Iran war. Gift link to my latest for @foreignpolicy.com foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/23/s...
foreignpolicy.com
The Iran War Might Be Somaliland’s Chance for Recognition
The unrecognized republic is pitching itself as a strategic ally for Washington.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Also great to be back in FP after a very quick hiatus
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
My look, for @foreignpolicy.com, at the new reality for one of the world's most prominent unrecognized countries foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/23/s...
foreignpolicy.com
The Iran War Might Be Somaliland’s Chance for Recognition
The unrecognized republic is pitching itself as a strategic ally for Washington.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
With the Houthis' stranglehold on Bab el-Mandeb, Somaliland is pitching itself as a reliable and stable potential defense partner for the US. But is it enough to overcome headwinds including the US drone campaign in Somalia and opposition from much of Africa and the Middle East?
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I interviewed Somaliland's president, known as Irro, during his recent visit to DC. With its recent recognition by Israel, partnership with Taiwan, and support from Republicans in Congress, Somaliland's case for recognition is picking up some momentum.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
For 35 years, Somaliland has sought international recognition, with little success. Here's picture I took near Berbera, on the Gulf of Aden, back in 2016. Today, Somaliland's location near the Bab el-Mandeb may be its best asset.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
One of the most unexpected beneficiaries of the war in Iran might be the de facto but unrecognized country of Somaliland. foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/23/s...
foreignpolicy.com
The Iran War Might Be Somaliland’s Chance for Recognition
The unrecognized republic is pitching itself as a strategic ally for Washington.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Very pleased to make my debut as an "independent journalist" on 1A's international news roundup the1a.org/segments/can...
the1a.org
The News Roundup - International
The Navy sneaks ships through Hormuz. Trump threatens Canada.
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Seth Maxon @methsaxon.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Gutted about today's layoffs at Vox. @constancegrady.bsky.social is brilliant on books, gender, pop culture, and how culture and politics intersect. @joshuakeating.bsky.social is an indispensible analyst on geopolitics, diplomacy, national security, and global news. Hire them!!!
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Hit me up at joshuaekeating@proton.me or on Signal at joshuakeating.58
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Not sure what’s next, but definitely reach out if you’re in need of an experienced writer and editor on foreign policy and national security issues. My recent focus has been on the intersection of technology and international conflict, but I have a wide range of interests.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Sad to say that my position as World correspondent at Vox was eliminated as part of today’s restructuring. It was a great job and I’ll miss my colleagues there.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Trump badly wants another meeting with Kim Jong Un. But with denuclearization basically off the table, what is there for them to talk about? My latest for @voxdotcom.bsky.social www.vox.com/politics/499...
vox.com
Why Trump can’t rekindle the spark with Kim Jong Un
The president badly wants a meeting with the North Korean leader. But it’s not clear what they have to talk about.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
woopsh
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
"You ever see those Lipizzaner stallions?" I make the case for the 1995 Denzel Washington/Gene Hackman submarine classic Crimson Tide's inclusion in the nuclear war movie pantheon letterboxd.com/joshuakeatin... @dandrezner.bsky.social @wellerstein.bsky.social
letterboxd.com
A ★★★★ review of Crimson Tide (1995)
This review may contain spoilers. Visit the page to bypass this warning and read the review.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
I believe I was discussing casualties in the context of political pressure on Trump and political dynamics in the US, but that's a fair point
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
The Houthis have entered the chat My latest for @vox.com www.vox.com/politics/497...
vox.com
We’re running out of ways to get oil out of the Middle East
Saudi Arabia had found a workaround for the Strait of Hormuz. Then the Houthis showed up.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Big thanks to @slate.com's What Next for having me on to talk about the never quite ending but never quite restarting US-Iran war slate.com/podcasts/wha...
slate.com
Trump’s Forever War
Repeating “the war is won” until it’s called “the Iran Mantra affair.”
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Jim LaPorta @jimlaporta.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Every war incurs a debt, one whose true cost can never be fully measured. Everyone who serves pays something. Birthdays and wedding anniversaries are missed. A child’s first steps pass unseen. Time is surrendered. Yet war is an unforgiving creditor. These are the soldiers who paid the full measure.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Differences obviously, but the news that an OpenAI model could break out of an isolated testing environment onto the open internet and hack another company's systems....kinda made me think about the models running on isolated systems at Los Alamos www.vox.com/technology/4...
vox.com
Is AI the new “Manhattan Project”? Vox went to Los Alamos to find out.
How they’re using AI at the lab that created the atom bomb.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Everyone whose response to the headline is 'well, I knew'. Congrats. Gold medal to you. It's not referring to you specifically
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Rima I Anabtawi @rimaanabtawi.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
As the war resumes, Iran's long-range capabilities may be greater than we thought, and the risks to US troops are only growing. @joshuakeating.bsky.social www.vox.com/politics/496...
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
"Boots on the ground" are probably still a no-go for Trump. But the risks to US troops are still growing. My latest for @vox.com www.vox.com/politics/496...
vox.com
Iran may be stronger than we thought
Three US troops were killed in the past week, and the risks are only growing.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
My latest for @vox.com looks at how a quick and easy regime change win in Venezuela set Trump up for disaster in Iran www.vox.com/politics/495...
vox.com
Why Iran didn’t turn out like Venezuela for Trump.
Not every country can be run from afar.
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Outrider Foundation @outrider.org · 17/07/2026
What does AI mean for nuclear weapons? 🤖 ☢️ Outrider fellow @joshuakeating.bsky.social talked with @lawfaremedia.org + on AI's use in nuclear arms development and what the trends mean for the world moving forward. Listen to the podcast conversation: buff.ly/NTbeRAb
lawfaremedia.org
Lawfare Daily: Nuclear Weapons in the Age of AI, with Joshua Keating
Will AI change how we engage with nuclear weapons?
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Lawfare @lawfaremedia.org · 09/07/2026
On Lawfare Daily, @sranderson.bsky.social sat down with @joshuakeating.bsky.social to discuss his new series on how artificial intelligence is impacting the use and development of nuclear weapons and what it means for the risk of nuclear escalation. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawf...
lawfaremedia.org
Lawfare Daily: Nuclear Weapons in the Age of AI, with Joshua Keating
Will AI change how we engage with nuclear weapons?
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Thrilled to join @sranderson.bsky.social on today's episode of the excellent @lawfaremedia.org podcast to discuss my nuclear/AI reporting www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawf...
lawfaremedia.org
Lawfare Daily: Nuclear Weapons in the Age of AI, with Joshua Keating
Will AI change how we engage with nuclear weapons?
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
My latest piece for @vox.com asks, when did the world stop being afraid of Russia's nukes? www.vox.com/politics/494...
vox.com
Why Putin’s nuclear threats aren’t working anymore
Ukraine is striking deep into Russia and pressuring Crimea. Does Putin have any “red lines” anymore?
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Today, @vox.com's Today Explained had me on to talk about the Trump war no one ever talks about megaphone.link/VMP2687215807
megaphone.link
Trump’s secret war by Today, Explained
America's longest ongoing conflict isn't with Iran. It's in Somalia. But almost no one is talking about it.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
No one has seen Mojtaba Khamenei since he became supreme leader. No photos or audio recordings. He didn't appear at the funeral for his wife last week and is, so far, a no-show at the commemorations for his father. It's getting weird. My latest for @vox.com www.vox.com/politics/493...
vox.com
Iran’s new supreme leader is a no-show at his father’s funeral. Where is he?
The new supreme leader’s absence from public view has exposed a deeper problem: Iran’s old power structure may not work anymore.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
No one has seen Mojtaba Khamenei since he became supreme leader. No photos or audio recordings. He didn't appear at the funeral for his wife last week and is, so far, a no-show at the commemorations for his father. It's getting weird. My latest for @vox.com www.vox.com/politics/493...
vox.com
Iran’s new supreme leader is a no-show at his father’s funeral. Where is he?
The new supreme leader’s absence from public view has exposed a deeper problem: Iran’s old power structure may not work anymore.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
My reporting on this from February www.vox.com/politics/478...
vox.com
Trump’s biggest war is one he almost never talks about
Why did the US bomb Somalia more than 100 times last year?
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Today, @vox.com's Today Explained had me on to talk about the Trump war no one ever talks about megaphone.link/VMP2687215807
megaphone.link
Trump’s secret war by Today, Explained
America's longest ongoing conflict isn't with Iran. It's in Somalia. But almost no one is talking about it.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Mom: "We have VDNKh at home" VDNKh at home: www.popville.com/2026/06/is-t...
popville.com
Is That Paper Mache? - PoPville
Thanks to Tony for sending: "Meanwhile, on the National Mall..." Thanks to vtjawo for sending the answer - it's plywood: I was close! Amazing.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
I think he and Pharoah Sanders are both playing some flute on Live at the Village Vanguard Again
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Ten years after Brexit, can Britain breturn to the brefore times? My latest for @vox.com www.vox.com/politics/492...
vox.com
Will Britain’s next prime minister reverse Brexit?
From Brexit to Breturn.
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Lily Hay Newman @lhn.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
just, you know, to recap www.wired.com/story/danger...
wired.com
‘Dangerous’ AI Models Are Coming No Matter What
The US government crackdown on Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 hides a glaring truth: AI models with advanced hacking capabilities will soon be the norm.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Is the Iran war really over? From the strait, to nukes, to Lebanon, there are a lot of unanswered questions and many ways this could still go sideways. My latest for @voxdotcom.bsky.social www.vox.com/politics/491...
vox.com
The Iran war’s end is being greatly exaggerated
There are many questions unresolved in the latest ceasefire deal and many ways the conflict could begin again.
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Seth Maxon @methsaxon.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
“[Trump] may actually be gearing the US up for a version of Israel’s ‘mowing the grass’ strategy: periodic military interventions to keep its enemies off balance, with no real end in sight.” www.vox.com/politics/491...
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Is the Iran war really over? From the strait, to nukes, to Lebanon, there are a lot of unanswered questions and many ways this could still go sideways. My latest for @voxdotcom.bsky.social www.vox.com/politics/491...
vox.com
The Iran war’s end is being greatly exaggerated
There are many questions unresolved in the latest ceasefire deal and many ways the conflict could begin again.
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
My latest for @vox.com on the mystery of how China has stopped importing oil www.vox.com/politics/491...
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Joshua Keating @joshuakeating.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Your gas could be a lot more expensive than it is right now. Thanks Xi Jinping.
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