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Joshua Black

@joshuablackjb.bsky.social
1.4K followers 87 following 85 posts

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Reposted by Joshua Black
Inside Story @insidestory.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
“Today, with conservatives largely in control of the modern Liberal Party, Fraser’s creed of liberalism is anathema. In an interview for Sydney’s Daily Telegraph late last year, Angus Taylor ranked Fraser (along with Malcolm Turnbull) at the ‘back of the pack’ of modern Liberal prime ministers.”
inside.org.au
Locating the Fraser years • Inside Story
A new research collection revisits an understudied facet of Australia’s political past
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Mike Beggs @mikejbeggs.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
@joshuablackjb.bsky.social has a piece at Inside Story on this special issue on the Fraser years in the Australian Journal of Politics and History insidestory.org.au/locating-the...
What should we make of the Fraser government? Was there such a thing as the "Fraser era," and if so, was anything distinctive about it? And given the commemorative scripts for his contemporaries and successors are so well worn, why do we remain ambivalent about locating Fraser's government and
leadership in Australia's history? Partly, it's a problem of periodisation. History-makers have tended to narrate Australia in the Fraser years as wholly derivative of what came before or after it. Press gallery journalists, in their daily scribblings and larger published
narratives, have tended to describe Fraser's government as the
"unexciting break" between more interesting and consequential
Labor governments, as the journalist Paul Kelly observed.
Historians have rarely disagreed.The pressing challenge for policymakers was stagflation - the painful combination of high inflation, high unemployment and low economic growth. They looked for new economic frameworks, like Milton Friedman's monetarism, to address that economic cocktail. Yet, as political economist Michael Beggs convincingly argues, Australia's experiment with a monetary targeting regime was quickly repurposed as a weapon in a much older struggle over arbitration, wage fixing and income
distribution.
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Reposted by Joshua Black
The Point @thepointau.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
“How do policy cycles come to be, and what causes them to be remade over time? There’s a concept that could help us answer these questions: the Overton window” writes Dr Joshua Black. Read the full piece on The Point: thepoint.com.au/opinions/260...
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Reposted by Joshua Black
International Australian Studies Association @intlausstudies.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
It's an exciting time of year for InASA as we get to announce several great prizes! Congratulations to winners of our ECR Publication Subsidy Award: Drs Catherine Gay, Joshua Black & Brendan Casey. More info about the prize & the winners' books here: inasa.org/blog/inasa-p...
inasa.org
InASA Publication Subsidy Outcomes
The ECR Publication Subsidy Scheme is designed to assist early career researchers in a publishing venture, or for the inclusion of essential items such as illustrations, photographs or maps. The se…
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Mike Beggs @mikejbeggs.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The whole issue 'Australia in the Fraser Years' is now live and full of good stuff. Owen Bennett's paper "The Australian Union Movement and the Politics of Full Employment, 1945–1976" makes for a nice complement to mine on monetarism and arbitration. Thanks to editor @joshuablackjb.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Special Issue: Australia in the Fraser Years: Australian Journal of Politics & History: Vol 72, No 3
Click on the title to browse this issue
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Can’t thank the @intlausstudies.bsky.social enough for supporting the publication of Performance Politics with an ECR Subsidy this year!! It makes such a big difference to ECRs publishing solo-authored monographs, and I am very grateful to the Association 😊
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Thank you Greg!! Really glad you enjoyed!
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Thanks so much @dominickelly.bsky.social!
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Just 2 months until this one is out in the wild! Performance Politics explains how Australian politics became so personal, emotive and self-referential in nature. It shows that life writing and docudramas played an outsized role in making modern #AusPol @newsouthpublishing.bsky.social
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
This essay is such an important ethnography of professional life on campus these days
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Alice Grundy @alicektg.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
If you bet on the winner of the Miles Franklin, your windfall is tax free but if you win the Miles Franklin you pay tax. There's an easy and cheap way for the gov to help our best artists and writers. Make prizes tax free. Thanks to @charlottewood.bsky.social & Melissa Lucashenko for their thoughts
canberratimes.com.au
Here's something absolutely cooked about books in Australia
Winning authors pay tax. Mug punters, that's another story.
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
Thank you Alice!!
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
You can watch or listen to the webinar here: youtu.be/tGZl6uSsDyE?...
youtu.be
Blue Poles with Tom McIlroy | Australia's Biggest Book Club
YouTube video by The Australia Institute
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
A real privilege to talk with @tommcilroy.bsky.social about his book 'Blue Poles' for Australia's Biggest Book Club last week @australiainstitute.org.au. A lively and wonderful conversation about Jackson Pollock, abstract expressionism, 'Blue Poles' and Australian arts policy today!
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Very excited that @ketanjoshi.co is working with @australiainstitute.org.au!!! Check out his post on Woodside, dodgy offsets and the safeguard mechanism... australiainstitute.org.au/post/the-saf...
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Reposted by Joshua Black
The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 27/05/2025
"The outer-Melbourne electorate of Calwell had "the most complex count in Australia's history", but almost nobody was talking about it before the election. Why? Only four journalists live in the seat, the least of anywhere in Australia. @rodcampbell.bsky.social writes ⤵️ #auspol
australiainstitute.org.au
Why the election’s closest seat went unnoticed: Too close to Calwell - The Australia Institute
The outer-Melbourne electorate of Calwell was named “Australia’s most unpredictable seat” by The Age after the election and was – aside from those going to a recount – the last seat to be called. The ...
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
The joys of version control! Thanks for your very keen eye @darraghmurray.bsky.social
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
australiainstitute.org.au/post/why-the... @australiainstitute.org.au #Auspol2025
australiainstitute.org.au
Why the election’s closest seat went unnoticed: Too close to Calwell - The Australia Institute
The outer-Melbourne electorate of Calwell was named “Australia’s most unpredictable seat” by The Age after the election and was – aside from those going to a recount – the last seat to be called. The ...
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
"the result in Calwell shows that the press has lost touch with the people, the result in Australia shows that the people have lost touch with the press" Absolute fire from @skyelark.bsky.social and @rodcampbell.bsky.social on the coverage of the most interesting electoral race in 2025
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Alfred Deakin's protectionist party retained office, despite the fact that it had fewer seats than the opposition (George Reid's anti-socialists) and the crossbench (comprised of the Labor Party). Opposition and crossbench hated one another more than they hated the government
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
"The long view matters here" "some things seem more historic than they are, while the truly novel features of Australia’s current political landscape may pass us by" My piece with @browne90.bsky.social on the size of the crossbench in historical context australiainstitute.org.au/post/end-of-...
australiainstitute.org.au
End of the LNP Coalition would makes this the largest crossbench in the post-WWII era - The Australia Institute
A large crossbench might seem unusual, but before WWII they were commonplace in Australia.
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Hilariously, the AFR is showing just how absurd is the scare campaign against the super tax changes. They give an eg where someone's super goes from $2m to $3.18m in a year! Yep a $1.18m increase. How much extra tax? $1,528! OMG!! THAT'S OUTRAG... err... oh actually that's bugger all
Assuming it is $3.1 million, with the $80,000 pension payment it becomes $3.18 million. If your balance on June 30, 2026, is greater than $3 million (say $3.1 million) then Division 296 tax will count a balance of $3.18 million in its calculations even if your balance at the start of the year was less than $3 million (in your case $2 million)

One aspect of Division 296 tax where you have a greater than $3 million balance at the end of the year but a balance of less than $3 million at the start is that it will be calculated as if your year started with a $3 million balance.

When determining your super earnings for Division 296 tax purposes you add together your year-end balance with pension payments and then deduct your balance at the start of the year from this. That’s $3.1 million plus $80,000 less $3 million. This will give you total super earnings for Division 296 purposes of $180,000.

Despite the large increase in your fund from $2 million to $3.1 million, your Division 296 liability will be significantly less given it won’t include the increase in your total super below the $3 million threshold. The 15 per cent tax will only apply to the percentage that $180,000 represents of $3.18 million or 5.66 per cent.

While 15 per cent of $180,000 is $27,000, 5.66 per cent of this results in a Division 296 tax liability of $1528.

This assumes there is no change in the proposed tax when – and if – it finally becomes law.
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Reposted by Joshua Black
The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 23/05/2025
If the LNP remains split, @joshuablackjb.bsky.social & @browne90.bsky.social note it would be the biggest crossbench since WWII. But before WWII big crossbenches were common #OffTheCharts australiainstitute.org.au/post/end-of-...
australiainstitute.org.au
End of the LNP Coalition would makes this the largest crossbench in the post-WWII era - The Australia Institute
A large crossbench might seem unusual, but before WWII they were commonplace in Australia.
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
A brilliant brief from @yuan-frank.bsky.social explaining how the Chinese foreign policy establishment views world affairs right now, including their determination to "resist Trump's trade offensive" australiainstitute.org.au/report/chine... @australiainstitute.org.au
australiainstitute.org.au
Chinese Foreign Policy Brief - The Australia Institute
The Chinese foreign policy establishment appear determined to resist Trump’s trade offensive. They have asserted China’s position on Taiwan through both direct pressure and diplomacy, and sought to ma...
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Someone should tell Sheridan that Westminster parliaments are older than political parties
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Great piece in National Account on declining legacy media influence, and The Oz's logical fallacies in response to that reality "Printed newspapers are no longer the political kingmakers they once were." @australiainstitute.org.au @skyelark.bsky.social www.nationalaccount.com.au/p/newspaper-...
nationalaccount.com.au
Newspapers spent 30 years picking winners. That streak's over.
A new report has confirmed what plenty of voters have long suspected: newspaper endorsements don’t swing elections like they used to.
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Absolutely cracking new report from @ieefainstitute.bsky.social @adenisryan.bsky.social Japanese gas companies on-sell more Australian gas than Australian domestic use. Read it and weep. Big gas is taking the piss. 1/2 @australiainstitute.org.au ieefa.org/resources/ho...
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Thank you very much Gavin!
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Today’s coalition breakup is the latest in a much longer history of separations and reconciliations between the Libs and Nats #Auspol Here is my piece on this for @theconversation.com theconversation.com/the-band-is-...
theconversation.com
The band is breaking up: has the Coalition stopped making sense?
This is not the first time the Liberals and Nationals have gone their own ways - but this time they may find going solo is extremely hard.
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
By ‘changing media landscape’ we mean several interrelated forces and features…including this, yes 😂
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Following the government's substantial victory (without key newspapers in its corner) they now have an unprecedented opportunity to govern boldly, without fear of what major newspapers might say. australiainstitute.org.au/report/decli...
australiainstitute.org.au
Declining legacy media influence on Australian elections - The Australia Institute
Securing newspaper endorsements was once a key part of running a successful Australian election campaign, through which Australian media shaped Australian politics. Televised debates between the prime...
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
The first two points are clearly gratuitous. (1) We studied a 30-year time period, and 1993 changes little. (2) We have called media moguls, "moguls". 🤯 (3) The piece says that editorials never mattered, but fails to explain why newspapers kept on printing them! 5/6
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
This morning, @theaustralian.bsky.social had a crack at our analysis. They say it needed to include 1993 election, that it uses "romantic" language to describe media proprietors, and that we fail their "test of political reality and logic" 4/6
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
TV leaders' debates have declined in relevance too. @skynewsau.bsky.social made plenty of hay with their "high stakes" debate this time, but it was seen live by max 2% of voters. 3/6
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
The decline of newspapers' influence over elections is a reflection of the changing media landscape. The AES data in the graph below shows that the internet has recently outstripped papers and TV as main source of election news. 2/6
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Australian newspapers used to be good at backing winners. Over the past 30 years, most major newspapers backed the winner. Until 2022 and 2025, that is, when newspaper editorials came down on one side and voters came down on the other. 1/6 #Auspol2025
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Here's the great new paper by Skye Predavec and @joshuablackjb.bsky.social australiainstitute.org.au/report/decli...
australiainstitute.org.au
Declining legacy media influence on Australian elections - The Australia Institute
Securing newspaper endorsements was once a key part of running a successful Australian election campaign, through which Australian media shaped Australian politics. Televised debates between the prime...
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Reposted by Joshua Black
Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
The Aus's Dennis Shanahan devoted a column to @australiainstitute.org.au 's new report on declining media power & this was the best he could do: "the big election editorial has never counted for much with voters. To suggest there’s been a decline of their influence ignores the political reality." 🧵
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
You can read our full report here: australiainstitute.org.au/report/decli... @skyelark.bsky.social @rodcampbell.bsky.social
australiainstitute.org.au
Declining legacy media influence on Australian elections - The Australia Institute
Securing newspaper endorsements was once a key part of running a successful Australian election campaign, through which Australian media shaped Australian politics. Televised debates between the prime...
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
In response to @australiainstitute.org.au research about declining media influence in Aus elections, @theaustralian.bsky.social says newspaper endorsements "never counted for much" in the first place! 🤦‍♂️ Leaders can now govern boldly, without glancing over their shoulder at these guys all the time
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Gavin Miller @glmiller.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
'The spectre of media moguls as political kingmakers still looms large in the imagination of Australia’s political class': yes, but are they still in control of leaders/factions/duopoly? Will they meet again in 2025? Over to u JB? @joshuablackjb.bsky.social www.crikey.com.au/2022/08/29/a...
crikey.com.au
Labor and Murdoch, a match made in silence
Labor hasn't commented on the prime minister's reported meeting with Lachlan Murdoch. But if it has met with the News Corp billionaire, why is the government dealing with such a company?
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Reposted by Joshua Black
The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 16/05/2025
“The endorsement of newspapers used to be much sought-after, but these days such endorsements are practically irrelevant,” said @joshuablackjb.bsky.social, report co-author. A new report explores the declining influence of media endorsements and leaders’ debates on election outcomes. Read:
australiainstitute.org.au
Bellowing from the sidelines. The declining influence of Australia's traditional media. - The Australia Institute
The days of media moguls deciding Australian elections are over, according to new research by The Australia Institute.
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
www.canberratimes.com.au/story/895941...
canberratimes.com.au
The system is broken at ANU and these scandals were predictable
A more accountable model would fix this.
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
An op-ed from @jack-thrower.bsky.social and myself in @canberratimes.bsky.social this morning: how ANU became mired in scandal, and what can be done to steady the ship ANU boasts some of the world's finest scholars and teachers. They deserve better governance ASAP @australiainstitute.org.au
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
"Dosed-up Tasmanian salmon could pose health risks in the long run" My piece for @thenewdaily.bsky.social on Tassie salmon farming, antibiotic dosing and the ecological + health risks @australiainstitute.org.au www.thenewdaily.com.au/opinion/2025...
thenewdaily.com.au
Dosed-up Tasmanian salmon could pose health risks in the long run
Tasmania's salmon farming practices are no longer a solely environmental issue – they're a public health issue, too.
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Thank you for your very kind words here Gavin!
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 04/05/2025
As far as live blogs are concerned @amyremeikis.bsky.social is the greatest of all time
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 04/05/2025
After a brief sleep, here’s my piece for @theconversation.com on the success of independents at the election and their prospects for the next parliament @australiainstitute.org.au theconversation.com/independents...
theconversation.com
Independents will not help form government – but they will be vital in holding it to account
Yes, Labor has won a huge majority. But it will still need to work constructively with the crossbench in both the House and the Senate.
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Reposted by Joshua Black
The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 02/05/2025
Today's retail trade figures show the RBA failed when it did not cut rates in April #OffTheCharts @grogsgamut.bsky.social australiainstitute.org.au/post/retail-...
Chart showing retail spending in the March quarter is 3% below the per-pandemic trend
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