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Frank Yuan

@yuan-frank.bsky.social
1.2K followers 134 following 90 posts

PhD in Australia-CN policy; postdoc fellow @australiainstitute.org.au in Canberra; casual Zizek reader; views my own.

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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
My short piece on 7 Chinese individuals whose stories offer a glimpse of China as a society inhabited by real people, not just an abstract entity. From @thepointau.bsky.social t.co/fjngFrEXzx
t.co
https://thepoint.com.au/explainers/251119-todays-china-in-seven-life-stories
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Adani have scammed Qld out of $100s of millions and the LNP Gov are fine with that. Great to see Labor and Greens pursuing this in QParl and the media. Features numbers from @australiainstitute.org.au research.
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
In which @yuan-frank.bsky.social explains that Donald Trump is a complete economic dill #ThePoint thepoint.com.au/explainers/2...
thepoint.com.au
Is Donald Trump right about trade deficits?
The point.com.au
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
The RBA's estimates for wages and inflation growth suggest were are going to have to wait a very, very long time till real wages recover www.theguardian.com/business/gro...
Chart showing that the RBA estimates that by the end of 2027 real wages will only be at the value they were in Dec 2011
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
One reason the RBA kept rates steady in Sept was they said the bulk of employment growth was coming from the market sector.. Only problem was that is *completely* wrong. My article for @thepointau.bsky.social thepoint.com.au/news/251024-...
thepoint.com.au
RBA makes a major mistake on the job numbers
When the Reserve Bank decided not to cut interest rates at the end of September, numerous reasons were given, but one stands out because it appears to be completely wrong.
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Amy Remeikis @amyremeikis.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
We talk about the South China Sea and China's intentions all the time from (understandably) the Australian position - but what do we know about how China sees it?
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Superb research by Frank. And extremally cool to have someone working for an Aus think tank about China, who actually knows the language!
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
My (long) research paper on the South China Sea disputes, examining its history, the detail of PRC's claims, PRC's military and economic interests there, and recent diplomacy between PRC and its neighbours. It comes in English and Chinese versions. t.co/PpYa9HiAbQ
t.co
https://australiainstitute.org.au/report/how-china-sees-the-south-china-sea/
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Australia-China Relations Institute, UTS @acri-uts.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
'Assessing ChAFTA's outcomes a decade on and the future of Australia-China relations' - @j-laurenceson.bsky.social will deliver an address hosted by @aiianational.bsky.social (AIIA NSW) reflecting on these matters. October 28 2025, 6.00pm, Glover Cottages Sydney. Register: bit.ly/4htS0Un
bit.ly
The future of Australia - China relations | Australian Institute of International Affairs New South Wales
Assessing ChAFTA’s outcomes a decade on and the future of Australia-China relationsThe China-Australia Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA) was signed in June 2015. However, unlike other deals struck with Ja...
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Amy Remeikis @amyremeikis.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
Excited to be able to talk about this publicly now - The Point is now up and running and from Monday, you'll find my parliament blog on it 💃 thepoint.com.au
thepoint.com.au
The Point
The point.com.au
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 21/10/2025
The world has been witnessing the dreadful toll of Israel’s genocide in Gaza and Trump’s ceasefire agreement has little resolution for lasting peace. ‘Any agreement that doesn’t include Palestinians is not a plan for lasting and genuine peace in the region.’ @emmashortis.bsky.social #auspol #gaza
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
My interview last week with Channel News Asia, talking about AUKUS and China www.youtube.com/watch?v=xnyg...
youtube.com
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
My new report is out - Adani sold coal at mates rates to India, avoiding $400m in royalty payments to Queensland ...and Qld's LNP gov doesn't seem to care. Thread below on how they did it. Write up in @australia.theguardian.com @australiainstitute.org.au www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
theguardian.com
Adani denies claims it sold ‘below-market coal’ leading to Queensland missing out on hundreds of millions in royalties
Adani has strongly rejected the Australia Institute’s findings, including that customers paid an average of $102 a tonne in 2022-23
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
I wrote about the use of "Chinese Communist Party" as an epithet when talking about China. On Australia Institute live blog live.australiainstitute.org.au/2025/10/aust...
live.australiainstitute.org.au
Australia Institute Live — Daily Updates
Stay updated with the latest from The Australia Institute.
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 03/10/2025
"Australia is one of the biggest gas exporters in the world. "Yet when gas prices go up, it's Australians that feel poor." Research Director Rod Campbell unpacking new government data that confirms gas exporters continue to pay no tax. @rodcampbell.bsky.social #auspol
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
To mark China’s National Day on 1 October - a collection of seven mini-biographies on seven important people in China you don't often hear about. australiainstitute.org.au/report/today...
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Prime Minister gets doggy toy from INPEX. INPEX gets Australian gas for free, sold for $50 billion. Cool and normal. @australiainstitute.org.au @markogge.bsky.social @punterspolitics.bsky.social
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
AUKUS submarines aren't coming. Peter Briggs: "Adding the requirement to build additional submarines to replace those to be sold to Australia would require *more than a four-fold* increase in construction yard output measured by tonnage." johnmenadue.com/post/2025/09...
johnmenadue.com
The shrinking US Navy submarine force – Implications for AUKUS Pillar 1 (Part 1)
The US Navy’s attack submarine force had been predicted to reduce to 49 in 2030.
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
I'm speaking at Monash Uni tomorrow about Australia's gas policy mess and Woodside in particular. @australiainstitute.org.au @nteumonash.bsky.social
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
Kinda amazed (but not surprised) how little talk there has been in Australia about Trump's naked attempt to interfere in Brazilian politics on behalf of his good mate Jair Bolsonaro. The screeching would be deafening if China tried anything like that anywhere.
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Skye Predavec @skyelark.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Australia's preferential voting system is often praised, and for good reason. But in terms of reflecting overall votes cast it's not much better than first past the post. My look at how our winner-takes-all voting system skews election outcomes for @australiainstitute.org.au 👇 #auspol
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
From me for the @australiainstitute.org.au live blog: why we don't need to toll EV owners to make the fuel excise "fair". This is in response to an AFR article yesterday which, to be fair, has some nuanced arguments.
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 31/07/2025
With inflation at 2.1%, @mattgrudnoff.bsky.social reminds us that the RBA has not been great at hitting its target and also needs to worry about inflation falling *below* the target range #OffTheCharts australiainstitute.org.au/post/when-ta...
Charts showing inflation since 2012 - with just eight of the last 43 quarters in the band of 2% to 3%
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Bill Browne @browne90.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Port Kembla dockworkers went on strike in 1938 to stop iron exports to Japan - which had committed mass murder of civilians and POWs in China. Menzies called it "a provocative act against a friendly power" but grateful Chinese-Australians sent food to striking workers.
In 1939 photo, Attorney-General Menzies walks through strikers. Posters include: "Bombs Hurt People".
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Bill Browne @browne90.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Australia has a proud tradition of disruptive protests -- for @australiainstitute.org.au I look at eight protest movements that were controversial in their day but celebrated now. australiainstitute.org.au/post/the-pro...
australiainstitute.org.au
The proud Australian tradition of disruptive protest
Australia has a proud tradition of impolite, inconvenient protest for worthy causes.
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
It's complete horseshit - our polling shows a majority are actually in favour of the changes. Please, please may the LNP take this advice.
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
I wrote something for @australiainstitute.org.au blog this morning on AUKUS, highlighting one of its main military and strategic implications - threatening China's nuclear deterrence. t.co/sWYmVhwb1y
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
Some thoughts from me on the EU-US trade deal featuring energy purchase live.australiainstitute.org.au/2025/07/aust...
live.australiainstitute.org.au
Australia Institute Live: Parliament returns for its second week. As it happens
The 48th parliament has returned for its second week
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
Another sign that Beijing attaches quite some importance to Australia: the day after the visiting Dutch defence chief called on AUS to boost its military, the Global Times editorialised on the issue - with fairly cautious language one might say. t.co/QEIpzcBdD5
t.co
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202507/1338995.shtml
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
The latest unemployment figures show the RBA has utterly failed its role of maintaining full employment. #OffTheCharts australiainstitute.org.au/post/the-lat...
Chart showing the the unemployment rate is now the highest it has been since the end of 2021
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
At the risk of speaking too soon - US foreign policy orthodoxy has remarkable staying power when it comes to Ukraine. Trump seems to have been pulled back into line. Not to mention in his first term he went beyond Obama to send Javelin missiles to Ukraine. t.co/owgeuStb6L
t.co
https://www.ft.com/content/05009e09-cadc-41ce-b9e6-d53d6e33c5ec
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 14/07/2025
Australia’s Prime Minister Anthony Albanese lands in China to meet with President Xi Jinping at a critical time between the two countries. #auspol
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
With due respect to the AFR editorial board - at what point does the mantra that "it's more complicated [than your little brains can comprehend]" become a battle-cry to rally around existing orthodoxy in defiance of evidence?
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
This by @jewishcouncilau.bsky.social's Max Kaiser is absolutely on point.
Dr Max Kaiser, Executive Officer, Jewish Council of Australia “This document reads more like a blueprint for silencing dissent rather than a strategy to build inclusion. The report’s vague language around ‘antisemitic narratives’ or ‘affiliations’ , coupled with its emphasis on the discredited IHRA definition of antisemitism, make the actions recommended dangerously unclear. Consistent with her past statements erroneously linking antisemitic attacks with Palestine solidarity protests, Segal seems fixated on driving a pro-Israel narrative and repressing legitimate criticism of Israel’s genocide in Gaza. Antisemitism is real and must be taken seriously. But it does not exist in a vacuum. Any response that treats antisemitism as exceptional, while ignoring Islamophobia, anti-Palestinian racism, and other forms of hate, is doomed to fail.”
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Interesting to leave out the key detail and present it as if Houthis' attack was wanton: Houthis had imposed sanctions on shipping companies (like the two involved) whose ships continued to dock in Israel. Again, when our enemies do things, no explanation is needed! ab.co/3GjhGFc
ab.co
Houthi rebels launch deadly attack on Red Sea cargo ship
Iran-backed Houthi rebels have attacked and sunk a cargo ship travelling through the Red Sea, killing some crew members and leaving others adrift in the water.
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Regular reminder: Green hydrogen in Aus = essential Hydrogen exports = ridiculous 1/x @australiainstitute.org.au www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/125bn...
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
The 2022-23 tax stats just dropped. And there we have it: 91 millionaires who paid ZERO tax
2023-23 TAX STATS SPREADSHEET SHOWING 91 PEoPLE WITH A TOTAL INCOME OF $1M+ who paid $0 tax
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Newspapers now have near-zero ability to sway elections, including The Australian. They should, therefore, have near-zero ability to sway politicians, not to mention public servants and the ABC.
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Alice Grundy @alicektg.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
If you bet on the winner of the Miles Franklin, your windfall is tax free but if you win the Miles Franklin you pay tax. There's an easy and cheap way for the gov to help our best artists and writers. Make prizes tax free. Thanks to @charlottewood.bsky.social & Melissa Lucashenko for their thoughts
canberratimes.com.au
Here's something absolutely cooked about books in Australia
Winning authors pay tax. Mug punters, that's another story.
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Oh look, Env Minister Murray Watt just tripled the area of native habitat that tax-shy gas company Arrow Energy can destroy! When LNP's Greg Hunt approved this, he imposed "some of the strictest env conditions in Aus history" Not so strict anymore...1/4 @australiainstitute.org.au
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 16/06/2025
On ABC Radio National Breakfast, Frank Yuan talks about China's reaction to Washington's AUKUS review, China's own submarine program, and why we don't need to worry about a war over Taiwan for now. @yuan-frank.bsky.social, Postdoctural Research Fellow at the Australia Institute. #auspol
abc.net.au
What does Beijing make of Washington's AUKUS review? - ABC listen
As Australia tries to decipher what a Pentagon-led review of the AUKUS agreement means, how is China responding to these developments?
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 27/05/2025
"The outer-Melbourne electorate of Calwell had "the most complex count in Australia's history", but almost nobody was talking about it before the election. Why? Only four journalists live in the seat, the least of anywhere in Australia. @rodcampbell.bsky.social writes ⤵️ #auspol
australiainstitute.org.au
Why the election’s closest seat went unnoticed: Too close to Calwell - The Australia Institute
The outer-Melbourne electorate of Calwell was named “Australia’s most unpredictable seat” by The Age after the election and was – aside from those going to a recount – the last seat to be called. The ...
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 23/05/2025
Worried you might one day have more than $3m in super and then might get less of a tax break? First off, seriously, you are worried about having $3m in super?? Secondly, as @grogsgamut.bsky.social writes, stop worrying you are not going to ever have $3m australiainstitute.org.au/post/dont-be...
Chart showing that even if someone starts work today aged 18 on $106,000 and gets a 3.7% pay rise every ever, they will still only have $2.1m in super when they retire
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 23/05/2025
Information about China’s foreign policy is often misleading, with much of the meaning & nuance lost in translation. The Australia Institute's @yuan-frank.bsky.social has produced an accurate assessment of foreign policy views of Chinese officials & state-affiliated analysts, from primary sources.
australiainstitute.org.au
A new understanding of Chinese foreign policy - The Australia Institute
Information about China’s foreign policy – particularly on issues like the trade war with the US, Australia’s position on Taiwan and the war in Ukraine - is often misleading, with much of the meaning ...
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
My latest analysis: what China has been saying about the trade war, Taiwan, Europe, and Russia, over the past six months. Find it at @australiainstitute.org.au t.co/rjNC1f6mZW
t.co
https://australiainstitute.org.au/report/chinese-foreign-policy-brief-2/
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Joshua Black @joshuablackjb.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
A brilliant brief from @yuan-frank.bsky.social explaining how the Chinese foreign policy establishment views world affairs right now, including their determination to "resist Trump's trade offensive" australiainstitute.org.au/report/chine... @australiainstitute.org.au
australiainstitute.org.au
Chinese Foreign Policy Brief - The Australia Institute
The Chinese foreign policy establishment appear determined to resist Trump’s trade offensive. They have asserted China’s position on Taiwan through both direct pressure and diplomacy, and sought to ma...
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Interesting story for many reasons. The far-right content problem on Tiktok which Mrs da Silva mentioned ironically indicates the platform's independence - far-right politics, esp. in a country like Brazil, tend to go against China's diplomatic interest. www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
scmp.com
Brazil’s first lady defends TikTok remarks at China state dinner hosted by Xi
Comments about safety of children uttered by ‘Janja’ da Silva broke diplomatic protocol and prompt official response from company.
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Rod Campbell @rodcampbell.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
The Aus's Dennis Shanahan devoted a column to @australiainstitute.org.au 's new report on declining media power & this was the best he could do: "the big election editorial has never counted for much with voters. To suggest there’s been a decline of their influence ignores the political reality." 🧵
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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 05/05/2025
Business groups are calling for the government to overhaul the tax system. Excellent! As @grogsgamut.bsky.social writes, we have some ideas... australiainstitute.org.au/post/busines...
Chart showing that Australia is a low-taxing nation and raises around $138bn less tax than the average of the OPEC
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Frank Yuan @yuan-frank.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Missed this from last week - China re-opens Tibet to Indian pilgrims. Hardly not the most politically significant bilateral move but it does show 1) increased trust between the two 2) more confidence from Beijing about Tibet security as well www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...
reuters.com
China agrees to let Indian pilgrims visit Tibet this summer
China's foreign ministry announced on Monday that Indian pilgrims would be able to travel to holy sites in Tibet for the first time in five years this summer, in the latest sign of warming relations between the two regional superpower.
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