Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Concerning sentence in an article about revenue topping estimates: "The Republican-controlled Kansas Legislature and Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly produced state budgets the past two years that spent approximately $700 million more than the state generated in tax revenue." 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanJason Furman @jasonfurman.bsky.social · 08/10/2026This is what crowd out looks like. 31728250
Reposted by Josh GoodmanMissouri Independent @missouriindependent.com · 05/10/2026Missouri will not use optional federal exemptions designed to help low-income people keep Medicaid coverage when they are hospitalized, travel for medical care or live in areas affected by disasters or high unemployment. #moleg #mogovmissouriindependent.comMissouri rejects optional hardship exceptions to Medicaid work requirements • Missouri IndependentThe Department of Social Services says people who have acute medical events or travel for care can maintain coverage using other exemptions 11219
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 02/10/2026New SNAP costs for states seem to typically be running in the low hundreds of millions of dollars, as in Tennessee. One thing I haven't seen states study so far is now much their SNAP bill would increase in a recession, when enrollment would likely rise.tennesseelookout.comTennessee faces estimated $220M in extra SNAP costs under new federal rules • Tennessee LookoutTennessee may have to use an additional $220 million next year to continue funding the state’s Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanDavid DeWitt @daviddewitt.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine is promising to hold prediction market platform Kalshi accountable for skirting state gambling regulations for years. A federal court ruled that Ohio can require the company to follow sports betting laws ohiocapitaljournal.com/2026/09/30/a...ohiocapitaljournal.comAfter court ruling, Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine to hold Kalshi accountable for operating illegally • Ohio Capital JournalOhio Gov. Mike DeWine is promising to hold prediction market platform Kalshi accountable for skirting state gambling regulations for years. A federal court ruled that Ohio can require the company to… 0255
Reposted by Josh GoodmanLarry Levitt @larrylevitt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Early results show people losing coverage due to early implementation of a Medicaid work requirement in Nebraska, with signs that they're being caught up in administrative barriers. www.kff.org/medicaid/ear...kff.orgEarly Medicaid Work Requirement Insights From Nebraska | KFFThis brief describes the verification process for Medicaid work requirements in Nebraska and examines early data on outcomes for individuals subject to work requirements. 23420
Reposted by Josh GoodmanStates Newsroom @statesnewsroom.com · 29/09/2026OKLAHOMA CITY — Amid the largest single-year decline in decades for Oklahoma public school enrollment, the state’s largest district announced the potential closure of 17 schools as it grapples with a long-term trend of decreases.bit.lyTulsa school closures part of statewide picture of enrollment declineOKLAHOMA CITY — Amid the largest single-year decline in decades for Oklahoma public school enrollment, the state’s largest district announced the potential closure of 17 schools as it grapples with a long-term trend of decreases. 0109
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Governing covers the large number of consequential tax measures on the ballot in November.governing.comVoters Will Reshape State Tax Policy in NovemberAt least nine states have tax measures on the ballot that could transform government revenue and spending for years to come. 001
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 22/09/2026As @leahnylen.bsky.social notes, the settlement between state AGs and Paramount could require Paramount to ramp up domestic film production based on film incentive decisions in California and New York. Quick thread! 100
Reposted by Josh GoodmanKyle Pfannenstiel @pfannyyy.bsky.social · 17/09/2026After Idaho lawmakers cut state budgets this spring, the state collecting more money than it anticipated. If that trend holds, one powerful lawmaker said the state could consider using some of that extra money to restore some budget cuts. #idleg #idpolidahocapitalsun.comIdaho state revenue exceeds forecast for July and August • Idaho Capital SunIdaho revenue exceeded the state’s forecast for the month of August by $37.5 million, marking the second consecutive month in the new fiscal year where revenue beat projections, according to a new sta... 021
Reposted by Josh GoodmanSean Scully @seanibus.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Lower birth rates and declining interest in higher education are expected to have a substantial impact on Utah schools’ budgets, report @utahnewsdispatch.com and @statesnewsroom.com buff.ly/K6qEsCsutahnewsdispatch.comWith demographic dip in sight, Utah universities prepare for budget impacts • Utah News DispatchUtah universities, like institutions across the country, are bracing for demographic dips. Here's what fiscal analysts recommend. 001
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Excellent overview of Maryland's budget challenges and what happens next. 010
Reposted by Josh GoodmanJames Brooks Cascade @alaska.bsky.social · 11/09/2026One of the things in the back of my mind has been the budgetary challenge that Alaska's next governor will face. The Iran war is reducing that challenge, with almost $350 million deposited into savings in FY26, and more possible in FY27. #akleg #Alaska 2165
Reposted by Josh Goodmandepths of wikipedia @depthsofwikipedia.bsky.social · 10/09/2026it's so funny that michigan and ohio fought a literal war over toledo and that it says "result: inconclusive" 2453565
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 08/09/2026From me colleagues: "Mississippi was the only state to record an annual deficit in fiscal 2024." See: www.pew.org/en/research-.... I'll be fascinated to see how the numbers change in FY 25 and FY 26 as broader budget problems began. (This data comes from ACFRs, so there's always a lag.)pew.orgFiscal 50: Fiscal BalanceThe fiscal balance indicator reveals whether states have lived within their means over the past 15 years and annually by assessing how closely total revenue and total spending align. States can withst... 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanPennsylvania Capital-Star @penncapital-star.com · 08/09/2026Meta settled claims by 47 states that its platforms were harmful to children by agreeing to pay up to $17.1 billion. Now, those states, including Pennsylvania, must decide for themselves how the money should be distributed. From @petehallpa.bsky.socialpenncapital-star.comMeta settlement brings questions about where and how to use the money • Pennsylvania Capital-StarThe Meta settlement prescribes broad uses to remedy the increase in teen mental health issues such as body dysmorphia and suicide. 033
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 04/09/2026"A major worry for local governments comes from possibly facing higher interest rates on money borrowed for construction and other projects. That’s because payments for such bonds have long been guaranteed from property tax revenue that is regarded as more stable than income or sales taxes." 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 04/09/2026The big drop in public school employment in July looked like a seasonal quirk, and it was -- it rebounded sharply in August. But the larger downtrend is real -- local public education employment leveled off last fall and has been falling this year. 1105
Reposted by Josh GoodmanMcKenna Horsley @mckennahorsley.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Secretary of State Michael Adams’ office says that after 3,500 votes at the Kentucky State Fair, Laurel County’s Ryker Asher won the “I Voted” sticker contest. 143
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 03/09/2026As federal tax revenue from audits declines, states could loss revenue too because taxpayers who are caught underpaying federal taxes are also often caught underpaying state taxes. I wrote about these dynamics in April: www.pew.org/en/research-...nytimes.comAudit Revenue Has Plummeted Under Trump, Watchdog FindsThe I.R.S. lost roughly a quarter of its employees since President Trump took office, hampering the agency’s ability to conduct audits. 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanSC Daily Gazette @scdailygazette.com · 02/09/2026SC uses orphaned children’s benefits to pay for their care. Governor vows that will stop. scdailygazette.com/2026/09/02/s... by @sky-latte.bsky.socialscdailygazette.comSC uses orphaned children's benefits to pay for their care. Governor vows that will stop. • SC Daily GazetteSouth Carolina is the 36th state to say it will stop pulling the benefits, though the change can't start until next year. 041
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 02/09/2026This story includes State Finance Director Bill Poole predicting "a very, very challenging budget next year on the General Fund side." 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanMinnesota Reformer @minnesotareformer.com · 31/08/2026Minnesota’s spending on Medicaid is projected to far outpace the state’s growth in tax revenue over the next several years, underscoring the urgent challenge posed by federal cuts to a state budget already strained by rising healthcare costs and a growing elderly population.minnesotareformer.comMinnesota Medicaid spending is accelerating, projected to reach $29B in 2029 • Minnesota ReformerMinnesota’s spending on Medicaid is projected to far outpace the state’s growth in tax revenue over the next several years, underscoring the urgent challenge posed by federal cuts to a state budget al... 0135
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 31/08/2026"States are forgoing millions and, in some cases, billions of dollars in revenue by allowing data centers to skip out on paying sales tax. But Utah has no idea how much money it’s losing to these tax exemptions — the state simply doesn’t collect the data." From: utahnewsdispatch.com/2026/08/31/m...utahnewsdispatch.comMystery price tag: Utah can’t say how much it’s losing from data center tax break • Utah News DispatchUtah has no idea how much money it’s losing to these tax exemptions because state law doesn’t require that the data be collected. 010
Reposted by Josh GoodmanMatt Ford @mford.bsky.social · 28/08/2026Ninth Circuit panel says 3-0 that Kalshi’s “sports events contracts” are not swaps under the CEA and Nevada gambling laws aren’t pre-empted by CFTC rules for prediction markets. A massive blow to the industry: cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/op... 23811193
Reposted by Josh GoodmanDavid DeWitt @daviddewitt.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Trivia: Ontario isn't a Canadian word or reference, it's a Huron/Wyandot word meaning Great Lake. Ohio is a Seneca tribe word that means Great River. What's always been memorable to me about this is that Lake Ontario is Lake Great Lake and the Ohio River is the Great River River. 13911
Reposted by Josh GoodmanJohn Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Admittedly, a detailed report about survey methodology isn't for everyone. But this new @pewresearch.org study has some hilarious examples of "trap questions" used to weed out bogus survey respondents. 10% said they've visited the International Space Station. www.pewresearch.org/methods/2026... 13918
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Re-upping my thread on the state fiscal implications of the Meta settlement. One additional thought: For several states, the settlement says that attorneys general will decide how the money is used. I wonder if legislators will want more control, in keeping with their power of the purse. 000
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 26/08/2026I'd encourage statehouse reporters covering the Meta settlement to ask questions about how states will use the money. Here's a thread with what I know so far and some historical context. (1 of 9) 101
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 26/08/2026"Settlement money will be paid out to the participating states and territories annually over a decade, based on their populations." 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanCarl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 26/08/2026In Georgia, “the state exempts large-scale data centers .. from sales taxes, benefits that have cost the state more than $2.5 billion in 2026 alone.” #DataCenters #Georgia @ajc.com @conorsen.bsky.social www.ajc.com/politics/202...ajc.comHow Brian Kemp became the champion of Georgia’s data center futureGovernors from Texas to Pennsylvania are pausing data center development in response to voters' concerns. But Kemp, who leaves office in January, is defending the industry. 19301152
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 26/08/2026I haven't seen details yet on how states are allowed/required to spend the money--I'll be looking for those. 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanThe New York Times @nytimes.com · 26/08/2026Breaking News: Meta reached a landmark settlement of up to $17.1 billion with 47 states, D.C. and U.S. territories and has to make major changes to its products over claims it endangered children with addictive social media platforms.nyti.msMeta to Pay Up to $17 Billion in Landmark Settlement Over Social Media Addiction ClaimsThe social media giant settled with 47 states, the District of Columbia and U.S. territories, and agreed to make major changes to its products over claims its platforms endangered children. 78228
Reposted by Josh GoodmanNew York Focus @nysfocus.com · 25/08/2026Rather than using state funds to cover Trump's cuts to SNAP, New York is making counties pay for most of the increase. Counties, in turn, are likely to pick up the tab through higher property taxes.nysfocus.comNew York Counties Weigh Tax Hikes to Cover Trump SNAP CutsNew York counties face more than $1 billion in added SNAP costs as federal funding falls, potentially forcing property tax hikes or service cuts. 141
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 24/08/2026"In Dallas, the budget gap is $51 million. In Fort Worth, it’s $94 million. In San Antonio, the city faces a $158 million deficit over the next two years. Austin faces a structural deficit that could grow past $100 million by the start of the next decade." See: www.texastribune.org/2026/08/17/t...texastribune.orgTexas cities eye property tax hikes, spending cuts amid budget gapsRising costs, slowing tax revenue and a sluggish economy have saddled some of Texas’ biggest cities with multimillion-dollar deficits. 010
Reposted by Josh GoodmanLeah 'AntiTrustButVerify' Nylen @leahnylen.bsky.social · 20/08/2026I don't know if #6 or #7 is better. 472
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 11/08/2026In July, Indiana became the third state in the last year to conduct a tax amnesty, a budget tool that critics deride as a gimmick. My new analysis looks at why states offer amnesties, their poor reputation, and how states might limit the drawbacks: www.pew.org/en/research-.... Quick thread (1 of 8)pew.orgStates Turn to Tax Amnesties to Close Budget HolesFor eight weeks this summer, starting on July 15, Indiana is offering many individuals and businesses who owe back taxes a deal: no penalties, no interest, and no prosecution if they simply pay the pa... 110
Reposted by Josh GoodmanJohn Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 07/08/2026"AI is now answering 911 emergency calls in Louisiana's largest city and one of the cities with the highest call rates in the U.S."shreveporttimes.comNew Orleans will use AI to answer 911 calls instead of a humanNew Orleans is using AI to answer 911 calls instead of human dispatchers. What does this mean for crime and emergency response? 231
Reposted by Josh GoodmanBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 07/08/2026Local public education employment has been falling steadily for several months. So this doesn't look like it's *just* a seasonal quirk, even if the 50k decline is exaggerated. 0405
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 07/08/2026While they don't agree on the length of the delay, important to note that both parties in the U.S. Senate favor pushing back the start date for states to begin paying a share of SNAP benefits: rollcall.com/2026/08/06/f...rollcall.comFarm bill rejected in partisan split over food stamp cost-sharingThe Senate Agriculture Committee rejected a five-year farm bill Thursday at a contentious markup plagued by Republican absences and a Democratic rebellion over plans for imposing food stamp costs on s... 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanThe New York Times @nytimes.com · 07/08/2026Two capybaras wandered into the reception area of a Brazilian state legislature last week. The animals, which are the largest rodents in the world, were shooed away from the premises by a parliamentary aide. nyti.ms/4yZ1DTr 2638282
Reposted by Josh GoodmanMissouri Independent @missouriindependent.com · 05/08/2026Amendment 5 lost 83-16. Now what? #moleg #mogovmissouriindependent.comWhat Tuesday's primary results say about Amendment 5 and the next Missouri Senate • Missouri IndependentMissourians went to the polls Tuesday, and the results resist a single storyline. Here's what's worth noticing. 3157
Reposted by Josh GoodmanTaniel @taniel.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Big tax results out of Missouri tonight: Voters statewide rejected by an huge margin a GOP ballot measure to phase out the income tax. They also renewed a sales tax to keep state parks free. And Kansas City approved a package of $1.7 billion of bonds for infrastracture. 111370280
Reposted by Josh GoodmanCarl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 05/08/2026"The move appears to be an effective pause on most new data center projects .." #Texas 3326971
Reposted by Josh GoodmanJason Sisney 🏳️🌈 @jasonsisney.bsky.social · 04/08/2026US stock prices are now 10% higher than levels assumed in the #CABudget administration economic forecast. www.nbcnews.com/business/mar...nbcnews.comS&P 500, Dow hit record highs on strong AI-linked earnings and hopes for an Iran war dealDespite persistent inflation and high gas prices, the corporate earnings season underway has so far exceeded historical standards. 022
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 03/08/2026Tomorrow, MO votes on Amendment 5, which would begin the process of eliminating the income tax and broadening the sales tax. No state has eliminated an income tax since AK in 1980. This would be an especially big shift for MO, where the income tax is the #1 tax source: www.pew.org/en/research-...pew.orgHow States Raise Their Tax DollarsTax collections typically make up almost half of state government revenue. In fiscal year 2025, nearly two-thirds of states’ combined total tax collections came from levies on personal income (33.7%) ... 010
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 31/07/2026I'll have a piece on tax amnesties, including Indiana's, in the next few weeks! From the Capital Chronicle's reporting, it sounds as though Indiana is focusing on individuals and businesses that the state already knows owe taxes--raising the question of why an amnesty is necessary to collect. 000
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 23/07/2026One little detail in this story about South Carolina's budget deal is that the state is reimbursing counties for the cost of state-imposed property tax cuts. But as my colleague Riley Judd has written, states don't always make local government whole: www.pew.org/en/research-... 000
Josh Goodman @josh-s-goodman.bsky.social · 23/07/2026From this fascinating article: "Some states in the Northeast have seen death rates drop by the most between 2015 and 2025 — led by New Jersey (down 8.3%), Rhode Island (down 8%), New York (down 7.9%), Massachusetts (down 7.4%) and the District of Columbia (down 7.0%)." 000
Reposted by Josh GoodmanJames Brooks Cascade @alaska.bsky.social · 21/07/2026Be careful out there — it might get above 80 in Ketchikan and other parts of Southeast Alaska. 484