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Jon Minton

@jonminton.bsky.social
264 followers 598 following 168 posts

Senior Statistician. Eclectic public and population health background. Very reluctant Twitter refugee. Distant memories of academia. “Evidence informed contrarian”

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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Which version of my new company’s landing page is more compelling? Why? See options (Original, Alt A and Alt B), vote, and offer feedback at ktandb.co.uk
ktandb.co.uk
Knowledge Tree and Butterfly
Bridging analytical knowledge with technical know-how. Teaching, training and guiding analytical professionals and software developers across the divide that agentic AI just made obsolete.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Writing like lightning. My transformative new system for better nonfiction writing, including scientific publication, inspired by slip boxes, quietly supported by AI agents. Link below to sign up for more info.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Yesterday, I founded a company: ktandb.co.uk It helps analytical workers learn the technical know-how to supercharge their work with Agentic AI. And helps developers develop analytical knowledge too. Free 20 min consultations. Links above. Share widely!
ktandb.co.uk
Knowledge Tree and Butterfly
Bridging analytical knowledge with technical know-how. Teaching, training and guiding analytical professionals and software developers across the divide that agentic AI just made obsolete.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
New blog: digital dogs in hats: bridging the senseworld/streamworld divide: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - Digital Dogs in Hats
On assuming Agency and Intentionality in AIs without anthropomorphising them
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Reposted by Jon Minton
🚲 @bicycle.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
they’re turning the fonts gay
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic that can be magically fixed by turning off and on again
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
I designed a story. (Origin story to the story to follow) jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - The Guano Guild
Claude Opus 4.6
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
New blog post: “When Tech incrementalism fails: a steam-powered parable” jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - When Tech Incrementalism Fails
A Steam-powered Parable
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos... New (quickish) blog post: I've been using Claude for digital archeology: It found a really simple social agent-based model I wrote in R almost 20 years ago and rebuilt an interactive version of it in Python.
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - The Benefits of Sharing: From a 2007 R Script to an Interactive Simulation
How local sharing and state coordination reduce destitution — an agent-based demonstration
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Nominative determinism
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
My hand drawn attempt to explain the difference between the standard chatbot style AIs most people are familiar with, and agentic AI (AAI) jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos... Adding ‘Machine’ alongside chat window to the ways Human and Bot can work together is underrated, a game changer.
jonminton.github.io
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Another Claudic implementation of an idea I've been playing around with for years: Flow Kitchen jonminton.github.io/recipes-as-mus… (Formerly 'recipes as music')
jonminton.github.io
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Gerry McCartney @gerrymccartney1.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
New @sgsss.bsky.social funded #PhD opportunity to undertake an #ethnography at #galgael in Glasgow with @giopicker.bsky.social and myself. This is a fully funded #Scholarship / #Studentship, which includes a stipend, fees and research expenses. Closes 24th March. www.sgsss.ac.uk/studentship/...
sgsss.ac.uk
Mirroring GalGael: An Ethnography of Repair and Belonging - Scottish Graduate School of Social Science
Repair can be understood as a civic practice and an essential form of care, particularly in the face of ecological crises and the need to move towards a circular economy. Most research on repair tends...
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
Since its release on Thursday, I’ve been putting Opus 4.6 through its paces. No specific research task, evidence synthesis or review, or even philosophical conversation seems to challenge it, not even remotely. So instead, I’m vibe coding a game! jonminton.github.io/boomer/
jonminton.github.io
BOOMER — 1v1 Arena Shooter
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
How I now write my blog (with reMarkable and Claude): jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos... Very meta. Hopefully specific and detailed enough to show this is a workable pattern for producing online content. #claude #vscode #Remarkable #writing #cats
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - How I Now Write My Blog
With reMarkable and Claude Code
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
The Dilbert Future in retrospect jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/posts… #dilbert #ScottAdams #predictions
jonminton.github.io
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
I asked an Agentic AI to develop a course on how to understand and use Agentic AI. This is what it came up with: jonminton.github.io/working-with... It has a core section, then five parallel tracks for different kinds of knowledge worker. Suggestions and feedback very welcome!
jonminton.github.io
Working With AI: A Practical Course
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Dr Lucinda Hiam @lucindahiam.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
📄 New paper out in Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine with @robaldridge.bsky.social, Rachel Burns, and analysis led by @jonminton.bsky.social ❓How does mortality compare by country/region of birth in England & Wales, 2007–2021? doi.org/10.1177/0141... 🧵⬇️
doi.org
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
New AI cowriting experiment. Are my blog posts better if I don’t write them?! jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - David Sconce and the benevolence of evil?
Some discomforting thoughts on The Mortician
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
I’ve done a cliche! Here’s a Gemini produced infographic of my end of year blog post: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
New blog post. A reflection on 2025, and why it might be the last year we think “nothing’s changed”: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - 2025: The Last Year Most Knowledge Workers will be Human
On professional existential crises, Silica Sapiens, and the end of Nothing Changes
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
I thought this was about whale oil!
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
New experimental stats website (Alpha stage). Interactive tutorials for helping understand GLMs: jonminton.github.io/glm-dashboar... Please explore and make use of the bug and feature request options!
jonminton.github.io
GLM Tutorials: Matching Models to Data
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
New blog post: Claude Sonnet 4.5 reflects on reading and fact-checking the rest of my blog! (About 200k words!) jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - Claude Adds Footnotes: A Reflection
What happens when an AI systematically fact-checks 128 blog posts
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
New blog post: WiredClothMother jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - WiredClothMother
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 29/11/2025
I wrote an essay comparing AI to the Maxim gun of the 19th century, then asked four LLMs to produce short ‘rights of reply’: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - The Analytical Maxim Gun
Some thoughts about integrated AI and the future of knowledge
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Given recent announcements of tougher asylum policies in the UK, I asked Claude AI to track down and summarise evidence on how much of an influence policy is likely to have on asylum claims as compared with other factors: claude.ai/share/188b49... (tl;dr: probably not much)
claude.ai
Safe third countries and asylum motivation
Shared via Claude, an AI assistant from Anthropic
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
I’m now being overly sycophantic to Claude by suggesting its single letter substitution is actually a really clever shorthand for describing Vince Gilligan’s new TV show #pluribus
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
As a stats in-joke I thought redesigning the “Breaking Bad” titles to say “Breaking Blind” would be fun, so I asked Claude to have a go at this. It helpfully pointed out that “Bl” isn’t a real element, but decided that “Bk” must be good enough as it’s just 1 letter away.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
As a stats in-joke I thought redesigning the “Breaking Bad” titles to say “Breaking Blind” would be, so I asked Claude to have a go at this. It helpfully pointed out that “Bl” isn’t a real element, but decided that “Bk” must be good enough as it’s just 1 letter away.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
As a stats in-joke I thought redesigning the “Breaking Bad” titles to say “Breaking Blind” would be, so I asked Claude to have a go at this. It helpfully pointed out that “Bl” isn’t a real element, but decided that “Bk” must be good enough as it’s just 1 letter away.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Two animated guides for understanding some key concepts in statistical inference: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos... (Or at least for becoming curious enough about these concepts to want to learn more…)
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - Point estimates, Confidence Intervals and P-Values
Two simple statistical animations co-produced with Claude
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Reposted by Jon Minton
Hadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 06/11/2025
pkgdown 2.2.0 now out — tidyverse.org/blog/2025/11.... Main feature is new build_llm_docs() which makes your websites easier to understand by LLMs. (Which you can easily turn off if desired) #rstats
tidyverse.org
pkgdown 2.2.0
The latest version of pkgdown automatically builds markdown files that make it easy for LLMs to use your website.
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Reposted by Jon Minton
Hadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 04/11/2025
purrr 1.2.0 out now — mostly removing long deprecated functions but a few small performance nad parallel processing improvements. Learn more at www.tidyverse.org/blog/2025/11... #rstats
tidyverse.org
purrr 1.2.0
This release tightens up the package by removing long-deprecated functions, making `map_chr()` and predicate functions more type-safe, and requiring a newer version of carrier to make `in_parallel()`...
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Someone on ‘the other place’ just unearthed and reposted this data vis I made a couple of years ago. Such is the decline in engagement- there or here- that even 8 likes now looks impressive!
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
New blog post: Claude as a dialectical engine? jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos... (Have LLMs now solved their sycophancy problem?)
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - Claude as a Dialectical Engine?
Accounts of two recent exchanges
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
D’oh!
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
I’ve now experienced an LLM (Claude) start to ask me questions and push back on specific suggestions and assumptions I’ve made either implicitly or explicitly through the prompt. To me this suggests LLMs are moving from ‘Affirmation Engines’ to ‘Dialectical Engines’, a change I wasn’t expecting.
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Reposted by Jon Minton
Hadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 16/10/2025
Would any fluent speakers of Korean or Chinese have a couple of minutes to review some updated pkgdown translations at github.com/r-lib/pkgdow... ? These were generated by claude code, so they're probably ok, but I'd love a human to double check.
github.com
✨ Proofread translations ✨ by hadley · Pull Request #2926 · r-lib/pkgdown
with Claude code cc @jayhesselberth @maelle
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
Climbing with Claude: understanding git/GitHub for collaborative version control: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - Climbing with Claude: Understanding Collaborative Version Control
An Artificially Hand-drawn Analogy
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
Here’s Claude’s scarily accurate summary of my 9 ideas:
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
Nine thoughts and ideas inspired by reading Tim Berners-Lee's This is for Everyone: (From Monetisation to Marriage Markets) jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
lnkd.in
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
Has the child prodigy who made the game Theme Park in 1994 ‘solved intelligence’? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theme_P... jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
en.wikipedia.org
Theme Park (video game) - Wikipedia
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
New blog post: the man who solved intelligence - Demis Hassabis and the Thinking Game: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos... (I’m not even sure the title is hyperbole…)
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - The Man Who Solved Intelligence
Some thoughts on Demis Hassabis and The Thinking Game
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Reposted by Jon Minton
Helen Lewis @helenlewis.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Devout tightarses take note: The Genius Myth is a kindle daily deal today, for £1.99. www.amazon.co.uk/Genius-Myth-...
amazon.co.uk
The Genius Myth: The Sunday Times bestselling exploration of the dangerous allure of rebels, monsters and rule-breakers eBook : Lewis, Helen: Amazon.co.uk: Kindle Store
The Genius Myth: The Sunday Times bestselling exploration of the dangerous allure of rebels, monsters and rule-breakers eBook : Lewis, Helen: Amazon.co.uk: Kindle Store
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
KGB: 1992’s subtly terrifying social poison simulator: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
jonminton.github.io
Jon Minton’s Blog - Remembering KGB: 1992’s subtly terrifying social poison simulator
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
Trump speaks with mismatching parentheses [}
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 24/08/2025
I’ve now written about two books worth of idiosyncratic nerdery: jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...
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Prof Christina Pagel @chrischirp.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
🚨1000 authoritarian actions. 7 months🚨 I've been tracking Trump's authoritarian actions. From dismantling democratic institutions to militarising immigration enforcement, Trump is reshaping America. In my new post I highlight key authoriarian attacks christinapagel.substack.com/p/grand-desi... 1/2
christinapagel.substack.com
Grand Designs: the loss of American freedom
Exactly seven months into Trump's second term, we have reached 1000 authoritarian actions. Here I lay out the enormity of what has happened.
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Jon Minton @jonminton.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
I wonder what Greek people say when they don’t like or understand algebra…
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