iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Of course Tropical Storm Dolly would bring the rain that is needed without the destructive wind speeds. "And my tears keep falling down As steady as the rain"

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

An excellent article by @annahelhoski.bsky.social on catastrophic risk and prediction markets, featuring ideas from me along with some other people who think it is a good idea to bet on disasters (I do not) www.nerdwallet.com/finance/news...

nerdwallet.com

The Business of Betting on Natural Disasters - NerdWallet

Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi allow users to place bets on events like hurricanes and earthquakes, raising ethical and safety concerns.

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Kalshi is offering a new Heatwaves category in disaster betting, & Polymarket has just added Drought. Does anyone look at this and seriously think "hedging function" and "price discovery mechanism"? Or is it more "yeah let's pass the time and maybe make a few bucks while the planet burns amirite"?

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Good piece in @theguardian.com about the US Senators' letter to the CFTC expressing concern about the Polymarket wildfire markets (which, as I say in the article, is only a year and a half late...) www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

theguardian.com

US senators urge crackdown on wildfire betting amid warnings of arson risk

Experts say growing trend on sites such as Polymarket and Kalshi could motivate people to start fires to win money

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

Important article from @highcountrynews.org -- must-read for anyone interested in catastrophic risk, prediction markets, or the danger & depravity of "arson markets." I wrote about Polymarket wildfire markets and it is horrifying to see some of my worst fears realized... aeon.co/essays/what-...

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

Check out this smart & highly watchable deep dive into who is actually using--and winning on--prediction markets by Christophe Haubersin & his team on Tunnel Vision, in which I make an appearance along w other journalists & social scientists working on this timely topic youtu.be/E_V7m_lnybY?...

youtu.be

Prediction markets are a trap

YouTube video by Christophe

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

Prediction markets are a hot topic lately, but media coverage is overlooking some important angles re weather & climate markets. I have been following this for a year & a half--here is how I see it: 1. Media focus on insider trading has oversimplified the story 1/ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

bloomberg.com

Weather Prediction Markets Are Booming. Can They Improve Forecasts?

From Kalshi and Polymarket to niche scientific platforms, traders are predicting the weather — and climate experts are debating the results.

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

The CFTC expects us to believe that Minnesota farmers must be allowed to bet on Kalshi because they "have relied on critical hedging products on weather and crop-related events for decades to mitigate their risks." That is called crop insurance. The idea that ad hoc betting on precipitation and 1/3

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Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

Excited to be part of the Made by History launch with the long history of weather gambling, featuring rain betting, illegal "weather pools," and attempted bribery. TY @carlygoodman.bsky.social for terrific editing and @jmburns.bsky.social for reading and our many prediction market conversations!

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Jamie Pietruska @jpietruska.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

My latest on catastrophe markets and the long history of weather gambling in @aeon.co aeon.co/essays/what-... Grateful for feedback from terrific readers along the way: Jackson Lears, Ann Fabian, Meagan Wierda, @jeroenputtevils.bsky.social & @urbanhistoryua.bsky.social, & editor Sam Haselby. 1/2

aeon.co

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

Can’t listen to this anymore. Don’t need to sit here listening to lies from a pedophile.

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 09/11/2025

Mamdani is going to implement Shire law. Everyone will be required to live underground, with round doors, in comfort. This will solve the housing crisis.

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

Ahhh, makes so much more sense now

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

Grok finally spits out something that’s not full of lies and misinformation, and NOW he wants to fix it?!? It is so tiring

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Daniel José Older @djolder.bsky.social · 06/08/2025

If I have to explain to you why it's a bad idea to use a machine that makes shit up 15-80% of the time AND destroys the environment AND contributes to rising fascism and genocide AND puts brilliant skillful creatives out of work by stealing their work, then we're already speaking different languages

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Reposted by Jason Burns

Kai Ryssdal @kairyssdal.bsky.social · 26/05/2025

I implore people to think about what Memorial Day means, and then think about…this

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

Hamburg’s football team - “no person is illegal”

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 13/03/2025

Spotted on the streets of Hamburg

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 24/12/2024

Instead of Elf on the Shelf…

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 21/12/2024

What We do in the Shadows. Just, wow. Can’t believe it’s over, but what a show. Doesn’t get any better than that!

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 23/11/2024

Duo is getting a bit cheeky

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 17/11/2024

My wife said something like, “I can’t believe they’re putting a rapist there” and I legit didn’t know which R she meant. Trump? Gaetz? Hegseth? So many possible fits.

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 12/11/2024

Keep seeing lots of heron pics here, so here’s my buddy who lives in the river across the road.

Kinda too-far-away pic of (I think) a great blue heron doing some fishing

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 04/11/2024

At school pickup today, my son’s guidance counselor said he’s “nauseously optimistic” about tomorrow and that is just the perfect way to state how I feel right now.

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 18/09/2024

Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #1,369,468!

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 24/08/2024

Snapper and box turtle (I think)

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Jason Burns @jmburns.bsky.social · 23/07/2024

Expect to see this headline any day now from the NYT: “Showing a unity that the Democrats lack, GOP seamlessly pivots from ageism to sexism and racism”

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