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Joe DeCarolis

@jfdecarolis.bsky.social
9.2K followers 252 following 140 posts

Focused on applying state-of-the-art data systems, models, and analysis to inform decision making on energy. Professor at NC State University; served as the 10th Administrator of the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Personal account.

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Reposted by Joe DeCarolis
Costa Samaras @costasamaras.com · 04/06/2026
Join us on June 10 for a webinar on AI, energy, and U.S. economic growth and inequality.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
🔌💡 New paper alert: Surging data center and cryptocurrency demand could spike regional electricity costs up to 57% and push U.S. power sector CO₂ emissions up 28% by 2030. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... A thread on what we found 🧵👇
iopscience.iop.org
Power system costs and emissions from data center and cryptocurrency mining expansion in the United States
Power system costs and emissions from data center and cryptocurrency mining expansion in the United States, Johnson, Jeremiah X., Wade, Cameron, Blackhurst, Michael, Decarolis, Joseph F, De Queiroz, Anderson R, Posen, I Daniel, Jaramillo, Paulina
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Brent and WTI above $100. Strait of Hormuz largely shut down. EIA has the data and expertise to explain what might happen next. They've been quiet so far, but hopefully tomorrow's Short-Term Energy Outlook will offer some insight.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Obviously terrible BUT I keep reminding myself that what has been undone can be redone. The science doesn't change, and eventually... EVENTUALLY... we will realign U.S. policy with the science.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Yes, the economics are pretty simple: incentivize demand for gasoline and prices will go up. Look no further than EPA's own regulatory impact analysis earlier this year, which cited EIA projections: www.cbsnews.com/news/epa-rul...
cbsnews.com
Repealing rule to curb greenhouse gas emissions will increase gas prices, Trump administration's own analysis finds
EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin told CBS News' "The Takeout" that environmental policy can't "strangulate out of existence" energy policy.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Funny story about George Dantzig's formulation of the canonical diet program to test his newly developed simplex algorithm. The lesson? Embed some common sense in the model formulation. Thanks to @bistline.bsky.social for sharing.
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Reposted by Joe DeCarolis
Jeremy Michalek @jmichalek.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Today we submitted our public comment on critical flaws in EPA's rationale for rescinding its authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions. This proposed move is a big deal with profound implications for our future. Today's the last day to comment. www.cmu.edu/cit/veg/publ...
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Excellent piece by @bencasselman.bsky.social on the BLS data revisions. The U.S. Energy Information Administration, another federal statistical agency, faces similar data challenges. The accuracy vs timeliness tradeoff is universal: data collected at higher frequency is inherently noisier.
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Reposted by Joe DeCarolis
Georg Zachmann @gzachmann.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
And here the timely EIA data (and analysis) on oil trade volumes through the Strait of Hormuz - 20% of global oil consumption: www.eia.gov/todayinenerg...
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
I was happy to participate in this event and explain how the U.S. Energy Information Administration meets energy data needs in the United States. 🔌💡
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Some personal news: This November, I'll be returning to Carnegie Mellon (@cmu.edu) as head of the Department of Engineering and Public Policy (EPP). I'm honored and excited to help lead EPP into its next chapter. engineering.cmu.edu/news-events/...
engineering.cmu.edu
DeCarolis named head of Engineering and Public Policy
Joseph DeCarolis has been named head of the Department of Engineering and Public Policy.
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Reposted by Joe DeCarolis
Rep. Sean Casten @casten.house.gov · 30/04/2025
If you want to lower energy costs for Americans, you must first understand the US energy system. You can't do that without the robust, accurate data the EIA provides. The Trump Administration's haphazard dismantling of the EIA will hurt our ability to increase access to cheap, reliable energy.
reuters.com
Over 100 employees leave US EIA, putting crucial energy data at risk, sources say
The U.S. government's energy statistics arm is set to lose over 100 employees after the Trump administration's latest round of resignation offers, putting at risk some of the most closely watched energy reports globally, three sources told Reuters.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2025 (AEO2025) was published this week: www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/ I’ve taken some time with the published data, and want to share some high-level insights from my personal perspective. 🔌💡 🧵👇
eia.gov
Annual Energy Outlook 2025 - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
🔌💡
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Meredith Fowlie discusses recent work examining the impacts of ⬆️ U.S. LNG exports. ⬆️ exports will put ⬆️ pressure on domestic prices, but models disagree on the global GHG impacts. Short-term displacement of coal tends to ⬇️ emissions, but longer-term delay in renewable adoption can ⬆️ emissions 🔌💡
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Great panel on an important topic...
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
In the run-up to my Senate confirmation, I was told to sell my 10 shares of Apple stock — 10 shares — to avoid a conflict of interest. Why? Because I could direct my agency's IT dept to purchase Apple products. Frustrating that the most powerful can flout the rules the rest of us take so seriously.
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Reposted by Joe DeCarolis
Macro-Energy Systems @macroenergysystems.org · 29/01/2025
Macro-Energy Systems is now on Bluesky! MES is an emergent field and research community that focuses on large-scale, systems-level, long-term aspects of energy systems and their implications for other systems. Follow this account for MES community updates, and visit our website for more!
macroenergysystems.org
Macro-Energy Systems
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Reposted by Joe DeCarolis
Destenie Nock, PhD @destenie.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Calling all Macro Energy Systems enthusiasts. I created this macro energy systems starter pack. Featuring @jessedjenkins.com @gruberte.bsky.social @jfdecarolis.bsky.social @patricia-levi.bsky.social #energySky Let me know in the comments who I missed and I'll add them. go.bsky.app/TTnoSNL
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
I had the honor to deliver the MITei Fall Colloquium this year. My title sums it up: “Stay humble and prepare for surprises: lessons for the energy transition” The talk features new animations showing past EIA projections versus reality. Some highlights. 🧵👇 🔌💡 www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0fL...
youtube.com
Stay humble and prepare for surprises: Lessons for the energy transition with Joseph F. DeCarolis
YouTube video by MIT Energy Initiative
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 31/10/2024
Project BlueSky is an EIA initiative to develop a next generation energy systems model. Today, as a first step, we released an open source BlueSky prototype on GitHub under the Apache 2.0 license 🔌💡 github.com/EIAgov/BlueSky 🧵👇
github.com
GitHub - EIAgov/BlueSky
Contribute to EIAgov/BlueSky development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 29/10/2024
Behold, EIA developed a new Sankey diagram to represent the U.S. energy system! 🔌💡 www.eia.gov/totalenergy/... 🧵👇
EIA's new Sankey diagram.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 11/10/2024
This week, EIA released its Winter Fuels Outlook, which estimates household energy expenditures for the upcoming winter. tl;dr: Expenditures are expected to be about the same as last winter. Lower prices compensate for a slightly colder winter. 🔌💡 See more here: www.eia.gov/outlooks/ste...
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 09/10/2024
Hurricane Milton is already affecting Florida’s energy infrastructure. Some FL gas stations are without fuel given high demand. Fuel must be delivered by truck or ship. Also, Port Tampa Bay is currently closed. 43% of FL’s petroleum products move through the port. 🔌💡 www.eia.gov/todayinenerg...
eia.gov
Hurricane Milton nears landfall on Florida’s west coast, disrupts energy infrastructure - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 03/10/2024
EIA's Today in Energy (10/3/24) analyzes the impact of load growth in ERCOT driven by cryptocurrency mining and data centers. We look at 3 demand cases for 2025 and estimate grid impacts 🔌💡: www.eia.gov/todayinenerg...
eia.gov
Data centers and cryptocurrency mining in Texas drive strong power demand growth - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 26/09/2024
Hurricane Helene is affecting energy infrastructure along the U.S. Gulf Coast. Trade press reports indicate that multiple companies have evacuated staff at offshore oil platforms and paused some production in the Gulf of Mexico. More here: www.eia.gov/todayinenerg... 🔌💡
eia.gov
Category 3 Hurricane Helene nears landfall, disrupts energy infrastructure - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 13/09/2024
For all the long-term energy modelers out there: we just released an open source tool that allows you to plot projections from past editions of the Annual Energy Outlook against actual outcomes: github.com/EIAgov/dash-... Let me explain why this is important. 🔌💡
github.com
GitHub - EIAgov/dash-benchmark
Contribute to EIAgov/dash-benchmark development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 12/09/2024
I know you're all going to miss the early 2000s vibe on the EIA homepage (goodbye carousel and sidebars 👋), but it was time for a refresh... www.eia.gov There's *much* more to do, but it's a start.
eia.gov
Homepage - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
The U.S. share of electric and hybrid vehicle sales increased in the second quarter of 2024 (2Q24). BEVs represented 7.1% of light duty sales in 2Q24, about the same as last year. Tesla's market share dropped to 48.9% in 2Q24, first time below 50% since 4Q17. www.eia.gov/todayinenerg... 🔌💡
eia.gov
U.S. share of electric and hybrid vehicle sales increased in the second quarter of 2024 - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 22/08/2024
EIA estimates the U.S. will add nearly 63 GW of new capacity in the electric sector in 2024. The overwhelming majority -- 96% -- will be carbon-free. ☀️ Solar: 37 GW 🔋 Battery: 15 GW 🌬️ Wind: 7.1 GW 💧Nat Gas: 2.6 GW ⚛️ Nuclear: 1.1 GW www.eia.gov/todayinenerg... 🔌💡
eia.gov
U.S. power grid added 20.2 GW of generating capacity in the first half of 2024 - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 14/05/2024
At EIA, we just released our National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) — used to produce the Annual Energy Outlook — as an open source product, with additional EIA code to follow. 🔌💡 github.com/EIAgov
github.com
EIAgov - Overview
The U.S. Energy Information Administration collects, analyzes, and disseminates independent and impartial energy information to promote sound policymaking. - EIAgov
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 18/04/2024
At EIA, we expect a significant increase in US LNG exports over the next couple of years. We forecast that LNG exports will increase by 2% this year, reaching an average of 12.2 Bcf/d. Next year, LNG exports grow by another 18%, reaching an average of 14.3 Bcf/d. 🔌💡 www.eia.gov/todayinenerg...
eia.gov
U.S. natural gas trade will continue to grow with the startup of new LNG export projects - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 10/04/2024
Today at EIA, we released the Wholesale Electricity Market Portal: www.eia.gov/electricity/... It gathers hourly and sub-hourly electricity production, demand, interchange, and price data from seven U.S. electricity markets. It’s a great example of how we’re making data easier to access. 🔌💡
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Joe DeCarolis @jfdecarolis.bsky.social · 28/03/2024
The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), which EIA uses to produce the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO), is undergoing a significant update in order to better model fuels, techs, and current policy in AEO2025 🔌💡 Learn more here, and join us for a public webinar on April 4: www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo...
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