Reposted by Jeff SmithBen Johnson 🏺👻 @gamedesignerben.bsky.social · 01/10/2026When witches are cackling and telling you “Fire burn and cauldron bubble,” take a step back. Breathe. Those are normal things for fire and cauldrons to do. They’re trying to mess with you. 202826697
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Finding out Robyn Miller became an AI guy is such a bummer man 000
Reposted by Jeff SmithJeffrey Rowland @wigu.org · 22/09/2026I'm basically a soothsayer. Comic from 2007 which was NOT 9 years ago turns out 334991
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026What a weird and sad way for our industry to devour itself 010
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026I don’t know when all the LLM fans decided to start pretending hallucinations don’t happen all of the time? Was there a memo 000
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Every day on here there’s some main character claiming AI is about to end however many various careers followed by another report like this 121
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Anyway bottom line I think if people are taking the time to fully understand what the AI is doing it's probably not really saving any time, and if they're not doing that then they're letting digital rot accumulate in the walls. IMO the Meta findings I linked bear that out. Sorry for the ramble 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026None of this is a criticism of you, I hope that's clear. Mainly I'm bemoaning the deep, deep problems in the tech industry that have been with us a long time. In a lot of ways I think we probably deserve AI (derogatory) 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026I've watched multiple places succumb to that and go out of business because at some point it's too costly to start over and it's too costly to keep going. I have yet to see any attempt to address this re: AI. It seems like most people assume it will be immune to it or just don't consider it at all 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026So over time you build up this tech debt and never budget anything to address it and there's always something new the bosses or clients want and it never gets done. And you can go on like that for awhile! But eventually you get to where the codebase is like wading through mud to get anything done 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026It's not specific to AI, you can have like, a junior copying code they don't understand, or a gun for hire writing stuff nobody does. Which you can absolutely correct, just like you can correct AI code, but it takes time and that mostly negates the whole "we did this to go fast" thing so nobody does 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Ah yeah I know that pain. Been there in the pre-AI days. I guess my experience is that shortcuts of this nature are almost never worth it in the long run 110
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Would you be willing to share an example of this kind of work? Honest question 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 18/09/2026I’m not saying it can’t write useful code, but it can’t write useful code without either a) taking as much time as humans would take or b) causing equal or greater negative impacts, so what is the point bsky.app/profile/jeff... 140
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 18/09/2026The same people also regularly claim to use LLMs for things they cannot do, which makes me think it goes beyond bljnkered for some. Like Claude is not reviewing your code, man. You fell for Anthropic’s marketing 040
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 18/09/2026We’ve been asked to not argue here so reply on this thread if you’d like. But all of those things require either reasoning or a deterministic process, LLMs are neither bsky.app/profile/jeff... 110
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 18/09/2026The only thing that would make LLMs useful is if they had human level reasoning. They do not and never will, new models cannot change that 110
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 18/09/2026People say exactly this, every six months. Just one more model please bro 1100
Reposted by Jeff SmithTim Ellis, TDSB Ward 2 candidate 🍁 @djdynamic.ca · 17/09/2026If all you have is a hammer (a wildly inflated sense of your own intellectual prowess) everything looks like a nail (a logic puzzle that everyone else was simply too stupid to solve) 091
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 13/09/2026Once again, “hallucination” happens at an insanely high rate and it is not solvable. How are we still having this conversation 051
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026And yet something about AI tools leads a percentage of its users to assign it abilities it does not have: it *feels* fast therefore it *is* fast. At the end of the day the value of AI as a coding tool is literally vibes 0150
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026Step back from the confusion around "AI" for a moment and this should all seem very obvious. We've known for decades that "more code faster" does not mean more value 1152
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026This is what we mean by "meaningful" acceleration; an increase in actual value that isn't negated by a loss of actual value (stability, security, etc). 1130
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026More recently, Meta found that while code changes "were up 220 percent year over year", "new or improved features [...] rose just 36 percent" while "technical and security incidents rose 40 percent" and "time employees spent on those problems grew by 70 percent." www.engadget.com/2244816/meta...engadget.comMeta reportedly abandoned an AI-focused restructuring plan that would have laid off thousands - EngadgetThe problem with Meta's AI restructuring plan is the AI wasn't good enough. 1152
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026The truth is that AI does not meaningfully accelerate software development. Consider this study from 2025: leaddev.com/velocity/ai-...leaddev.comAI doesn't make devs as productive as they think, study findsA new study raises serious questions about how perceptions of AI assisted productivity translate into results. 1150
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026The claim is that using AI to code is beneficial because it makes development faster. But typing code is not the bottleneck, it never was. Making decisions is the hard part and something that LLMs are and always will be incapable of doing 1190
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026Now a lot of engineers I've talked to at this point will say "well of course! That's why you have to do the thinking/make the decisions!" But I find this to be a dishonest retreat 190
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026First: technically speaking, it does not "write code". It generates text. This is important because "writing code" implies that it can understand the code it's generating, that it can choose the proper architecture or approach based on the needs or goals. It can't do any of that. 1170
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026The rhetoric has shifted once again, this time from "it's a tool" to "this is so obviously right you're delusional or a liar if you don't agree" so I will once again attempt to explain why AI is not, in fact, good for code 1488
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026It’s something about the way the narrative can adapt to any contradiction, the way god/AI can never fail, can only be failed. The same flavor of thought-terminating cliches 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/09/2026Idk if I can quite articulate the how and why but as someone who grew up in a religious cult, talking to people still in it and talking to fans of AI feels exactly the same 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 29/08/2026We have a weirdo 370x208 resolution, but I’ve found it looks good at most sizes with a decent pixel shader! 110
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 28/08/2026This one in particular has been getting to me. Watching people abandon best practices and curiosity to eagerly self-delude themselves is not great 000
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 21/08/2026Everyone *feels* like it makes them faster but that is a perception not borne out by studies. LLMs cannot review code. They cannot write documentation. Can we all stop assigning them human level reasoning please, you are falling for Anthropic’s PR 000
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 21/08/2026Hallucination means everything it generates has to be understood by a human, reviewed by a human, corrected by a human. Every decision at the most granular level has to be made by a human. It means there are no productivity gains at scale 120
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 21/08/2026A thing making me quietly insane is how we’ve all for some reason decided to start pretending the hallucination problem has been solved when it very much has not 100
Reposted by Jeff SmithAlexander King @literallyaking.com · 19/08/2026I think maybe the reason this didn't happen is that promises like the former are quickly verifiable as something it can't actually do, whereas promising to replace all labor *in the future* is a goalpost that's conveniently mobile. (Since, largely, the real customers are VCs etc, not people) 1194
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 08/08/2026I would push back on your last point. I know plenty of smart engineers who have no use for it; I think the idea that this particular tool is effective for this particular job is an assumption that’s yet to be proven. As Suresh correctly points out we still have no measurable evidence that it is 000
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Am also curious how practice can help with a nondeterministic process 010
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/08/2026I remain skeptical that the juice is worth the squeeze. You still have to make every decision yourself, so where is the speed benefit? Code isn’t the problem for me, I can type very fast :) 110
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/08/2026I agree with most of this! It could be we’re more aligned than we think, and the difference is in the type of projects we’re working with 100
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/08/2026I’ve seen the Claude Code leak. I’m sorry but I simply do not believe you 050
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 06/08/2026No insult taken. I read this today and found it lined up pretty 1:1 with what I’ve seen in the wild: hermit-tech.com/blog/ai-mani... I can’t speak to what’s going on at Apple or why Torvalds believes what he believes. All I can say is that making software is making decisions and LLMs can’t do thathermit-tech.comAI Mania Is Eviscerating Global DecisionmakingThe reality of how much damage AI mania is doing to our ability to run institutions effectively. 110
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 05/08/2026I can only speak for my experience but the code LLMs produce is worse than any junior I’ve ever worked with. They also make terrible mentors; they have a disastrously high error rate, especially on code with low training data (ie: every internal codebase ever). I’ve seen accuracy as low as 10% 1320
Jeff Smith @jeffsmith.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Ironically this is the same argument we’ve always had to contend with from non-techy execs. “Jimmy was able to code this in a weekend, why can’t we just ship it?” If you’re a hobbyist, sure 280