iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 20/11/2025

🎉 NEW BOOK CHAPTER 🎉 📘 Title: Counterfactuals in economics and allied social sciences: Methods, applications, and debates 👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: JC Punongbayan (UPSE) & Alfredo Paloyo (University of Wollongong)

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Gravel Influencer @gravelinfluencer.bsky.social · 31/10/2025

Halloween is the perfect example of how the time spent in or around cars are the most dangerous periods of any day for most Americans. And it is rarely acknowledged on a wide scale.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

🎉 NEW JOURNAL PUBLICATION 🎉 Happy to share my latest journal article in Review of Development Economics (SSCI, Scopus), co-authored with UPSE Prof. Emeritus Emmanuel S. de Dios!

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 20/09/2025

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: Martial law and the Philippine economy 👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: Emmanuel S. de Dios, Maria Socorro Gochoco-Bautista, & JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)

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Charles Johnson @charles.littlegreenfootballs.com · 06/09/2025

With Nazi helmets, for fuck’s sake.

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Timothy McBride @mcbridetd.bsky.social · 06/09/2025

DOGE....government waste alert...

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 02/09/2025

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: Much a Duterte about nothing: Continuity, complacency, and crisis in the Philippine economy (2016–23) 👨🏼‍🏫 Author: JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 19/08/2025

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: The role of power prices in structural transformation: Evidence from the Philippines 👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: Majah Ravago, Arlan Brucal, James Roumasset & JC Punongbayan

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 24/07/2025

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] I had the honor of interviewing one of the country’s foremost economists: UPSE Prof. Emeritus Emmanuel S. de Dios. 🧵We talked about his intellectual journey (including his Marxist roots), the role of UPSE in society, and his advice for young economists.👇

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 12/07/2025

My latest Rappler column, an expanded annotation of Trump's 20% tariff letter to President Marcos Jr. Trump's economic illiteracy is bringing down the global economic and trading order. www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

rappler.com

[In This Economy] Trump’s tariff letter to Marcos, annotated

Apart from being badly written, the letter reeks of Trump’s economic illiteracy, which is now on the cusp of bringing down the global trading and economic order

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 09/07/2025

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: The Philippine Journal of Development in the Early 21st Century (2002–2023) 👨🏼‍🏫 Author: JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics) 📍 Journal: Philippine Journal of Development, Vol. 48, No. 2

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 03/07/2025

📕 NEW STUDY ON MICROFINANCE! 📕 We're proud to share our latest research based on a national survey of 1,900 Filipino households. 🧵👇

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Atul Gawande @agawande.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

STAGGERING: This new study of 133 countries is the first to estimate the impact of all USAID’s work. In 2 decades, it has saved *92M* lives. Current cuts, if not reversed, are forecast to cost up to *14M* lives thru 2030. www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

📕 NEW UPSE WORKING PAPER! 📕 Excited to share this new study I co-wrote with my good friend Jeff Arapoc (@jaarapoc.bsky.social) of UPLB! 📘 Title: Is there a grade penalty for high school track and college degree mismatches? Evidence from the University of the Philippines 🧵Thread below:

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 26/06/2025

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, 2001–2024 👨🏼‍🏫 JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics) 📍 Applied Economics Letters 📅 Published: 31 Mar 2025 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1350...

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 20/06/2025

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] Starting today, I’ll be more intentional about sharing my academic publications. It’s not enough for research to stay within journals. We need to make our work more accessible and relevant to a broader audience. Here’s the first. ⬇️

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

🎉 NEW JOURNAL PUBLICATION 🎉 My latest journal article (titled "Supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, 2001-2024") just got published in Applied Economics Letters (SSCI and Scopus indexed)! doi.org/10.1080/1350...

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John Nery @jnerynewsstand.bsky.social · 27/03/2025

To borrow @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social's powerful concept, beware of false nostalgia about how Duterte's war on drugs supposedly made the public feel safe. As I argue in today's column, NOT TRUE. www.rappler.com/voices/thought-lead…

rappler.com

[Newsstand] Misremembering Duterte’s war on drugs

No, extrajudicial killings did not in fact make the public feel safe then

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 27/03/2025

My latest journal article, on the supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, has just accepted in Applied Economics Letters (SSCI, Scopus)! ❤️ This is also my first solo macroeconomics paper.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

Today my class started with applause. We applauded the arrest of Rodrigo Roa Duterte.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 03/03/2025

Literally rewriting macroeconomics to cover up their bufoonery.

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Alice Evans @draliceevans.bsky.social · 01/03/2025

Social democrats & conservatives have both hemorrhaged support across Europe The far right has surged

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 01/03/2025

Paid our respects to @enricovillanueva.bsky.social, our banker & economist friend who suddenly passed away on Feb 25 at the young age of 53. Tomorrow he will be laid to rest at a columbarium inside UPLB. We will miss you and your thoughtful takes on the economy, Rico!

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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 30/01/2025

25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico would cause lower GDP & higher inflation than otherwise in all three countries—including the US. Bookmark our guide to the #USMCA & US trade relations with Canada & Mexico: www.piie.com/microsites/2...

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Next week, on Feb 5 at 2 PM, I will be giving this 2025 economic briefing exclusive to Rappler+ subscribers.

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Ian Carrillo @iansociologo.bsky.social · 14/10/2024

www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

A graph showing the GDP would fall as mass deportations increase. The header reads If Trump's deportation plans were enacted, US GDP would be between 1.2 and 7.4 percent below baseline by the end of 2028.

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Ira Cruz @iracruz.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

There's real value in convening various stakeholders first to get a clear picture of where we are today (and how we got here), which elements are linked, and so on; as a way towards developing a plan to sustainably improve mobility. 🫡 @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social | www.scmp.com/week-asia/op...

scmp.com

Asian Angle | Manila must put brakes on car-centric policies, seek viable transport solutions

Manila is the world’s most congested city, and car-centric government policies, combined with insufficient investment in public transport, are making things worse.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 10/01/2025

US policy economists are having an existential crisis. "What was the point of their careful data-gathering, their complex models, their intricate theories if no one was going to listen to their advice anyway?" www.nytimes.com/2025/01/10/b...

nytimes.com

Economists Are in the Wilderness. Can They Find a Way Back to Influence? (Gift Article)

Economists have long helped to shape policy on issues like taxes and health care. But flawed forecasts and arcane language have cost them credibility.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 10/01/2025

Next week, on January 16, I'll be giving a webinar from the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore as a visiting fellow of their Philippine Studies Programme. I'll discuss recent developments in Philippine fiscal policy, especially concerning the 2025 budget.

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Stefan Dercon @gamblingondev.bsky.social · 07/01/2025

A new paper, just to provoke - on the political economy of economic policy advice - just out in Journal of African Economies. tinyurl.com/2sx7tda3

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 03/01/2025

My first Rappler column in 2025, where I look back at the economy in 2024 and offer ideas about where we're headed in 2025. Incidentally, this is also my 400th Thought Leaders piece! 🫶 www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

rappler.com

[In This Economy] The Philippine economy in 2024, and prospects for 2025

All in all, 2024 is a wake-up call to Filipinos that the Marcos administration is brazenly and shamelessly corrupting and playing around with taxpayers’ money

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Robin Wigglesworth @robinwigglesworth.ft.com · 02/01/2025

Since leaving the NYT and returning to blogging on Dec 11, @pkrugman.bsky.social has sent out a remarkable 17 newsletters, all of which are interesting. Poast king. paulkrugman.substack.com

paulkrugman.substack.com

Krugman wonks out | Paul Krugman | Substack

Notes on economics and more. Click to read Krugman wonks out, by Paul Krugman, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 31/12/2024

📣 NEW PUBLICATION! (LAST FOR 2024) 📣 I was commissioned by the Philippine Institute for Development Studies to write this commemorative article in the Philippine Journal of Development (PJD), looking back at the articles published in that journal from 2002-2023.

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The Philippine Journal of Development in the Early 21st Century (2002–2023)

As the Philippine Journal of Development (PJD) celebrates its 50th anniversary in 2024, this paper reviews all articles published in the journal from

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 30/12/2024

Got interviewed by Karmina Constantino-Torres of ANC for quick thoughts about the 2025 budget signed today by President Marcos. Full video: youtu.be/DRPtiWIACys?...

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WATCH: Economist JC Punongbayan weighs in on 2025 nat'l budget | ANC

YouTube video by ANC 24/7

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Torsten Lütten @torstenluetten.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

He put solar thermal panels on the White House in 1979. 1986 Ronald Reagan put them down. This gives you an idea where we could have been today if only we had more smart people taking care of our livelihood. Rest in peace, Jimmy Carter.

1978, Jimmy Carter inaugurates solar thermal panels on the White House

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

Tomorrow, 30 Dec 2024, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr is set to sign the 2025 budget. In my latest @rappler.bsky.social piece, I discuss his options and the dilemma he faces. www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

rappler.com

[In This Economy] Breaking down Marcos’ 2025 budget dilemma

In this piece, let’s break down the dilemma now faced by Marcos concerning the 2025 budget, and what he can realistically do

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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 23/12/2024

From the academic consequences of remote learning, to pricing carbon, to the cost of species extinction: here are the 10 most-read Featured Charts of 2024. #econsky www.aeaweb.org/research/cha...

aeaweb.org

2024 in Featured Charts

Economists addressed issues related to remote learning, carbon pricing, species extinction, and more.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

Here's my latest Fulcrum commentary as a visiting fellow of the ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute. All about the crippling education crisis in the Philippines, and ways forward. fulcrum.sg/addressing-t...

fulcrum.sg

Addressing the Philippines’ Education Crisis | FULCRUM

The education system in the Philippines is floundering. It is time to implement some urgent reforms, such as addressing the spending gap and decentralisation.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

New working paper! Last for 2024! 🥳📝

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Common Sense @cmmnsensedspnsr.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

Some folks are pretty good seeing things coming.

Passage from Carl Sagan’s A demon-haunted world book.

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Jonathan E. Sy @jonathaneasy.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

From what I see here, @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social’s #FalseNostalgia is a hit, not like that pile of garbage they put next to it.

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Beth Angsioco @bethangsioco.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

One cannot help but be suspicious. The 2025 elections may be the biggest reason for cutting budgets on health, education, and social protection that our people direly need.

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 17/12/2024

Here's my summary of the shady reallocations in the 2025 budget. Pork projects were inserted in the DPWH budget, crowding out important funds for social protection, education, and health. Foreign-funded projects were also relegated to unprogrammed funds. All this in the run-up to the 2025 polls. #PH

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JC Punongbayan @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social · 13/12/2024

My latest Rappler column, where I express incredulity over the move of Congress to eliminate state subsidies for PhilHealth in 2025. Every Filipino should be scandalized by this. www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

rappler.com

[In This Economy] Zero subsidies for PhilHealth in 2025: Are lawmakers out of their minds?

With the 2025 budget they just approved, lawmakers themselves are sabotaging the Philippines’ universal health care project

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