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Jānis B

@janchibrugiks.bsky.social
2.6K followers 4.6K following 564 posts

Observing the horizon: global affairs – geopolitics, security, climate change, technology, democracy, EU and more – through a Baltic and European lens. Opinions are solely mine. 🇱🇻🇪🇺🇺🇦

PostsRepliesMedia
Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
"The new [Russian] drones fly at speeds and altitudes that blur the line between drone and cruise missile...Konrad Muzyka, director of Rochan Consulting, a Polish analytical group monitoring the war, calls [this trend] “cruise-ification” of its unmanned aircraft. " FT www.ft.com/content/7f01...
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
🤔 “The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade,” he said on Tuesday in a series of posts on X announcing his resignation. “This is not a marketing stunt,” he added. “No other human activity poses this level of danger” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Anthropic researcher quits over AI labs ‘gambling with our lives’
Latest departure highlights mounting unease inside Silicon Valley companies racing to build ever more powerful systems
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
What do AI agents do when no one is watching? Emergence AI left 10 agents alone in a virtual town for 15 days. Same rules, different models, wildly different societies, from zero crimes (Claude) to total collapse (Grok, GPT) in days. Channel 4 News – "What does AI do when no-one's watching?"
youtube.com
What does AI do when no-one's watching?
YouTube video by Channel 4 News
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
DT and Rheinmetall announced plans to protect cities and critical infrastructure across Germany. The system would use sensors to detect drones and could disable them using jamming technology or interceptor drones.
euronews.com
Telekom and Rheinmetall build anti-drone defence system
Suspicious drone flights over airports, barracks and critical infrastructure are increasing. German companies Telekom and Rheinmetall plan to jointly develop a system capable of detecting, disrupting ...
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Sky Defense integrates Ukraine’s innovative air defense systems and protects civilian life. We are halfway in this campaign! Please donate if you can. u24.gov.ua/news/timothy...
u24.gov.ua
Timothy Snyder Joins Sky Defense to Help Protect Ukrainian Cities
The goal is $500,000, which will be used to procure interceptor drones and other air defense equipment.
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
🇫🇷 Macron: EU defense clause is stronger than NATO’s Article 5. The French President called the EU’s mutual defense clause (Article 42.7) “rock solid” and said it is more powerful than NATO’s Article 5 because it leaves “no other option.”
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Maria Drutska @mariadrutska.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Major milestone: Germany can now produce more ammunition annually than the US. Since 2022, annual production capacity has increased from: 🔹70k to 1.1m artillery shells 🔹800k to over 4m medium-caliber ammunition 🔹600 to 4500 military trucks Important EU defence progress.🇪🇺🛡️
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24Hours Ukraine @24hoursukraine.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
🇫🇷🇪🇺🇺🇸🇷🇺🇨🇳 Emmanuel Macron (President of France): “We should not underestimate that this is a unique moment where a US president, a Russian president, a Chinese president are dead against the Europeans. This is the right moment for us — wake up.”
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
ZELENSKYY at the informal EU meeting of Heads of State or Government on 23 April: We need anti-ballistic missiles. [..] And we will try to build our Ukrainian anti-ballistic system. We need it. And of course we will share it with all the partners without any questions. Because we need it - all of us
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
"This is not the first time Chinese satellite images have helped America’s adversaries. In 2023 America put sanctions on CGST for providing images of Ukraine to the Wagner Group, a Russian mercenary outfit. In April last year the State Department said that CGST had supplied Houthi rebels in Yemen..
economist.com
How Chinese satellites have boosted Iran’s war effort
As American images went dark, Chinese alternatives filled the void
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
Two nights ago, Russia sent nearly 700 drones and dozens of missiles at Ukrainian civilians. In the fifth year of the war, aerial attacks on Ukrainian civilians have become even more intense and more frequent. Please join me in this campaign for air defense equipment. You can help protect lives.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
🔗🎁
ft.com
US and Iran agree 2-week ceasefire that will open Strait of Hormuz
Donald Trump had warned of attacks that would threaten ‘a whole civilisation’
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Jorge Liboreiro @jorgeliboreiro.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul wants to end vetoes: “We should abolish the unanimity principle in the EU in foreign and security policy before the end of the current legislative period so as to be better capable of acting internationally and to be truly grown-up.”
nordot.app
German foreign minister backs abandoning EU's unanimity principle | DPA
The European Union should abandon the unanimity principle that governs most of its decision-making, German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has told news outlets of the Funke Media Group in remarks pu...
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Ed Conway @edconway.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
📽️ WHY are diesel prices rising so fast? Well, partly because this is the worst oil supply shock in modern history. And partly because of an obscure decision taken by politicians decades ago. My latest mega primer on the economic consequences of war in the Gulf👇 youtu.be/q1AOuUsXd70?...
youtu.be
How is the Iran war affecting petrol and diesel prices in the UK? | Ed Conway analysis
YouTube video by Sky News
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
I think the appropriate European strategy is to panic. There is an urgent need to trigger a revolution in European military affairs. This is not just about every Potemkin military spending a bit more. This is about coming together as Europe to defend Europe.
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Europe should hope Purl lives but should act as if it is already dead. Just almost impossible to see Trump administration allow weapons to continue to flow to Ukraine that are needed to restock US supplies, as well as Israel/Gulf. www.csis.org/analysis/eur...
csis.org
Europe Needs an ASAP Program for Air Defense
The U.S.-Iran war has exposed the fragility of Western air defense stockpiles. Europe must launch a crash program to scale up its own missile manufacturing before supply shortages leave Ukraine and th...
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
“ships still carry about 85% of the world’s exports by volume, according to Clarksons, a shipping broker (or 55% by value, since a mobile phone or gold bar shipped by air is worth much more than a lump of coal in a bulk carrier)” 🔗🎁
economist.com
Hormuz is not the only weak spot for global trade
Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted global oil and gas flows, highlighting the vulnerability of maritime chokepoints that carry 85% of world trade.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
"The EU must implement its trade deal with the US without amendments or risk losing “favourable” access to liquefied natural gas shipments from American exporters, Donald Trump’s ambassador to the bloc has warned. ..The European parliament is set to vote on Thursday on the pact..."
ft.com
US warns EU to pass trade deal or risk losing ‘favourable’ access to LNG
European parliament set to vote this week on whether to ratify Turnberry agreement signed last year
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Ruprecht Polenz @polenz.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Mein erster Gedanke bei diesem Blick auf die Karte von Orbans Netzwerk: Die Welt wäre besser dran, wenn diese Menschen keine Macht hätten. (Das Netzwerk des Viktor OrbánGrafik: F.A.S./ Luis Felipe Gonzalez Barrientos)
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
“Germany plans to squeeze 70GW-worth of wind turbines into this small area by 2045, but it is running into an unusual problem: that many turbines would slow down the wind and reduce the electricity harvest by 37%”
economist.com
The Iran war is forcing Europe to confront its energy problem
Europe faces rising energy costs amid Middle East tensions, with natural-gas prices climbing above €50 per MWh as leaders debate market reforms and grid investment needs.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
A really insightful video visualisation by @edconway.bsky.social on the geoeconomic implications of the current Hormuz crisis
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
If we made the green energy transition this war would be unthinkable and these authoritarians wouldn’t be in power — not in the US, not in Iran, not in Saudi Arabia, not in Russia. Hydrocarbons are killing our freedom and just plain killing us.
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Jorge Liboreiro @jorgeliboreiro.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Timely reminder that Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic negotiated an opt-out from the €90 billion loan. Article 327 says that countries excluded from enhanced cooperation "shall not impede its implementation" by those included.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 05/03/2026
From FT comments
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
🎁🔗
giftarticle.ft.com
Inside the plan to kill Ali Khamenei
Israel spent years hacking Tehran’s traffic cameras and monitoring bodyguards ahead of the assassination of Iran’s supreme leader
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Carlo "Realism, Gedankenfetzen und Rants" Masala @carlomasala1.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Du bist gegen die massenhafte irreguläre Migration vor allem aus Syrien, stehst aber fest an der Seite beider Regime, die dafür verantwortlich waren. Willkommen bei der AfD.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
“Every big geopolitical pivot America has made lately—in Ukraine, Venezuela, Greenland-has been partly justified by the mineral riches those countries harbour. One mining boss says he runs into the president's staff "almost anywhere, almost monthly"” 🎁🔗
economist.com
America’s new era of state-sponsored mining
Desperate to break China’s grip on critical minerals, the Trump administration is splashing cash around the world
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UNITED24 @u24.gov.ua · 25/02/2026
Sky Defense first update: $205,498 was raised in a single day🔥 387 people subscribed to a monthly donation, which will help protect Ukrainian skies regularly. Thank you! You are amazing💙💛 Donate to air defenses — help Ukraine withstand the war: u24.gov.ua/sky-defense?...
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
“Without the loan, Ukraine risks running into financial collapse in the second quarter. …An IMF programme worth €8bn currently under negotiations is also conditional on Kyiv receiving the EU loan and could be endangered by the Hungarian veto”
giftarticle.ft.com
Hungary blocks €90bn EU loan to Ukraine days before war anniversary
Viktor Orbán has intensified his anti-Ukraine rhetoric ahead of elections where he risks being toppled
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Binge-watching MSC 2026. Strong forum on software-defined defence tech and AI, with Dr Eric Schmidt among the speakers
youtube.com
MSC Innovation Night 2026 | Strategic Algorithms: Winning the AI Arms Race
YouTube video by Munich Security Conference
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
“In January administrators at Texas A&M told Martin Peterson that he could either strike Plato’s “Symposium” from the syllabus of his introductory philosophy course or be reassigned. Reading Plato, they argued, exposed students to one of Texas’s banned topics: gender and race ideology.”
economist.com
Republican states are censoring universities
New laws restrict what professors can teach
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
“Europe has sleepwalked into all kinds of dependencies over the years, from American digital services to Russian energy. Its reliance on Chinese rare earths, crucial in everything from electric cars and wind turbines to fighter jets, is perhaps the hardest to shake off” 🎁🔗
economist.com
Europe risks a rare-earths crunch between China and America
The old continent must play to its strengths as a large market with stable rules
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
🔗🎁 by Nico Lange, founder of IRIS and a former German defence chief of staff and Fabrice Pothier, the chief executive of Rasmussen Global and a former NATO head of policy and planning
economist.com
To protect itself, Europe needs the systems that make warfare work
That means spending big, but wisely, on satellites, intelligence networks and the like, write Nico Lange and Fabrice Pothier
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Bruce Springsteen @brucespringsteen.net · 28/01/2026
I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good. Stay free
youtu.be
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Help our Ukrainian friends cope with the aftermath of emergency blackouts, and chip in if you can. More information in the link
ukraine2power.org
Donate | ГО «Ukraine2Power» — Гуманітарна допомога обʼєктам критичної інфраструктури України
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Please. This is absurd. Europe can certainly deter Russia and defend itself if its focused and determined. Perpetuating a sense of European helplessness may help Rutte bureaucratically but its 1. wrong 2. prevents action. 3. willfully blind: the US ain't coming to defend Europe.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
I am wondering whether Space and Cyber are included: cost estimates for European forces to replace US forces according to the Economist 🎁🔗 Europe remains dangerously reliant on American arms
economist.com
Europe remains dangerously reliant on American arms
Defence spending is rising, but strategic autonomy is years away
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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
them. Again what’s left is largely scrap. Russia has eaten through nearly 22,000 tanks from the start of the war - both from losses and cannibalisation for parts. New production is barely two dozen a year. The entire Soviet legacy is gone. And it’s not much better when it comes to other types.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
"A map of the world using Mercator’s projection shows Greenland as an enormous landmass, roughly equivalent in size to Africa. In reality, 14 Greenlands could fit inside the continent — at 2.2mn sq km, the Danish island is smaller than Algeria, let alone Africa" 🎁🔗
giftarticle.ft.com
The trouble with maps: Greenland’s allure for Trump is based on an illusion
Who dares tell the US president the Arctic island he covets is not as big as it seems?
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UNITED24 @u24.gov.ua · 12/01/2026
Following last Friday — the worst this year — you've come to our aid with your rage donations again. Thank you💙💛 So far, $2,967,826 was raised towards Sky Sentinel; $482,877 — as part of Dark Night. Only $32,174 is left to close this campaign: u24.gov.ua/nafo-dark-ni...
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
"”It all reflects a move by the Western allies to move away from using U.S. equipment since the U.S. has become a very unreliable ally, and the Nightfall project is something that the U.K. also wants for its own forces in the future," he added.”
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
If I wanted to permanently cripple NATO, divide the USA and help Russia and China, I could think of nothing better than the US using military force to seize Greenland.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Ukraine had, as of January 7, 2026, ramped up production to 1,500 FPV-based interceptor drones a day, designed specifically to counter Shahed-type threats and other low-cost aerial targets...This places UA ahead of all European countries that are currently exploring similar ideas.
united24media.com
How Ukraine Started 2026 with Record Anti-Shahed Drone Production and a New Era in Air Defense
Ukraine has sharply expanded drone production, introduced new UAV lines, and developed Shahed interceptor drones and breakthrough R&D technologies.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Rhetoric reminiscent of what we have long been used to hearing from Kremlin officials.... and the European response today
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Daniel Fiott @danielfiott.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
The truth of the matter is that it was never NATO that was “brain dead”. It was Europe. We have been in a coma for decades.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
News from 2019 "In the spring of 2019 Russia sent hundreds of operators to Venezuela to support the regime of Maduro on whose resignation the United States insisted. In parallel Moscow made it clear to Washington that they were ready to end their support for them, but only in exchange for Ukraine."
hromadske.ua
‘Russia Wanted Ukraine in Exchange for Venezuela’ – Diplomat Fiona Hill in Congress
In the spring of 2019, Russia sent hundreds of operators to Venezuela to support the regime of Nicolás Maduro, on whose resignation the United States insisted. In parallel, Moscow made it clear to Was...
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
In 2026, we can’t take the easy path by giving in to despair. We have to keep doing something to be ready for the moment the right combination of events align and we can see a better future.
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
"Where were Venezuela’s air defences? Venezuela has spent years building a layered air-defence network around Russian-supplied S-300 long range surface to air missiles, Buk and other shorter range anti-aircraft systems." 🎁🔗
giftarticle.ft.com
Trump says US to ‘run’ Venezuela until transition of power — watch live
Strongman leader Nicolás Maduro has been captured and flown out of country, US says
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Jānis B @janchibrugiks.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
The operation to capture Maduro appeared to mark the first time that the US had deposed a Latin American leader since the 1989 invasion of Panama, when US forces overthrew dictator Manuel Noriega, who had been accused of drug trafficking. 🔗🎁
giftarticle.ft.com
Trump says Nicolás Maduro has been captured and flown out of Venezuela
US president confirms strike on country after Caracas residents report loud explosions and low-flying aircraft
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