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James Prentice

@jamespren.bsky.social
3.6K followers 3.5K following 119 posts

Researcher, likes data, graphs, infographics and telling stories with data. PhD in political analysis from Sussex uni - like all social science subjects. Mainly post about political analysis and my research within the Hastings & Rye area. Fabian member.

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Reposted by James Prentice
The News Agents @thenewsagents.co.uk · 02/10/2026
“Your motion, it could be argued, is very crude and very blunt, and will only seek to further alienate and polarise.” The News Agents clash with group who want the Greens to classify Zionism as racism.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
The person being interviewed is a Green Party Councillor for Hastings Borough Council. He recently attended a "unity" march where someone with a campaign against anti-Semitism banner wasn't allowed to join the march.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Sharing an article I wrote on the Sussex NHS trust's performance, which I published earlier this year, with the Hastings Independent Newspaper www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/east-su...
capturepolitics.co.uk
East Sussex sees strong NHS Improvements
This article outlines the major improvements within the Sussex NHS trust 2025. It uses data from the trust to outline the improvements.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
UK (GB), More in Common: Andy Burnham as leader of the Labour Party LAB-S&D: 30% (+8) REFORM~NI: 27% (-2) CON~ECR: 20% (+1) LDEM-RE: 11% (-2) GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (-4) SNP-G/EFA: 3% +/- vs. Starmer as leader of the Labour Party Fieldwork: May 2026 ➤ europeelects.eu/uk
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Reposted by James Prentice
Chris Curtis MP @chriscurtis94.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
One of the biggest misses in our (otherwise very accurate) 2017 YouGov MRP was sitting Cabinet ministers, many of whom significantly outperformed our estimates. It’s probably the reasons Amber Rudd managed to hold on in Hastings despite the model suggesting otherwise.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
My research on understanding Labour's losses in the local elections was published by @labourlist.bsky.social today. You can read the article here: labourlist.org/2026/05/why-...
labourlist.org
'Why these local election were so tough for Labour' - LabourList
The coalition which carried Labour into power may already be gone for good. Lessons from the local elections.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Can Labour improve its poll ratings by going in a more progressive direction? - Yes. My research showing this was published by the Fabians last week. Click the link to go to the report. fabians.org.uk/publication/...
fabians.org.uk
Uneven ground | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
My analysis of Labour's problems has been published by the @thefabians.bsky.social . Lost support has mostly gone to left-liberal parties. To regain support, I argue Labour needs to go in a more progressive direction & create a progressive coalition to beat Reform. fabians.org.uk/publication/...
fabians.org.uk
Uneven ground | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
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Reposted by James Prentice
Fabian Society @thefabians.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
How do we rebuild Labour’s electoral coalition? 🗳️🌹 The 2024 election saw Labour win a landslide, built on targeting key voters in marginal seats. In this pamphlet, @jamespren.bsky.social examines why Labour has struggled to hold its coalition and how a progressive one could be built.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
My Article on how NHS waiting times are improving within Hastings & St Leonards was published in the Hastings Independent. It can be viewed in the following link: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/east-su...
capturepolitics.co.uk
East Sussex sees strong NHS Improvements
This article outlines the major improvements within the Sussex NHS trust 2025. It uses data from the trust to outline the improvements.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 19/03/2026
📊 Ref lead of 7pts Westminster voting intention REF: 28% (-2) CON: 21% (+2) LAB: 20% (-2) GRN: 13% (+2) LDEM: 12% (-1) via @Moreincommon_, 13 - 16 Mar Chgs. w/ 09 Mar britainelects.com
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 08/03/2026
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 29% (-2) LAB: 21% (+2) CON: 18% (-2) GRN: 12% (=) LDM: 10% (-2) Via @survation.bsky.social, 5 Mar. Changes w/ 28-28 Jan.
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Reposted by James Prentice
clarecrick.bsky.social @clarecrick.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
labourlist.org/2026/03/gort...
labourlist.org
'Labour's problem isn't the Green Party - it's complacency' - LabourList
The Gorton and Denton result is not a crisis. It is a warning. Progressive voters cannot be taken for granted. The Greens are not the enemy. Complacency is.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 06/03/2026
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 27% (-5) LAB: 20% (=) CON: 18% (+1) GRN: 14% (+1) LDM: 12% (+1) Via BMG Research, 4-5 Mar. Changes w/ 28-29 Jan.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
At this rate they Greens may have substantially more seats than labour so may not be able to do this. But, I do agree that the Greens in a coalition would be moderated.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Unpopular opinion, but people should be equally concerned about keeping Reform and Greens out when voting. One would damage the social fabric, the other the economic.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 03/03/2026
📊 Ref lead of 12pts Westminster voting intention REF: 30% (-1) CON: 18% (+2) LAB: 18% (-5) GRN: 13% (-) LDEM: 12% (+2) via @OpiniumResearch, 25 - 27 Feb Chgs. w/ 06 Feb britainelects.com
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Thanks for sharing, good to get all polls out for a better sense of the average
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Alot of research from the polling and British election study, I am publishing something on this soon.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
No, labour voters and the majority of their recent losses disagree with these policies and don't like the rhetoric either.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
I have recently published an article on the Sussex NHS Trust, seeing strong improvements. It made the front page of the Hastings Independent. Click the link to read the article online. It reflects wider trend of improvments within the NHS in England. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/east-su...
capturepolitics.co.uk
East Sussex sees strong NHS Improvements
This article outlines the major improvements within the Sussex NHS trust 2025. It uses data from the trust to outline the improvements.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Would any party in government succeed? Everyone is promising change, but when you face the reality of governing a country with many problems, do voters stick with you?
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The left version of Farage, just as divisive.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
To be fair, what I have seen from the by-election is pretty shocking. It was a glimpse into how angry and divided a society the UK has become. The Urdu leaflet was particularly horrid and the sort of thing you would expect to see from the hard left, like Galloway, not a radical left Green Party.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The recent by election reveals the increasing anger and division driving British politics.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Some of these polls informing tactical voting only have a sample of 400 people and don't give the margin of error in the headlines. These polls could end up giving people the wrong impression. Such madness.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
All these bar charts do is tell Tories in this constituency how to beat Labour and Green. They are actually counterproductive to both the Greens and Labour's cause, which is odd given that every leaflet has a bar chart on it these days.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
The latest polls tell us that anyone can win it due to the margin of error. It also tells us that tactically voting in this election is almost impossible, as no one knows which party is most able to beat reform. The fun of a highly fragmented electorate in a FPTP system.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
How can people be expected to vote tactically in such a contest? This poll can't tell us who is in front due to 3 leading parties being within the margin of error. The voting system we have is increasingly challenged by how voters are dividing into small groups across multiple parties.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Politics UK @politicsuk.com · 24/02/2026
🚨 NEW: The latest Gorton and Denton by-election poll 🟢 GRN - 28% 🔴 LAB - 28% ➡️ REF - 27% 🔵 CON - 6% 🔶 LD - 4% ⚪ Other - 6% Via Opinium, 401 sample, 16–24 Feb
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
An article I wrote on the housing crisis within Hastings that was recently published in the Hastings Independent www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
capturepolitics.co.uk
Fixing Hastings’ Housing crisis – a huge challenge.
Hastings Borough Council (HBC) has recently set out its desire to formulate a housing strategy that will address Hastings’ housing crisis. With an experienced and knowledgeable team forming to provide...
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
If you look at labour 2017 voters who switched to the Tories in 2019, more switched Reform, or stayed with the Tories than back to Labour. It is a bizzare strategy.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Thanks to everyone who engaged with my blog outlining deprivation in Hastings; it now has over 1,000 views. I am currently selling a book that explores housing, poverty, education, health and environmental problems in Hastings. This can be ordered through Amazon. www.amazon.co.uk/Fixing-Hasti...
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
A blog summarising my research on deprivation in Hastings and how it has increased. It contains visualisations outlining how inequality varies across the town, with the option to make these maps interactive for those interested. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/depriva...
capturepolitics.co.uk
Deprivation in Hastings & why it is increasing
"28,500 people in Hastings live within the most deprived (top 10%) neighbourhood areas of England."The latest wave indices of Deprivation was released at the end of October, and it reported that Hasti...
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Enjoyed selling copies of my book at the makers fair this weekend.
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Reposted by James Prentice
The British Election Study @britishelectionstudy.com · 30/10/2025
🚨Data Update 🚨 We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP. www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
britishelectionstudy.com
BES 2024 Random Probability Survey Release Note v1.0.1 - The British Election Study
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters, according to the British Election Study. It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. Full report here: lnkd.in/eabH8EUC
An infographic highlighting that The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely. It also shows Labour's most optimal strategy may be to go after the larger group of disillusioned left-liberal voters.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Out of all 2024 Labour voters, only those lost to Reform mostly perceive migration as a negative. Those lost to the Greens and Lib-Dems more often view it as a positive or are indifferent. Labour conference could be used to change tone on migration debate as many of its base would support this.
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Reposted by James Prentice
clarecrick.bsky.social @clarecrick.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
I'm pleased with the two books I bought today. Judith Dench is for book group. @jamespren.bsky.social author of Fixing Hastings and Rye, was busy at #hastingsbookfest hosted by the #ObserverBuilding His insight and policy prescriptions for #Hastings and #Rye will be valuable to our community.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
A short article I wrote on the housing crisis in Hastings & St Leonards. It goes through the latest data available (mostly obtained from HBC) and outlines the scale of the challenge the council faces. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
capturepolitics.co.uk
Fixing Hastings’ Housing crisis – a huge challenge.
Hastings Borough Council (HBC) has recently set out its desire to formulate a housing strategy that will address Hastings’ housing crisis. With an experienced and knowledgeable team forming to provide...
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
The Conservative vote splintered across multiple parties in the last election, with it mostly going to Reform. Labour's vote this parliament is fragmenting but mostly in the other direction (with the Lib-Dems and the Greens being the main beneficiaries).
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
It is possible their defeat happens from the bottom up, if they keep losing seats to reform in local elections more members may jump.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 17/06/2025
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 30% (-1) LAB: 24% (-1) CON: 18% (+1) LDM: 12% (+1) GRN: 9% (-1) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 11-13 Jun. Changes w/ 28-30 May.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
The Leave vs Remain divide in the UK continued to divide the voters perceptions of the political parties across the last parliament. In this case, how well Labour would run the NHS if in government.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith... An article I wrote in declining turnout was published by UK in a Changing Europe. Tap the link to read.
ukandeu.ac.uk
Losing faith and giving up: voter turn out in the 2024 general election - UK in a changing Europe
James Prentice analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Joe Twyman @joetwyman.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Ahead of the government's Spending Review on Wednesday, the cost of living still comes top of British people's list of problems - both facing the country and them and their families. At 23% Labour are just ahead of the Conservatives on 22% and Reform UK on 20% on best to deal with the issue.
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James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Thanks for publishing @ukandeu.bsky.social
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Reposted by James Prentice
UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
"Turnout fell at the 2024 election. Across all constituencies, it declined by 7.6%, bringing it to a historic low of less than 65%." ✍️ @jamespren.bsky.social analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
ukandeu.ac.uk
Losing faith and giving up: voter turn out in the 2024 general election - UK in a changing Europe
James Prentice analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election.
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Reposted by James Prentice
Fabian Society @thefabians.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨 Next week’s spending review must pass the ‘living standards test’, by ensuring key departments can raise incomes and reduce living costs. Since the financial crisis, the rate of Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) growth has halved. 🧵
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