Sign in

James Prentice

@jamespren.bsky.social
3.6K followers 3.5K following 119 posts

Researcher, likes data, graphs, infographics and telling stories with data. PhD in political analysis from Sussex uni - like all social science subjects. Mainly post about political analysis and my research within the Hastings & Rye area. Fabian member.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by James Prentice
The News Agents @thenewsagents.co.uk · 02/10/2026
“Your motion, it could be argued, is very crude and very blunt, and will only seek to further alienate and polarise.” The News Agents clash with group who want the Greens to classify Zionism as racism.
10196
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Sharing an article I wrote on the Sussex NHS trust's performance, which I published earlier this year, with the Hastings Independent Newspaper www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/east-su...
capturepolitics.co.uk
East Sussex sees strong NHS Improvements
This article outlines the major improvements within the Sussex NHS trust 2025. It uses data from the trust to outline the improvements.
020
Reposted by James Prentice
Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
UK (GB), More in Common: Andy Burnham as leader of the Labour Party LAB-S&D: 30% (+8) REFORM~NI: 27% (-2) CON~ECR: 20% (+1) LDEM-RE: 11% (-2) GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (-4) SNP-G/EFA: 3% +/- vs. Starmer as leader of the Labour Party Fieldwork: May 2026 ➤ europeelects.eu/uk
4327
Reposted by James Prentice
Chris Curtis MP @chriscurtis94.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
One of the biggest misses in our (otherwise very accurate) 2017 YouGov MRP was sitting Cabinet ministers, many of whom significantly outperformed our estimates. It’s probably the reasons Amber Rudd managed to hold on in Hastings despite the model suggesting otherwise.
3182
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
My research on understanding Labour's losses in the local elections was published by @labourlist.bsky.social today. You can read the article here: labourlist.org/2026/05/why-...
labourlist.org
'Why these local election were so tough for Labour' - LabourList
The coalition which carried Labour into power may already be gone for good. Lessons from the local elections.
031
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Can Labour improve its poll ratings by going in a more progressive direction? - Yes. My research showing this was published by the Fabians last week. Click the link to go to the report. fabians.org.uk/publication/...
fabians.org.uk
Uneven ground | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
030
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
My analysis of Labour's problems has been published by the @thefabians.bsky.social . Lost support has mostly gone to left-liberal parties. To regain support, I argue Labour needs to go in a more progressive direction & create a progressive coalition to beat Reform. fabians.org.uk/publication/...
fabians.org.uk
Uneven ground | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
032
Reposted by James Prentice
Fabian Society @thefabians.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
How do we rebuild Labour’s electoral coalition? 🗳️🌹 The 2024 election saw Labour win a landslide, built on targeting key voters in marginal seats. In this pamphlet, @jamespren.bsky.social examines why Labour has struggled to hold its coalition and how a progressive one could be built.
132
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
My Article on how NHS waiting times are improving within Hastings & St Leonards was published in the Hastings Independent. It can be viewed in the following link: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/east-su...
capturepolitics.co.uk
East Sussex sees strong NHS Improvements
This article outlines the major improvements within the Sussex NHS trust 2025. It uses data from the trust to outline the improvements.
031
Reposted by James Prentice
Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 19/03/2026
📊 Ref lead of 7pts Westminster voting intention REF: 28% (-2) CON: 21% (+2) LAB: 20% (-2) GRN: 13% (+2) LDEM: 12% (-1) via @Moreincommon_, 13 - 16 Mar Chgs. w/ 09 Mar britainelects.com
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
382
Reposted by James Prentice
Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 08/03/2026
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 29% (-2) LAB: 21% (+2) CON: 18% (-2) GRN: 12% (=) LDM: 10% (-2) Via @survation.bsky.social, 5 Mar. Changes w/ 28-28 Jan.
76514
Reposted by James Prentice
clarecrick.bsky.social @clarecrick.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
labourlist.org/2026/03/gort...
labourlist.org
'Labour's problem isn't the Green Party - it's complacency' - LabourList
The Gorton and Denton result is not a crisis. It is a warning. Progressive voters cannot be taken for granted. The Greens are not the enemy. Complacency is.
131
Reposted by James Prentice
Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 06/03/2026
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 27% (-5) LAB: 20% (=) CON: 18% (+1) GRN: 14% (+1) LDM: 12% (+1) Via BMG Research, 4-5 Mar. Changes w/ 28-29 Jan.
57920
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Unpopular opinion, but people should be equally concerned about keeping Reform and Greens out when voting. One would damage the social fabric, the other the economic.
251
Reposted by James Prentice
Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 03/03/2026
📊 Ref lead of 12pts Westminster voting intention REF: 30% (-1) CON: 18% (+2) LAB: 18% (-5) GRN: 13% (-) LDEM: 12% (+2) via @OpiniumResearch, 25 - 27 Feb Chgs. w/ 06 Feb britainelects.com
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
293
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
No, labour voters and the majority of their recent losses disagree with these policies and don't like the rhetoric either.
2122730
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
I have recently published an article on the Sussex NHS Trust, seeing strong improvements. It made the front page of the Hastings Independent. Click the link to read the article online. It reflects wider trend of improvments within the NHS in England. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/east-su...
capturepolitics.co.uk
East Sussex sees strong NHS Improvements
This article outlines the major improvements within the Sussex NHS trust 2025. It uses data from the trust to outline the improvements.
032
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The recent by election reveals the increasing anger and division driving British politics.
000
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
How can people be expected to vote tactically in such a contest? This poll can't tell us who is in front due to 3 leading parties being within the margin of error. The voting system we have is increasingly challenged by how voters are dividing into small groups across multiple parties.
052
Reposted by James Prentice
Politics UK @politicsuk.com · 24/02/2026
🚨 NEW: The latest Gorton and Denton by-election poll 🟢 GRN - 28% 🔴 LAB - 28% ➡️ REF - 27% 🔵 CON - 6% 🔶 LD - 4% ⚪ Other - 6% Via Opinium, 401 sample, 16–24 Feb
4154
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
An article I wrote on the housing crisis within Hastings that was recently published in the Hastings Independent www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
capturepolitics.co.uk
Fixing Hastings’ Housing crisis – a huge challenge.
Hastings Borough Council (HBC) has recently set out its desire to formulate a housing strategy that will address Hastings’ housing crisis. With an experienced and knowledgeable team forming to provide...
021
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Thanks to everyone who engaged with my blog outlining deprivation in Hastings; it now has over 1,000 views. I am currently selling a book that explores housing, poverty, education, health and environmental problems in Hastings. This can be ordered through Amazon. www.amazon.co.uk/Fixing-Hasti...
161
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
A blog summarising my research on deprivation in Hastings and how it has increased. It contains visualisations outlining how inequality varies across the town, with the option to make these maps interactive for those interested. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/depriva...
capturepolitics.co.uk
Deprivation in Hastings & why it is increasing
"28,500 people in Hastings live within the most deprived (top 10%) neighbourhood areas of England."The latest wave indices of Deprivation was released at the end of October, and it reported that Hasti...
182
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Enjoyed selling copies of my book at the makers fair this weekend.
070
Reposted by James Prentice
The British Election Study @britishelectionstudy.com · 30/10/2025
🚨Data Update 🚨 We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP. www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
britishelectionstudy.com
BES 2024 Random Probability Survey Release Note v1.0.1 - The British Election Study
061
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters, according to the British Election Study. It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. Full report here: lnkd.in/eabH8EUC
An infographic highlighting that The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely. It also shows Labour's most optimal strategy may be to go after the larger group of disillusioned left-liberal voters.
080
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Out of all 2024 Labour voters, only those lost to Reform mostly perceive migration as a negative. Those lost to the Greens and Lib-Dems more often view it as a positive or are indifferent. Labour conference could be used to change tone on migration debate as many of its base would support this.
062
Reposted by James Prentice
clarecrick.bsky.social @clarecrick.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
I'm pleased with the two books I bought today. Judith Dench is for book group. @jamespren.bsky.social author of Fixing Hastings and Rye, was busy at #hastingsbookfest hosted by the #ObserverBuilding His insight and policy prescriptions for #Hastings and #Rye will be valuable to our community.
041
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely.
060
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
A short article I wrote on the housing crisis in Hastings & St Leonards. It goes through the latest data available (mostly obtained from HBC) and outlines the scale of the challenge the council faces. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
capturepolitics.co.uk
Fixing Hastings’ Housing crisis – a huge challenge.
Hastings Borough Council (HBC) has recently set out its desire to formulate a housing strategy that will address Hastings’ housing crisis. With an experienced and knowledgeable team forming to provide...
081
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
The Conservative vote splintered across multiple parties in the last election, with it mostly going to Reform. Labour's vote this parliament is fragmenting but mostly in the other direction (with the Lib-Dems and the Greens being the main beneficiaries).
0120
Reposted by James Prentice
Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 17/06/2025
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 30% (-1) LAB: 24% (-1) CON: 18% (+1) LDM: 12% (+1) GRN: 9% (-1) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 11-13 Jun. Changes w/ 28-30 May.
2235
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
The Leave vs Remain divide in the UK continued to divide the voters perceptions of the political parties across the last parliament. In this case, how well Labour would run the NHS if in government.
071
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith... An article I wrote in declining turnout was published by UK in a Changing Europe. Tap the link to read.
ukandeu.ac.uk
Losing faith and giving up: voter turn out in the 2024 general election - UK in a changing Europe
James Prentice analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election.
0140
Reposted by James Prentice
Joe Twyman @joetwyman.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Ahead of the government's Spending Review on Wednesday, the cost of living still comes top of British people's list of problems - both facing the country and them and their families. At 23% Labour are just ahead of the Conservatives on 22% and Reform UK on 20% on best to deal with the issue.
141
Reposted by James Prentice
UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
"Turnout fell at the 2024 election. Across all constituencies, it declined by 7.6%, bringing it to a historic low of less than 65%." ✍️ @jamespren.bsky.social analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
ukandeu.ac.uk
Losing faith and giving up: voter turn out in the 2024 general election - UK in a changing Europe
James Prentice analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election.
182
Reposted by James Prentice
Fabian Society @thefabians.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨 Next week’s spending review must pass the ‘living standards test’, by ensuring key departments can raise incomes and reduce living costs. Since the financial crisis, the rate of Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) growth has halved. 🧵
177
Reposted by James Prentice
Fabian Society @thefabians.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Read Better off: A plan to improve living standards in one parliament, supported by @financialfairness.bsky.social 👇 Authored by: @lukeraikes.bsky.social, @andrewharrop.bsky.social, @eloisesacares.bsky.social and @sasjkia.bsky.social fabians.org.uk/publication/...
fabians.org.uk
Better off | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
042
Reposted by James Prentice
Fabian Society @thefabians.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨 The last parliament saw living standards decline for the first time since records began. Today we show how this government can do better than the last.
152
Reposted by James Prentice
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
Labour leaflet from 1951 c/o @markpackuk.bsky.social
42910
Reposted by James Prentice
Dr Steve Taylor @drstevetaylor.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
No GP wants this, name another NHS service providing 20% more with 20% less funding, that gets as much flack & as little support This is the problem 1/9 people waiting for hospital treatment 500k more people long term sick 2300 patients per GP - 500 more than 2016 20% less £
811064
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
Only 1% of disadvantaged students in Hastings meet the higher standards in primary school testing, compared to 10+% across England. Needless to say that education outcomes for disadvantaged pupils in Hastings is generally poor. Early years inequality effects in education never ceases to amaze me.
020
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
The Conservatives lost their pro-Brexit coalition partly due to not being trusted to manage migration flows. Their decline sped up after the rise in small boat crossings and the decline in inflation. Labour doing poorly on the immigration issue could lose them leave voters they gained in 2024.
021
Reposted by James Prentice
John Rentoul @rentouljohn.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
Flows of support for parties since the election, via @markpack open.substack.com/pub/theweeki...
32012
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
The pro-Brexit base the Conservatives secured in 2019 disintegrated across the last parliament. This shows just how difficult parties are finding to keep their support bases in tact in the UK. Therefore, Labour not retaining its 2024 base is a continuation of a longer term trend.
122
Reposted by James Prentice
Trevor MacFarlane @trevormacf.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Voter movements visualised to May 2025
171
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Something I wrote about Labour's electoral strategy in the wake of the 2025 local election result was published by the @thefabians.bsky.social . I argue that Labour need to rethink its approach as the electoral landscape changes. #Reform #Labour #politics #election #UK #stratergy #analysis
fabians.org.uk
High Stakes | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
162
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
People who voted in the the 2019 general election but chose not to participate in 2024 more often disapproved of all the party leaders. This displays a deep sense of apathy within the entire political system amongst those not voting. #voting #trust #politics #rating #party #Labour #Conservative
030
James Prentice @jamespren.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
People who voted in the 2019 UK general election but did not vote in 2024 more often felt No Party performed on the issues they most cared about (the economy and immigration). A lack of faith in government being able to deliver could be decreasing turnout. #Trust #Vote #politics #tunrout #graph
031
Reposted by James Prentice
Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
🆕Latest @Moreincommon_ voting intention. Reform hit 30% for the first time in our polling, opening up an 8pt lead also their highest ➡️ REF UK 30% (+2) 🌹 LAB 22% (-3) 🌳 CON 21% (+1) 🔶 LIB DEM 14% (nc) 🌍 GREEN 8% (nc) 🟡 SNP 2% (nc) N = 2,090 | Dates: 16 - 19/5 |Change w 12/5
182212