Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Delighted to say that my paper "E Pluribus Unum: Costly Inference and Fragmented Belief" has been accepted for publication in Mind! You can find the paper at this PhilPapers link. Abstract follows in a reply. philpapers.org/rec/SPIEPUphilpapers.org 4267
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 29/09/2026How every conversation with an effective altruist goes: 030
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 28/09/2026A colleague of mine found some great marginalia in a used copy of Hacker’s Insight and Illusion 050
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 23/09/2026You first multiply the final vector by the unembedding matrix, resulting in a set of dot products. You take the dot products and apply Softmax, which turns them into probabilities. 030
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 22/09/2026I think this is wrong—instead of sending their proof to the annals of mathematics, they should send it to me, so I can send it to the annals of mathematics 000
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 22/09/2026One part of your brain is for hating and breathing, the other for loving and poetry. Pick your side 010
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Further evidence that only philosophers should be allowed to write press releases (which would have the salutary effect of eliminating press releases) 141
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 22/09/2026As an aside: the criterion of organ individuation the press release uses is quite silly: many cells in many of your organs have developmentally distinct origins, but that doesn’t entail that, e.g., your kidney is multiple organs squished together. 120
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 22/09/2026The last bit being racism optimization? If so: JEV just outputs a probability; there’s no way to change outputs as model weights are frozen, so you get a number extremely fast and cheap at the cost of baking in maximum amounts of bias (effectively whatever bias is encoded in the data itself.) 120
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 22/09/2026The people have been clamoring for cheaper and faster racist outputs with even less context! 030
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Not quite, JEV is zero-shot not logistic regression. It takes a distance measure in semantic label space which encodes bias at pretraining rather than at analysis. Consequently it’s harder to fix biased outputs in JEV because of this as there are no model weights to change. So they optimized racism. 241
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 21/09/2026What if the real AI alignment was the friends we made along the way 010
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Instead of turning us all into paper clips, matriarchal AI will turn us into Nora Ephron screenplays 010
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 21/09/2026The entire AI safety industry neglected to consider that every learner just needs a strong maternal trainer to supervise it 120
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Surprised and insulted that ‘Italian Intelligence’ was not one of the poll choices 010
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Pronouncing ‘Claude’ like ‘Sade’ as a form of resistance 250
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 20/09/2026PSYCHOLOGIST: we think that this explanation is conceptually flawed, so we ran 400 undergrads through a two year study PSYCHOLOGIST: turns out, it’s conceptually flawed 001
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 20/09/2026The classic stuff: Hume, Hempel, and Goodman. So in one sense I can understand asking the question, since their way of thinking about the topics is so alien to the way scientists and their students typically think about what they’re doing that it’s hard to understand their motivation. 300
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Neuroscientists continuing their time-honored tradition of self-owning in the presence of philosophers 052
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 19/09/2026This week a student in my philosophy of science course asked me why we’re studying induction and confirmation in a course about science. The best part? He’s a neuroscience major! 2100
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Asking Claude to find De Zerbi’s email and to tell him how Tottenham can score more goals. 000
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Abstract for a fun little study I've been running in my spare time. It compares LLM reasoning across tasks that hold content fixed but vary format (iconic vs. discursive), and asks what that shows, if anything, about the format of LLM representations. Full preprint coming soon! 050
Reposted by Jake SpinellaKieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 18/09/2026This is the far more likely pathway for how AI will end us all, btw. Not via some superintelligent swarm of paperclip maximizers, but by a cascading sequence of dumb fuckups driven by human beings who have arranged things to be fast-moving and catastrophically fragile while also being really lazy. 17391150
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 18/09/2026But might this prove something stronger (or something that seems stronger to me, at least), too? Namely, that OOE objections incur a substantial burden of proof, insofar as they need to make contested assumptions about how to interpret controversial cases to even get off the ground? 110
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Cool paper! This is something I've thought a bit about in the case of dispositionalism re: belief. A question after skimming: you don't think that OOE objections are *bad*, just the weaker claim that they need to show that the relevant explanations don't tolerate mirroring. That seems right. 1/2 110
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 18/09/2026There are dozens of us not falling for the bait for those with eyes to see 000
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 17/09/2026They Live but donning the glasses allows you to see the true logical form of natural language sentences 000
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 16/09/2026They also missed a huge opportunity to title this show “The Real Stanford Prison Experiment” 010
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 16/09/2026EXCLUSIVE: Netflix announces new unscripted series “Arbeit Macht Frei” 120
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 12/09/2026I also never get a good answer as to why either 1. these aren’t just different sorts of beliefs rather than nonbeliefs or 2. They aren’t just beliefs that are in some sense inferentially isolated from one another. 130
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 12/09/2026I dislike this move too. Just because these states aren’t correlated or consistent with, say, personality traits or other beliefs doesn’t entail that they’re not beliefs— unless one assumes that belief has pretty constraining internal logical structure, which I highly doubt. 110
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Someone just walked into this coffee shop with a “New York or Nowhere” tote bag. We are in Chicago Illinois 081
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 09/09/2026I don’t think just the universe is telling us that! 010
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 09/09/2026I vibe-coded everything so I’ve been using the chat portion of claude code, typically not the CLI but yeah, it’s been cool to actually come close to executing a study I’ve been thinking about for a while with only the help of one idiot junior analyst 110
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 09/09/2026I’m actually running a study of some of the open source models on my fairly powerful desktop, so I have GPU access for these tests. 110
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 09/09/2026AI is the future now everyone has their very own idiot junior analyst 110
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Who among us is ready to crawl towards culture?? 000
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Amazing things happening on threads right now 092
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 03/09/2026I really wish Wittgenstein were alive today. I think he would’ve loved BlueSky and Grindr. 041
Jake Spinella @jakespinella.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Vengaboys Vengaboys Vengaboys Vengaboys Vengaboys Vengaboys Vengaboys Aqua Yo-Yo Ma 010