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Jacob Stoil

@jacobstoil.bsky.social
232 followers 81 following 46 posts

Military Historian who is easily distracted by random research projects, Chair of Applied History at the Modern War Institute, Senior Fellow of the Urban Warfare Center. Follows/Likes/Reposts don't = endorsements. Posts represent my personal thoughts only

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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Can a story from the Odyssey help explain the choices that face #Israel & #Lebanon? Why have previous ceasefire deals in #Lebanon, despite the best intentions on both sides of the border, failed? Check out my latest article and let me know what you think: ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
ssi.armywarcollege.edu
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
#TheOdyssey can help explain what lies ahead for #Israel & #Lebanon as they try to make a lasting #Ceasefire and why past attempts have failed. Want to know how? Check out my latest article on #MiddleEastSecurity ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
ssi.armywarcollege.edu
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
⚠️ New Publication ⚠️ The fighting between the #US & #Iran may look like the previous one with one major exception - #Iran has yet to strike at #Israel. My latest article explains why this is, what it can tell us about Iran's strategy, & why it might change. ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
ssi.armywarcollege.edu
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
With all the focus on #Iran it's easy to overlook the potential impact of #Israel's recognition of #Somaliland. To understand the relevant strategic history, risks, & opportunities check out my latest article with @timesofisrael.com! blogs.timesofisrael.com/beyond-recog...
blogs.timesofisrael.com
The Blogs: Beyond Recognition: Israel, US, Somaliland, & the New Strategic Enviroment
From the blog of Jacob Stoil at The Times of Israel
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Many concessions that #Iran   claims it could get from the #MOU have regional implications but as I wrote #Iran 's requirement that ships notify it & pay fees for transiting the #StraitofHormuz could have immediate global ramifications ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
ssi.armywarcollege.edu
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
⚠️ New Publication ⚠️ #Iran is trying to get the right to charge a toll on the #StraitofHormuz. I teamed up with the always great Dr. Daphne Richemond-Barak & @justsecurity.org to examine what this would mean for US strategy, international law, and the world. www.justsecurity.org/137610/iran-...
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
With the #Strait of #Hormuz closed & #Iran not negotiating what military options does the #US have to end the #IranWar‌? My latest article with SSI @armyuniversity.bsky.social examines the strategic opportunities & risks of seizing islands in the #PerisanGulf ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
ssi.armywarcollege.edu
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
With the loss on the ground of an E-3 there has been much talk about whether it could have been anticipated. In September I published an article on @balloons2drones.bsky.social warning of such an incident & what we need to do to prevent it. balloonstodrones.com/2025/09/30/c...
balloonstodrones.com
#Commentary – Protecting Airfields from Drones and Infiltration
By Dr Jacob Stoil From the F-35 Lightning II to the F-15E Strike Eagles, even the most advanced aircraft are sitting ducks while they are on the ground. It should come as no surprise that the best …
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
⚠️ New Publication ⚠️ With the #StraitsofHormuz closed & #Iran continuing attacks around the #MiddleEast the cost of continuing the #IranWar‌ is clear but what about the strategic cost of ending it? Check out my latest publication with @timesofisrael.com blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-cost-of-...
blogs.timesofisrael.com
The Blogs: The Cost of an Early Ending Against Iran
From the blog of Jacob Stoil at The Times of Israel
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Why hasn't #airpower destabilized #Iran? What can be done to make regime change possible in the #IranWar‌? What does this have to do with strategic theory? For answers check out my latest publication. warroom.armywarcollege.edu/articles/war...
warroom.armywarcollege.edu
WARDEN’S FIVE RINGS AND REGIME CHANGE IN IRAN
Colonel John Warden’s "Five Rings" model predicts that targeting a state's leadership can trigger regime collapse. US and Israeli decapitation strikes in Iran follow this model, but Jacob Stoil thinks...
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Yesterday I sat down with Dr. David Katz for a great conversation discussing #Iran, #Israel, #Gaza, and the current #MiddleEast strategic situation. Give it a listen here: www.chaifm.com/podcast/2026...
chaifm.com
2026.03.02 - Dr Jacob Stoil - From Tehran to Gaza: War, Regime Change, and the Future of the Middle East - Chai FM
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
I will be live on the air discussing the current Middle East strategic situtation with on @chaifm - a South African Radio Station - tomorrow at 1800 (Johannesburg time)/1100 US EST! You can listen on 101.9FM in South Africa or streaming globally here: www.chaifm.com/show/new-mil...
chaifm.com
New Military Show - Chai FM
Show Info Call in: +27101403020 Show Times Timezone: SAST [UTC+2] Mon: 18:00 - 19:00 [ - ] ← Full Station Schedule
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
What does the future hold for #Israel, #Gaza, & the #ISF? Is the #ceasefire still viable? Check out my latest study which addresses these questions and suggests the best way forward given today's realities! mitvim.org.il/en/publicati...
mitvim.org.il
Is there still a Path for an International Security Force in Gaza - Mitvim
The US twenty-point peace plan that marked the end of Gaza War created an opportunity to break the political stalemate in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and advance major moves. Yet, progress on som...
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
#Hamas may have signed a #ceasefire that will bring an international force to #Israel & #Gaza but that doesn't mean it has given up - the @timesofisrael.com published my thoughts on how #Hamas will try to undermine international efforts to bring #Peace blogs.timesofisrael.com/hamass-strat...
blogs.timesofisrael.com
The Blogs: Hamas’s Strategies for Surviving the Ceasefire
From the blog of Jacob Stoil at The Times of Israel
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
One potential contributing country for an International Security Force for #Gaza is #Indonesia - which is why I'm particularly excited to see an article I co-wrote with @nirarielli.bsky.social on it will take to succeed published by the Jakarta Post! www.thejakartapost.com/opinion/2025...
thejakartapost.com
How an international security force in post-war Gaza could work - Academia - The Jakarta Post
An international stabilization force is a central plank in the plans for post-war Gaza that have been put forward by US president Donald Trump.
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
I had a great interview with the #Italian paper Tempi about the #ceasefire in #Gaza - and what is needed from the international community to maintain it for the benefit of #Israel & the #Palestinians alike! You can check it out here: www.tempi.it/gaza-disarmo...
tempi.it
«Chi ha davvero a cuore Gaza deve aiutare a disarmare Hamas»
Intervista a Jacob Stoil (Modern War Institute): «Hamas a Gaza non consegnerà volontariamente le armi. Servono migliaia di soldati»
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
Two years ago @nirarielli.bsky.social, Mary Elizabeth Walters and I built a research to team to examine what it would take to maintain a #Ceasefire in #Gaza. We published our latest piece on the topic with @us.theconversation.com! Check it out here: theconversation.com/how-an-inter...
theconversation.com
How an international security force in post-war Gaza could work
Weeks after the war began, we collaborated on a proposal for a multinational peacekeeping force in Gaza. Many of our recommendations remain relevant.
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Well chuffed that Times of Israel chose to make my analysis of what it will take to make an international force (and ceasefire) work in Gaza one of their featured pieces! You can check it out here! blogs.timesofisrael.com/starting-wit...
blogs.timesofisrael.com
The Blogs: What will it take to make the ceasefire in Gaza work?
A new future for Gaza and Israel may be possible, but only if international troops step in for the long haul to combat violent forces, including Hamas
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
What will it take to make the #GazaCeasefire last (hint it starts with a robust international security force)? Check out my latest article published by @timesofisrael.com blogs.timesofisrael.com/starting-wit...
blogs.timesofisrael.com
The Blogs: Starting with Security: What it Will Take to Make the Ceasefire in Gaza Work
From the blog of Jacob Stoil at The Times of Israel
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Last week, the #UN voted to end #UNIFIL (its peacekeeping force in #Lebanon) after over 35 years. My latest article looks at why #Israel and others wanted it gone and what this might mean for the future - you can check it out here: blogs.timesofisrael.com/goodbye-unif...
blogs.timesofisrael.com
The Blogs: Goodbye UNIFIL: Now what?
While Israel has little love for the peacekeepers, some of whom failed to stop attacks or even may have colluded in them, it may want a similar but better force on the Lebanon border
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Very excited to be participating in the @rusi.bsky.social #LandWarfareConference - I will be speaking tomorrow but looking forward to today's presentations & discussions!
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
I recently had the pleasure of being interviewed on the history of #women in #combat and the differences between #Israel and #NATO for a @wsj.com article! It was a great conversation, most of which didn't make it into the article, which is behind a pay wall. www.wsj.com/world/middle...
wsj.com
Israel Is Putting More Women on the Front Line to Help Fix Its Manpower Problem
Female soldiers are entering the battlefield in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria in ways many previously thought impossible.
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
What can #US #AirPower achieve against the #Houthis in #Yemen? What are the limit of what strategic air power can achieve? Check out my latest article in @balloons2drones.bsky.social! balloonstodrones.com/2025/05/06/c...
balloonstodrones.com
#Commentary – Strategic Air Power in Yemen: A Cross-Domain Solution or Just Mowing the Grass
By Dr Jacob Stoil Starting on 19 October 2023, the Houthi attacks against international shipping and Israel have seen many air power firsts. In their very first attack, the Iranian-backed Houthis e…
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
There are a lot of positive signs in #Lebanon but #Hezbollah still wants to attack #Israel & poses a threat to peace & security... @nirarielli.bsky.social, Mary Elizabeth Walters and I discussed how to change this in our latest article in @newsweek.com www.newsweek.com/how-turn-fra...
newsweek.com
How to Turn a Fragile Peace in Lebanon Into a Lasting One | Opinion
A robust international peacekeeping force with an expansive mandate and permissive rules of engagement could help bring stability to this troubled border.
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
What will it take to sustain a #ceasefire in #Gaza? I worked with two fantastic colleagues- @nirarielli.bsky.social & Mary Elizabeth Walters to analyze the options & suggest a waynforward to keep the peace after the #GazaCeasefire! Check it out here! www.newsweek.com/after-gaza-d...
newsweek.com
After a Gaza Deal Is Done, Here's How You Keep the Peace | Opinion
As Israel and Hamas are finalizing the details of a temporary ceasefire, the long-term fate of Gaza remains undetermined.
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Ok I may be a policy nerd but one of the things I love about being in the #DC area is listening to CSPAN Radio! It is fantastic to listen to really interesting hearings like the current from the House #aviation subcommittee. Great way to stay current on some of today's most important issues!
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
It is a great privilege to have been able to contribute to this highly relevant project on #emergingtechnology, #InternationalLaw, & ##HumanitarianProtection, and conflict termination! You can check out our white paper here! www.runi.ac.il/en/research-...
t.co
https://www.runi.ac.il/media/boxnfle4/eow-project-white-paper-pdrd-website.pdf
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
What are you doing Thursday? What you should be doing is hearing me discuss the future of transatlantic security relationships like #NATO with @mrandrewfox.bsky.social & other experts! henryjacksonsociety.org/event/trump-...
henryjacksonsociety.org
‘Trump World Order’ Weekly Webinar Series: NATO
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
Great to have had the chance to talk to the community in #KansasCity - the discussion was fantastic & I got some great questions. I love the chance to get beyond the military, policy, and academic environment - thank you Kehilath Israel for giving me the opportunity! www.kcjc.com/current-news...
kcjc.com
Military historian presents about Israel at Kehilath Israel - Kansas City Jewish Chronicle
Since 1920, the Kansas City Jewish Chronicle has provided its readers with Jewish news and opinion from a variety of perspectives — local, regional, national and international. The paper is mailed to ...
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Reposted by Jacob Stoil
Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
I sat down with the Operational Arch #Podcast team to discuss the lessons the #USArmy can learn from the #GazaWar, #Israel, & #Lebanon. The first part of our discussion is out now! You can listen at: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
podcasts.apple.com
The Operational Arch
Government Podcast · 2 Seasons · Updated Biweekly
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
I sat down with the Operational Arch #Podcast team to discuss the lessons the #USArmy can learn from the #GazaWar, #Israel, & #Lebanon. The first part of our discussion is out now! You can listen at: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
podcasts.apple.com
The Operational Arch
Government Podcast · 2 Seasons · Updated Biweekly
001
Reposted by Jacob Stoil
Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
What lessons should the US military take from the October 7th attacks? What should we learn from the #GazaWar and #Lebanon? Check out part one of my series exploring these questions and more on the Operational Arch Podcast! open.spotify.com/show/6H5tqk4... podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
open.spotify.com
The Operational Arch
Podcast · SAMS · The official podcast of the School of Advanced Military Studies, dedicated to bridging the gap between tactics and strategy through the study of operational art and the operational le...
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
What lessons should the US military take from the October 7th attacks? What should we learn from the #GazaWar and #Lebanon? Check out part one of my series exploring these questions and more on the Operational Arch Podcast! open.spotify.com/show/6H5tqk4... podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
open.spotify.com
The Operational Arch
Podcast · SAMS · The official podcast of the School of Advanced Military Studies, dedicated to bridging the gap between tactics and strategy through the study of operational art and the operational le...
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
The attitudes that @jsargentr.bsky.social reports are common and why the #UrbanWarfareCenter was created. There is now a good community of people across multiple countries providing expertise on the issue....and yet it remains an uphill battle to get the #Army to really care.
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
I am excited that the first episode of a series about #OCT7, #Israel, & the wars in #Lebanon & #Gaza that I recorded with #TheOperationalArch podcast by the School of Advanced Military Studies is now available! Check it out here! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t... open.spotify.com/show/6H5tqk4...
podcasts.apple.com
The Operational Arch
Government Podcast · 2 Seasons · Updated Biweekly
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 16/11/2024
Great time speaking to the National WW1 Museum & Modern War Institute symposium on morality & war today! Thank you @doctrinatrix.bsky.social & @mzmargulies.bsky.social for including me among an intimidatingly illustrious lineup!
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 16/11/2024
Listening to a really interesting presentation by the always fantastic Isabel Hull from Cornell on Law of Armed Conflict in #WW1! This will be a hard act to follow in a great symposium by the Modetn War Institute & National WW1 Museum! Not too late to check it out: theworldwar.org/symposia
theworldwar.org
Symposia
The National WWI Museum and Memorial's annual symposiums bring together the leading historians on the World War I era. Recommended for all who have a general or professional interest in the periods pr...
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Jacob Stoil @jacobstoil.bsky.social · 16/11/2024
Really excited to take part in the National World War 1 Museum & Modern War Institute symposium on War & Morality today! I will be discussing the relationship between #ROEs, atrocities, & the likelihood that an enemy will capitulate! Check it out! theworldwar.org/symposia
theworldwar.org
Symposia
The National WWI Museum and Memorial's annual symposiums bring together the leading historians on the World War I era. Recommended for all who have a general or professional interest in the periods pr...
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