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De brief bevat daarnaast eindelijk concrete tariefvoorbeelden. Dit zouden de tijdsafhankelijke nettarieven zijn in 2026:

Winterpiek: 14 cent
Zomerpiek: 9 cent
Winterdal: 7 cent
Zomerdal: 0 cent

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De berekeningen (wederom van Berenschot) voor Netbeheerder Nederland laten zien dat uurprijzen de hoogste besparing opleveren, het wijzingsvoorstel juist een stapje terug is. Dat komt omdat de netkosten nu ook meer over de daluren uitgesmeerd worden.

Vergelijking verschillende tariefmodellen

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Met tegenzin voldoen ze aan dat wijzingsverzoek. Maar, en dit is interessant (hoewel niet verrassend), uit een nieuwe doorrekening concluderen de netbeheerders dat "De variant die het beste scoort wat betreft het verlagen van de netbelasting is de 24-uursvariant."

onderzochte tijdsafhankelijke transporttarieven

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Omdat minder tijdsblokken minder duidelijk sturen en het risico op nieuwe pieken vergroten, is het avondpiektarief in het voorstel van eerder dit jaar verder verlengd.

6. Kunt u toelichten of de systeembeheerders een risico zien dat er op bovengenoemde
momenten lokaal nieuwe systeempieken ontstaan en dit kwantitatief onderbouwen?
In de studie Analyse alternatieve tijdgebonden nettarief varianten KV van Berenschot is het
bovengenoemde reboundrisico kwantitatief onderzocht. Dit probleem wordt groter als er minder
tijdsblokken zijn. Om dit risico te dempen, is hier in de afrondingskeuzes tussen een model dat 1-op-1
loopt met de systeembelasting naar een model dat voldoet aan de afspraken uit de Programma
Stuurgroep (twee seizoenen, maximaal vier tariefhoogten per seizoen, maximaal vijf tijdblokken)
rekening mee gehouden.

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 17h

Uit de brieven over en weer tussen Netbeheer Nederland en de ACM blijkt dat er vraagtekens zijn bij het ingediende voorstel met tijdvariabele nettarieven, dat afwijkt van het onderzochte model (dat tot een verlaging van piekbelasting op laagspanning van 3 tot 12% kwam)

Nuancering voorspelde effect
Het ingediende codewijzigingsvoorstel wijkt op punten af van het voorstel waarop Berenschot haar
analyse heeft uitgevoerd. Zo zijn er in het onderhavige voorstel voor de wintermaanden slechts drie
tariefhoogten, terwijl Berenschot in haar rapport uitgaat van verschillende tarieven per uur. Deze per
uur verschillende tarieven kennen een dal in de late ochtend en vroege middaguren. Het onderhavige
voorstel heeft geen dal in de late ochtend en vroege middaguren. Voorts geldt het hoogste tarief vanaf
vier uur, terwijl het hoogste tarief in het Berenschotrapport enkel geldt voor zeven en acht uur ’s
avonds. Ten slotte zijn niet alle kosten van het systeem opgenomen in de nieuwe tariefdrager
tijdsafhankelijke kWh: 33% van de transportafhankelijke kosten zijn immers nog steeds ondergebracht
onder de huidige tariefdrager kW van de aansluiting.
Het effect op de systeempiek kan dankzij bovengenoemde factoren afwijken van de gemaakte
voorspellingen over de verlaging van de systeempiek, die gemaakt zijn aan de hand van de analyse
door Berenschot.

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But with forbidden price discrimination

The display on the charging point says: and with the Essent charging card, you also get a discount of €0.10 per kWh

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 05/10/2026

Getting closer to the magical moment!

Detail from Michelangelo’s fresco *The Creation of Adam*: two fingers almost touching

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 03/10/2026

Lidl France is extending its summer discount, offering €0.18/kWh for AC and €0.29/kWh for DC, including its 180 kW chargers. www.lidl.fr/c/e-mobilite...

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 03/10/2026

French supermarket E.Leclerc has lowered the price of its EV charging network to just 0.17 €/kWh. This is lower than some residential electricity prices, especially when you consider the cost of a home charging point. Unfortunately not (yet?) available adhoc / in roaming. www.charge-elec.leclerc

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Smart to transfer the copyright in advance to the party you want to simply copy and paste from it.

This report is the Copyright of DG CLIMA and has been prepared by Ricardo under contract for the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA).

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"The findings from this study show that the demand for heat pumps increases as upfront costs decrease. Moreover, the lower the upfront costs the greater the effect of a £1 reduction in upfront costs." www.gov.uk/government/p...

$Impact of heat pump costs on uptake: fraction that chooses an air-source heat pump increases from 0.1/0.2 to 0.6/0.7 with decreasing upfront costs (down from e.g. 10000 to 4000)$

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‘Laddfattigdom' or 'charging poverty’ In Sweden, too, there is growing awareness of the inequality between those who can charge their EV at home (low costs, reliability, time savings) and those who are dependent on public charging infrastructure www.di.se/nyheter/det-...

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The impact of demand-side adjustments – smart EV charging – is particularly significant in Eastern and South-Eastern Europe. In western and southern Europe, access to (more) dynamic pricing is already a major source of benefits for consumers.

Changes in estimated overall flexibility benefits over time 2020 - 2025

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Figures from the new Retail Market Monitoring Report by @eu-acer.bsky.social and @ceereu.bsky.social. Consumers have a lot to gain from better retail tariffs that are more in line with the dynamics of the energy market, and automation of bigger loads (EV, heat pump).

Estimated financial benefits from behavioural effect by household flexibility and cluster.

In Eastern and South-Eastern Europe biggest change, up to 21% for EV

Switch to dynamic pricing:

EV: 8% bill savings. +17% with adjusting consumption behaviour.
Base: 13% / +7%
Heat pump: 6% / +6%

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France is also relatively advanced in terms of technology transfer from China to the EU (see developments at Stellantis and Renault). Could this be a strategy to throw German industry off course, whilst the global shift towards electrification is now unstoppable?

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The Élysée Palace and the Chancellery had been negotiating for months on the combustion engine phaseout and measures to protect carmakers from Chinese EVs. Progress has been slow, said people familiar with talks, but officials and industry groups say a deal remains in reach in the months ahead.

The negotiations could help German carmakers reliant on combustion engine vehicle sales by softening emissions rules for cars in 2030 and 2035, while delivering a French priority of favouring EU manufacturers in public contracts, under a proposed Industrial Accelerator Act.

The car legislation was so intertwined that “the only way is to find a deal on the overall automotive package”, one Commission official said.

One French official said: “We are ready for flexibilities, loosening [of CO₂ standards] but we want these to reward carmakers who are choosing to invest in Europe.” Relaxing the emissions rules would amount to a significant move from Paris, which has championed electric cars.

Germany, meanwhile, has consulted with its car industry during the talks, industry sources said. Their priorities are to relax CO₂ standards in 2030 to avoid fines for breaching emission rules, and for legislation to be more accommodating of alternative fuels and plug-in hybrid vehicles and to make targets for the greening of corporate fleets voluntary.

030

Sales of hybrid cars have remained the same as last year, but nearly 100,000 fewer petrol cars have been sold. Diesel sales have halved in the space of a year.

Absolute numbers of cars sold, January–September 2025 vs. 2026

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The high proportion of electric vehicles is also remarkable because the French car market is mainly in the smaller, affordable segment, where the range of EVs has long lagged behind.

Market share by segment. Half of this is in the economy segment.

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The French market helps car manufacturers meet European CO2 emission targets. A reduction of 15 grams of CO₂ per vehicle since the start of the summer!

The graph shows WLTP CO₂ emissions from new cars in France. Sharp decline, particularly from June 2026 onwards

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France appears unstoppable when it comes to electrification: in September, electric cars already accounted for 42 per cent of new car sales. Since the start of the summer, this share has been rising by several percentage points every month. Is the oil price crisis one of the factors behind this?

The graph shows the market share of electric cars and PHEVs in the French market, with strong growth from June 2026 onwards in particular

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Interesting feature on Energy-Charts: what could the increased use of batteries on the German wholesale market achieve: flattening peak prices, raising (mainly solar) capture prices (cc @energy-charts.bsky.social)

The figure shows the day-ahead price in Germany in week 30, and a simulated price based on greater use of batteries. It also shows generation from solar, onshore wind and offshore wind.

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Another round of the subsidy for battery-electric trucks in the Netherlands has begun, with a €119 million budget this year. Yesterday, the first day, 83% of this budget was applied for. Applicants can apply for a maximum of two vehicles, with support of up to €115k depending on a.o. company size.

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I don’t know if it’s compulsory, but a badge like that does make a heat pump ‘très cool’.

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The six selected consortia. With the exception of the last one, all of them mention the combination of smart control and a fitting energy contract as part of their package, so that heat pump flexibility is utilised to reduce energy bills and system costs.

CapConfort
IZI by EDF
Le PAC'TE français
Octopus x Effy
Hello Watt x Engie
Sonepar

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 29/09/2026

More than half of Swedish applications for the EV grant are rejected: are the criteria too confusing? (Or, at the risk of being pelted with kanelbullar: do Swedes only understand things if they’re explained step by step using simple pictograms, as with the national furniture giant?)

Majority denied electric car subsidy: “Unreasonably complicated”

EconomyTens of thousands of Swedes have applied for the electric car grant, which was launched six months ago. However, more than half have had their applications rejected by the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency.
“It’s very complicated and extremely difficult to get an immediate idea of whether you’re eligible for the grant,” says Carl-Erik Stjernvall, a technical expert at M Sverige.

Of the 22,782 applications submitted to the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 9,697 have been approved, according to statistics as at 20 September.

Factors such as household income, the number of children, share sales, home address and the price of the car all affect whether you are eligible for the benefit.

“They’re completely missing the point here,” says Stjernvall, describing the criteria as “unreasonably complicated”.

“It’s a cause for concern that the group which has been designated as eligible to apply for this support is not the same group that generally buys cars that are a few years old and cost perhaps several hundred thousand kronor,” he says.
Shortage of cars

Market supply also has an impact.

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In Germany, MB also offers a fixed-price energy contract with Mobility House Energy, with a 10-cent bonus for every kWh charged using smart charging.

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 25/09/2026

The Rhine River has reached a water level of 0 cm. (This means that there is still a depth of around 2 metres in the main navigable channel, though not usable by all ships) www.elwis.de

Graph shows declining water level at Kaub

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 24/09/2026

“petrol car registrations fell 18.6%, experiencing significant downturns across all major European markets. [..] In addition, the diesel car market continued its downward trend, with registrations declining by 18.6%” www.acea.auto/pc-registrat...

Petrol and diesel cars

By the end of August 2026, petrol car registrations fell 18.6%, experiencing significant downturns across all major European markets. France saw the sharpest decline, with volumes plunging by 35.8%, while other key markets also posted double-digit losses: Spain (-18.5%), Germany (-21.9%), and Italy (-16.7%).

Accounting for 1,634,733 new cars registered over the past eight months, petrol’s market share fell to 21.7% from 28% last year. In addition, the diesel car market continued its downward trend, with registrations declining by 18.6% and representing 7.3% of new EU car registrations, down from 9.4%.

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 23/09/2026

www.automobilwoche.de/autoherstell...

Screenshot Automobilwoche: "VW spürt Elektro-Boom – und streicht Schichten für Verbrenner in Wolfsburg"

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 22/09/2026

An interesting illustration from a new strategy report by MAN Trucks: ‘Beyond Diesel’. (more on that report later) It shows how the electrification of lorries must go beyond simply buying a different vehicle: it is about an entire smart energy ecosystem (including V2G on the right!)

The illustration shows a depot with trucks.
Highlights include energy storage, bidirectional technology, PV systems, energy trading, electricity contracts and charging hardware
It also indicates, by way of example, how Level 1 basic depot charging has lower charging costs than public charging. A further saving of 20–35 per cent is possible with smart depot charging (Level 2), and a further 10–20 per cent with advanced energy systems.

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 22/09/2026

Also new: weekday and weekend midday blocks (12 noon–4 pm), called ‘Solar Block’. This clearly reflects the actual daily price profile over the course of the day much better than the traditional peak/base power model.

The figure shows 4 products:
base (24 hours a day)
extended peak from 6 to 22 hours
peak from 8 to 20 hours
solar from 12 to 16 hours

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Jaap Burger @jaapburger.eu · 22/09/2026

As of yesterday, new products can be traded on EEX, one of Europe’s energy market platforms: difference between the most expensive and cheapest 2 hours of the day 🇩🇪🇫🇷🇮🇹🇬🇧 (or 4 in 🇮🇹🇪🇸) This allows traders to swap the price risk in 6 months/3 years/6 years for a price today www.eex.com/en/markets/p...

EEX TBx Futures
The EEX TBx Futures are cash-settled futures contracts referencing the daily spread between the highest and lowest priced Market Time Units (MTU) in the day-ahead auction for a given market area.

Settlement is based on the relevant national day-ahead auction: EPEX SPOT for Germany, France, and Great Britain; GME for Italy; OMIE for Spain.

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Closely followed by Garbsen-Nord (close to Hanover on the east-west axis) with 24,6 MW www.openstreetmap.org/way/24480873... and Börde-Nord (close to Magdeburg on the same axis) with 23,8 MW www.openstreetmap.org/way/37278740...

A screenshot from OpenStreetMap shows the service station/truck parking area next to the motorway

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The biggest (in terms of planned grid capacity) will be Kassel-Ost (central): 25,5 MW www.openstreetmap.org/way/34636211...

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Together with the first phase of the tendered network, there will soon be a comprehensive charging network directly along the motorways. That's 2,8 GW of grid capacity already applied and planned for (on average 8 MW per site)

Map of Germany showing the planned locations of the HDV charging network in 2030

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