This article explores the individual-level effects of an intelligence failure; in particular, on entry-level intelligence analysts. It draws on interviews with graduates of the first class of the I...

This special issue of Intelligence and National Security examines the persistence of strategic surprise and the limitations of existing early warning frameworks in an era of geopolitical volatility...

Rethinking Strategic Warning and Intelligence Failure in an Era of Global Transformation. Volume 40, Issue 5 of Intelligence and National Security

This article explores the individual-level effects of an intelligence failure; in particular, on entry-level intelligence analysts. It draws on interviews with graduates of the first class of the I...

In Operation Wrath of God, Aviva Guttmann examines the secret campaign to take out Palestinian terrorists in revenge for the Munich Olympics massacre of 1972

This article investigates the rise and decline of early warning as a priority task for intelligence agencies. The article shows that shifts in the prioritization of early warning are shaped by a co...

This article explores the individual-level effects of an intelligence failure; in particular, on entry-level intelligence analysts. It draws on interviews with graduates of the first class of the I...

A consistent challenge in the study and practice of warning is that of definitions. This article focuses on the meaning of early warning, arguing that it should be explicitly separated from the ter...

In recent years, strategic surprises are everywhere. Russia and the United States were surprised by Ukrainian resilience in 2022, and Israel was surprised by the Hamas attacks in October 2023. Just re...

Over a year and a half after the Oct. 7 attacks, the Israeli government is embroiled in an unprecedented institutional clash with the nation’s internal

Over a year and a half after the Oct. 7 attacks, the Israeli government is embroiled in an unprecedented institutional clash with the nation’s internal

Over a year and a half after the Oct. 7 attacks, the Israeli government is embroiled in an unprecedented institutional clash with the nation’s internal

YouTube video by The Israeli Forum for Intelligence Studies

The Israeli Forum for Intelligence Studies (IFIS) - Advancing the research and education of intelligence in Israeli academia