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Dr Iain Staffell

@iain-staffell.bsky.social
2.6K followers 323 following 209 posts

Reader in Sustainable Energy, Imperial College London renewables.ninja 🌍 electricinsights.co.uk 📈 climatewedges.com 🍰 energystorage.ninja 🔋

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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Britain got tantalisingly close to running its power system with zero carbon (peak 98.8% clean) But balancing the grid cost more than £4 billion in the first half of 2026. £50 for every single person!! Storage, grids & flex must catch up! Read more in reports.electricinsights.co.uk
The cost of balancing Britain's electricity has increased rapidly, reaching over £4 billion for the first six months of 2026.  Data from Electric Insights: https://www.electricinsights.co.uk/
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Wind and solar now supply 40% of Britain's electricity demand. What a remarkable change has been made over the last decade! That puts us ahead of most major world economies. A bit of positive news for your weekend read at Electric Insights: reports.electricinsights.co.uk
The share of Britain’s electricity demand met by wind and solar power reached 40% in the second quarter of 2026, ahead of most major world economies. International comparisons cover 2025, or the most recently available data.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Time to retire the old line that “EVs don’t last” We analysed 12 million British vehicles. New battery electric cars are driven more than petrol (10k miles per year vs 7.5k), and models bought since 2022 will beat conventional lifetimes (100k+ miles) www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Real-world mileage and survival of electric vehicles in Britain and implications for lifecycle emissions - Nature Communications
Analysis of Britain’s entire vehicle fleet finds electric cars now match petrol and diesel cars in mileage and lifespan and produce less than half the lifetime greenhouse gas emissions of conventional...
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Like me, solar panels don't like heat waves! Degradation rates roughly double for every 10°C increase. Silicon cells used to lose 0.44% output every degree it warms, but over the last decade that fell by one third, now they lose only 0.3% per °C. More here: doi.org/10.1016/j.rs...
The improving performance of commercially available solar monocrystalline silicon PV modules in the US over the last decade. 

Left panel shows the efficiency under two testing standards for 15,533 modules catalogued by the California Energy Commission. Pairs of bars represent measurements made under (left) Standard Test Conditions (STC: 1000 W/m2 irradiance, 25°C cell temperature, AM1.5 spectrum) and (right) Photovoltaics for Utility Scale Application Test Conditions (PTC: 1000 W/m2 irradiance, 20°C ambient temperature, 1 m/s wind speed). 

Right panel shows the temperature coefficient, the power output loss per degree Kelvin that cell temperature increases. Across all panels, thick lines represent the median, shaded areas represent the 25th to 75th percentile, and whiskers represent the 5th to 95th percentile.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Solar PV has gone from green fringe to the dominant power technology. Output is decided by (1) the environment around them, and (2) the system built around them. Two review papers, free to read, 700+ sources, charts with pretty colours! Tech: doi.org/10.1016/j.rs... Env: doi.org/10.1016/j.rs...
Global geographical variation in solar PV capacity factors. Map showing the simulated capacity factors for crystalline silicon systems which are optimally inclined with a fixed tilt and no tracking. Data from Global Solar Atlas.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
A battery beside a wind or solar farm can be worth less than the same battery on its own. Our new paper in the @rsc.org EES journal maps where hybrid storage adds value, and where it does not. Free to read → doi.org/10.1039/d6ee...
Two charts from the paper.  Top shows what type of battery/renewable configuration is best.  Bottom shows the optimal amount of solar PV to pair with a battery.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
The UK’s AI race is all about electricity. 70% of data centre capacity lies within 20 miles of London. They block new homes being built because the grid can’t cope. We must look beyond - to places with clean power and strong grid access. Read in full: reports.electricinsights.co.uk
The UK’s data centres are heavily concentrated around London, unlike its clean power stations. 1.7 GW of the UK’s 2.4 GW of data centres lie within 20 miles of the capital. 

Left map shows the location and power capacity of every data centre in the UK.  Right map shows the location and capacity of large clean power stations in the UK (nuclear, biomass, hydro and wind).  Cross and bubbles are sized according to power capacity.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
So often I see posts showing that the wind isn't blowing and the sun isn't shining, or that power prices are crazily high... But today, with oil and gas markets in total meltdown, British electricity prices keep calm while renewables do the hard work. electricinsights.co.uk
Britain's electricity mix as of 11:30 to 12:00 today.  55% wind, 8% nuclear, 7% solar, 6% biomass, 2% hydro.  Gas only 10%.  Wholesale power price only £33/MWh ♥
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Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial @ic-cep.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Cutting meat by 30% ≈ flying 70% less ≈ 1/6 of cars electric ≈ decarbonising nearly all cement plants. 🌍 Dr @iain-staffell.bsky.social and Dr Nathan Johnson show ~20 such ‘climate wedges’ are needed to limit warming to 1.5°C. #ClimateAction #NetZero
imperial.ac.uk
Six trillion ways to save 1.5°C: researchers launch ‘climate wedges’ pathway builder | Imperial News | Imperial College London
Cutting meat consumption by 30% has the same climate impact as flying 70% less, switching one-sixth of the world’s cars to electric, or decarbonising nearly every cement plant globally. These are exa...
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
There is no single “correct” path to decarbonise. There are six trillion. Our new paper in Science puts 36 climate solutions into one common unit, so you can build your own pathways. Paper: doi.org/10.1126/scie... App: climatewedges.com What would your pathway look like?
My global decarbonisation pathway, built on www.climatewedges.com

It deploys 20 wedges to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees.An infographic showing the 36 strategies that can deliver at least a wedge of mitigation.  It explains the scale of deployment each one needs, across the electricity, industry, buildings, transport, and land use sectors.
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Hamish Beath @hamishbeath.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
It was very interesting developing these short @apolitical.bsky.social courses for civil servants on electricity grids, featuring a range of Imperial experts, including @iain-staffell.bsky.social. Any non-experts in government looking to learn about future electricity networks, check these out! 👇
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
We are all used to stories of the UK in decline… Electricity is no exception: demand has fallen for 20 years as we outsource industry. But Britain has turned a corner: demand up two years in a row. AI data centres now consume more power than Birmingham and could 4x by 2030.
Two charts showing data from Electric Insights.

Britain’s annual electricity demand over the last 50 years.

Growth in electricity demand last year compared to the
previous decade across several countries.
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
MISLEADING: A new academic paper by @qmul.bsky.social has attracted significant media attention by claiming that EVs & heat pumps deliver no proven carbon savings in UK ahead of 2030 clean power target - and should therefore be postponed. Here is why this paper should never have been published.🧵
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
What do people in oil & gas and climate activists disagree on? Not “is climate change real”... The clash is on pace + trust. How fast can we change without unacceptable disruption? Can the fossil industry be trusted as part of the climate solution? www.cell.com/iscience/ful...
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John Bistline @bistline.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Clean energy cost projections that ignore actual financing terms are wishful thinking. Cool new paper finally gives empirical, national-level WACC for 10 key technologies across 176 countries. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Chris Baraniuk @chrisbaraniuk.com · 27/01/2026
UK-based high density pumped hydro firm RheEnergise has successfully generated electricity for the first time - they tell me they hit their full output capacity of 500 kilowatts. Here's my piece from late last year which discusses their tech: share.google/gomKZ5pZ4aEG...
share.google
Pumped Hydro Energy Storage Is Having a Renaissance
As the world looks to incorporate more renewables into energy grids, centuries-old systems that can balance supply and demand are being reappraised and innovated upon.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
We interviewed UK climate activists and oil & gas employees on what the energy transition should look like. I expected polarisation. Instead: surprising shared ground on urgency, cutting demand, and how government must set the pace. Can we achieve more together? www.cell.com/iscience/ful...
cell.com
Consensus and dissent between climate activists and oil and gas employees in the United Kingdom
Earth sciences; Climatology; Social sciences; Research methodology social sciences
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Where did Britain get its electricity from in 2025? Explore the data for yourself on the Electric Insights dashboard: www.electricinsights.co.uk#/dashboard?p...
Britain's electricity mix in 100 emoji:

Wind: 31%
Solar: 6%
Biomass: 8%
Hydro: 1%
Nuclear: 12%
Gas: 27%
Coal: 0%
Ireland: 0%
Netherlands: 1%
Belgium: 1%
Denmark: 2%
Norway: 3%
France: 8%
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Where did Britain get its electricity from in 2025? 🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️ 🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️ 🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️ 🌬️🌞🌞🌞🌞🌞🌞🌳🌳🌳 🌳🌳🌳🌳🌳🌊☢️☢️☢️☢️ ☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🇳🇱🇧🇪🇩🇰🇩🇰🇳🇴 🇳🇴🇳🇴🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷 Explore the data for yourself on the Electric Insights dashboard: www.electricinsights.co.uk#/dashboard?p...
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Britain's electricity demand has turned a corner. After twenty years of de-industrialisation... electric cars, heat pumps and data centres meant demand grew by 3% this year. And that growth was more than met by renewables, so emissions keep falling. www.thetimes.com/business/ene...
thetimes.com
Demand for electricity in UK surges after two decades of decline
Electric vehicles, heat pumps and AI data centres are driving a new era of electrification, with renewables helping to meet the extra demand
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
If you do any cost analysis or economics for energy then stop assuming 8% is your discount rate! Getting specific data on costs of capital was a nightmare, until now: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Historical and future projected costs of capital for ten energy technologies across 176 countries - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - Historical and future projected costs of capital for ten energy technologies across 176 countries
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Batteries are now Britain’s biggest form of energy storage. More than 6 GW installed and ~45 GW already consented or being built! But, batteries aren't going to solve the problems of wind curtailment... Long-duration storage is the next big challenge.
Map of the UK showing energy storage projects by technology and status.  Colour signals the technology: batteries, pumped hydro, and other types.  Bubble size indicates power capacity (MW).
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Robin Lamboll @robinlamboll.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Do climate conferences actually achieve anything? A lot of people have strong opinions, but we wanted measurements, so we look at how the stock market moves during yearly international meetings called COPs – explanation below, or read the paper here: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org
Radware Bot Manager Captcha
To ensure we keep this website safe, please can you confirm you are a human by ticking the box below.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
Dirty or damaged solar panels waste vast amounts of clean power. Introducing SolarSynthNet: a deep learning model that spots cracks, dust & snow. It's the new state-of-the-art with 97%+ detection accuracy and is built for real-world farms. Paper: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
SolarSynthNet (SSN): A deep learning framework for binary and multiclass classification of damaged or obstructed solar panels using images
The rapid rise in solar photovoltaic (PV) installations globally drives demand for tools to optimize system operations and maintenance. Machine learni…
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Ken Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 31/07/2025
Climate models have underestimated the departure of high temperature extremes from monthly means. If we assume these model biases persist in future projections, then the climate models are also likely underestimating the magnitude of future high temperature extremes. www.nature.com/articles/s43...
nature.com
Historical model biases in monthly high temperature anomalies indicate under-estimation of future temperature extremes - Communications Earth & Environment
Models tend to underestimate mean monthly maximum temperature anomalies by 2-3% and extreme anomalies by 11-12% over the period 1980 and 2023, which could lead to temperatures 3 °C to 5 °C higher than...
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Christian Breyer @christianonre.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
1/ New study @UniLUT on the techno-economic potential of global offshore wind power doi.org/10.1016/j.ap.... Potential within 200 NM & 1000 m depth adds up to 27.3 TW or 66200 TWh, with 2/3 on floating foundations. Economic potential is projected to grow, with declining costs.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
The UK is installing solar panels at its fastest rate in over a decade! renewablesnow.com/news/uk-inst...
renewablesnow.com
UK installs 57,000 rooftop solar systems in Q1
The UK showed a strong appetite for rooftop solar in the first quarter of 2025, installing over 57,000 systems, the busiest start to the year since 2012, according to the Drax Electric Insights analys...
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
There will be no transition without transmission! Power grids are the hidden star of the net-zero story. Our new study maps how Europe's Transmission System Operators are using innovation to keep ahead. From NWAs to AI, see what they are doing here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
How do electricity TSOs embrace innovation to future-proof their role in the energy transition?
Access to electricity is the lifeblood of modern society. Electricity grids are undergoing transformative changes, driven mainly by decarbonization, d…
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
🕯️ The recent blackout in Spain & Portugal shows how the grid is the front-lines of the energy transition. ⚡ Innovation is key to keeping the lights on. Our new study reveals what Europe's TSOs are rolling out to stop it happening again... 📕 See where they are betting big: doi.org/10.1016/j.es...
The main areas of focus for European TSOs.  Bars indicate how many of the interviewed TSOs mentioned these areas and technologies.  Interviews conducted with the heads of innovation at TSOs across Europe (see the paper for details).  The most widely mentioned areas were: dynamic line ratings, storage, AI & digital twins.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Global hydrogen demand has grown 𝟯𝘅 𝘀𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 than the experts predicted. For 50 years, analysts have projected rapid uptake (6-15% pa.). Instead hydrogen has tracked global GDP, growing ~3% pa. Will hydrogen finally take off - or are we still being too optimistic? 📖: www.nature.com/articles/s44...
Projections of global hydrogen production across 100 years. a, Total
hydrogen production (high and low carbon) from selected historical scenarios (lines) and recent projections (boxes), set against actual production. Boxes represent the median and interquartile range; whiskers represent minimum and maximum. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of each scenario is given in the legend.
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
Why are Ferraris outselling all hydrogen cars combined? Decades of R&D from top automakers couldn’t make fuel-cell cars mainstream. BEVs now outsell them 1,000-to-1. Great breakdown by Nathan Johnson & @iain-staffell.bsky.social for @carbonbrief.org 🔗 www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-w...
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
We must stop focusing hydrogen research and investment into dead-ends. EVs out-sell fuel cell cars 1000:1. Find out what's hot and what's not as the famous @mliebreich.bsky.social Hydrogen Ladder enters the peer-reviewed literature. New paper in Nature Reviews: www.nature.com/articles/s44...
Applications for hydrogen, qualitatively ranked in terms of competitiveness against alternatives.

a) The main applications for hydrogen across all sectors are grouped according to their current and potential future economic advantage against alternatives. Ranking derived from Liebreich's ‘Hydrogen Ladder’ and Espacito's ‘Hydrogen Policy’s Narrow Path’ report.

b) c) d) Give the annual sales of hydrogen, alternative and incumbent technologies in three example applications.
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Michael Liebreich @mliebreich.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
For decades, forecasts of a clean hydrogen economy have relied on rapid scale-up driving down costs. However, production costs are dominated by engineering and energy, and supplemented by transport, storage & usage costs which seem unlikely to exhibit rapid reductions. www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
Realistic roles for hydrogen in the future energy transition - Nature Reviews Clean Technology
Hydrogen has been proposed as a fuel for widespread use since the 1970s, but uptake has repeatedly fallen below projections, primarily due to high costs. This Perspective considers hydrogen’s potentia...
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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 22/04/2025
NEW: Why are hydrogen cars outsold by Ferraris (& EVs)? Why have H2 projections massively outstripped reality? Find out + see the latest hydrogen "ladder" by @iain-staffell.bsky.social based on new review with @mliebreich.bsky.social @dankammen.bsky.social www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-w...
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Tom Calver @tomcalver.bsky.social · 30/03/2025
🧵 NEW: Is Britain really a high tax country? Our collective tax bill is at its highest share of GDP since the 1940s But actually, the tax and NI paid by the average worker are at their lowest in decades. What’s going on? 1/7 @thetimes.com Free link 🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/25aa...
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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 12/03/2025
📢ANALYSIS: UK emissions fell 3.6% in 2024 to lowest since 1872 🏭Coal lowest since 1666, when Great Fire ravaged London 🚗EVs pushed oil down despite more traffic, saving £1.7bn 🌇Gas down on "cleanest ever" power 📈📉Since 1990, CO2 -54% / GDP +84% www.carbonbrief.org/... 1/9
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Masud Husain @masudhusain.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Why academia is sleepwalking into self-destruction. My editorial @brain1878.bsky.social If you agree with the sentiments please repost. It's important for all our sakes to stop the madness academic.oup.com/brain/articl...
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Oxford Biology @biology.ox.ac.uk · 05/03/2025
Despite how much we love hedgehogs, humans are a key factor in their decline 🦔 New from @drhedgehog.bsky.social @wildcru.bsky.social - a look at the status of our beloved garden visitors 👇 bit.ly/41H01yP @mplsoxford.bsky.social
bit.ly
Humans are a key factor in hedgehog decline across Europe
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
You know that fossil fuel & food companies work their way into UN COP climate negotiations. You know they secretly push their corporate agendas. Would you like to see how? This new paper uses machine learning to uncover what happened at 20 years of COP side events: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Tracing inclusivity at UNFCCC conferences through side events and interest group dynamics - Nature Climate Change
Side events of annual UNFCCC Conferences of Parties are one of several channels by which non-state actors influence climate negotiation. By analysing discourse and networks of actors, this research ex...
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Quick update: www.renewables.ninja now has access to weather inputs for 2024. So, if you want to model wind & solar farm output – heating & cooling demand – or just grab raw meteorological data, you now have hourly data from 1980 through to 2024 at your fingertips! 🌎🌍🌏
Screenshot of the renewables.ninja website, simulating a rooftop PV system operating in Houston TX
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Want to work with us on the AMOC? 🌊 We have a 3-year postdoctoral position to fill. Check it out here: potsdam.pi-asp.de/bewerber-web...
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
Here's an eye opening new tool for academics... Find out the gobsmacking amount of money you have spent on publishing open access journal papers. Tool: pubanalyser.streamlit.app Code by @davidbann.bsky.social github.com/dbann/pubana...
Screenshot of the app showing I have blown over $300k on open access fees 😱
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Imperial Science @imperialsci.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
🔋 Why is UK electricity so pricey? Dr Iain Staffell (@iain-staffell.bsky.social) at @ic-cep.bsky.social explains that the auction system sets prices by the most expensive source – often gas Even as our grid decarbonises, prices remain high... a strange paradox ⬇️ www.thetimes.com/uk/environme...
thetimes.com
Why are UK energy bills so high? The costs explained
This is the story behind Britain’s expensive electricity and what we can do about it
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Wind power is getting a lot of hate Trump vows to ban new farms that "drive the whales crazy" Germany's AFD want to "tear down all these windmills of shame" Misinformation is running wild. So let's cut the crap and review the real barriers facing wind power www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
System impacts of wind energy developments: Key research challenges and opportunities
Wind power accounted for 8% of global electricity generation in 2023 and is one of the cheapest forms of low-carbon electricity. Although fully commer…
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
A great long-form article on why Britain's power prices are so high, and what we can do about it... www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...
independent.co.uk
Nearly half of the UK’s energy is already from renewables. So why are bills so high?
The UK’s electricity is still set by the cost of gas, even if it’s generated by renewables
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
Great news on the road to decarbonising UK electricity! www.thetimes.com/article/54ca...
thetimes.com
Wind is biggest source of UK electricity for first time
Gas-fired power plants replaced as main provider last year
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
The UK's Clean Power Mission aims for 95% clean generation by 2030! Gas will only be used sparingly for things like flexibility and balancing. This requires a huge effort over the next five years... but it's in line with our last decade of progress. Chart from www.electricinsights.co.uk
Chart showing the share of electricity produced from fossil fuels in Great Britain.  Their share fell from 75% in 2010 to 25% (est) in 2024.  Carrying on this pace will not be easy, but will get us to 5% by 2030 💪
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Even though coal-fired power generation is falling fast across Europe and America, it is still rising globally. China burns more than the rest of the world combined. Read more in this quarter’s Electric Insights report. reports.electricinsights.co.uk
Electricity generation from coal in China and the rest of the world combined, over the last forty years.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
The new Electric Insights report is out, covering the major events in decarbonising UK energy over the third quarter of this year. My favourite chart for this quarter: the global coal phase-out league table! See the full report here: reports.electricinsights.co.uk/reports/q3-2...
The global coal phase-out league table: Electricity generation from coal in 2023 relative to peak in the 25 largest coal-consuming countries. The UK tops the chart, having reduced coal generation by 98% since its peak in 1991.  From next year, it will have 100% phased out coal-fired electricity generation.
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Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Fossil fuels are providing less than 10% of Britain's electricity right now... So long to Europe's dunkelflaute woes 🌬️
Screenshot from www.electricinsights.co.uk
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