Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Britain got tantalisingly close to running its power system with zero carbon (peak 98.8% clean) But balancing the grid cost more than £4 billion in the first half of 2026. £50 for every single person!! Storage, grids & flex must catch up! Read more in reports.electricinsights.co.uk 033
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Wind and solar now supply 40% of Britain's electricity demand. What a remarkable change has been made over the last decade! That puts us ahead of most major world economies. A bit of positive news for your weekend read at Electric Insights: reports.electricinsights.co.uk 140
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Time to retire the old line that “EVs don’t last” We analysed 12 million British vehicles. New battery electric cars are driven more than petrol (10k miles per year vs 7.5k), and models bought since 2022 will beat conventional lifetimes (100k+ miles) www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comReal-world mileage and survival of electric vehicles in Britain and implications for lifecycle emissions - Nature CommunicationsAnalysis of Britain’s entire vehicle fleet finds electric cars now match petrol and diesel cars in mileage and lifespan and produce less than half the lifetime greenhouse gas emissions of conventional... 76715
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Like me, solar panels don't like heat waves! Degradation rates roughly double for every 10°C increase. Silicon cells used to lose 0.44% output every degree it warms, but over the last decade that fell by one third, now they lose only 0.3% per °C. More here: doi.org/10.1016/j.rs... 051
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 24/07/2026Solar PV has gone from green fringe to the dominant power technology. Output is decided by (1) the environment around them, and (2) the system built around them. Two review papers, free to read, 700+ sources, charts with pretty colours! Tech: doi.org/10.1016/j.rs... Env: doi.org/10.1016/j.rs... 041
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 02/07/2026A battery beside a wind or solar farm can be worth less than the same battery on its own. Our new paper in the @rsc.org EES journal maps where hybrid storage adds value, and where it does not. Free to read → doi.org/10.1039/d6ee... 193
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/06/2026The UK’s AI race is all about electricity. 70% of data centre capacity lies within 20 miles of London. They block new homes being built because the grid can’t cope. We must look beyond - to places with clean power and strong grid access. Read in full: reports.electricinsights.co.uk 154
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 12/03/2026So often I see posts showing that the wind isn't blowing and the sun isn't shining, or that power prices are crazily high... But today, with oil and gas markets in total meltdown, British electricity prices keep calm while renewables do the hard work. electricinsights.co.uk 082
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellCentre for Environmental Policy, Imperial @ic-cep.bsky.social · 10/03/2026Cutting meat by 30% ≈ flying 70% less ≈ 1/6 of cars electric ≈ decarbonising nearly all cement plants. 🌍 Dr @iain-staffell.bsky.social and Dr Nathan Johnson show ~20 such ‘climate wedges’ are needed to limit warming to 1.5°C. #ClimateAction #NetZeroimperial.ac.ukSix trillion ways to save 1.5°C: researchers launch ‘climate wedges’ pathway builder | Imperial News | Imperial College LondonCutting meat consumption by 30% has the same climate impact as flying 70% less, switching one-sixth of the world’s cars to electric, or decarbonising nearly every cement plant globally. These are exa... 0159
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 06/03/2026There is no single “correct” path to decarbonise. There are six trillion. Our new paper in Science puts 36 climate solutions into one common unit, so you can build your own pathways. Paper: doi.org/10.1126/scie... App: climatewedges.com What would your pathway look like? 44730
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellHamish Beath @hamishbeath.bsky.social · 25/02/2026It was very interesting developing these short @apolitical.bsky.social courses for civil servants on electricity grids, featuring a range of Imperial experts, including @iain-staffell.bsky.social. Any non-experts in government looking to learn about future electricity networks, check these out! 👇 174
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 19/02/2026We are all used to stories of the UK in decline… Electricity is no exception: demand has fallen for 20 years as we outsource industry. But Britain has turned a corner: demand up two years in a row. AI data centres now consume more power than Birmingham and could 4x by 2030. 151
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellJan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 12/02/2026MISLEADING: A new academic paper by @qmul.bsky.social has attracted significant media attention by claiming that EVs & heat pumps deliver no proven carbon savings in UK ahead of 2030 clean power target - and should therefore be postponed. Here is why this paper should never have been published.🧵 1322596
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/01/2026What do people in oil & gas and climate activists disagree on? Not “is climate change real”... The clash is on pace + trust. How fast can we change without unacceptable disruption? Can the fossil industry be trusted as part of the climate solution? www.cell.com/iscience/ful... 030
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellJohn Bistline @bistline.bsky.social · 27/01/2026Clean energy cost projections that ignore actual financing terms are wishful thinking. Cool new paper finally gives empirical, national-level WACC for 10 key technologies across 176 countries. www.nature.com/articles/s41... 253
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellChris Baraniuk @chrisbaraniuk.com · 27/01/2026UK-based high density pumped hydro firm RheEnergise has successfully generated electricity for the first time - they tell me they hit their full output capacity of 500 kilowatts. Here's my piece from late last year which discusses their tech: share.google/gomKZ5pZ4aEG...share.googlePumped Hydro Energy Storage Is Having a RenaissanceAs the world looks to incorporate more renewables into energy grids, centuries-old systems that can balance supply and demand are being reappraised and innovated upon. 2154
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 19/01/2026We interviewed UK climate activists and oil & gas employees on what the energy transition should look like. I expected polarisation. Instead: surprising shared ground on urgency, cutting demand, and how government must set the pace. Can we achieve more together? www.cell.com/iscience/ful...cell.comConsensus and dissent between climate activists and oil and gas employees in the United KingdomEarth sciences; Climatology; Social sciences; Research methodology social sciences 080
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/01/2026Where did Britain get its electricity from in 2025? Explore the data for yourself on the Electric Insights dashboard: www.electricinsights.co.uk#/dashboard?p... 193
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/01/2026Where did Britain get its electricity from in 2025? 🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️ 🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️ 🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️🌬️ 🌬️🌞🌞🌞🌞🌞🌞🌳🌳🌳 🌳🌳🌳🌳🌳🌊☢️☢️☢️☢️ ☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️☢️🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🇳🇱🇧🇪🇩🇰🇩🇰🇳🇴 🇳🇴🇳🇴🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷 Explore the data for yourself on the Electric Insights dashboard: www.electricinsights.co.uk#/dashboard?p... 1179
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/12/2025Britain's electricity demand has turned a corner. After twenty years of de-industrialisation... electric cars, heat pumps and data centres meant demand grew by 3% this year. And that growth was more than met by renewables, so emissions keep falling. www.thetimes.com/business/ene...thetimes.comDemand for electricity in UK surges after two decades of declineElectric vehicles, heat pumps and AI data centres are driving a new era of electrification, with renewables helping to meet the extra demand 0112
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 04/12/2025If you do any cost analysis or economics for energy then stop assuming 8% is your discount rate! Getting specific data on costs of capital was a nightmare, until now: www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comHistorical and future projected costs of capital for ten energy technologies across 176 countries - Scientific DataScientific Data - Historical and future projected costs of capital for ten energy technologies across 176 countries 022
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/12/2025Batteries are now Britain’s biggest form of energy storage. More than 6 GW installed and ~45 GW already consented or being built! But, batteries aren't going to solve the problems of wind curtailment... Long-duration storage is the next big challenge. 454
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellRobin Lamboll @robinlamboll.bsky.social · 06/11/2025Do climate conferences actually achieve anything? A lot of people have strong opinions, but we wanted measurements, so we look at how the stock market moves during yearly international meetings called COPs – explanation below, or read the paper here: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...iopscience.iop.orgRadware Bot Manager CaptchaTo ensure we keep this website safe, please can you confirm you are a human by ticking the box below. 497
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 19/08/2025Dirty or damaged solar panels waste vast amounts of clean power. Introducing SolarSynthNet: a deep learning model that spots cracks, dust & snow. It's the new state-of-the-art with 97%+ detection accuracy and is built for real-world farms. Paper: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...sciencedirect.comSolarSynthNet (SSN): A deep learning framework for binary and multiclass classification of damaged or obstructed solar panels using imagesThe rapid rise in solar photovoltaic (PV) installations globally drives demand for tools to optimize system operations and maintenance. Machine learni… 040
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellKen Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 31/07/2025Climate models have underestimated the departure of high temperature extremes from monthly means. If we assume these model biases persist in future projections, then the climate models are also likely underestimating the magnitude of future high temperature extremes. www.nature.com/articles/s43...nature.comHistorical model biases in monthly high temperature anomalies indicate under-estimation of future temperature extremes - Communications Earth & EnvironmentModels tend to underestimate mean monthly maximum temperature anomalies by 2-3% and extreme anomalies by 11-12% over the period 1980 and 2023, which could lead to temperatures 3 °C to 5 °C higher than... 10264117
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellChristian Breyer @christianonre.bsky.social · 25/06/20251/ New study @UniLUT on the techno-economic potential of global offshore wind power doi.org/10.1016/j.ap.... Potential within 200 NM & 1000 m depth adds up to 27.3 TW or 66200 TWh, with 2/3 on floating foundations. Economic potential is projected to grow, with declining costs. 2105
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/05/2025The UK is installing solar panels at its fastest rate in over a decade! renewablesnow.com/news/uk-inst...renewablesnow.comUK installs 57,000 rooftop solar systems in Q1The UK showed a strong appetite for rooftop solar in the first quarter of 2025, installing over 57,000 systems, the busiest start to the year since 2012, according to the Drax Electric Insights analys... 1273
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 15/05/2025There will be no transition without transmission! Power grids are the hidden star of the net-zero story. Our new study maps how Europe's Transmission System Operators are using innovation to keep ahead. From NWAs to AI, see what they are doing here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...sciencedirect.comHow do electricity TSOs embrace innovation to future-proof their role in the energy transition?Access to electricity is the lifeblood of modern society. Electricity grids are undergoing transformative changes, driven mainly by decarbonization, d… 061
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 07/05/2025🕯️ The recent blackout in Spain & Portugal shows how the grid is the front-lines of the energy transition. ⚡ Innovation is key to keeping the lights on. Our new study reveals what Europe's TSOs are rolling out to stop it happening again... 📕 See where they are betting big: doi.org/10.1016/j.es... 141
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 30/04/2025Global hydrogen demand has grown 𝟯𝘅 𝘀𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 than the experts predicted. For 50 years, analysts have projected rapid uptake (6-15% pa.). Instead hydrogen has tracked global GDP, growing ~3% pa. Will hydrogen finally take off - or are we still being too optimistic? 📖: www.nature.com/articles/s44... 272
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellJan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 23/04/2025Why are Ferraris outselling all hydrogen cars combined? Decades of R&D from top automakers couldn’t make fuel-cell cars mainstream. BEVs now outsell them 1,000-to-1. Great breakdown by Nathan Johnson & @iain-staffell.bsky.social for @carbonbrief.org 🔗 www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-w... 46113
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 23/04/2025We must stop focusing hydrogen research and investment into dead-ends. EVs out-sell fuel cell cars 1000:1. Find out what's hot and what's not as the famous @mliebreich.bsky.social Hydrogen Ladder enters the peer-reviewed literature. New paper in Nature Reviews: www.nature.com/articles/s44... 63210
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellMichael Liebreich @mliebreich.bsky.social · 22/04/2025For decades, forecasts of a clean hydrogen economy have relied on rapid scale-up driving down costs. However, production costs are dominated by engineering and energy, and supplemented by transport, storage & usage costs which seem unlikely to exhibit rapid reductions. www.nature.com/articles/s44...nature.comRealistic roles for hydrogen in the future energy transition - Nature Reviews Clean TechnologyHydrogen has been proposed as a fuel for widespread use since the 1970s, but uptake has repeatedly fallen below projections, primarily due to high costs. This Perspective considers hydrogen’s potentia... 49833
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellSimon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 22/04/2025NEW: Why are hydrogen cars outsold by Ferraris (& EVs)? Why have H2 projections massively outstripped reality? Find out + see the latest hydrogen "ladder" by @iain-staffell.bsky.social based on new review with @mliebreich.bsky.social @dankammen.bsky.social www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-w... 64112
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellTom Calver @tomcalver.bsky.social · 30/03/2025🧵 NEW: Is Britain really a high tax country? Our collective tax bill is at its highest share of GDP since the 1940s But actually, the tax and NI paid by the average worker are at their lowest in decades. What’s going on? 1/7 @thetimes.com Free link 🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/25aa... 74485178
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellSimon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 12/03/2025📢ANALYSIS: UK emissions fell 3.6% in 2024 to lowest since 1872 🏭Coal lowest since 1666, when Great Fire ravaged London 🚗EVs pushed oil down despite more traffic, saving £1.7bn 🌇Gas down on "cleanest ever" power 📈📉Since 1990, CO2 -54% / GDP +84% www.carbonbrief.org/... 1/9 431710602
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellMasud Husain @masudhusain.bsky.social · 06/03/2025Why academia is sleepwalking into self-destruction. My editorial @brain1878.bsky.social If you agree with the sentiments please repost. It's important for all our sakes to stop the madness academic.oup.com/brain/articl... 51538308
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellOxford Biology @biology.ox.ac.uk · 05/03/2025Despite how much we love hedgehogs, humans are a key factor in their decline 🦔 New from @drhedgehog.bsky.social @wildcru.bsky.social - a look at the status of our beloved garden visitors 👇 bit.ly/41H01yP @mplsoxford.bsky.socialbit.lyHumans are a key factor in hedgehog decline across Europe 0259
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/03/2025You know that fossil fuel & food companies work their way into UN COP climate negotiations. You know they secretly push their corporate agendas. Would you like to see how? This new paper uses machine learning to uncover what happened at 20 years of COP side events: www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comTracing inclusivity at UNFCCC conferences through side events and interest group dynamics - Nature Climate ChangeSide events of annual UNFCCC Conferences of Parties are one of several channels by which non-state actors influence climate negotiation. By analysing discourse and networks of actors, this research ex... 33814
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 12/02/2025Quick update: www.renewables.ninja now has access to weather inputs for 2024. So, if you want to model wind & solar farm output – heating & cooling demand – or just grab raw meteorological data, you now have hourly data from 1980 through to 2024 at your fingertips! 🌎🌍🌏 0151
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellProf. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 10/02/2025Want to work with us on the AMOC? 🌊 We have a 3-year postdoctoral position to fill. Check it out here: potsdam.pi-asp.de/bewerber-web... 315874
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 01/02/2025Here's an eye opening new tool for academics... Find out the gobsmacking amount of money you have spent on publishing open access journal papers. Tool: pubanalyser.streamlit.app Code by @davidbann.bsky.social github.com/dbann/pubana... 2103
Reposted by Dr Iain StaffellImperial Science @imperialsci.bsky.social · 24/01/2025🔋 Why is UK electricity so pricey? Dr Iain Staffell (@iain-staffell.bsky.social) at @ic-cep.bsky.social explains that the auction system sets prices by the most expensive source – often gas Even as our grid decarbonises, prices remain high... a strange paradox ⬇️ www.thetimes.com/uk/environme...thetimes.comWhy are UK energy bills so high? The costs explainedThis is the story behind Britain’s expensive electricity and what we can do about it 023
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 14/01/2025Wind power is getting a lot of hate Trump vows to ban new farms that "drive the whales crazy" Germany's AFD want to "tear down all these windmills of shame" Misinformation is running wild. So let's cut the crap and review the real barriers facing wind power www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...sciencedirect.comSystem impacts of wind energy developments: Key research challenges and opportunitiesWind power accounted for 8% of global electricity generation in 2023 and is one of the cheapest forms of low-carbon electricity. Although fully commer… 610250
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 12/01/2025A great long-form article on why Britain's power prices are so high, and what we can do about it... www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...independent.co.ukNearly half of the UK’s energy is already from renewables. So why are bills so high?The UK’s electricity is still set by the cost of gas, even if it’s generated by renewables 1124
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 06/01/2025Great news on the road to decarbonising UK electricity! www.thetimes.com/article/54ca...thetimes.comWind is biggest source of UK electricity for first timeGas-fired power plants replaced as main provider last year 0266
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 09/12/2024The UK's Clean Power Mission aims for 95% clean generation by 2030! Gas will only be used sparingly for things like flexibility and balancing. This requires a huge effort over the next five years... but it's in line with our last decade of progress. Chart from www.electricinsights.co.uk 3224
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 03/12/2024Even though coal-fired power generation is falling fast across Europe and America, it is still rising globally. China burns more than the rest of the world combined. Read more in this quarter’s Electric Insights report. reports.electricinsights.co.uk 1105
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 01/12/2024The new Electric Insights report is out, covering the major events in decarbonising UK energy over the third quarter of this year. My favourite chart for this quarter: the global coal phase-out league table! See the full report here: reports.electricinsights.co.uk/reports/q3-2... 097
Dr Iain Staffell @iain-staffell.bsky.social · 24/11/2024Fossil fuels are providing less than 10% of Britain's electricity right now... So long to Europe's dunkelflaute woes 🌬️ 5458