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John Horvick

@horvick.bsky.social
554 followers 166 following 1.2K posts

DHM Research, Senior Vice President

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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Updated Oregon voter registration numbers are out today. Here are the monthly changes. Total +15,312 Democrat +7,241 Non-affiliated +2,840 Republican +2,786 Ind. Party of Oregon +1,588 Other +857
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Source www.federalreserve.gov/econres/scf/...
federalreserve.gov
The Fed - Chart: Survey of Consumer Finances, 1989 - 2025
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
By education
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
By age
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
By race
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
The Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances is out today. This every-3-year report shows the inflation-adjusted net worth of Americans. The median family net worth is $216k, the highest ever.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Consumer sentiment rating difference of Independents from Democrats and Republicans.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Future expectations.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
The Consumer Sentiment Index consists of measures of ratings of current economic conditions and future expectations. Here are the trends for opinions about current conditions.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Updated consumer sentiment numbers are out today from the University of Michigan. Here are the monthly changes. Democrat 37.3 (+1.7) Independent 38.9 (-8.8) Republican 84.0 (+6.8)
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Gallup has a monthly tracker that asks Americans to name the most important problem facing the country. Americans are now mentioning problems with government as often as the economy.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Comparing Oregon governor and presidential elections to Washington and California. These are 2-party vote margins for on-cycle elections from 2000-2024. Median Dem margins for these elections: Governor OR +5 WA +9 CA +16 President OR +13 WA +18 CA +24
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Changes by total registrants.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Oregon party registration comparison between November 2022 and September 2026. Democrats were +9.6 over Republicans in 2022. Now it is Democrats +8.0.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Oregon party registration by vote frequency. The Democratic advantage is greatest among the most consistent voters.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
To try to make this apples-to-apples, this compares the 2-party vote only. However, the third-party vote share was about the same in both elections.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The last Republican to win statewide in Oregon was Dennis Richardson in 2016. This map compares Drazan's 2022 election performance to Richardson's in 2016. Red counties are where Drazan did worse, and green counties are where she did better.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Current account balances for Oregon gubernatorial candidates. Tina Kotek: $8.4 million Christine Drazan: $780k
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Source data.sca.isr.umich.edu/fetchdoc.php...
data.sca.isr.umich.edu
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The University of Michigan released final September consumer sentiment numbers today. Here are the monthly changes by party. Democrats 35.6 (-4.6) Independents 47.7 (-0.3) Republicans 77.2 (-4.8)
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Yesterday, the Oregon Department of Education released the updated number of teacher FTE. Here are the total teacher FTE and the number of students per teacher from 2004 to 2026.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
By my count, Oregon voters will consider 65 local funding measures in the November election.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Average age of Oregon's congressional delegation from 1901 to 2025.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Source: www.cdc.gov/yrbs/index.h...
cdc.gov
Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS)
YRBSS is a set of surveys that track behaviors that can lead to poor health in high school students.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Updates from the National Youth Behavior Risk Survey are out today. Lots here, but this stood out to me. Improvements across the board on youth mental health.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Updated reported crime totals for Portland. This is through August 2026.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Tina Kotek secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/publ... Christine Drazan secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/publ... Brett Smith secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/publ...
secure.sos.state.or.us
Oregon Secretary Of State
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Current campaign account balances for Oregon gubernatorial candidates. Tina Kotek: $8.1 million Christine Drazan: $2.7 million Brett Smith: $0
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Is the economy good or bad? -Real median incomes reach a new high -Consumer sentiment is at an all-time low -Most people continue to report doing okay financially -Just about an average share of Americans report the economy is the US's most important problem
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Battery energy storage capacity
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Installed solar power capacity
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Residential natural gas price
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Average monthly residential electricity bill
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
A new tool is available that lets people look up energy trends by state. Things like cost, sources, and reliability: usenergydata.org Here are a few for Oregon. Share electricity generation by source
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
More here: www.dhmresearch.com/oregonians-w...
dhmresearch.com
DHM Research - Blog
Know more. Do better. DHM Research brings leaders clarity around complex planning, policy making and communication challenges.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
. DHM Research recently asked Oregonians about AI regulations. -62% oppose keeping state AI regulations minimal -89% support requiring AI companies to run safety tests and report risks to the state
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Source: sos.oregon.gov/elections/pa...
sos.oregon.gov
Oregon Secretary of State : Election Results & History : State of Oregon
Election history, voters' pamphlets, election results and statistics.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Updated Oregon voter registration totals are out today. Here are the monthly changes by party. Total +11,060 Non-affiliated +9,724 Democrat +881 Other parties +263 Ind. Party of Oregon +240 Republican -48
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
The drop in consumer sentiment this month is driven by increasingly negative expectations about the future. Current conditions (left) Dem 41.5 (-1.7) Ind 50.2 (+0.7) Rep 73.8 (-0.5) Expectations (right) Dem 31.2 (-7.0) Ind 47.4 (+0.4) Rep 73.2 (-13.7)
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
The University of Michigan released preliminary September consumer sentiment numbers today. Here are the monthly changes by party. Democrats 35.2 (-5.0) Independents 48.5 (+0.5) Republicans 73.4 (-8.6)
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Data centers are big in Oregon elections. It seems to me that AI will be the much bigger governing challenge. DHM Research recently asked Oregonians: AI in schools? AI in state government? Support for businesses to use AI? Hopefully we'll hear more from candidates about this.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
The final registration and turnout statistics for Oregon's primary election are out today. Lots to go through. Turnout by county Highest: Wallowa, Sherman, Gilliam Lowest: Malheur, Umatilla, Multnomah
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
The final registration and turnout statistics for Oregon's primary election are out today. Lots to go through. Here are the total number of registered voters by age for primary elections from 2018 to 2026.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
The numbers above are largely a function of age. Percentage of ages 65+ by Oregon House of Representatives district
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Percentages of ages 16+ in the labor force by Oregon House of Representatives district (2025)
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
As of today, the Kotek campaign (left) has $9 million and the Drazan campaign (right) has $3.8 million.
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Reposted by John Horvick
John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Election season in Oregon is here and @pdxcityclub.bsky.social is kicking off its fall series on Sept 11. Please join me, @jmshumway.bsky.social, @shanedkavanaugh.bsky.social, and @timnesbittor.bsky.social as we discuss the key races and issues. pdxcityclub.org/event/electi...
pdxcityclub.org
July 17: Oregon’s Economic Landscape Panel Discussion – City Club of Portland
Oregon workers, business owners, community organizations, and governments are all feeling economic strain in different ways. Many are asking what comes next for the state economy, but often within the...
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
What are Portland City Council candidate talking about on their websites? I reviewed websites for 24 candidates and coded the themes. I've broken this out by Districts 3 & 4, incumbents and challengers, and Peacock and moderates. The % represents the share of websites that mention that issue.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
I used Claude to review and code every available website for the Democratic and Republican candidates for the Oregon House of Representatives. This is the share of websites by party that mention an issue.
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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Drazan doesn't post here, but she posted 24 times on X in August. I coded the text. Named in the posts -Trump: 0 -Kotek: 6 Top issue themes -Community/campaign events: 7 -Cost of living: 5 -Economy and jobs, The Drazan Plan: 4 -Wildfire, rural rights, coalition, transportation, election framing: 3
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