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Jeremy Horpedahl

@horp.bsky.social
891 followers 59 following 94 posts
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Thank you for agreeing with me that it isn't the biggest factor
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Which of his points do you disagree with?
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Radley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
I promised you some good news after a bleak week. Here it is. This is one of the most wrenching wrongful convictions I've ever written about. It is wonderful to see Charlie out and off to his new home. radleybalko.substack.com/p/after-35-y...
radleybalko.substack.com
After 35 years in prison, Charlie Vaughn is free
Vaughn, an Arkansas man with a severe intellectual disability, spent decades in prison for a murder he did not commit. He was finally released on Friday.
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
He opposed the particular plan, not congestion pricing generally: marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
marginalrevolution.com
Why the NYC congestion pricing plan is bad - Marginal REVOLUTION
I am seeing some critical comments on my latest column, mostly from people who are not reading it through, or in some cases they are making basic mistakes in economics.  Let me start with part of my c...
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The Tennessee Holler @thetnholler.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Wow
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Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
"UPDATED: Tariffs “Funded” Everything in 2025—Will the Fantasy Continue in 2026?" ANSWER: YES www.cato.org/blog/tariffs...
cato.org
UPDATED: Tariffs “Funded” Everything in 2025—Will the Fantasy Continue in 2026?
2026 will almost certainly bring more (fantastical) proposals for funding new federal programs and policies through tariff revenue.
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Neil Vigdor @gettingviggy.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Austin Peay State University in Tennessee also reinstated Darren Michael, a tenured acting professor whose post about Charlie Kirk’s killing inflamed conservatives. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/07/u...
nytimes.com
University to Pay $500,000 to Professor It Fired Over Charlie Kirk Post
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M. Nolan Gray 🥑 @mnolangray.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
A heck of a chart: in every single one of the 10 major US cities that built the most housing between 2017 and 2023, rents for older, existing units fell—often by quite a bit.
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John Pfaff @johnpfaff.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
REALLY important to note homicide has dropped sharply all OVER the place, in places that have a lot of diff policing tactics. That doesn’t mean that what the NYPD did was irrelevant, but also def means that you can’t simply say “we did x, then crime fell,” bc a lot of not-xs saw similar drops.
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Turning Point finally found the voter fraud they have been searching for
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Trump goes full socialism: "that money will be controlled by me, as President of the United States of America, to ensure it is used to benefit the people of Venezuela and the United States!"
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Contrast with Afghanistan: a clear failure, as liberal democracy (what little they had) collapsed after the occupation ended
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Mission accomplished? Iraq is more of a liberal democratic state than it was before the US invasion
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
To better days ahead, hopefully
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Jeff Asher @jeffasher.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Still waiting on final data for some cities, but murder fell a lot in in 2025 in the 30 cities with the most murders in 2024. Down 19.2% in those cities, down 19.7% counting just the 24 cities with data through at least mid-December.
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Jeff Asher @jeffasher.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
I count 10 cities in 2025 that are on track to have the fewest murders since at least 1970. Newark is on pace to have the fewest murders since 1956 (though only have data through Oct this year) and San Francisco is on pace to have the fewest murders since 1942.
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Your Fridge Is Bigger and Cheaper Today, Thanks to Global Trade and Innovation www.cato.org/blog/fridge-...
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
A recent essay claims the poverty line for a family of four should be $140,000. I disagree: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/11/26/t...
economistwritingeveryday.com
The Poverty Line is Not $140,000
A recent essay by Michael W. Green makes a very bold claim that the poverty line should not be where it is currently set — about $31,200 for a family of four — but should be much higher…
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
People have been saying "past immigration was good, but immigrants today aren't the same" for a very long time. For example, this is from Grover Cleveland's veto of a 1897 bill that would have imposed a literacy test on new immigrants: www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/ve...
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
Crime is one campaign issue where Trump is just barely treading water
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
These were Trump's major campaign issues
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
The increase in life expectancy is not solely a function of reduced child mortality. Life expectancy at age 15 has also increased dramatically in the past 100-200 years.
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
I am now writing occasionally for Cato as an adjunct scholar. Here is my first blog post, on the misuse of negative externalities: www.cato.org/blog/not-eve...
cato.org
Not Everything You Dislike Is a "Negative Externality"
Not everything that annoys us or seems inefficient is a negative externality, yet policymakers often misuse this concept to justify costly and misguided interventions.
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M. Nolan Gray 🥑 @mnolangray.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
A parking lot turns into 75 homes over shops in Sacramento. (2017➡️2020)
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Thanks Walter, I am excited!
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
Leip's Atlas seems to be the most complete count: uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/nati... As a % of the voting eligible population, this is about 63.5% turnout. Other than 2020, that's the highest since 1960 (63.8%), and the 3rd highest since 1908 election.lab.ufl.edu/national-tur...
uselectionatlas.org
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
Remember "20 million missing votes" in the days after the election? Now that most ballots have been counted, there were about 3 million fewer votes in 2024 than 2020: 155.5 vs 158.6 million That's notable, but 2024 still has one of the highest turnout rates in 100 years
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
He shared it on Facebook and X Here's a post that I wrote on the changing composition of spending economistwritingeveryday.com/2023/11/22/l...
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Has economic progress stopped since 1971? No. Most goods and services are more affordable for the average worker today than 1971. Housing is a notable and important exception economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/12/04/t...
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
People have long complained about the rising cost of food. And in the 1970s families were well within their rights to complain: grocery prices indeed rose much faster than wages! Contrast that with the most recent decade...
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
100 year standard-of-living comparison from Antony Davies. As he summarizes: "the median US worker today has a quality of life similar to the top 1% in 1924, and a minimum wage worker today has a quality of life similar to the middle-class in 1924"
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Seabird @seabirdreader.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
We love links at Seabird! Our platform is 100% dedicated to linking out. Posts with links are actually the only kind of posts our users can share. seabirdreader.com
seabirdreader.com
Seabird Reader
Rediscover the web
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
It's fun to look at prices from the past, such as this 1899 Thanksgiving menu from the Plaza Hotel in NYC. But don't let those prices fool you: wages are over 200 times higher today: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/27/d...
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
They should just rename vaccines “supplements” so everyone will like them.
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Can anything top Na h-Eileanan an Iar?
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Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
At a zoning board meeting the phrase “we’ve eliminated all school aged children” was just uttered in DEFENSE of a project.
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Basil Halperin @basilhalperin.com · 12/11/2024
This from @zmazlish.bsky.social is THE analysis of wages/income under Biden-Powell jzmazlish.substack.com/p/yes-inflat... TLDR: growth has been... historically weak (this is not normative -- just the numbers)
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 09/11/2024
Incredibly dim stuff to watch go up the chain to the president elect
Elon musk posting an “interesting” in response to Ron Paul saying the Fed is unconstitutional
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Jacob Grier @jacobgrier.bsky.social · 07/11/2024
23 mostly dismal thoughts on the election, worth exactly what you pay for them. (My blog is free.) www.jacobgrier.com/blog/2024/11...
jacobgrier.com
23 mostly dismal thoughts about the election
1. Well, this sucks.2. Going for an evening bike ride last night on eerily empty streets as the ominous Portland crows flocked into my neighborhood, the feeling it most reminded me of was the las
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Radley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 07/11/2024
Good stuff from Jacob.
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 07/11/2024
About 9:30pm (CT) last night, I posted on Twitter that it was likely Harris would lose all the Blue Wall states. By 11pm, I said it was definitely over. But the AP and others wouldn't call it for over 5 hours later. How? I watched prediction markets: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/06/b...
economistwritingeveryday.com
Big Win for Prediction Markets
Last night was a big win for Trump, but it was also a big win for prediction markets. In January 2024, I suggested that one of the best ways to follow the election was by following prediction marke…
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 07/11/2024
Yeah, they have retracted
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
1. CPI inflation peaked in June 2022, 29 months ago: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAU... 2. Crime peaked in July 2022, 28 months ago: realtimecrimeindex.com 3. Wages rising faster than prices since March 2023, 20 months ago: fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1z5B5 4. S&P 500 up 43% in 18 months
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
The good news is that within 1 year, a large majority of Americans will acknowledge the following (which have all been true for at least ~18 months): 1. Inflation rate is falling 2. Crime is falling 3. Wages are rising faster than prices 4. Stock market is booming
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 05/11/2024
If you know, you know
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 30/10/2024
US & EU Q3 GDP numbers are in, which means another update to my G7 GDP growth chart! Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic: 🇺🇸 +12.2% 🇨🇦 +5.8% (thru Q2) 🇮🇹 +5.1% 🇫🇷 +3.5% 🇬🇧 +2.3% (thru Q2) 🇯🇵 +0.2% (thru Q2) 🇩🇪 +0.1%
A graph of the data described in the post
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
Why are 7 million working-age men not in the labor force in the US? The biggest reason, and the primary reason for the increase since the 1960s: illness and disability economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/10/16/w...
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Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 14/10/2024
*Of course* Bari Weiss is helping to spread the human trafficking moral panic, and *of course* her feature investigation does not include any actual examples of human trafficking. www.thefp.com/p/inside-ame...
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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 11/10/2024
That's quite a resumé
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