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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 5h

Wednesday 8:52 am: Dry air has moved south into our area, bringing partly to mostly sunny skies today with low 90’s this afternoon. Deep moisture with Tropical Storm Isaias will track well east of our part of south Texas.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 21h

Tuesday 4:25 pm: A disturbance in the western gulf will likely intensify into a hurricane given absence of shearing winds that could disrupt it’s circulation and very warm gulf waters below. Upper level disturbance over Texas moving east, taking storm northward Friday.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 22h

Tuesday 4 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Dry air has arrived from the north with mostly sunny skies and lower humidity. Low 90's this afternoon and Wednesday afternoon, ~70F at dawn.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Tuesday 8:48 am: Dry air has reached us from the north. A mostly sunny warm day, low humidity, highs ~90F.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Monday 4:07 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Drier air is edging south into our area. Some spots will reach the high 60's at dawn. Plenty of sunshine, low humidity, ~90F Tuesday afternoon.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

@climatologist49.bsky.social I ran into your post on #days falling within 10F bins for CONUS and Alaska. Nice! I had done this with Laredo after the 1991-2020 averages came out. Also did data on average monthly hottest and coolest TMax/TMin’s and dates of 1st/last to meet thresholds…

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Monday 8:28 am: Drier air is slowly filtering in from north and western Texas. Some periods where we will see some sun this afternoon, mid/high 80’s. Plenty of sunshine with lower humidity Tuesday with near 90F.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

The Crawling Eye from 1958. I saw on tv as a 5 year old in 1959 and had a nightmare that it was reaching into my bedroom to pull me out!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sunday 4:15 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: A drier airmass reaching into west Texas will slowly filter in with some sunshine Monday pm, much more sun Tuesday. mid/high 80's Monday, near 90 Tuesday. 4:15 PM · Oct 4, 2026 Relevant people

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sunday 4:10 pm: A few small showers are in/near the Laredo area:

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sunday 9:02 am: Small showers in the Laredo area.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sunday 8:40 am: A very moist airmass above our area will mean plenty of clouds, scattered showers with temperatures only into the 80’s today.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

(Air is saturated where temperature and dewpoint are the same)

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Saturday 11:55 pm: Still a chance of showers overnight/Sunday morning as the atmosphere should be nearly saturated from ~3,000’ to 12,000’ altitude if HRRR model and rising air in that layer is close to reality. Radar at 11:54 pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sunday 9:36 pm: I was off this week, will be back on KGNS Sunday. I measured a combined total of 1.02” of rain at the KGNS location from before dawn Thursday to 5:30 pm Sunday.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Saturday 4:28 pm: Scattered showers moving south to the east of Laredo. A brief shower earlier at ~2:30 pm dropped ~.1” in south Laredo.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Saturday 3:03 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Cooler, drier air is slowly filtering into our area from the north. The air is still moist enough for isolated showers, one now moving from just south of Mirando City.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Saturday 8:42 am: We remain under a moist airmass. Nearby frontal system and wind shift boundaries may be a focus for scattered showers later today or tonight. In any case, mostly cloudy, 80’s pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Friday 11:02 pm: Perhaps a few drops reaching the ground in parts of Laredo.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Friday 10:14 pm: A patch of light rain is about to reach El Cenizo and Rio Bravo, and may move into Laredo this hour, but it appears as if the rain is weakening.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Friday 10:14 pm: A patch of light rain is about to reach El Cenizo and Rio Bravo, and may move into Laredo this hour, but it appears as if the rain is weakening.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Friday 7:45 pm: Showers are nearing the Zapata area. Showers in Webb County so far are not advancing beyond southeastern Webb County, will watch.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Friday 6:37 pm: Radar Check: Scattered showers are out there…they are scattered exiting Duval into Webb County. Showers in Jim Hogg County heading to Zapata County are more numerous.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

(wonder if tighter grid AI runs and physics informed AI runs show better success…)

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Not clear to me…are AI models on the regional scale available at a 3 km grid spacing? Are physics informed AI available and run with a 3 km grid spacing?

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Friday 3:01 pm: Big Picture Weathermap. The atmosphere above is quite moist, scattered showers will wander around our area through Saturday, focused at times near front and wind shift boundaries. Scattered showers at this time are not heavy.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Friday 8:46 am: Lifting of a very moist tropical airmass will produce showers/thundershowers near a nearly stationary boundary over our area between tropical airmass and cooler air. A mostly cloudy day, showers, some decent, will dot our area today and Saturday.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Friday 12:13 am: Rain is slowly edging north toward the Laredo area. The rain that is falling is steady, but not very heavy, has been weakening over the last few hours.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Thursday 9:45 pm: Rain beginning to edge north, now into Zapata.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 4:08 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: The emphasis to the upcoming heavy rains appears to be shifting east, also south toward the Lower Valley tonight. Weakening shower ~5 miles southwest of Laredo. Laredo area may see rains move northward into the area late tonight/Friday am

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 3:17 pm: Showers/thunderstorms still mostly west of Laredo, a growing shower is over Rio Bravo area.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 3:06 pm: Showers/Thunderstorms continue to form from southwest of Laredo to Ranchos Penitas to west of Encinal.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 2:16 pm: Thunderstorms continue to form quickly west of Laredo and north to just east of the Columbia Bridge. Top of storm topping 45,000’ altitude.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 1:31 pm: Watching developing showers with a corridor of growing cumulus ~18 miles west of Laredo:

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Reposted by Richard Heatwave Berler

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

First September with a mean temperature of at least 90F: average high was 102.0F, average low was 78.3F for a mean of 90.2F. 2023 averaged 88.8F (hi/lows averaged 100.7F/76.9F).

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Reposted by Richard Heatwave Berler

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 12:10 am: September 2026: hottest September in Laredo. Highs averaged 102.0F, topping 1912’s 101.8F Lows averaged 78.3F, topping 2023’s 76.9F. Every day reached at least 97F, topping 2011’s 94F or higher. Every low of the day was at least 75F, topping 2019’s 73F.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 9:35 am: The rains, mostly between 4 and 5 am, brought a quick ~1” rainfall to Laredo. The generous amount of moisture in the atmosphere made these high rainfall amounts in a hour or two possible.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 9:31 am: A very moist airmass. Most models depict some version of a heavy rain event with differences in timing/placement of the downpours. With rising air over a deep layer of a saturated atmosphere, widespread 2”-4”, some spots with more, mostly tonight/Friday am. Will monitor.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Thursday 5:37 am: A fairly small area of showers and weakening thundershowers over and are moving north from the Laredo area.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

First September with a mean temperature of at least 90F: average high was 102.0F, average low was 78.3F for a mean of 90.2F. 2023 averaged 88.8F (hi/lows averaged 100.7F/76.9F).

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Wednesday 11:29 pm: A small patch of rain may be just enough to wet the ground a bit along and north of Loop 20 on north edge of Laredo.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Wednesday 9:46 pm: A weakening patch of light rain may reach the river north of Laredo late this evening. Chance of showers/thundershowers early/mid morning. Best chance of episodes of heavy rains is Thursday night/Friday, will watch.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Wednesday 2:59 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Enough sun through high clouds to reach at least mid 90’s today. A very deep layer of very moist air will be available for episodes of widespread potentially significant rainfall during the tonight through at least Friday, will monitor.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Wednesday 12:17 pm: Weakening patches of light rain will exit the Laredo area by ~1 pm. Some sun through mid/high level clouds will follow this afternoon with 95-100F heat, depending on how much sun we get mid/late afternoon.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Wednesday 10:27 am: Patches of rain will move east of the Laredo area after 1 pm. Some sun, high 90’s to near 100F if we get enough sun.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Wednesday 8:58 am: A patch of showers is moving east from Mexico. The atmosphere above is now unusually moist. Showers today will be patchy, significant episodes of rain more widespread overnight, Thursday/Friday. We are still under a hot airmass, 90’s pm to near 100F today.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Tuesday 4:43 pm: 101F so far today, 24th day 100F or above this month, similar Wednesday. Gulf moisture and Pacific moisture with Tropical Storms Polo and Rachel will combine to bring a significant rain to our area Thursday/Friday, perhaps heaviest Thursday night.

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