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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 3h

Friday 6:49 am: A large, much cooler airmass is moving in, will control our weather through Sunday. Cloudy today, a few scattered showers possible this morning, winds picking up this morning. 30+ mph gusts. Cooler upper 60’s midday, ~70 late afternoon, 50’s at dawn Saturday.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 15h

Later look...added a subtle boundary in Missouri to Illinois.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 18h

Thursday 4:04 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: A much cooler airmass is accelerating south across Texas. Low/mid 70's at dawn, gusty north wind will pick up in our area ~9 am Friday, perhaps accompanied by a few brief showers. Mostly cloudy with upper 60's/low 70's Friday afternoon.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 15/10/2026

Thursday 8:43 am: A tropical day with partly to mostly cloudy skies, mid 90’s. Warm until dawn, low/mid 70’s dawn. Chance of brief showers as much cooler north wind arrives ~9 am, 65-70F in the afternoon!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

added a boundary over southeastern Utah.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Wednesday 4:21 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: One more hot humid day Thursday before front over the Great Plains accelerates south, bringing cooler/drier air into our area beginning mid Friday morning. Slight shower chance with the front Friday morning.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

METARS in Iceland at 19 UTC (pressure plotted is altimeter readings, many <28” !)

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Wednesday 2:24 pm: Quite the deep storm in the North Atlantic near Iceland:

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Wednesday 11:57 am: Just Because Department: Storm between Crete and southwestern Turkey. Isobars based upon altimeter readings.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Wednesday 8:28 am: A shallow layer of moist gulf air is capped be drier very warm air. This will bring a hot humid afternoon with scattered cumulus at the top of the layer of the moist gulf air. Upper 90’s to near 100F.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Tuesday: Imagine placing a marble at the top of a bowling ball. It would be nearly impossible to do this perfectly. 10 tries, like a “Plinko” game would result in 10 possibly very different paths. This is the conundrum (track/strength) facing NHC forecasters with Hurricane Simon:

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Tuesday 8:55 pm: We reached 100F today, low was 78F. About 3 of 10 Octobers have a day that reaches at least 100F. The 100F reading ties the 1991 record for this date. Our high/low of 100F/78F is close to the average for an August 20 of 101F/77F.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 13/10/2026

Tuesday 4:22 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: 99F so far today. Cool air over the northern Great Plains will move south, after a upper level disturbance (reflected in low pressure at the surface over Wyoming) moves across the Great Plains. Cooler north wind arrives Friday afternoon.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 13/10/2026

Tuesday 8:29 am: A shallow layer of gulf air with low cloud will evolve into scattered cumulus clouds at ~5,500’ this afternoon. Lifted air not buoyant enough for the cumulus to grow tall. Upper 90’s mid/late afternoon.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Monday 4:10 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: A humid tropical airmass is moving north above south Texas. Overnight lows will be in the high 70's, Tuesday and Wednesday will reach the high 90's. Small afternoon cumulus clouds at ~6,000' altitude will morph out of low morning clouds.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Monday 8:47 am: The lower atmosphere is becoming more moist, cumulus will be in our skies at ~5,000’ altitude, some patches of altocumulus and cirrus higher up. Enough sunshine to reach the high 90’s.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

added a boundary from northern California to Idaho...

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Sunday 4:33 pm: Raw data plot and my analysis...tropical moisture from what had been Tropical Storm Rachel is producing rains in the western U.S. snow in Montana. Our atmosphere is becoming more moist and warm. Mid/high 70's at dawn, mid/high 90's Monday pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Sunday 8:53 am: Moist air returning at the bottom of the atmosphere, drier air above, capped by moist air at ~17,000 altitude that will bring a thin layer of cloud that may dim the sun at times. Low/mid 90’s. Rains in western U.S. from remains of Rachel, snow in Montana!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

My dad was a ham radio operator, contacted 93 countries. My favorite was standing by him when he had a QSO with KC4USN, the station once operated by the Navy at the South Pole. The noise floor was so low that the signal was perfectly clear, a 5, despite the signal strength of 0, needle on it’s peg!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Saturday 4:02 pm: Remains of Isaias is over northeast Alabama. To the west, 90F warmth as far north as central Minnesota. A few tiny dots of showers in south Texas, a few cumulus just tall enough for that. Almost everywhere will be dry rest of day, will watch.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Saturday 11:29 am: Very warm weather occupies the nation’s mid section. The lower atmosphere is marginally moist, sufficient for mainly small cumulus clouds. Lifted air does not appear buoyant enough to form tall cumulus that could produce showers.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Friday 9:18 pm: Hurricane Isaias is now inland over the Florida Panhandle:

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Friday 3:43 pm: Doppler Radar at Elgin Air Force Base showing >120 mph wind at radar beam’s 9,000’ altitude. Isaias now ~70 miles from Florida Panhandle landfall.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Friday 3:11 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Drier air is moving into the lower atmosphere, scattered small cumulus in our skies, mostly gone late afternoon. May see some milky white cirrus in our skies flowing off the top of tall showers to our northwest.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

medium wave states/provinces that I have picked up on my hand held Sangean 800 am/fm radio from Laredo:

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Population density map…hope this suggests not as many folks are severely impacted (although population density increases just north of epicenter)…

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Perhaps you are familiar with some of these voices mentioned in the mayoral proclamation celebrating KDAL radio‘s 80 anniversary in 2016 (thrilled to be mentioned even though they misspelled my name!)

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I’m always amazed at how prominent the warm core nature of tropical cyclones can be!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Friday 10:47 am: Isaias is a major hurricane. Like running with the wind, shear felt by storm that could disrupt its circulation is diminished as the shear is aligned with the wind. Diverging air accelerating into jet stream to the north also helps maintain Isaias’s strength.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Friday 9:14 am: Very warm, drier air will edge in from the north this afternoon. Cumulus late morning/early afternoon will become scattered with mostly sunny skies, lower humidity during late afternoon. Low/mid 90’s.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I helped a state senator to find a missing fishing vessel lost on Lake Superior December 1976, just 13 month after the Fitzgerald!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 11:11 pm: Small showers have popped up again with air rising above a weak wind shift boundary ~10 to 15 miles east of the river. Clouds just tall enough to produce showers that bring a few 100ths of an inch where the pass over. Sunnier, lower afternoon humidity Friday.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 10:27 pm: Showers are fading…

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 9:38 pm: Showers now in south Laredo. KGNS had .02” from the shower.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 9:11 pm: A small shower is wetting things down near Loop 20 and hwy 359. Will head into Nuevo Laredo and possibly graze downtown Laredo.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 8:53 pm: It appears as if just enough lifting motion is occurring near a wind shift boundary for some clouds tops to reach ~18,000’ altitude. That is just sufficient for small isolated showers with minimal rain amounts, enough to wet the ground where they pass over.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 6:36 pm: A new shower is crossing I-35, arriving at the Mines Road area. Other isolated showers are east of Laredo.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 6:25 pm: Shower that crossed Loop 20 in northeast Laredo is dissipating:

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Thursday 6:04 pm: A small shower is crossing Loop 20 mostly between Shilo and Del Mar.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday 5:45 pm: Still a few small showers in our area

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday 4:56 pm: A slightly more moist lower atmosphere allowing for the return of cumulus clouds into our skies. Only a few clouds have grown tall enough to produce small showers mainly southeast of Rio Bravo.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday 4:35 pm: Isaias now has 100 mph winds near the surface:

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday 4:08 pm: Hurricane Isaias is far to our east in the gulf, will not play a role in our weather. A cool airmass is passing to our northeast into the Tennessee Valley and mid Atlantic States.Hotter weather is spreading north in the Great Plains. We will be hot next 7 days.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday 12:03 pm: Hurricane Isaias is still intensifying, central pressure is lowering, sustained winds in eyewall now at 85 mph. Very pronounced warm cored tropical cyclone with temperatures at flight level of ~7,400’ ~10C/18F warmer in the core than in the surrounding air!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Thursday 9:19 am: We are under a warm airmass. Somewhat more moist air in the lowest 12,000’ of the atmosphere will bring more mid level clouds (altocumulus) and lower cloud (cumulus). No impact from Hurricane Isaias far to our east. Low/mid 90’s pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Wednesday 10:27 pm: Hurricane Reconnaissance Flight data showing Isaias is nearing hurricane strength with 70ish sustained wind near it’s center, center’s pressure has lowered by ~4 mb/.12” warm core is becoming more pronounced, ~10F warmer than it’s surroundings.

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