Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 26/09/2026The SF political imaginary can be described as the Culture versus a melange of right-wing influences. Banks is incredibly underweighted in understanding the AI scene’s political imagination. 2605
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I should really book a route on one of these soon. 010
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Woke I was mostly waged within liberal institutions and unfortunately I don’t think it left them in a better place. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/09/2026NYC rent control rules and the city’s size and history have cultivated a multi-generational set of natives whose interests are distinct from the transplants. No surprise there’s discourse and politics around this, particularly as rent goes up and units become scarce. 140
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Objective control is flawed but a bunch of people want to recklessly break that seal without any sense of where this all could go. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Traditional “trust & safety” has a spectacularly poor record and is poorly suited to AI so it’s funny to see them being propped up as the reasonable champions here. 110
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/09/2026You joke but this is pretty obviously the goal of a decent number of the model welfare types. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Disentangling from the US is expensive and the behavior of these countries don’t suggest they believe there’s a high chance the US takes military action against them, so I expect economic hedging while security activity is mostly about building up parallel but not independent capabilities. 031
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Nobody is happy or has any good options in light of all the bullshit, but all sure can post about it. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/09/2026The Canada-US discourse on this site is uniquely rancid and mostly revolves around arguments about whether Trump represents the “real” US. 100
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Okay we get it the US is not reliable now. You’ve been tweeting the same thing for two whole years! Could we at least have a conversation about what that means that goes beyond flagellation? 240
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 08/09/2026It all optimizes for “how can I eat delicious food in a countercultural way.” The sauerkraut thing seems distinctly limited compared to the all beef diets. 121
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 06/09/2026My one disagreement is that AI companies giving control over social science to independent panels would buy social legitimacy. We've seen that social legitimacy, as a thing, is in decline and that AI lab adversaries are unlikely to credit them or the research because its independent. 020
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Google Books is funny to me because we go in endless loops over whether it can/should be made freely available after Google tried and lost in court. 110
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Academia is simultaneously incapable of rewarding teaching the classics or allowing others to build art on them. Apparently the primary role of the classics is as objects of critique to justify tenure placement? 040
Reposted by GrahamSharon 🪳🌹 @sharonk.bsky.social · 22/07/2026rotating median voters in my brain 5370776
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/07/2026Feminism WIN! Women are now making enough money for a new class of male manipulator to emerge. 010
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/07/2026Performatively blowing up our relationship with Canada more to self-sooth. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Too many people on this site are betting on a thermostatic backlash to deliver political salvation when that the polls suggest it may not happen! 210
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 14/07/2026You really cannot be posting about the consequences of your own administration's actions like it just happened; the "middle power" pivot is on your heads! 120
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 12/07/2026The recurring flare-ups around Yglesias arise from the fact that nobody has put forward a ideologically satisfying and results-backed theory of how to regularly win elections and build left-of-center legislative power today rather than just relying on thermostatic backlash to get thin majorities. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 29/06/2026I feel this way about every industrial policy article that then incorporates place-based investment and union support. 010
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 25/06/2026Btw stuff like this is why precision munitions are expensive and the US pays so much for them. It’s actually really hard to get large warheads on target at long ranges. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 25/06/2026This has left the AI debate as ground mostly for tech liberals and the tech right while much of academia and civil society has excluded itself as a result of friend-enemy politics with tech. It’s left plenty of room for non-traditional groups like EAs to gather influence. Up to you if that’s good. 010
Reposted by GrahamBeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 24/06/2026Lander's great, Chevalier's a really nasty piece of work, Valdez seems about median DSA. Mixed bag all round, and I wouldn't take any of it as particularly representative of the party or the country as a whole. 1960451
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/06/2026We're genuinely going back to the Biden 2023-24 set of policies for AI evaluation. As in this is literally what the old executive order wanted CAISI to do. 160
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/06/2026We really need a good operational history of the Ukraine war. At this point, I think you could write a "first draft" of its history from 2022 to the failed counteroffensive in Summer 2023. The best I've seen are RUSI's reports, which are necessarily incomplete and a few years old for this period. 140
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 21/06/2026I don't think these reforms will change much because: 1) This phenomenon is a result of our political system prioritizing individual electeds, and it's not clear how to overcome that or if we should want to. 2) Many of the errors in this piece were decisions of elected officials, not their staff. 100
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/06/2026This is why I don't expect the MOU to actually be honored in the breach; many of the conditions are simply too much for the US to stomach and, for better or worse, they can back out and effectively dare Iran to restart the blockade on Hormuz. 100
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 18/06/2026I am skeptical that the development of a professional civil service to manage foreign policy for Democrats can be reconciled with the weak party system of the US and the incentives of US politicians to elevate loyal aides instead of supporting the formation of an alternative power base. 110
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 12/05/2026Total destruction of the state’s fiscal capacity to buy off interest groups so they’ll support you is, historically, a sign of state collapse. 010
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 02/05/2026I worry the arts writ large are trending this way under the pressure of increasing costs and viewers scrolling short-form video instead of paying for content. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 01/05/2026US customers wouldn't buy them, and until recently EVs were not the "cheap" option as compared to ICs. What is remarkable about the current Chinese EVs is that they've pushed costs so low and gotten battery reliability so high. The quality differences, particularly in software, build on this. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 19/04/2026Crazy to see white turnout spiking to 70% while all other ethnic groups stayed flat or declined. 130
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 15/04/2026Let's just be a bit more explicit here; a major issue is that a lot of Dem natsec types come from State and not DoD and don't understand that this matters. 120
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 15/04/2026I find much to like in this essay and the approach to technology and national security from Sullivan, which makes it all the more tragic that this (and so much else) was effectively plowed under by Biden's Israel policy. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...foreignaffairs.comThe Tech High GroundWhat it will take to gain the advantage over China. 110
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 15/04/2026In (partial) defense of liberal natsec types here, the pre-2016 status quo embedded a lot of what they sought and it’s understandable why the foreign policy intellectual class has so much trouble moving beyond it. But 2016 is gone and it’s time for some hard ideological evolution. 120
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 15/04/2026Obvious that Ross would never accept his political project being subject to the same restrictions imposed on the Hungarian opposition and is just engaging in motivated reasoning here. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 09/04/2026Always funny when the “establishment” as a whole catches strays for Trump’s idiocy. The blob didn’t deliver this fiasco. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 01/04/2026I guess the administration has decided that it should make the harm to US interests from this war even worse by throwing our relationship with Europe into deeper crisis. 010
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 31/03/2026So, like, what's the justification from Iran on why this isn't a violation of the laws of armed conflict? Understanding of course that neither side has shown much respect for those. 141
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 29/03/2026I interpret that comment as performance; I don't think Vance believes the UFOs are demons, I think he thinks it's funny to say that to "troll" and that he thinks there are some idiots he can simultaneously capture with the comment. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 11/03/2026Hot take is that this has historically been the right move and “no first use” would have been wrong for the US to adopt. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 25/02/2026The problem is nobody really takes transnational response seriously. Nobody defends sovereignty more assiduously than the left of center. 020
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 12/02/2026Most of the natsec and foreign policy leaders in the US believes all this but it doesn’t matter because the leadership doesn’t give a crap. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 11/02/2026So much AI discourse is by people who don’t use AI, don’t understand AI, and are convinced what they read in 2023 is the eternal truth about LLMs. Sorry but the left is going to be left behind if it can’t move beyond declaring AI both useless and a scam. 000
Graham @greysmithereens.bsky.social · 11/02/2026Best of luck to the contracting officers who have to figure out how to enact this one. 000
