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Gregory Travis

@gregorytravis.com
2.3K followers 1.6K following 886 posts

Writer & Columnist for IEEE. COVID data geek. Political junkie. Midwesterner Working on a book about engineering, ethics and responsibility in the age of fraud

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025
This suggests that something other than COVID is responsible for the excess deaths now, or that deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection in children are being wrongly attributed to some other pathogen on death certificates
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025
Excess deaths from disease in school-aged children have been elevated since May of 2022 and show no sign of diminishing Note that the number of monthly COVID deaths (yellow line) plus expected deaths (white line) does not reach the black line (actual deaths)
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025
As you can clearly see here, deaths in school-aged children are now a year-round phenomenon And it's getting worse, not better. Take a look at the data labelled "incomplete data" It's incomplete because all of the death certificates haven't been counted there The numbers will go up
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025
Monthly deaths from disease in school-aged children (5-17yo) Prior to the pandemic, deaths from disease in children were extremely seasonal -- peaking around Jan/Feb of every year COVID changed that pattern dramatically
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025
If the German people had reacted like this to the Nazi stormtroopers when they went around disappearing people who were enemies of the Regime The whole world would have been spared the horrors of WW II
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025
COVID vs. Influenza report In May 2025: 180 people died from their influenza infections 643 people died from their SARS-CoV-2 (COVID) infections (4x influenza)
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
COOL!
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 03/06/2025
Can you say "stock pump?" AI is an enormous bubble that has been wildly over-promised and that will wildly-under deliver And there will be hell to pay in the markets when the Grift is up
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Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
It’s been around since 1983.
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Pandemic 𓅃. Index @panaccindex.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
@wendyorent.bsky.social minor tidbit about "masks harming kids," but Zweig is likely citing a myth propagated by WaPo's Leana Wen, who insisted masks impeded speech development in kids, even though that mostly happens in the home. Wrote about it here: www.panaccindex.info/p/profile-le...
panaccindex.info
PROFILE: Leana Wen
The Nightly News' Favorite Stay-At-Home COVID Expert
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 29/05/2025
I'm not saying anything that they're not planning on doing anyway Yes, we are going to see all vaccine recommendations for children dropped by the end of the year
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 29/05/2025
Given HHS has decided to stop recommending SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations in children but continue recommending Influenza vaccinations... ...I submit: Total deaths due to three infectious pathogens in children, 2020-present: COVID: 2,046 Influenza: 875 RSV: 190
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
The most transparent, pro free-speech administration in history would like you to know that US universities can do necessary research work for the country, raising our standard of living... ...so long as they don't say anything that the tyrant dislikes
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
The maximum vaccination rate is given on this chart: For 12-17yo, 63% of the population received at least one initial COVID vaccine For those 5-11: 34% For those 2-4: 5.5% For those 0-1: 4% And that was as of two years ago. Virtually no US child has had a vaccination within the last year
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
Pediatric SARS-CoV-2 vaccination rates in the USA are virtually nonexistent At this point it's safe to say that while most children have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 multiple times, most children are also not vaccinated against the SARS-CoV-2 virus
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
Viral infection are a significant cause of chronic heart disease as well as acute events such as stroke or cardiac arrest We see this in the data. Pediatric >cardiovascular mortality< for instance corresponds nicely with periods of high viral infection in children
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
This is absolutely true But if we are going to communicate this information to the public it is extremely important that when we talk about excess deaths we say what they are excess TO -- exactly what you are saying
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
I steadfastly avoid pointing out the massive racial disparity in mortality outcomes from COVID Why? Because when powerful White Men hear that a deadly viral pathogen only affects poor Black people and not them, they stop doing anything about it
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
Saying kids don't need to be vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 infections because they are being constantly re-infected is STRAIGHT out of the Great Barrington Declaration It's not surprising Mina is parroting the economic desires of a right-wing think tank to restore the status quo "for the economy"
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025
Absolutely incredible The arguments in favor of NOT vaccinating children against SARS-CoV-2 are: 1. Children have long immune memories. So no more annual flu vaccine for kids? 2. Children are repeatedly & serially infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Each infection is actually a vaccination
But the question of whether children need annual vaccines to protect against the latest circulating variants is more contentious.
Children might not benefit as much as adults would from a yearly shot because their immune systems can remember vaccinations for much longer, said Dr. Michael Mina, a former professor of epidemiology at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health who has extensively studied Covid. Another argument against annual shots is that most children in the United States now have some degree of protection from previous infections or vaccinations.
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THE REPUBLICAN DALEK @republicandalek.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
ALL IT TOOK TO GET HUMANS TO DISMANTLE PUBLIC HEALTH FOREVER, AND ESPECIALLY FOR THEIR OWN FUTURE SPAWN, WAS MAKING THEM GET GIVE UP HAPPY HOUR FOR TWO WEEKS BACK IN SPRING 2020.
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025
"Covid shot no longer recommended for healthy kids and pregnant women" 1. SARS-CoV-2 continues to be the leading cause of death from infectious disease in healthy kids 2. Pregnant women by definition have impaired immune function and are one of the highest-risk groups for SARS-CoV-2 infection
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025
"Covid [vaccination] no longer recommended for healthy kids and pregnant women" 1. SARS-CoV-2 is the leading cause of death from infectious disease in children 2. Pregnant women have impaired immune function and are one of the highest-risk groups for SARS-CoV-2 infection This is just evil
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025
for the US I don't have as problem with that but it should be a little more clear from the get-go since most other estimates of US excess mortality, including mine, are much lower (though still incredibly high)
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025
Yes, I understand that now. If I understand it, you are using European mortality baselines and then applying those baselines to US mortality data to produce the excess death estimates Given that the US has terribly high mortality rates compared to Europe this will produce inflated excess estimates
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025
Yeah, except we don't see that happening in any age bracket other than those aged 45-74 years old For all other ages, particularly the young, mortality continues at a very high rate
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025
Excess Deaths vs. COVID infections 2020-present I calculate 25,104 excess deaths from disease and 33,727 a-cause excess deaths for 2023 705K excess deaths in 2023 is simply not credible at any level
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
Probably. But given the inaccuracies with measuring wastewater concentrations it's hard to say definitively But the correlation between WW levels and COVID deaths is remarkable
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
Yes, sadly the pandemic is ongoing for one class of people -- those aged 5-17 It's stopped for us older adults But for children it keeps on going, relentlessly When are we going to talk about this? I'm guessing it's an Inconvenient Truth So, never?
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
That's the same chart as I did for all ages except it's now restricted to the 5-17yo age group Why does that chart look so different than the all-ages one? More important, why does it look like the pandemic did not end in February 2024 for children? Here's why
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
Those charts were for deaths in ALL ages Since most people wait until they are old to die, the statistics in that chart are flooded by the ordinary, expected, deaths of old people and old people die, as I said, all the time So take a look at this chart
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
Note that the black and white lines converge again in February of 2024 Does that mean the SARS-CoV-2 ("COVID") pandemic only lasted from 2020-2024? No. And I am going to tell you why...
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
Until January 2020, actual deaths were identical to what we expected But then the lines began to diverge The gap between the lines is "excess" death if the black line is above the white line It's NEGATIVE excess deaths if the black line is below the white line So simple even I understand it
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
Here's an example of excess death analysis The white line represents the number of deaths per month that we EXPECT, given history The black line represents the ACTUAL number of deaths each month Expected vs. Actual Yes, it's as simple as that
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
How do we better measure the impact of a disease when it is widely acknowledged that traditional methods of measuring disease mortality are inaccurate? One tool is "excess death" analysis This is simply a comparison of current mortality to a historic baseline
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025
Young people (those under 45 years of age) are continuing to die of SARS-CoV-2 infections ("COVID") at a very high rate Yet the increase in mortality among the young gets virtually no notice in the media Why is that?
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 24/05/2025
Weekly COVID vs. Influenza report SARS-CoV-2 infection has again pulled away from flu as the leading cause of significant ongoing mortality In May of 2025: 732 died of the flu 1,475 died of COVID (two times (2x) the rate of flu) April of 2025: COVID has killed four times (4x) more than flu
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 16/05/2025
Just need to build out more AI data centers in Qatar and then we can train the model the right way and everyone's Tesla will become self-aware
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 16/05/2025
It's absolutely not strange if you have any idea of how the technology works and how it DOESN'T work and what can and cannot do I know you know that, Ed. But I thought I would state the obvious, again
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 14/05/2025
What people are missing here is not that college students cheat on exams (they always have) But that it's apparently trivial to write examinations that AI can't pass Think about that
Earlier this semester, an NYU professor told me how he had Al-proofed his assignments, only to have the students complain that the work was too hard. When he told them those were standard assignments, just worded so current Al would fail to answer them, they said he was interfering with their "learning styles." A student asked for an extension, on the grounds that ChatGPT was down the day the assignment was due.
Another said, about work on a problem set, "You're asking me to go from point A to point B, why wouldn't I use a car to get there?" And another, when asked about their largely Al-written work, replied,
"Everyone is doing it." Those are stories from a 15-minute conversation with a single professor.
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 13/05/2025
Weekly influenza vs. COVID report In April 2025 (last month), COVID killed more than twice as many people as influenza For three months flu bested COVID but, like the turtle and the hare, COVID wins in the end This ends the flu's brief but attention-grabbing bid to outdo COVID Image
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 12/05/2025
Thanks, DOGE!
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Mrs. Betty Bowers @mrsbettybowers.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
The same people who went apoplectic when asked to wear a mask to *protect people* in a pandemic eagerly wear one to *kidnap people* in Gestapo cosplay.
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 08/05/2025
My take is that it is anomalous. About once a decade (very roughly) we see a very bad flu season (though well below pandemic status). I think this is one of them There is also a pretty good chance that a lot of deaths are being attributed to flu that are not
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 07/05/2025
Jan/Feb/Mar of 2025 were three of the worst influenza months in twenty years
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 07/05/2025
Weekly COVID vs. Influenza report Jan/Feb/Mar each saw more deaths from influenza than COVID -- a first However, April gets us back to an old familiar pattern with COVID once again causing at least twice as many deaths per month as influenza (1,134 COVID deaths/584 Flu deaths)
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/05/2025
Absolutely false. Medieval society (ca. ~1,000AD) was a continual series of religious holidays punctuated by short planting and harvesting seasons Nearly half of the days of the year in 1,000AD were designated as some kind of festival.
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/05/2025
He may be working 2-4 hours at the computer but I guarantee you he's billing his clients for 8-10 hours
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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 02/05/2025
US pilots are legally required to obtain a weather briefing prior to flight (see: FAR 91.103) The government has announced it will stop providing weather forecasts This will impact aviation Will the law be revised to eliminate the requirement to check weather?
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Pandemic 𓅃. Index @panaccindex.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Just like Jay Bhattacharya wanted unvaccinated kids to die of COVID-19, he now wants kids to die of everything else as well
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